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ARKK

Is this the Bottom for ARKK?US Fed is likely to FLUSH OUT weak traders this week, possibly setting up for a big shift in how capital is deployed across the globe. My opinion suggests capital will continue to rush into undervalued US assets as the US Dollar stays strong. If the Fed comes in at 25 to 50pb today for the rate hike, I see this strengthening many US stocks and potentially weakening global economies under extreme debt levels. Things could come fast-and-furious over the next few months. Pay attention to my research.
AMEX:ARKKLong
by BradMatheny
ARKK and Cathie Wood = trouble AMEX:ARKK Like many people, I've lost $$$ falling in love with Cathie Cathie has literally destroyed my portfolio. Does shares bought at $150-$130 are now worth a quarter of that. What is going on with ARKK and are we going to see more lows? News: All ARKK ETF’s continue to underperform relative to the S&P 500 is growing and Teladoc Health, one of ARK Innovation ETF’s most overweight positions, just collapsed in value last week. Unlike Bill Ackman who dumped his funds $1.1 billion investment in NFLX and taking a loss of around $400 million, Madam Cathie is adding more to her position. Charts: EMA ( Exponential Moving Average ): Price action is below the 200 EMA (discount buying opportunity) Price is also below 20/50/100/200 EMA and are all pointing downwards! Looks like we've been in a death cross since November 2021 and we're not coming out of it anytime soon. TTM Squeeze: Squeezing to the bottom but it looks like it wants to change direction at the current support line (super trendline; at the bottom of the pattern). Fib Levels: with the price below the 1 fib and headed towards the 1.618, if the current support support line doesn't hold, we could see $ARKK in the $30s...(bye bye to my $44K leap call option expiring in December). Candle Stick: Summary of last 5 candles equate to a bearish movement; you might as well just call them a 3 black crow. RSI: In a great position which also supports the TTM Squeeze movement... No matter what happens on May 3rd or 4th, I should just buy some more at this point. Pattern: Falling Wedge and still falling; Need a savior. History: ARKK seems to have lost it's hedge and it's now crashing and burning; a breakthrough will be nice.
AMEX:ARKKLong
by STAKKNATION
Is ARKK Seeking A bottom Near Fib Amplitude Support?Looking at this chart, one could argue the past 12+ months have erased all of the excesses of the post-COVID speculative rally. One could argue that ARKK is nearing historical support and may be attempting to establish some type of base/bottom levels. I would suggest that ARKK may attempt a "wash-out" low price over the next few weeks - where price attempts to FLUSH OUT early longs. But it seems to me ARKK is nearing strong support from 2018-19 levels and may attempt a recovery rally throughout the end of 2022 (possibly). Time will tell. May be worth looking into some CALL options on ARKK at these levels?
AMEX:ARKKLong
by BradMatheny
Buying SARK vs Shorting ARKKFirst, let's look at SARK: The Fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that attempts to achieve the inverse (-1x) of the return of the ETF for a single day, not for any other period, by entering into a swap agreement on the ETF. What is a Swap Agreement? Swaps are financial contracts in which two counterparties agree to exchange or “swap” payments with each other as a result of such things as changes in a stock price, interest rate, or commodity price. Difference between Swap and Short Selling: If you short ARKK you need to cover your short position, but buying SARK decreases the possibility of a short-covering rally..! Short covering is generally responsible for the initial stages of a rally after a prolonged bear market or a protracted decline in a stock or other security. Education: Total Return Swaps A total return swap gives an investor the benefits of owning securities, without actual ownership. A TRS is a contract between a total return payer and total return receiver. The payer usually pays the total return of agreed security to the receiver and receives a fixed/floating rate payment in exchange. The agreed (or referenced) security can be a bond, index, equity, loan, or commodity. The total return will include all generated income and capital appreciation. Assume Paul (the payer) and Mary (the receiver) enter into a TRS agreement on a bond issued by ABC Inc. If ABC Inc.’s share price rises (capital appreciation) and pays a dividend (income generation) during the swap's duration, Paul will pay Mary those benefits. In return, Mary has to pay Paul a pre-determined fixed/floating rate during the duration. Benefits: Mary receives a total rate of return (in absolute