I was wrong Bitcoin is breaking all the rules yet againA while back I published an idea that Aroon signaled a Bear trend in BTC. Although the Aroon 233 did cross the green line it never hit 100. Now after a few weeks it looks as thought this might have been a bear fake out. I added the Aroon 144 and you will notice that the green line has now crossed the red and has hit 100. This is setting up to turn BTC in to a Bull again.
Lastly NVT is still saying BTC is a BEAR.
If the Aroon 233 green crosses the red soon we could be looking at BTC turning in to a BULL.
We are at a critical point right now. Also it is looking like the golden cross could happen in the next few days/weeks.
It's going to be fun to watch.
Good luck out there
Aroon
Weekly bullish signalI'm just trying to keep it simple.
1) Aroon (6 weeks) - shows us that bulls are strong, crossing with upper and lower lines indicates buy signal.
2) MACD (default settings) - hasn't confirmed yet, but likely to cross soon if uptrend continue.
3) RSI (default settings) - well I don't have it on this chart as I'm limited to only 3 indicators, but check it for yourself. Its lines go up and it's a possible trend reversal.
4) EMA (21 yellow, 89 white) - 7961, 8145. Closing this week above these lines is a strong bullish signal as well.
5) Yearly pivot (blue) - 8172. The same story, if this week's candle closes above it and holds, uptrend most likely to be confirmed.
Aroon says Bear market for BTCToday I have seen a lot of people talking about BTC price today going up. Some are even claiming that we are entering into a Bull market for BTC. So I looked at my charts today and Aroon just triggered BTC entering into a Bear. I hope Aroon is wrong and maybe the next few months will be a good time to buy more BTC?
Let me know your thoughts.
Aroon is better than NVT (5 months later) Bitcoin (BTC)I published an idea a while back stating that Aroon is a better indicator for Predicting Bitcoin (BTC) than NVT:
It's been almost 6 months later and here are the results:
On May 11th Aroon said buy BTC at $7200. NVT was telling you to sell BTC.
Today Nov 1st BTC sits at ~$9100
Many are saying that BTC will crash soon and that might be true. However, according to Aroon we have a very strong base at $7200.
Aroon is telling us to stay in this trade
NVT has not yet signal a buy entry. However, if Aroon stays green and NVT does signal I'm going to be buying more BTC.
I do have a golden rule to not lose more than 10% in any trade. so unless BTC hits $6480 I'm going long BTC.
Be safe out there and this is not investment advise yada yada.
~Controllinghand
Aroon is better than NVTIf you have been following Bitcoin charting for a while you have probably heard of NVT. Traditionally NVT has been a good indicator when to buy and sell BTC. However, recently NVT has indicated that you should be selling BTC. On the flip side Aroon has us buying BTC. Over the years NVT and Aroon have been lock step when to buy and sell BTC. This is the first time where these indicators are telling us opposite of each other. Aroon says buy BTC we are in a Bull market. NVT says sell BTC we are in a Bear market.
Only time will tell but I believe Aroon is a better indicator than NVT. Fundamentally NVT should be a better indicator of the value of BTC, but, when it comes to markets and when people are involved sometimes fundamentals get thrown out the window. With Aroon the trend is your friend until the end.
According to Aroon we are in a Bull Market.
~Controllinghand
Triple EMA & Double Aroon StrategyThis is my revision of the 20,50,200 Ema&Aroon strategy.
Link provided.
I've added a second Aroon a indicator set to 50. This allows you even greater insight and accuracy to the beginning of a trend as well as greater accuracy in determining when the pair is consolidating.
In most cases, if the Aroon 25 doesn't catch the beginning of a good trade signal, the Aroon 50 will. This is also true vise versa.
Remember to always get confirmation when taking your trades.
Enjoy!
I have recently gathered data using this strategy on AUDUSD as well as USDJPY and this system seems to work fine on those pairs as well.
This strategy can also work on the 30 Minute time frame as well as 1 hour and 5 Minute.
Although it becomes more difficult to determine confirmation on trade signals at lower time frames such as 5 Minute and below. AUDUSD USDJPY
I was wrong. The Bull market started early using AroonHi All,
I admit I was wrong. I didn't think BTC would enter into a Bull market until July. However, today you can see we are now entering into a Bull Market.
