Innovation, Robots, Tech, Applied Tech Will SkyrocketI thought I would share some of my research for everyone to review.
Most of my work involves deep analysis of the markets related to shifting capital function, core fundamental dynamics, and future opportunities.
If you are following my SPY Cycle Patterns videos (the Plan Your Trade videos) - you already know how powerful my predictive models are.
Now, I'm sharing with you my belief that ignored, undervalued, and overlooked stocks/sectors are about to explode - and there are hundreds of symbols available for you to consider related to this move.
One of the most significant moves in 2025 and beyond will be the resurgence of innovation, robotics, technology, and applied functions related to the current/past technology boom. This is the 1990s (again) - leading to the second growth phase in new applications related to improved AI/tech capabilities.
You can profit from it if you take steps to prepare for the next 24+ months right now. All you have to do is watch this video, learn why I believe these will be some of the biggest movers over the next 24+ months, and then make your own decisions about what to trade.
Follow my research. My goal is to make you a better trader.
Right now, and for the next 7+ years, the markets will be the greatest opportunity of your life.
ARKW
Thanks to BTC, a couple of Cathie Wood funds are about to flash A month ago Morningstar identified the ARK Innovation Fund (ARKK) as one of the largest wealth destroyers in the fund industry, with the ETF losing $7.1 billion in investors' wealth over the past decade due to its strategy of using leverage to bet against the Nasdaq-100 (NDX).
Additionally, the ARK Genomic Revolution ETF (ARKG) has shredded $4.2 billion in wealth over the same period, making it another significant underperformer within the ARK family of funds. Despite the poor performance, ARK Innovation has continued to attract investors, who pay a 0.75% annual fee, illustrating that even during favorable market conditions, there is no any guarantee of success in investing.
Ark Invest as well as lady Wood was all the rage in 2020 and 2021, when its concentrated bets on highly speculative, mostly unprofitable technology companies paid off in a big way thanks to low interest rates, monetary stimulus and a boom in risk appetite among retail investors.
The ARKK ETF destroyed $7.1 billion in wealth, while its healthcare-focused ARK Genomic ETF destroyed $4.2 billion in wealth, according to Morningstar.
Across all fund families that have destroyed wealth over the past decade, Ark Invest topped the list — and its losses with ARKK and ARKG were more than double the next firm on the list.
Despite the massive wealth destruction, ARK Invest as a business is doing just fine. The investment company still has more than $13 billion in assets across its suite of all ETFs, signaling that not all investors have abandoned Wood's investment strategy.
While the biggest value destroyers in the fund industry provide a valuable case study in how not to invest, and illustrate that there's no guarantee of success, even during a generally favorable market environment, let's take a look will recent spot BTC ETFs launch change the game or not.
Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management LLC is snapping up shares of the firm’s just-launched spot-Bitcoin ETF as competition among the inaugural issuers escalates.
A consistent bid from its sister fund could help give ARKB a leg-up in a highly competitive environment for spot-Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. The Securities and Exchange Commission allowed 10 such ETFs to launch on January 11, 2024, preventing any one of them from gaining first-mover advantage.
That has set up an unusually high-stakes horse race, given that all the funds hold the same underlying asset.
Funneling the firm’s own money into an ETF is one way to gain scale quickly — an important criteria for financial advisers and platforms, many of which have minimum-asset thresholds, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.
Who knows what is next.
But still it works so far, as ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) with solid 13.84% stake on Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN , as well as ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) with its massive 20% Double Powered 'Coinbase+BTC' cannon, both are on positive path in 2024.
Technical graphs for ARK Fintech Innovation ETF AMEX:ARKF (upper chart) and ARK Next Generation Internet ETF AMEX:ARKW (lower chart), thanks to recent gains in BTCUSD and Coinbase (COIN), indicates on potential Reversed Head-and-Shoulders price pattern development, being topped off with huge weekly EMA(200) breakthrough in both cases.
