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Copper Gets Double Boost from China Stimulus & Fed Jumbo CutThe Fed’s outsized pivot last week and guidance for multiple cuts ahead helped copper’s recovery, as it increases chances of a soft landing for the worlds largest economy. Furthermore, lower rates are expected to bring mortgages down and help the real estate market. Copper got a second boost this week, from a massive monetary stimulus package from China - the world’s top consumer. Authorities have been enhancing their efforts to prop the sputtering economy recently and the new measures constitute a step up. Crucially, these include lower mortgage rates on existing home loans and a reduction in rates for second homes, in further support for the ailing property sector. These developments lead copper towards a third straight profitable week and the best month since April, with bulls now getting the opportunity to tackle 4.700. Along with the return of AI euphoria that drives the rebound of the chip industry (where copper is a critical component), there are prospects for further gains. On the other hand, the Fed’s frontloading creates risk for inflation persistence and less cuts in the future, while China’s actions are in the right direction, but bolder measures are needed on the fiscal front. Furthermore, the move looks stretched technically so a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line) would not be unreasonable. However, the downside appears well protected and sustained weakness below the EMA200 looks hard. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”) (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:COPPERLong
by FXCM
BitSensor - Ethical Decentralized AI PotentialOverall Sentiment: Extremely bullish. Thesis: TAO's decentralized approach to AI development offers a compelling alternative to centralized AI models, especially in light of recent concerns about corporate control and AI safety. (OpenAI Becoming a for-Profit Entity and last of Original Board leaving) Strengths: Decentralized Governance: This model can mitigate risks associated with centralized control and potential biases. Community-Driven Development: A decentralized approach can foster innovation and adaptability. Potential for Ethical AI: Decentralization can promote transparency and accountability. Market Opportunity: The growing demand for AI solutions and concerns about centralized control create a favorable environment for TAO. Key Indicators: Volume: Approaching all-time highs for the year. Sentiment: Positive, especially following Mira Murati's departure. Technical Indicators: Expanding Bollinger Bands and promising Ichimoku levels suggest potential upside. Price Targets: Strong Support: $478 Target 1: $684 Strong Resistance: $820 Breakout Zone: $1102-$1183 Mid-Term Target 1: $1461.8 Short-term Outlook: Based on the current technical analysis and positive sentiment, TAO appears to be in a strong uptrend. A potential short-term target is $684. If the price breaks above the strong resistance level of $820, it could signal a significant bullish breakout. Mid-term Outlook: The mid-term target of $1461.8 is ambitious but achievable if the current positive momentum continues. However, it's important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly.
Long
by Helios_Capital_Investment
Article Title: Is AI Just Hype?In the whirlwind of AI's rapid ascent, a critical question emerges: Is the hype surrounding AI justified, or are we witnessing a bubble fueled by inflated valuations and limited innovation? Let's delve deep into the AI industry, separating the signal from the noise and providing a sobering reality check. The Super Micro Cautionary Tale The financial woes of Super Micro Computer serve as a stark warning. Despite the soaring demand for AI hardware, the company's internal challenges highlight the risks of investing solely in market enthusiasm. This case underscores the importance of **industry openness** and **due diligence** in the face of AI's allure. A Landscape of Contrasts The broader AI landscape is a tapestry of contrasting narratives. While pioneers like DeepMind and Tesla are pushing the boundaries of AI applications, a multitude of companies are capitalizing on the hype with products lacking substance. This proliferation of **AI hype** has created a toxic environment characterized by inflated valuations and a lack of substantive innovation. Market Dynamics and Future Prospects As the market for AI hardware matures, saturation and potential price drops loom. NVIDIA's dominance may be challenged by competitors, reshaping the industry landscape. The future of AI, however, lies in the development of more sophisticated systems capable of collaboration and learning. The integration of **quantum computing** could revolutionize AI, unlocking solutions to complex problems that are currently beyond our reach. Conclusion The AI industry is a complex landscape, filled with both promise and peril. While the hype surrounding AI may be tempting, it's imperative to scrutinize each company's core innovation and value. As the market matures and competition intensifies, those who can deliver **real value** and **technological advancements** will ultimately prevail. The Super Micro case serves as a stark reminder that in the realm of AI, substance, not hype, is the true currency of success.