I suspect that the reason why BTC is mooning is due to the Tether scandal. Everyone that owns Tether wants out and they are moving into BTC.
But, whatever reason why BTC has shot up it doesn't really matter. The trend is your friend.
Normally once Aroon hits there is a slight pull back but over the longterm BTC is looking good for another bull run.
Only time will tell.
~Controllinghand
One line to Rule them All (Aroon)Hi friends,
So I did a little more forecasting on the AROON model and looked back at what happened back in 2015 as an overlay.
Based on the 233 AROON I calculate that the AROON UP will cross the AROON DOWN ~July 10th 2019.
Date
DATE HighestHigh Days AUP LowLOW Days ADN
1-Jul-19 6,435.41 230 1 3,169.53 197 15
2-Jul-19 6,435.41 231 1 3,169.53 198 15
3-Jul-19 6,435.41 232 0 3,169.53 199 15
4-Jul-19 6,389.43 232 0 3,169.53 200 14
5-Jul-19 6,375.70 232 0 3,169.53 201 14
6-Jul-19 5,767.06 232 0 3,169.53 202 13
7-Jul-19 5,701.35 230 1 3,169.53 203 13
8-Jul-19 5,701.35 231 1 3,169.53 204 12
9-Jul-19 5,701.35 232 0 3,169.53 205 12
10-Jul-19 5,633.00 76 67 3,169.53 206 12
11-Jul-19 5,633.00 77 67 3,169.53 207 11
Also, I drew in the golden cross and death cross fake out and second golden cross confirmation of bull run and below the Aroon Cross over which I really care more about than anything else.
Not until the Aroon UP crosses the Aroon Down will I do anything.
I hope it hits before July 10th but only time will tell.
Again this is not financial advise.
Good luck out there and be safe.
~Controllinghand
One line to rule them all. Bitcoin for Longterm Investors ONLYCOINBASE:BTCUSD
If you are a day trader you can ignore this. If you are an investor and want to HOLD BTC this is for you.
I'm going to try and make this as simple as possible. With this method, all you need to know is one line. That's right! And to make it even more simple if it's green you buy and if it's red you sell.
Take a look at this chart. Let's review:
The first green vertical line hit on July 20 2012. If you would have bought and held until the first red vertical line which hit on July 30th 2014. You would have made 7283% in 713 days. Not to shabby.
The second green vertical line hit on Aug 26 2015. If you would have bought and held until the next red vertical line which hit only 14 days later you would have make 5%. Not bad for 14 days
The third green vertical line hit on Oct 29 2017. If you would have bought and held until the next red vertical line which hit on July 4th 2018. You would have made 1963% in 979 days. Still really good
Now on to the fun part. We all know that bitcoin has been on a tear for a while now and there are all kinds of people that would argue bitcoin is going to crash or moon. At the end of the day no one knows for certain.
Please do not take this as financial advise. I'm just another crazy numbers guys that doesn't know which way bitcoin is going to go. With that said if you want to hear more about this method, please feel free to ping me online any time. This is a method I have been using for a long time with good success.
So, here is what to look out for. If you want to jump into bitcoin wait for the next green line. Put in the AROON indicator and set your time period to 233 (which is a Fibonacci number). When the Aroon Up cross the Aroon Down draw a vertical green line and sit back and watch your bitcoin until the next red line hits. Please note that there have been times but I have found very rare that you could still lose. So please do your own research and only invest what you are willing to lose.
I hope this helps you in your long-term investment journey.
~Controllinghand
Quo vadis, Tron?Alle News um Bittorrent-Token können leider nichts daran ändern, dass Tron weiter am Fallen ist. Aktuell wird der durch den MA50 beschriebene Support getestet. Der Blick auf die Indikatoren stimmt bearish: Der MACD ist negativ und fällt, der RSI ist bei 32 und beim Aroon-Indikator bildet sich ein bearishes Setup.
Entry: 0,021 US-Dollar
Stop Loss: 0,022 US-Dollar (MA50)
Target: 0,015 US-Dollar
Erst ab einem Anstieg über 0,027 US-Dollar ist die Situation bezüglich einer Long Position neu zu überdenken.
