Opened (Margin): ARKK November 18th 29/50 Short Strangle... for a 1.33 credit.
Comments: (Late Post; Filled on Friday). High IVR/IV at 62.9/68.6%.
ARKK
ARKK - My Third WarningHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1W linear scale chart for ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK).
The chart is self-explanatory. I have been providing warnings since December 2021 so I hope you followed along. Included in this chart is the Keltner Channel, recent Death Cross (50 SMA / 200 SMA), RSI, Volume. This is a weekly chart so have patience. There are two support and resistance areas noted with price ranges.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #millionaireeconomics
ARK will not survive 2022All my predictions about ARK invest in the past trading year were and are correct..!
If you look at the average weekly Volume Price it is now 30-40 times higher than the same price range in July 2020,
this will lead to full crash mode..!
SQ earning in the next 2 weeks will push it outside the channel and accelerate the down move!
You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels.
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
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ARKK setting a floorAlthough there could be dark days ahead for tech depending on macro factors, much of the bad forecast could be baked in at this point. ARKK could be setting a floor on historical support levels if it successfully forms a higher low in this area.
CRWD. Correction Complete. Expecting bearish continuation to start with CRWD
Everything is explained on the chart but we have a big bearish H&S complemented with a Bear Flag with strong monthly rejection from 200 & Neckline
Have December 16th Options
CRWD is next for the BIG move down! Must SeeWe are looking at CRWD for the next big continuation down
We have already booked over 300%+ from CRWD on the first leg down shorting from 220 to sub 160.
Now we are looking for a pull back into the 170s or low 180s, ideal to continue short.
There is a TON of bearish momentum on this play so there may be a early dynamic entry to secure positions however we are looking for 3-4 month contract to first take CRWD down to $120 but ultimately sub 100 around the $90 mark.
Keep this one on your watch list, one of our favorite shorts for the year!
We are staring at a Big Head and Shoulders bearish pattern with a Bear Flag to lead into the break.
Looking at Volume we have confluence there as we started to "dry" up towards the top and activity increased during the B corrective waive and failed to make a NH. (New High)
Monthly charts are just as bearish as were looking at a huge bearish continuation bar with last months close.
Looking at the A, B, C move. The C leg takes us to our destinations which also agrees with the projections from the head and shoulders pattern.
We have earnings in June which may take us to our destination much quicker than the 3-4 month contract we are looking for but we are securing extra time to ensure we get there.
Very Similar move to UPST we called to perfection. We have the link to that idea provided.
ZM still under Massive Selling PressureToday we have ZM (ZOOM) on the daily chart
With the huge sell offs in the market we still see much more downside on the table especially for growth and tech stocks like ZM.
We offered a bullish outlook that would have an inverse Head & Shoulders forming
However to complete the right shoulder we would still need to sell down into the low High 90s
We do have some news coming out tomorrow so ideal would be to see a pump in the market back into the 108s-110 area before the selling continues.
We are prepared go see even higher prices to make a true daily retest or Double top back at 112-115 area
Not unless we break above and close above 117 will our bearish bias be removed.
With that being said.. we DO NOT think we are forming a bullish Inverse Head and Shoulders and will likely close this week towards the lows of 90
ARKK: TRENDSI ATS CONFIRMATION: READY TO BOUNCE UPTicker Symbol: $ARKK
️Timeframe: 4H
️AT THE SUPPORT, READY TO BOUNCE UP.
️Investment Strategy: LONG
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
TRENDSI ATS MONEY MOVEMENT SHIFTING UP : BULLISH
LINEAR REGRESSION + TRENDSI: AT THE BOTTOM, WHICH IS AT THE SUPPORT
RSI AND STOCHASTIC BOTH SHOWING BULLISH MOVEMENT.
CONFIRMATION I AM WAITING: TRENDSI ATS GREEN LINE WITH GREEN DOT
Follow for daily stock, crypto and forex technical analysis.
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Closed (Margin): ARKK Sept 16th 44/57 Short Strangle... for a 2.23 debit.
Comments: Opened this for a 2.92 credit. (See Post Below). Taking profit with 28 days to go in lieu of adjusting the setup to delta balance. .69/$69 winner.
ARKK UpdateCathie's garbage fund is still in a slow channel up. Gonna short next time it hits the top of this channel as a short term trade (1 or 2 days).
Pure garbage.
ARKK sucks (SARK)SARK has a downward wedgie going on, possible breakout tomorrow.
ARKK daily MFI hit overbought Monday
ARKK taking a breather after a 50% rally off its lowsThat high volume outside reversal session on Thursday 8/11/22 has kept control over ARKK over the past few sessions. The intermediate uptrend from June is still in tact, but near-term we're in pullback mode waiting to see if dip buyers arrive in the upper 40s to save this uptrend.