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by signalmastermind
2
Palantir ($PLTR) | The AI Revolution's PowerhouseNYSE:PLTR Palantir is no longer just a secretive "voodoo blackbox" company; its inclusion in the S&P 500 and its critical role in AI and data-driven government and commercial solutions have solidified its place as a dominant player in the AI software space. Known for its massive government contracts and deeply integrated AI systems like Gotham, Foundry, and Ontology, Palantir is a key asset in the ongoing AI revolution. The AI Narrative: With AI continuing to reshape industries, Palantir sits at the intersection of AI and data integration, holding massive potential for the future. The company’s success will ride on government and commercial AI adoption, as well as the expansion of its key platforms. The Setup: While we have scooped up initial entries between $7.50-$10 with multiple secondary entries on the way up, there will be more. This is a high conviction long-term play for the next decade. This is a top buy the dip stock. Key Buy Zones: Any pullbacks to $30, $28, or $21.79 are optimal entry zones for long-term investors. If a government shutdown occurs, it could provide a rare buying opportunity as it would freeze spending temporarily, a catalyst that could help us get in lower before the inevitable resumption of contracts. Long-Term Conviction: Palantir has proved that it's more than capable of scaling in the public sector and AI enterprise. This is a top-tier DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) candidate, especially for those wanting exposure to the AI sector. We are confident that PLTR will never return to the teens again. Look to build positions on pullbacks for long-term holds. The Targets: $37 : Needs to break over this level to confirm continuation of strength, after which we would be looking for a retest of trend support from November 2022 ($28-$30). $45+ : Long-term target by next year. With sustained strength in AI, the stock could exceed this. $70 : Major long-term target. Palantir is in a prime position to capitalize on AI’s growth trajectory. With strong AI software, deep government contracts, and powerful platforms in the commercial sector, PLTR is a multi-year hold with high upside. Investors should focus on accumulating during pullbacks, as this stock is one of the rare opportunities to ride the AI wave long-term.
P
by PennyBois
Can the Tech Titan Weather the Storm?Nvidia, a leading force in artificial intelligence and semiconductor innovation, is now facing a critical juncture. The company has recently experienced a sharp decline in its stock price, compounded by an escalating antitrust investigation from the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ). These challenges have sparked widespread concern about Nvidia's future and the broader implications for the tech industry. The DOJ's probe centers on Nvidia's dominance in the AI chip market, with allegations of anti-competitive practices that may limit customer choices. The potential outcomes of this investigation could reshape Nvidia's business and influence the entire semiconductor landscape. As Nvidia navigates these turbulent waters, its response will determine not only its own trajectory but also the future of AI-driven technologies. The company must address regulatory concerns, diversify its revenue streams, and continue to innovate if it hopes to maintain its leadership in the tech world. In this time of uncertainty, Nvidia's ability to adapt and evolve will be crucial in determining whether it can emerge stronger or be eclipsed by emerging competitors.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by signalmastermind
Can Japan Weather the Semiconductor Tempest?In the intricate landscape of global semiconductor trade, Japan's recent decision to restrict exports of chipmaking equipment to China has ignited a tempest of geopolitical tensions. The move, while intended to limit China's technological advancements, risks triggering severe economic retaliation from Beijing. As a leading player in the semiconductor industry, Tokyo Electron finds itself caught in the crossfire, grappling with the potential consequences of this escalating dispute. The semiconductor industry, a cornerstone of modern technology, is intricately intertwined with global economies. Disruptions to the supply of advanced chipmaking equipment could have far-reaching consequences, affecting industries from automotive manufacturing to artificial intelligence. The potential for economic retaliation from China, a major market for Japanese exports, further complicates the situation. Japan's decision to impose export controls is driven by a strategic imperative to limit China's technological capabilities. However, this strategy carries significant risks. China has responded with a strong warning, threatening severe economic retaliation. The broader geopolitical context further complicates the situation, as the United States and its allies have been working to limit China's technological advancements. The question remains: Can Japan successfully navigate this delicate balancing act, maintaining its economic interests while adhering to its strategic objectives? The answer to this enigma will likely shape the future of the semiconductor industry and the global technological landscape for years to come.