Weitere Infos zur aktuellen Marktlage finden sich unter www.btc-echo.de
Binance Coin geht durch die DeckeDer Binance-Coin ist aktuell der Top-Performer innerhalb der Top 10. Den MA140 schon lange hinter sich gelassen kam es Ende Februar zu einem bullish Crossing mit dem MA50. Vin den Indikatoren ist die Situation Long zu bewerten: Zwar fällt der MACD aktuell ist jedoch positiv, der RSI steht bei 64 und das Aroon-Up-Signal ist weiterhin sehr hoch.
Entry: 12,27 US-Dollar
Stop Loss: 11,16 US-Dollar (Peak vom 21.Februar 2019)
Target 1: 13,69 US-Dollar
Erst ab einem Sturz unter 9,68 US-Dollar ist die Situation bezüglich einer Short Position neu zu überdenken.
Weitere Infos zur aktuellen Marktlage finden sich unter www.btc-echo.de
Drop to 5.5k - BTC Weekly ChartLooking at the weekly chart I've come to the conclusion that we're headed down. Lets take a look at each indicator.
Aroon
Aroon seems to be pretty accurate on the weekly and for those who don't understand how it works I've drawn arrows showing what it's done in the past and what effect it's had on the price. Currently the Aroon Down (which I'm going to refer to as Bears and is represented by the red line) is going up while the Green line (Bulls) has been going down. The Bears are gaining strength as shown by the indicator and is above the green line.
20 EMA Green Line
BTC is currently below the 20EMA on the weekly which is a strong bearish sign. On the monthly it's still above the 20EMA so I don't expect us to go down too far assuming we don't close below the 20EMA on the Monthly.
50SMA (Orange Line) 100SMA (Red Line)
BTC is currently below the 50SMA and above the 100SMA. I believe we're going to drop to the 100SMA and bounce off of it which is currently at around $5.5k
MACD
Currently in the green but just bearly hanging in there and will likely turn red soon.
RSI
Sitting just below 50 and might drop to below 40.
3-4 days away from a BULLISH KUMO BREAKThe pattern we see developing on the aroon is similar to ones weve seen in the past as most recent as the 500 million buy that created the extreme green candle shown. This was no mistake then and was an attempt at placing a large buy right before a jump. If you take back the height of the aroon low to the height of that very simililar pattern it was between 1-2 days before an aroon bullish cross.
In addition RSI may be bottomed out now just like it was before and started to show bullish divergance leading up to this cross.
So once we have an aroon and tk cross I expect a kumo break out.
This means for those less adept the blue and orange lines trending down to below 50 on the middle (Aroon) and the orange line which indicates local highs making a cross.
A tk cross is when the blue conversion crosses the red base line on the main chart.
RSI is the oscillator on the bottom and bullish divergence can be seen when it is increasing but price is not.
Tencent: short-term short, long-term longTencent: short-term short, long-term long
Based on what have I observed for the past few months, tencent's price is on a short-term bearish trend caused both by its under-expected earning on online games, China's regulation on online game industry overall, as well as the elephant in the room, trade war.
Short term wise, RSI negative reversals are coming on by on. Currently the price may go down to 291, which is the 0.618 retracement level since December, 2016, a two year term fibonacci retracement. But the RSI reversal indicates that it may go even lower to 274.
But long term speaking, AD Line is trending upwards even the price keep going lower since March 2018, for the past 5 months. That is to say, 274-291 could be a crucial range for us to predict what may happen next.
Pioneer Distilleries BO above 255 , can trade long as weekly charts shows bullish crossover on aroon indicator.
Aroon Up peaked again for the first time since the ATH of 20kHere we have 25 period Aroon indicator on the daily bitcoin chart. This indicator indicates whether we are trending downward or upward, and also, how strong the trend is. if you see during the whole bull-run of oct-nov-dec of last year the "Aroon Up" signal was maxed on daily, and after the all time high of 20K it had never peaked Up to now! so now that Aroon up is peaked, it can be a sign that we can expect another similar bull run.
Only one way to go for $GSAT !$GSAT is looking great guys! The set up is beautiful! Aroon indicates a reversal coming. Great recent news with the announcement of Sat-fi 2 finance.yahoo.com
Not to mention an anticipated earnings report. I'm bullish long on this. Follow that Fib to find your Entry and Exit points! Don't forget to Like and Share the wealth! SoWaVvY Trading