Stock Pricing Above Fundamentals Ahead of EarningsWeekly Chart: NYSE:ANET reports today after the close.
The stock has a short-term topping formation that is nearly completed. The prior runs went speculative but then corrected. The top is similar to the previous peak and the depth of correction is likely to be similar.
The stock has simply moved beyond fundamental levels. This is NOT likely to turn into a long-term top unless there is something substantially wrong with the company and its products. To become an intermediate-term top, it must have lower highs and lower lows. That is not in the chart at this time.
Ideally, the stock needs to shift sideways to build a much stronger support level to sustain a longer-term uptrend. HFTs are in the mix and may gap the stock on earnings news.
Artificial_intelligence
Topping Pattern Ahead of Earnings: AAPLNASDAQ:AAPL needs to have a great earnings report on August 1st but it has a topping formation at the moment, after huge speculation from promoting something that is not yet proven to increase sales. You can't take hope to the bank. Speculation occurred as investors assumed that AI would sell more new iPhones in droves. This earnings report will reveal reality one way or another.
There is a negative divergence between the price trend and accumulation/distribution suggesting there may have been quiet rotation against the retail speculation.
Nvidia - Still waiting for a correction!NASDAQ:NVDA is clearly overextended but still not bearish at all on the smaller timeframes.
If you watched my previous analysis on Nvidia, you know that I have been bearish for quite some time and totally wrong so far. But there was never ever any single sign of weakness so I did not take any trade betting on price to go down. Nvidia is still retesting resistance, it is still somewhat overextended and I still do expect a visible rejection away towards the downside.
Levels to watch: $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
NICE Ltd: Seeking Value While Riding The AI WaveKey Rationale:
Profitable technology firm with a track record of commercializing AI. World leader in two industries primed for significant growth, with a comprehensive suite of products and a treasure trove of historical data for AI training. Solid Growth profile and five-star valuation make it an ideal GARP investment.
Company Profile:
A tech powerhouse that’s quietly revolutionizing customer engagement and financial crime solutions. NICE Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud platforms for AI-driven digital business solutions worldwide. Nice is an enterprise software company that serves the customer engagement and financial crime and compliance markets. The company provides data analytics-based solutions through both a cloud platform and on-premises infrastructure. Within customer engagement, Nice's CXone platform delivers solutions focused on contact center software and workforce engagement management, or WEM. Contact center offerings include solutions for digital self-service, customer journey and experience optimization, and compliance. WEM products optimize call center efficiency, leveraging data and AI analytics for call volume forecasting and agent scheduling. Within financial crime and compliance, Nice offers risk and investigation management, fraud prevention, anti-money laundering, and compliance solutions. NICE Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Ra'anana, Israel.
Comments:
One of the best available Ex-U.S. stocks.
Narrow Moat, Exemplary Capital Allocation.
NICE’s long-term vision aligns with the AI revolution.
Recently beat on top-line and bottom-line estimates.
Recently announced a New $500 Million Share Buyback Plan.
5-Star Valuation on Morningstar, NICE is trading at a 36% discount.
Incessant selling is unwarranted and partially due to a CEO transition.
Multiple industry analysts rank NICE as a major player with the best technology.
Cloud Company with actual Profitable Growth, making NICE an intelligent investment in AI.
Publicly traded since 1996, NICE is not some hot new flash-in-the-pan AI IPO, it's got staying power.
CXone Mpower is the Ultimate CX-Aware AI Offering, Providing Continuous, Memory-Driven Human and AI Collaboration.
They are developing a moat around their AI offering due to the sheer scale of the number of transactions they perform each month.
Nice has strong user retention metrics, and cloud growth means greater recurring revenue.
Cincinnati Emergency Communication Center Leverages NICE to Improve Operations.
Italy’s Police Deploy NICE Inform at All Control Rooms Nationwide for Incident Intelligence.
Named the Leader In 2024 IDC MarketScape for Contact Center as a Service Report.
Named the Conversational Intelligence Market Leader in 2024 Opus Research Intelliview Report.
Recognized as Category Leader in the Chartis 2024 CLM Solutions for Corporate and Investment Banking Vendor Landscape Report
Proprietary Scores:
GreenBlue Cumulative Rank: 196/2982 (Lower = Better)
GreenBlue Current Rank: 509/2982 (Lower = Better)
GreenRed Current Rank: 348/499 (Lower = Better)
Gurufocus Score: 95/100 (Higher = Better)
Stellar Profitability, Growth, and Quality scores for a foreign company in GreenBlue (138, 488, and 233 out of 2982)
Competitors:
CRM, INTU, NOW, CDNS, SHOP, ROP, ADSK, DOCU, GWRE, TWLO, FIVN, RNG
Risks:
Foreign companies have embedded geopolitical risk.