NYSE:TELShort
by signalmastermind
Island Gap Potential, Dark Pool Buy Zone, HFTsThis stock has the potential to form an island gap, which are caused by High Frequency Trading activity that triggers on news. The gap down was too huge, so fundamentals are above the current price. This would be a gap UP potential at this point, to create the island gap. The lows have been established clearly, so selling short this stock is not wise. But smaller funds and retail may try, as they tend to sell short stocks within a Dark Pool buy zone. Chaikin Osc and Money Flow Index are moving upward but the angle of ascent on price is steeper. The faster price ascent could be rapid accumulation from derivative developers. UIPath creates software for Robotic Process Automation. It was one of the stocks discussed in the Case Study I did with my students in the summer of 2022 on the disruptive new technologies to watch over the next decade.
NYSE:PATHLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
NVIDIA to $180Overview It's a good mindset to be skeptical about a bull market that doesn't seem like it should exist. The GDP (Gross Domestic Product) has declined for a second consecutive quarter to a 24 month low and the Civilian Unemployment Rate is the highest it's been since Nov 2021. This leads me to believe that the current rally is being mostly fueled by two factors surrounding artificial intelligence: hype and revenue. NASDAQ:NVDA is the leading A.I. developer and hasn't experienced a decrease in quarterly revenue since November 2022. When faced with the unknown -- which in this case would be the direction of the stock market -- people cling to what they know. I believe this will present itself in more clearly defined trading patterns and price-swing predictability. Technicals NVDA is setting up a pattern that resembles the 5 Elliott Impulse Waves with each wave taking between 3-4 months to develop. If accurate, the trough of the 4th wave could find the share price in the proximity of $100-115. I utilized Fibonacci levels against the low of the 2nd wave to the high of the 3rd wave. In addition to helping find a support level for the 4th wave, the uptrend Fibonacci tool also provided a projected price target near $180. I compared the 1.618 (161.8%) micro-Fibonacci retracement to the 1.618 macro-Fibonacci retracement, which consumes the entirety of the already existing patterns. I took the difference of $18.19 between the projected 1.618 Fib levels then created a low and high range where I believe the 5th wave will peak. I ended my projection at this point, however, it is worth noting that impulse waves are followed by correction waves which serve in the opposite trending direction.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Shepherd_Investor
6
Nvidia's Stellar Rise Amidst the AI Gold Rush Nvidia, the tech giant renowned for its high-performance graphics processing units (GPUs), has been riding a wave of unprecedented success. As the world dives deeper into the realm of artificial intelligence (AI), Nvidia's GPUs have become the indispensable hardware powering the most advanced AI models. This surge in demand has propelled Nvidia's stock to new heights, solidifying its position as a leader in the semiconductor industry. The AI Revolution Drives Demand The rapid advancements in AI technology have created a voracious appetite for computing power. Nvidia's GPUs, originally designed for rendering complex graphics, have proven to be remarkably efficient at handling the intensive calculations required for training and running AI models. Their parallel processing architecture allows them to perform multiple tasks simultaneously, making them ideal for the demanding workloads associated with AI. As AI applications continue to expand across various industries, from healthcare and finance to autonomous vehicles and customer service, the demand for high-performance GPUs has skyrocketed. Companies like OpenAI, Meta, and Google are investing heavily in AI research and development, and Nvidia's GPUs have become a critical component of their infrastructure. Nvidia's Strategic Moves Nvidia has been proactive in capitalizing on the AI boom. The company has made significant investments in research and development to enhance its GPU technology and expand its product offerings. In addition to its traditional gaming GPUs, Nvidia has introduced specialized AI accelerators, such as the A100 and H100, which are optimized for AI workloads. Furthermore, Nvidia has been expanding its ecosystem through partnerships and acquisitions. The company has collaborated with major cloud providers like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform to offer AI services based on its GPUs. This has made it easier for developers and businesses to access and utilize AI capabilities. Challenges and Opportunities While Nvidia's prospects appear bright, the company faces certain challenges. The semiconductor industry is cyclical, and there is a risk of a slowdown in demand for GPUs if the AI market experiences a correction. Additionally, competition from other chip manufacturers, such as AMD and Intel, is intensifying. However, the long-term outlook for AI remains positive, and Nvidia's strong market position and technological leadership give it a significant advantage. As AI continues to penetrate various sectors, the demand for high-performance computing power is likely to grow, providing ample opportunities for Nvidia to expand its business. Conclusion Nvidia's success story is a testament to the transformative power of AI. The company's ability to leverage its GPU technology to meet the demands of the AI revolution has propelled it to the forefront of the semiconductor industry. As AI continues to evolve and reshape the world, Nvidia is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing market and maintain its leadership position.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by bryandowningqln