ARKK is a great proxy for growth and risk appetite in long-duration tech.
ARKK now dips lower than the level before covid begins!1) Valuation:
Now the price is lower than everything happens in Early 2020: Covid, Quantitative easing. (marked in grey horizontal line)
2)Technical analysis:
The trend is stablizing into an uptrend.
Open for discussion
BTC - ARKK OverlayHere's what I mean when I say Bitcoin is tracking garbage stocks, the overlay is ARKK, Cathie Wood's garbage ETF.
This is an hourly chart, that's how close BTC has been tracking garbage.
BTW, Cathie Wood tends to chase after garbage, whatever you do don't buy her fund. You'd be better off randomly picking stocks yourself. Look at her portfolio before you buy that junk. ARKK is a sinking ship, lol.
Sinking ARKKI'm convinced this collection of garbage stocks has further downside, trying to figure out the timing on this, it could happen as early as next week, but if wave 4 = wave 2 then the collapse doesn't happen until we get a H&S pattern shoulder in Nov.
Kinda make sense, by then we should know that the Fed isn't going to cut interest rates next year, which is priced in right now.
Also see my ARKK overlay on top of BTC. All garbage moves together, lol. BTC is worthless and so are half the companies in ARKK.
$ARKK Finally a buy ? ARKK - The bearish sentiment and hate against miss Cathie Wood is pretty strong as her flagship ARKK fund has gone from a high of $160 to low $35 this past week, nearly erasing ALL gains and now total 5 year return in line with the market at 13.8%. If you're a contrarian, you love the idea of going long here.
I prefer technical and price action which as of now I think ARKK has a good R/R and am looking for a trade to $55 price target in the near term.
- Huge volume last week as sellers appear to be exhausting and a bullish hammer candle
- Currently at FOUR year support line
- RSI in over sold zone
- PT 55 coincides nicely with 10weeklyMA at 56
- Even in bear markets we see upside rallies (another opportunity to short)
This is a trade idea, as a longer term investor I'd be waiting for a solid base and breakout above 30wkMA, and I still see any bull rally in this name as another opportunity to go short.
Further downside is limited and favor the risk return down here.
Let's see :)
Bias more on upside. 6th Aug 20222
Break above $50, Next resistance: $60/$62 which coincide with 23.6% Fibo and 200Day MA.
A bullish scenario for Bitcoin ARKKTake profit level: $64.00
ARKK is an actively managed fund that seeks long-term capital growth from companies globally involved with, or that benefit from, disruptive innovation.
ARK Investment Management LLC is an American investment management firm based in St. Petersburg, Florida, that manages several actively managed exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The firm aims to provide broad exposure to disruptive innovation. ARK believes innovations centered around artificial intelligence, robotics, energy storage, DNA sequencing, and blockchain technology will change the way the world works and deliver outsized growth as industries transform.
Opening (Margin): ARKK September 16th 44/57 Short Strangle... for a 2.92 credit.
Comments: High IV at 59.3%. Being a little more aggressive and selling the 25's here. Delta/theta -2.55/7.07.
LOL PonziRising wedge forming - wont get much farther than the .5 fib before resuming the long term down trend.
ARKK may recover as the market risesShare prices of almost all companies included in ARKK are at historical lows. If you don't mind overloading 5-6% of your portfolio with relatively high risk-weighted assets, then ARKK may be one of the most suitable assets.
NIO - The Top is in. Lower Prices AheadTo no surprise NIO like most of equities is vulnerable to the increasing pressures of inflation and the feds responsibility interest rate hikes.
Technically we see NIO is a BEAR FLAG structure right at the $20 Key Level
Making NIO more interesting is that this structure is formed with LESS participation on the second attempt at $20
Meaning NIO made a HH (Higher High) with LESS participation, So... we have a M top inside a bear flag
We love seeing these patterns as it brings confluence to much lower prices.
Ideally we would like to see the market open Tuesday Strong then position in NIO for additional confirmation however NIO is a sell NOW.
We have positions open and running so we are going to wait on ideal to enter.
Price targets on NIO would be a 3 Month contract down to $10/11 or 50% off.
A bullish idea for ARKK(July 26th) Park Avenue Securities LLC increased its position in shares of ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKK – Get Rating) by 72.2% in the 1st quarter, HoldingsChannel reports. The firm owned 5,911 shares of the company’s stock after purchasing an additional 2,479 shares during the period. Park Avenue Securities LLC’s holdings in ARK Innovation ETF were worth $392,000 as of its most recent filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission.
