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Aroon

LTCUSD POTENTIALWe break the falling wedge with a bullish flag. The support of the huge descending triangle will be tested soon, but I don't think we will fail the triangle breakout as we are at the beginning of a bullish market move. Aroon confirms that move as we can see the red line above the green line. We have a potential increase of 50%, LTCUSD should go at the $175 support within the next few days. The double bottom is confirmed, I don't see any bearish flag, the last bull trap was probably a correction to go above the lower Fibonacci support on the day-chart. Have a good time guys !
COINBASE:LTCUSDShort
by HatrekoS
LTCUSD THANKS AROON FOR THE NEXT BULLISH MOVEHi guys, I really want to share with you a complementary analysis with my previous update "UPDATE - THE BRIGHT FUTURE FOR LITECOIN". Aroon indicator could help us predict some trends to get better profits when you trade. As you can see on the chart, when the AroonUp curve is red and AroonDown curve is green, we have a bullish move. On the contrary, you may understand, AroonUp green and AroonDown red indicates a bearish move. Now you can see that our AroonUp is green and it seems to go down. Our AroonDown doesn't move yet. Eventually we could hope Aroon curves to exchange their positions, to leave room for a BUY signal and a LTCUSD bullish move. Sell now is a high risk for me, and hold is the better solution until we have new indicators to think differently ! If you agree, like, comment whatever you think about that analysis and follow to see my future analysis on LTCUSD ;) My ideas aren't the absolute truth, so go take a look to other analysis and analyze by your own to take your own decisions ! Have a carefully trade ahead guys !
BITFINEX:LTCUSD
by HatrekoS
1
USDJPY - Several Patterns Spotted!Hey guys, I can see the opportunity right here. First of all, looks like the chart is forming a Bullish Bat Pattern. Secondly, USDJPY is currently at the descending tunnel with all resistance and support levels almost perfectly parallel confirmed. Support 2 (see the chart) confirmed with a historic resistance level formed at 10.28.2016! So it seems like if USDJPY continues the Bat Pattern forming its final downside line (which I think is limited down to 105.5 price level) then we will see a consequent bounce off of this area (105.5 - 105.8) up to 1st Target of 107.650 (Exactly where the letter "C" is located). Aroon UP is loosing its power over Aroon Down which suggest a local reversal. Please REMEMBER that I give you my observations, you form your own opinion and trade it accordingly! Please NEVER forget to do your own research before considering any investment. Fundamental analysis is also crucial so you have to read the news, updates and about the upcoming events related to a particular blockchain project. Hope you will find my analysis useful! Stay safe ----> Hedge ----> Diversify ----> Be cautious! - Together we will beat the market!
Short
by DmitryQuail
4
BTC/USD - The Big Bull Is Here!Hello my friends! BTC is here: <-----Straight to the CHART!-----> Guys I think BTCUSD has finally opened the road for a bullish trend. I can see a clear indication of that. Take a look at the RSI - It is rushing upwards! Look at MACD - both lines converged. Finally, look at the Aroon indicator - Aroon UP is above Aroon Down which is a strong indication of an upward momentum. All of these 3 indicators (RSI,MACD,Aroon) are signalling ---> the BULL is coming! Moreover, take a closer look at the chart and you will see that BTCUSD confirmed the support level ("Support 2" on the chart) which is lying on a Fibonacci 23.6% retrace. Notice that BTCUSD didn't fall below $9437 (Support 2) - It decided to make a reversal and eventually bounced off of this level. I think it has just entered into a bullish trend up to $11700 (Resistance 1,2,3 on the chart). The breakout of the 38.2% Fib.retrace would be a strong signal to BUY - I think this will happen very soon. Fasten your seatbelts, the plane takes off! Please REMEMBER that I give you my observations, you form your own opinion and trade it accordingly! Please NEVER forget to do your own research before considering any investment. Fundamental analysis is also crucial so you have to read the news, updates and about the upcoming events related to a particular blockchain project. Hope you will find my analysis useful! Stay safe ----> Hedge ----> Diversify ----> Be cautious! - Together we will beat the market!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by DmitryQuail
Looks like a Bearish breakout to meOops. Did I call it by accident? 50% Fibo was retested twice with the minor resistance staying just as faithful. Replotting the Median line shows a slight slowdown in bearish action, however, it was still strong enough to surpass the 61.8, breaking through and even breaking outside of the pitchfork. Aroon and CCI are both signaling downward strength. The question now is very simple: Will we retest the major support before truly bouncing back up? Or is the Yen headed back 20 years? I'm thinking to wait for confirmation around the 105 - 105.20 price point to aim short and/or have a back up ready. Comments? (Past performance is not indicative of future results! This is by no means a signal - trade at your own risk.)