COINBASE(COIN)/BTC CorrelationIn the past months investors have been watching carefully the recovery of Coinbase as one of the biggest partners in the financial industry as crytocurrencies seem to recover from the last downturn. Many investors, traders and fans of crypto have been watching with a lot of hype the launch of the ETFs; which hasn't resulted in what most of them expected: a massive bull run as these instruments got green light from public authorities.
Cathie Wood's ARK investment instruments have been continuously dumping Coinbase shares in the last months, possibly to balance the holdings of the ETF ARKW(ark-funds.com), and the crypto-exchange shows 2 interesting things: certain degree of correlation with BTC and extraordinary earnings.
However the last earnings should have been fuelling this stock but they didn't due to weaknesses in their fundamentals and tough valuations with shallow price targets. If done carefully, COIN can be used to track small spikes in price and short trends in BTC and ETH. The future could be promising for Coinbase, but from a macroeconomic standpoint we are not out of the woods at all.
My observations tell me that the markets like to be bearish on COIN, but for short term wave riding, it could be worth it - just make sure you have appropriate risk management when doing so.
$BITO Ready to Run?AMEX:BITO Kathy Woods AMEX:ARKW fund sold OTC:GBTC and bought $92mm AMEX:BITO yesterday. They also sold $COIN. There is the news. I am more of a technical trader, and I like the set-up on BITO here. I have started a one third size position in the anticipation of a break above the small consolidation area or pennant. My stop is tight, just below today’s low of day.
I like the fact that it is trading above the IPO AVWAP which means that by volume most shareholders are in the money. That means there is little overhead resistance at this point. It is also trading above all the moving averages.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
ARKW - Horizontal Trend Channel🔹Breaking up horizontal trend channel in medium long term.
🔹Positive signal from rectangle formation at 51.51 resistance breakup.
🔹Between support 55 and resistance 64.
🔹RSI above 70 indicates strong short-term positive momentum.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for medium-term long-term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
$ARKK - The Growth Story will PUSH higherAMEX:ARKK moved nearly 8% higher since I shifted my focus towards small-cap potential in my initial post. Price is currently testing supply and approaching my target of $45. In anticipation of a potential market pullback next week, I may consider trimming my position. However, I'll continue to monitor the market closely and keep an eye on the gap fill above $46.41.
ARKK nearing it's last line of supportIf it breaks this line in the next couple weeks, it could spell the end of any potential fast recovery of the ARKs and could take almost a decade to even return to these current prices. Also would mean to me that the overall market will be going into a depression, so you won't have much fun in BTC, NDX or SPY either.
There is still a possibility of a V recovery like the last 2 times, so that is something to watch for, but I'm finding it hard to believe now, the recovery pattern just looks strange to me. However, a couple bullish indicators are that the volume has peaked since Jan and the RSI is intensely oversold.
ARK funds - Could we see the light at the end of tunnel ? Hello Traders and (and maybe Tech/ Value / Longterm Investors ?),
ARK funds took BIG hit last year and sell-offs continue. (Panic and uncertainty at the market, raising Inflation and Interest rates, ... War or Pandemy, what could be worse ? WW3 ? ).
So are the ARK funds Investable ? I believe so... but under some conditions.
1) Most stocks were simply overvalued and still not profitable. (Growth stocks investing in the future potential).
2) Most stocks are good picks and can be found also in funds of many other famous investors).
3) You need to believe there are some technologies which will shape future world same like do companies like APPLE, Facebook, Amazin or other giants today. Because many of todays giants are going to do bad decisions (or simply don´t pay attention) and lose their stake of market.
4) Investing in the ETF which is diversified into 30+ Stocks is some king of protection against stockpicking.Entire ARK strategy is based on statistics = some companies will be loosers, BUT some will WIN BIG.
To setup some good investing strategy we should find place whereRisk:Reward ratio is best.
- If you look at the chart of individual stocks in this ETF most of them are finding lower lows and creating simple / double RSI convergencies.