CSCO Layoffs Positive for the StockNASDAQ:CSCO gapped up on its earnings report even though the company has failed to reinvent and failed to change to HyperAutomation in its IT departments quickly enough. News of layoffs is considered a positive action on the part of the officers of the corporation who are responsible first and foremost to INVESTORS and cutting costs so that the company can slowly regain revenues and earnings for dividends for INVESTORS. Delaying layoffs, which may be kind and thoughtful for employees, is a negative for INVESTORS, namely the giant Buy-Side Institutions, because it extends and worsens the financial condition of the company. As more and more companies buy robots/robotics and AI technology, these will reduce payroll expenses and help to control internal business inflation, which is caused mostly by rising payroll expenses with declining productivity from the workforce of the company. This is always misunderstood by retail groups who believe layoffs are a bad thing for the "economy." The world of commerce and the financial markets is not a fair or kind place.
NASDAQ:CSCO
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
TSLA Bearish Pennant NASDAQ:TSLA I'm torn on Tesla (TSLA). While I believe Elon Musk is a visionary leader, the stock's short-term outlook appears challenging. Increased pressure from Chinese manufacturers like BYD and broader macroeconomic headwinds make a bullish picture difficult. Tesla is more than just an automaker, with tailwinds from its energy storage, self-driving, and robotics divisions. However, these aren't likely to materialize in the near term. Recent Developments: Broke below 200-day moving average (DMA). Retested and failed to break above the 200-DMA multiple times. Formed a bearish pennant pattern between the 200-DMA and 100-DMA. Bullish Case: TSLA recently broke above a downward trend line and is finding support on the 100-DMA. If this holds, we could see higher highs compared to the most recent run-up. Bearish Case: A break below the bearish pennant while below the 200-DMA could target the previous low this year. While there's a chance of a buying spree at that point, a continued decline is also possible.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Average_Joe_Options
PLTR: Broadening Wedge for an epic ending diagonalOwning PLTR would be a roller coaster ride for the last one year. This move is looking more like a broadening wedge formation. Even though it is not a very common ending diagonal pattern, it still can play out like one. RSI has been steadily making a lower high as price is making higher high. Each impulse is met with crushing correction and invalidated patterns. Long and short equally reckt. All signs point to an ending of an expanded wave 5. Price can hit all time high by end of this year or get close. My target would be at least $40, which would be 1:1 with minute degree wave 3. We should expect a pull back in the next couple of weeks and then a steady move up. I don't have a position but I will be watching this last move carefully to target a short for intermediate degree wave 2 short and followed by a generational entry point for intermediate wave 3. Hopefully, sometimes early next year, opportunity will arise to buy and hold pltr until I retire....
PLong
by mukit1
SYM to $89Overview Consumers of artificial intelligence have garnered my attention, specifically cybersecurity and robotics automation companies. This is a hopeful attempt to obtain early exposure to industries that may thrive during the era of artificial intelligence. Symbotic ( NASDAQ:SYM ) is one of the those companies. What does SYM do? Symbotic Inc. utilizes artificial intelligence and robotics to enhance warehouse production. How this translated to me is that they support online shopping (ex: Amazon) by generating environments that can keep up with the demand through the use of robotic automation and artificial intelligence. This could be used in just about every business venture as a growing company will face the challenges that come with maintaining a healthy supply chain. This is why I believe Symbotic has a bright future ahead. As of 24 July 2023, Symbotic and SoftBank ( TSE:9984 ) jointly founded GreenBox Systems LLC which aims to provide access to Symbotic's automations and software. The goal is to reduce inventory costs while simultaneously increasing capacity and management -- organization and collection. SoftBank has also vested in Symbotic with the purchase of 17.8M shares (worth $707,550,000 today) in addition to an unspecified amount of warrants covering 2% of outstanding shares. Warrants are similar to options except they are distributed to the holder directly by the underlying company. Key takeaway: SoftBank is significantly invested in the A.I. powered robotics company. 2025 Price Target Symbotic has been in a yearlong symmetrical triangle that appears ready for a breakout before the end of 2024. If a breakout does occur, I believe the share price will reach around $89 USD sometime in 2025. This price target was determined by utilizing uptrend Fibonacci retracement levels from the lowest and highest values of the current trading pattern. Short-Term Price Target A double bottom pattern appears to be forming which may see the share price diminish back to the $32-35 price range (yellow circle) in the near future. Should these price levels experience significant support, I believe the next area of significance will be the $41-42 price range (green circle). A breakout at this level may indicate a further rally.