by LoonKnight
BTC's last descent ahead of a new Elliott Wave set?Having read lots of other analyses, both bullish (straight to 8K!) and bearish, I'm coming out right now as the latter. I'm all about BTC hitting $8K by year's end, but I don't really see it happening. I see it ending the year not far off of where it is right now, and that after a rest. This chart shows a correction within the next seven to nine days as deep at $4858, but I think a more likely correction (C) might be around $5405. You know what opinions are like & that's mine for the moment. Let me know if you've got a bull argument that obliterates my conservatism -- I'm flexible!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by tchat
3
Continuation of the trendI think we are on the cusp, over the course of the next 5-6 hours, of the thrust that will break the foreshortened H&S theory. I believe the following wave peak exceeds that of the last by several hundred USD, in accordance with the pattern and supported by the supporting Ichimoku cloud accumulation. I do not argue with the need for correction -- that appears to be a foregone conclusion and will be a sign of health. I just don't see why $6K must necessarily be the limit at this point in the development of the wave pattern. I've been out of BTC for a while now, so I don't have a dog in the price maximization fight -- and in fact will benefit from a better entry opportunity -- so I'm just talking about what I see developing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by tchat
1
(1D) AUDCAD ripe for a longI see a pull back in an uptrend on the daily, bouncing off a trend line with an aggressive Williams-Vix-Fix (WVF) signal. Aggressive WVF signals tend to fail but are more reliable when in an uptrend. The Aroons are for the bulls, having originated from a cross at 50. The overall trend seems strong for the upside at this point. The trend could well fail - as no one can predict the future with the markets. Stop-losses may have to be some distance below the base of the WVF candle - depending on favoured strategy. Disclaimer : The information provided herein is opinion only. Under no circumstances do any statements here represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities or make any kind of investment. You are responsible for your own due diligence. To summarise, I do not provide investment advice, nor do I make any claims or promises that any information here will lead to a profit, loss, or any other result.
Long
by Captain_Walker
Bearish Head and Shoulders forming on SPYA combination of lukewarm earnings for Q1 and talks of an impending Federal Reserve interest rate hike seem to be slowing down the bullish recovery we've seen in the S&P the past several weeks. On the technical side, notice the failure to attain a new high. In fact SPY has consistently been unable to break new highs going back to May 2015, when the bear market truly began. Further, note the bearish head and shoulders pattern forming, Heikin Ashi candles with longer wicks to the downside, and somewhat strong resistance from above via the Ichi Moku Cloud. Recommendations for a short trade: wait for the price to decisively break the neckline with a strong bar. The next fibonacci level serves as a decent profit target at about $200. Note that there is a relative vacuum between the hypothesized entry point and this value, aside from one level of support indicated by the dashed red line. For a stop loss, consider the apex of the right shoulder.