- P/E ratios could be still high (above 20), but check history of Walmart´s or Amazon´s P/E.
- Nearest support level is Pre-pandemic zone of 40-60 USD.
In my opinion, we are forming last wave (v) of C corrective wave. Using Fibonachi extension of Wave A, ost probable zone for GOOD buy opportunity is around 62.9 USD (1.414 Extension).
(= -16% from current level)
BEST opportunity will be if the price drops to 49-40 USD zone (Maybe some sharp wick to gather stop-losses).
(= - 30% from current level)
Risks:
- US Dollar currency index seems to form triangel on 1W Timeframe. if we reach to top line and turn around, it will mean positive outlook for speculative High growth companies and Crypto market.
- World War 3 (small chance, But in that case the stock market really doesn´t matter for few years);
- Very high inflation (than you really wanna be invested in something with huge growth).
Recommendation:
- DO YOUR HOMEWORK and check all the companies in the ARK fund which you would like to buy to be sure it rezonate with U. also check "Scottish Mortgage Investment TRUST" (Ticker:SMT) which I personally like. They came first with Tesla investment thesis and benefitted most. ;)
Be on the right side of change. Tuesday, Jan. 25 ARK sumitBe on the right side of change is a fancy title for an investment company that lost 23-25% of the value of their 4 main funds in the past 16 trading days!
No need to say that these funds had lost 17-34% of their values in 2021.
I think it is crucial to be on the right side of the change, otherwise...!
One of my favorite Youtubers is Ozzy man, he has a series called Destination F..!
It is a compilation of failures, he usually says: Someone is definitely ending up in destination F regarding their employment status over this.
(being on the wrong side of the change)
Market sentiment has changed a lot and those who are on the right side of the change are sitting on piles of cash or shorted the market..!
Each candle shows 1 year.
Apocalypse of ARK invest, a forcast that became a reality..!Jim Simons:
“Scientists and mathematicians are trained to dig below the surface of the chaotic, natural world to search for unexpected simplicity, structure, and even beauty.
On February 28th, 2021 (10 months ago) I published this article:
The Social Media Trading Bubble comes to its end..!
I have always said:
Only time could show the accuracy of analysis..!
I believe the ARK’s CEO and her team members did not buy the Sci-Fi stories the told people on their social media, but they tried their best to sell it to others, and they were very successful..!
Look at the performance of these stocks, most of them skyrocketed 10x, 20x or even more in less than 2-3 years.
-
CRSP , ROKU, SNAP, PINS, NNDM , WKHS , Tesla , and ...
Now as an example, I will explain CRSP and what ARK did with this stock.
There is no doubt CRISPER is one of the most important and disruptive medical innovations. Therefore, Jennifer Anne Doudna an American biochemist known for her pioneering work in CRISPR gene editing, awarded the 2020 Nobel Prize in Chemistry along with Emmanuelle Charpentier.
By a quick search on social media you will find ARK’s CEO talking about CRSP enthusiastically and the share price skyrocketed almost 20 times in the last 4 years. And if you see the ARK watcher, you will find out they almost emptied their portfolio from CRSP in the last 2 months and share price slipped from 220 to 125 since Jan 15th, 2021. Yet, I believe it could go down to 70 in the coming months!!!
The question is :
Is CRISPER not an innovative/ disruptive Genomic medical company any more? ( as a doctor and holder of M.D. degree, my answer to this question is: CRISPER is a disruptive Genomic medical company)
So the question could change to:
Everything ARK has talked about was not true? Or they don’t believe in the 3 trillion Genomic revolutions they are talking about anymore?
I believe ARK noticed a company with 719k revenue ( CRSP )in the past 4 quarters couldn’t have a 15.5 Billion market cap, and they suddenly decided to insert the needle into the bubble they created in the first place, buy selling their CRSP shares!