NASDAQ:SYMLong
by Shepherd_Investor
2
Stock Pricing Above Fundamentals Ahead of EarningsWeekly Chart: NYSE:ANET reports today after the close. The stock has a short-term topping formation that is nearly completed. The prior runs went speculative but then corrected. The top is similar to the previous peak and the depth of correction is likely to be similar. The stock has simply moved beyond fundamental levels. This is NOT likely to turn into a long-term top unless there is something substantially wrong with the company and its products. To become an intermediate-term top, it must have lower highs and lower lows. That is not in the chart at this time. Ideally, the stock needs to shift sideways to build a much stronger support level to sustain a longer-term uptrend. HFTs are in the mix and may gap the stock on earnings news.
NYSE:ANET
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Topping Pattern Ahead of Earnings: AAPLNASDAQ:AAPL needs to have a great earnings report on August 1st but it has a topping formation at the moment, after huge speculation from promoting something that is not yet proven to increase sales. You can't take hope to the bank. Speculation occurred as investors assumed that AI would sell more new iPhones in droves. This earnings report will reveal reality one way or another. There is a negative divergence between the price trend and accumulation/distribution suggesting there may have been quiet rotation against the retail speculation.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Nvidia - Still waiting for a correction!NASDAQ:NVDA is clearly overextended but still not bearish at all on the smaller timeframes. If you watched my previous analysis on Nvidia, you know that I have been bearish for quite some time and totally wrong so far. But there was never ever any single sign of weakness so I did not take any trade betting on price to go down. Nvidia is still retesting resistance, it is still somewhat overextended and I still do expect a visible rejection away towards the downside. Levels to watch: $140 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
6
NICE Ltd: Seeking Value While Riding The AI WaveKey Rationale: Profitable technology firm with a track record of commercializing AI. World leader in two industries primed for significant growth, with a comprehensive suite of products and a treasure trove of historical data for AI training. Solid Growth profile and five-star valuation make it an ideal GARP investment. Company Profile: A tech powerhouse that’s quietly revolutionizing customer engagement and financial crime solutions. NICE Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud platforms for AI-driven digital business solutions worldwide. Nice is an enterprise software company that serves the customer engagement and financial crime and compliance markets. The company provides data analytics-based solutions through both a cloud platform and on-premises infrastructure. Within customer engagement, Nice's CXone platform delivers solutions focused on contact center software and workforce engagement management, or WEM. Contact center offerings include solutions for digital self-service, customer journey and experience optimization, and compliance. WEM products optimize call center efficiency, leveraging data and AI analytics for call volume forecasting and agent scheduling. Within financial crime and compliance, Nice offers risk and investigation management, fraud prevention, anti-money laundering, and compliance solutions. NICE Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Ra'anana, Israel. Comments: One of the best available Ex-U.S. stocks. Narrow Moat, Exemplary Capital Allocation. NICE’s long-term vision aligns with the AI revolution. Recently beat on top-line and bottom-line estimates. Recently announced a New $500 Million Share Buyback Plan. 5-Star Valuation on Morningstar, NICE is trading at a 36% discount. Incessant selling is unwarranted and partially due to a CEO transition. Multiple industry analysts rank NICE as a major player with the best technology. Cloud Company with actual Profitable Growth, making NICE an intelligent investment in AI. Publicly traded since 1996, NICE is not some hot new flash-in-the-pan AI IPO, it's got staying power. CXone Mpower is the Ultimate CX-Aware AI Offering, Providing Continuous, Memory-Driven Human and AI Collaboration. They are developing a moat around their AI offering due to the sheer scale of the number of transactions they perform each month. Nice has strong user retention metrics, and