AMEX:SPYShort
by quantguy
GILD: The Little Engine that CouldDespite my overall bearish outlook on stocks, Gilead Sciences stands out as the 'Little Engine that Could' in the sense that it keeps chugging along despite being battered by the broader index just after earnings came out late January. On the fundamental side, most analysts think it's way underweight citing that it should be worth as much as 66% more as per the attached article. In my personal opinion, the fact that it is largely uncorrelated with the S&P index (overlaid in red) is actually a good thing. Stocks in general are in a frenzy over more free money from a global quantitative easing, bolstered further by the dovishness of the FOMC meeting consensus released yesterday. Technically, it appears to be consolidating once more in somewhat of a flag pattern, which is even easier to see when Heikin Ashi charts are applied. Further, it is consolidating at a major fibonacci level (anchored from the high of 2016-01-25 to the strong level of support from the low of 2016-02-19). Yesterday proved very bullish leading us to expect some pullback, but the high of today was still greater than that of Tuesday, another bullish sign. Note the proximity to the Ichimoku cloud, which may indicate further pressure building at that level. The other technicals such as the MACD, ADX and RSI suggest that we are ranging, though fortunately the Aroon indicator advocates that we are in a longer term uptrend. Trading idea : Wait for a big bull bar to confirm the breakout from the flag pattern. Set your profit targets using the fibonacci levels above, with a protective stop at the base of the (hypothetical at this point) bull candle. Keep in mind that this may be something you want to hold on to long term.
NASDAQ:GILDLong
by quantguy
1
All Eyes on FOMC for Equities PositionsData from the U.S. has improved by the barest of margins. The New York Fed Consumer Survey finds inflation expectations rising (by less than 1%) above expectations, and the ECB rate cut means lots of free cash to play with. Keep in mind we have the FOMC meeting coming up and their decisions will determine the direction of the markets for the near term. Expectations for the federal funds rate remain pretty consistent and the consensus is no change. Personally, I expect them to pay more lip service to foreign issues and reiterate data dependency. But the tone of their message could have a huge impact on the direction of the markets, in particular with the S&P. Moreover recession fears are still high as discussed in the attached article. The chart on SPY forms a near perfect bearish crab pattern. Further, the Aroon indicator notes we are still in a long term down trend. The OBV does show some buying pressure, though the buying volume at present does not match selling volume from December. Further, the RSI is dangerously close to reflecting overbought conditions. Although the MACD histogram is still positive, it is decreasing indicating a potential crossover in the near future. Finally, there is a growing divergence between the price and the Ichimoku cloud portending a correction soon. Trading idea: Don't enter a short position until you see a strong bear candle. After this, you can place a protective stop at the high of that candle, and set a conservative price target at the first fibonacci level at $195.26, or at $192.20 or even $189.81 depending on your risk tolerance.
AMEX:SPYShort
by quantguy
Can Gilead Beat the Markets?As of March 3rd, Gilead earned a 'buy' rating from Citigroup as verified by the link. It is true that GILD should have performed better after earnings as has been historically demonstrated, but it took a beating with the overall index but failed to share in the rebound. Personally, I think this is a good thing, for you'll note from my previous post here previous post that this is nothing but a massive short covering rally, just like we are seeing with oil The good news is that we seem to see see a nice breakout to the upside from the consolidation in terms of a bull triangle. We are not out of the woods yet, as we face resistance from the ichimoku cloud overhead and a neighboring fibonacci level at about $90.30. In fact, the level mentioned above would make a great stop buy order to enter the trade, and clearly that strong level of support at $87.22 would serve as a good stop loss. The subsequent levels after $90.30 make perfect profit targets.