Last words, I have good news for ARK invest, Tesla chart pretty much looks like CRSP ..! So be ready for that bubble burst too!( Tesla is the biggest part of the pie in most of ARK’s ETFs)
Time will show us the reality of the people’s claims..!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
ARK invest goodGreat opportunity here with ARK invest. Head n Shoulder now formed. The first wave of the daily EW was completed. Small retracement now to 142.55 giving a great buy opportunity with SL at 134.90. If you are a more conservative play on the resistance of the HnS neck. 189 the first target, looking to unlock some profit at that level, Final target 205, completing the 3 wave. This is a 9 RR, great play. Holding position 3- 4 months. I will share other opportunities soon...Few others are already at play.
SHARE and spread the LOVE
PLTR Testing Make or Break Supports1. Palantir is nearing a strong support zone (21.00-22.50) that it recently reclaimed. The support zone was reclaimed quickly after breaking, solidifying the strength at and beneath 21.00. Price just bounced at the top of the zone, yet I believe it will fall through to test the bottom of the support zone and consolidate within the zone briefly, reaffirming strength above 21.00. A powerful move to establish an uptrend could follow this confirmation and consolidation. Testing of 21.00 would also complete an inverse head and shoulders pattern.
2. Above the support zone, the next level is a 27.50 resistance. ARKW sold 13.1%. of their shares at this level last week. ARKW still holds a large majority of their shares and demonstrated good profit taking with the small sale, after purchasing upwards of 4 million shares in 2021. ARKW's sale caused some shake out of weak hands and brought shares down to the 22.50 support level. Shaking weak hands and ARK's aggressive bullish direction on PLTR are both good signs.
3. After some consolidation, I think shares can test the 27.50 resistance prior to August 12th earnings. After a test of 27.50 around earnings, a strong report could push shares above the resistance, and confirm that shares have re-entered an uptrend.
Buy ARKW $125 to $135! LT Play, 9:1 R:RHere is the weekly chart for ARKW, the ARK Next Gen Internet ETF
counting from inception, ARKW has completed a massive wave 3 followed by a deep wave 4 correction which means it'll have an equally powerful wave 5. Taking the equal legs target or wave 1 results in a 5th wave that does not cross the ATH, which means a true wave 5 should replicate the entire length of wave 3. In simple English that means Cathy's baby is gonna have another massive 2020 like move over the next year or so.
ARKW contains all the companies and technologies you want to be invested in over the next decade:
Tesla = EV's/autonomous driving/energy storage & generation.....will these technologies be more widely adopted or less?
Shopify = e-commerce/online store fronts/social media based sales....will these technologies be more widely adopted or less?
Twitter = digital home of presidents, countries, corporations and revolutions...will these technologies be more widely adopted or less?
Square = digital payments/wallets/crypto....will these technologies be more widely adopted or less?
Teledoc = centralized digital healthcare platform.....will these technologies be more widely adopted or less?
Greyscale = Bitcoin exposure/digital gold....will these technologies be more widely adopted or less?
Roku = Streaming media w/ Large scale creators.....will these technologies be more widely adopted or less?
Spotify = streaming media w/ small scale creators.....will these technologies be more widely adopted or less?
Twilio = Communication as a Service (CaaS) platform.....will these technologies be more widely adopted or less?
Coinbase = Most trusted and legit onramp for crypto....will these technologies be more widely adopted or less?
Take a look at these companies, their technologies, and the type of service they offer, and ask yourself....will these be more in demand over the next decade or less? If you dont think these technologies, these platforms are the future then you haven't been paying attention.
Now is the chance to get in on the FAANGS of the future. Imagine having invested in google or amazon in early 2000's. This is the last chance for a while (there will be one more i believe) to get in on this action. Dont worry about quarterly % increases and EBTIDA margins and blah blah blah....let cathy and the analysts are ARK worry about that. YOU should only focus on being a part of the trend that will define the future. If someone told you to invest in the internet in 1990, knowing everything you know now, would you do it?