cloud growth means greater recurring revenue. Cincinnati Emergency Communication Center Leverages NICE to Improve Operations. Italy’s Police Deploy NICE Inform at All Control Rooms Nationwide for Incident Intelligence. Named the Leader In 2024 IDC MarketScape for Contact Center as a Service Report. Named the Conversational Intelligence Market Leader in 2024 Opus Research Intelliview Report. Recognized as Category Leader in the Chartis 2024 CLM Solutions for Corporate and Investment Banking Vendor Landscape Report Proprietary Scores: GreenBlue Cumulative Rank: 196/2982 (Lower = Better) GreenBlue Current Rank: 509/2982 (Lower = Better) GreenRed Current Rank: 348/499 (Lower = Better) Gurufocus Score: 95/100 (Higher = Better) Stellar Profitability, Growth, and Quality scores for a foreign company in GreenBlue (138, 488, and 233 out of 2982) Competitors: CRM, INTU, NOW, CDNS, SHOP, ROP, ADSK, DOCU, GWRE, TWLO, FIVN, RNG Risks: Foreign companies have embedded geopolitical risk. Larger AI competitors eat their lunch. Microsoft's push into the contact center will increase competition. Nice is undergoing a cloud transition, and the timing of legacy customer migration and degree of success on this front remains to be seen. Prior personal investments in software application companies have been very risky. Failed investments include FIVN, RNG, and TWLO.
NASDAQ:NICELong
by RHTrading
Copper Constructive but Struggles for BreakthroughFollowing a sharp pullback from May’s record peak, Copper made a strong start to the third quarter, returning above the EMA200 (black line) and regaining the initiative. It tries to take out the 38.2% Fibonacci of that decline that will allow it to push towards 5.000-5.041 handle and eventually challenge the all-time highs (5.200). The fundamentals remain favorable, as key miners have lowered their activity, while the AI boom and the clean energy transition drive demand for the non-ferrous metal. On the other hand, there are risks to the upbeat supply-demand outlook, like China’s bympy recovery and distressed property sector, along with a slowdown in EV adoption and other factors. Furthermore, Copper struggles to break above the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci and failure would create scope for lower lows (4.323) but the downside appears well protected and sustained weakness past it looks hard, technically and fundamentally. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:COPPERLong
by FXCM
1
Tesla’s Post-Deliveries Surge Stretched from an EV StandpointTesla is having a rough year, being the underperformer of the Magnificent Seven group, as its peers surge. But the stock soared to new 2024 highs after the Q2 delivery report showed a substantial sequential increase, gaining more than 20% this week. Bulls are now back on the driver’s seat and have the opportunity to chase last year’s peak (299.29), although the record highs are distant. However, this surge is hard to justify from a purely EV prospective. Tesla may have offloaded some of its inflated inventory in Q2, but deliveries were lower than a year ago, just as sales of Chinese rival BYD surged. Demand has weakened despite price cuts, the futuristic Cybertruck is not for mass production (and not for everyone) and we still have not gotten an update of the aging Model Y, which was the best-selling car of 2023. At the same time, there is some uncertainty around the crucial 25K affordable car that could accelerate sales and EV adoption, although it’s a price point where Tesla may have a hard time competing against Chinese firms. Given these factors and the fact that the stock rally is stretched, a return below the EMA200 would not be surprising. This would create risk for new 2024 lows (138.80), but sustained weakness has a higher degree of difficulty. Tesla at this point seems like a somewhat overvalued car maker, but an undervalued Artificial Intelligence company. At least part of the market optimism must be based on the AI promise. Elon Musk is preaching AI as the future of the firm, in a technology with the potential to unlock tremendous value as Tesla definitely has an edge, given the vast amounts pf proprietary data it collects from sources like the cameras and sensors in the hundreds of thousands of vehicles it has sold. The CEO pushes hard on full self-driving and robotaxis, with announcements expected in August, as well as humanoid robots and envisions more than a thousand of them working at Tesla factories next year. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by FXCM