terms) without owning the security and has the advantage of leverage. She represents a hedge fund or a bank that benefits from the leverage and additional income without owning the security. Paul transfers the credit risk and market risk to Mary, in exchange for a fixed/floating stream of payments. He represents a trader whose long positions can be converted to a short-hedged position while also deferring the loss or gain to the end of swap maturity. The Bottom Line Swap contracts can be easily customized to meet the needs of all parties. They offer win-win agreements for participants, including intermediaries like banks that facilitate the transactions. Even so, participants should be aware of potential pitfalls because these contracts are executed over the counter without regulations. (Investopedia) Example: Conclusion: SARK could reclaim its previous high in 5 weeks. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. * I have a long position. Reference article: www.investopedia.com
NASDAQ:SARKLong
by Moshkelgosha
4
True Definition of Failure..!According to ARK-funds.com: Fund Objective ARKK is an actively managed Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) that seeks long-term growth of capital by investing under normal circumstances primarily (at least 65% of its assets) in domestic and foreign equity securities of companies that are relevant to the Fund’s investment theme of disruptive innovation. Now they are 47% don YTD is it a good time to ask them: What is your plan for the Bearish market? What is your plan for the possible coming recession? However, I know the answer..! looking at the track records of the CEO Cathie Wood in 2008 shows she has no plan for it nor learned her lesson 14 years ago..! I still believe the story will be ended the same as the NETNET fund..! Soon or later there will be no ARK- fund to talk about..! I like to congratulate her on breaking her record in 2008, in just 4 months, this is quite an achievement..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
AMEX:ARKKShort
by Moshkelgosha
1
ARKK reclaims 2016 support line; Inv H&S targets 90ARKK currently in the green accumulation zone. It is trying to complete the right shoulder although it may fall further to make a double bottom at 52. The H&S measured move will be the 90 to 96 TP zone.(34% upside) The 2016 trendline support was only broken during the pandemic, Russian invasion & the most recent Beartrap. The possible peaking out of 10-yr yield at around 3,.25% will give tailwind to growth stocks. Not trading advice
AMEX:ARKKLong
by xtremerider8
$SPX: 2000 top overlaid on price...I really think we likely saw a long term top in equities and a major turning point in the various trends that we had since 2009 until recently. I copied the pattern from the high in the year 2000, to give us an idea of what to expect, since that was the last time a yearly timeframe Time@Mode pattern concluded, I think it can serve as a guide from here onwards. Publishing this one for posterity, it's interesting that we already have a Dot Com bubble like chart in $ARKK monthly, definitely very critical to figure out if we already topped, as per the yearly, or if we get a different bear market pattern next. In my opinion, the massive excess we saw since 2020 post COVID, with increased retail participation is akin to the frenzy that started in the year 1998, and topped by 2000, which would fit today being equivalent to that period. I will try to navigate this period profitably, my strategy is to have a long/short portfolio, buying interesting bullish setups in stocks with lower valuations, commodities related positions, and defensive names, all that have historically fared well during yearly trend expirations when bear markets and long term sideways consolidations started, like between 2000 and 2013, or before, during the 70s. I also short overvalued names where I perceive that the story driving them is exhausted, and are rolling over, with insane valuations and market participants complacent and buying option premium on the way down...while shorting options against my short positions. I manage risk carefully, and have split my portfolio in two: one trading account with 25% of my firepower, and 75% in a long term account where I have only long term long positions, no leverage, and try to sell calls to generate income while holding my long term bets. Best of luck, let's hope we get further clarity over time. Fitting this scenario would result in a tricky period unfolding for months, but eventually we will get a really steady decline to trade more aggressively on the short side. Patience will reward us here, can't take big risks and expect to make money as a bear simply holding random bearish entries. Cheers, Ivan.
FX:SPX500Short
by IvanLabrie
6