So buy ARKW between 125 and 135, and thank me in 2030.
Will Tesla hold?...A weekly chart of TSLA will show us the longer term trend, which fate could be tested at the $550 level, which is coincidental with the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement, a break below this level suggests the next target on the downside is $330 approximately.
There is a slight divergence with the RSI, when you take a look at the last bottom. (Bearish)
I will be keeping this on a close watch.
Apocalypse of ARK investEveryones know ark invest will not perform well unless tesla performs well..!
now their biggest ETF, ARKK performance becomes negative again in 2021..! and all their ETFs underperform in comparison to major indexes.
congratulation to their management team who manage the ETFs...
I warned everyone this bubble is going to burst, when the price was 143, no one listened to me..!
How is it possible?
Don't you believe it?
Check this:
be ready for this one!
ARKW - Strength of MA50on ARKW - MA 50 daily is a main support and resistance, worked like a charm especially last 3 attempts to break it failed.
We see a convergence of MA 21 and MA 50 so I expect a bit up and down between these to MAs and then break down where they intersect, find support from the blue line and then push up to break both MA21 and MA50.
I like that the volume has dropped to q4 2020 levels from the high volume beginning of march 21. Low levels following a higher volume that put the stock down generally gives it a lift up.
The Social Media Trading Bubble comes to its end..!While many people thinks when ARK invest touches anything it turns to GOLD, I believe another season has just begun for those who invested in ARK ETFs. In this season we will see everything will be burned into ashes!
First, let’s look at the numbers, and see the performance of ARK invest ETFs in the last 2 trading weeks! They are all sinking in Blood..!
PRINT: -23.16% in 9 trading days
ARKG: -21.69% in 11 trading days
ARKK: -21.06% in 8 trading days
ARKF: -18.59% in 5 trading days
ARKW: -18.41% in 8 trading days
ARKQ: -17.37% in 5 trading days
While people asking themselves which ARK’s ETF will perform better in 2021, now they should ask themselves which one will burn into ashes sooner???
Theme Investing
I believe the ARK’s CEO and her team members did not buy the Sci-Fi stories the told people on their social media, but they tried their best to sell it to others, and they were very successful..!
Look at the performance of these stocks, most of them skyrocketed 10x, 20x or even more in less than 2-3 years.
-
CRSP, ROKU, SNAP, PINS,NNDM, WKHS, Tesla, and ...
Now as an example, I will explain CRSP and what ARK did with this stock.
There is no doubt CRISPER is one of the most important and disruptive medical innovations. Therefore, Jennifer Anne Doudna an American biochemist known for her pioneering work in CRISPR gene editing, awarded the 2020 Nobel Prize in Chemistry along with Emmanuelle Charpentier.
By a quick search on social media you will find ARK’s CEO talking about CRSP enthusiastically and the share price skyrocketed almost 20 times in the last 4 years. And if you see the ARK watcher, you will find out they almost emptied their portfolio from CRSP in the last 2 months and share price slipped from 220 to 125 since Jan 15th, 2021. Yet, I believe it could go down to 70 in the coming months!!!
The question is :
Is CRISPER not an innovative/ disruptive Genomic medical company any more? ( as a doctor and holder of M.D. degree, my answer to this question is : CRISPER is a disruptive Genomic medical company)
So the question could change to:
Everything ARK has talked about was not true? Or they don’t believe in the 3 trillion Genomic revolution they are talking about any more?
I believe ARK noticed a company with 719k revenue (CRSP)in past 4 quarter couldn’t have 15.5 Billion market cap, and they suddenly decided to insert the needle into the bubble they created in the first place, buy selling their CRSP shares!
Last words, I have a good news for ARK invest, Tesla chart is pretty much looks like CRSP..! So be ready for that bubble burst too!(Tesla is biggest part of the pie in most of ARK’s ETFs)
Time will show us the reality of the people’s claims..!
Moshkelgosha