NASDAQ:GILDLong
by quantguy
Massive Short Covering Rally in Oil: Trade AccordinglyThere's been a massive short covering rally of near historic proportions in oil recently. As the OPEC circus continues to 'cry wolf' regarding freezing production, the market, once overwhelmingly short on the commodity, takes the opportunity to cash out some of its short positions. There is really no fundamental reason for oil to rally so hard as the attached article cites. Further, note that the OBV does not indicate any true buying pressure that would warrant such a correction. In fact, it still demonstrates quite a bit of selling pressure, an extreme divergence with price. Further, note the bearish gartley pattern. It is not quite fully complete. But when the price hits anywhere from $40.30-$40.98 (as the pattern has been drawn to anticipate), we'll see almost perfect fulfillment of the ratios. Note further that this level happens to align with a strong fibonacci level on the fibonacci extension (if X-C is to correspond to the 50% fibonacci level). Finally, we see that the 100 period Aroon indicator still notes that we are in a long term downtrend, and the MACD looks due to change directions and head toward a crossover into negative territory. The RSI is very close to indicating overbought conditions as well, to indicate a near perfect setup for a mean reversion short in and of itself, let alone the data cited above. Look for it to retrace at least to 23.6% fibonacci level, if not to fully retrace and visit the $20 handle once again.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by quantguy
S&P Rally Short LivedWith the tsunami of data this week, it was really hard to sieve out anything stellar. At best, we had employment data that was above expectation on Wednesday, as well as a moderately improved ISM manufacturing index. PMI and Factory Orders left much to be desired. Central Bankers all over the world are scratching their heads and trying in futility to save face against waning markets and negative interest rates that have taken Europe by storm and seem to be spreading at a clip rivaling the Zika virus. So why is S&P rallying? As Keynes himself said, "The Market Can Remain Irrational Longer Than You Can Remain Solvent". With the overtly bearish momentum this year to date, a proverbial 'dead cat bounce' was due. But that's all it is. One of the prime directives of trading is to trade with the volume not against it. This recent buying volume is still paltry with respect to the selling volume which drove the market down. Timing is everything in trading. When can we expect a turnaround? If we take a look at the chart of SPY and apply some fibonacci analysis, we see a bearish butterfly pattern foreshadowing another bearish turnaround. If you apply fibonacci time slice analysis, you see that we can probably expect this to begin as early as tomorrow or to even by market close today. The RSI seems to hint that the market is becoming overbought at this point, and we see a macd cross starting to form at 1 hour intervals. The OBV is still indicating positive pressure which indicates now is not necessarily the time to enter a short position. This is confirmed by the Aroon and ADX indicators as well. Wait for a big bear candle tomorrow or by Monday, 2016-03-07. At this point you can set a stop loss at the base of that candle and ride the trade down to the 0.5, 0.382, or 0.236 levels drawn out.
AMEX:SPYShort
by quantguy
No End to Bearish News for the S&PYesterday, Janet Yellen of the Federal Reserve spoke confirming expectations that the Fed would sit tight on interest rates. She even admitted today that the Fed is considering negative interest rates. Her ominous tone did not bode well for the markets as evinced by the abysmal market opening today here in the US. In fact, the world's markets are rearing from this glut. As for the technicals, we have a bearish Aroon crossover, with the ADX signifying a solid negative trend. Additionally the MACD has crossed over into negative territory, yet the RSI indicates we are not yet oversold. Also note the bearish head and shoulders pattern which suggests we have a way to go before the bulls return. Consider any rallies due to short covering at this point. Fade into any uptrends, for they will be short lived.
SShort
by quantguy
S&P Solidly BearishAny hopes for a recovery this week were quashed by today's open and marked declines henceforth. There really doesn't seem to be any indication of a turnaround, unless some good data comes out this week, and there is quite a bit to anticipate. As the attached article notes, analysts are cutting their expectations for the S&P, and it would be good advice to any investor heed this warning and do the same. The head and shoulders pattern drawn here indicates a bearish trend, and today's open confirms this. Its a bit oversold at present (although the RSI does not confirm this, yet), but any rally should be a good point at which to enter a short trade, or exit a failing long position, thus easing the sting a bit. As for the technicals, the MACD histogram is still in positive territory but its hanging by a thread and looking to cross soon. The OBV indicates a lot of selling pressure, and ADX indicator is distinctly bearish, and the difference between the up and down components are widening further, despite a recent apparently bullish Aroon crossover.
AMEX:SPYShort
by quantguy
1
Dark times for the EuroFrom political instability to ineffectual QE, bullish news for the Euro is scant. We can look for more confirmation from Draghi to this effect soon to come. As far as the technicals are concerned, we have a very strong bearish head and shoulders pattern forming on the weekly chart. There is massive resistance from above via the ichimoku cloud which will make a turnaround difficult. The MACD is waning and the RSI indicates entry into a position is safe. Further, there seems to be some high selling pressure via the OBV indicator. The Aroon indicator notes that we've entered bearish territory (on a day chart), and the ADX indicator is waning with the MACD, suggesting a collapse may follow soon, perhaps even after Mr. Draghi's speech.
Short
by quantguy