Larger AI competitors eat their lunch. Microsoft's push into the contact center will increase competition.
Nice is undergoing a cloud transition, and the timing of legacy customer migration and degree of success on this front remains to be seen.
Prior personal investments in software application companies have been very risky. Failed investments include FIVN, RNG, and TWLO.
Copper Constructive but Struggles for BreakthroughFollowing a sharp pullback from May’s record peak, Copper made a strong start to the third quarter, returning above the EMA200 (black line) and regaining the initiative. It tries to take out the 38.2% Fibonacci of that decline that will allow it to push towards 5.000-5.041 handle and eventually challenge the all-time highs (5.200). The fundamentals remain favorable, as key miners have lowered their activity, while the AI boom and the clean energy transition drive demand for the non-ferrous metal.
On the other hand, there are risks to the upbeat supply-demand outlook, like China’s bympy recovery and distressed property sector, along with a slowdown in EV adoption and other factors. Furthermore, Copper struggles to break above the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci and failure would create scope for lower lows (4.323) but the downside appears well protected and sustained weakness past it looks hard, technically and fundamentally.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Tesla’s Post-Deliveries Surge Stretched from an EV StandpointTesla is having a rough year, being the underperformer of the Magnificent Seven group, as its peers surge. But the stock soared to new 2024 highs after the Q2 delivery report showed a substantial sequential increase, gaining more than 20% this week. Bulls are now back on the driver’s seat and have the opportunity to chase last year’s peak (299.29), although the record highs are distant.
However, this surge is hard to justify from a purely EV prospective. Tesla may have offloaded some of its inflated inventory in Q2, but deliveries were lower than a year ago, just as sales of Chinese rival BYD surged. Demand has weakened despite price cuts, the futuristic Cybertruck is not for mass production (and not for everyone) and we still have not gotten an update of the aging Model Y, which was the best-selling car of 2023. At the same time, there is some uncertainty around the crucial 25K affordable car that could accelerate sales and EV adoption, although it’s a price point where Tesla may have a hard time competing against Chinese firms.
Given these factors and the fact that the stock rally is stretched, a return below the EMA200 would not be surprising. This would create risk for new 2024 lows (138.80), but sustained weakness has a higher degree of difficulty.
Tesla at this point seems like a somewhat overvalued car maker, but an undervalued Artificial Intelligence company. At least part of the market optimism must be based on the AI promise. Elon Musk is preaching AI as the future of the firm, in a technology with the potential to unlock tremendous value as Tesla definitely has an edge, given the vast amounts pf proprietary data it collects from sources like the cameras and sensors in the hundreds of thousands of vehicles it has sold. The CEO pushes hard on full self-driving and robotaxis, with announcements expected in August, as well as humanoid robots and envisions more than a thousand of them working at Tesla factories next year.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
signs of a potential bullish reversalthere are early signs of a potential bullish reversal, such as the oversold RSI and the formation of higher lows, the confirmation of a breakout would require:
A decisive break above the descending trend line.
Sustained increase in trading volume.
Close above key Fibonacci levels, especially 0.236 and 0.382.
NVIDIA - Correction after stock split?NASDAQ:NVDA has been one on the strongest stocks of the past decade with a rally of +25.000%.
Today, Nvidia had a stock split of 1:10, meaning that for every 1 share of Nvidia, you recieved another 9 shares (10 in total). Therefore, Nvidia stock price was simply divided by 10 ($1.200 / 10 = $120). Nvidia stock is currently retesting a major resistance trendline and is repeating another "cycle pattern" like we saw in 2015 and 2019. A correction is simply quite likely.
Levels to watch: $120, $50
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Broadcom - Just be careful...NASDAQ:AVGO is quite overextended and retesting resistance so you have to be careful.
Broadcom is rallying. This is a pretty obvious fact, considering that Broadcom is up roughly +330% over the past 1.5 years. Eventually we will see a correction, the only question is when and where. Currently, Broadcom is retesting a resistance trendline which has been pushing price lower for over a decade. Maybe this is a good area to close partials and monitor price closely.
Levels to watch: $1.840, $1.140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
QSTAR(Q*) can Go Up at least +160%_+300%Today, I want to introduce you to a Token in the field of Artificial Intelligence(AI) ; as you know, Artificial Intelligence(AI) is at the beginning, and it is better to focus more on this field.
The name of this token is QSTAR(Q*) ; I will explain it and how you can get it in the following.
Please be with me.
QSTAR(Q*) can have the potential to increase the price a lot. I have reasons that I will mention here:
1- You can get the QSTAR(Q*) token on the Uniswap platform ; this means that if this token is listed on valid/centralized exchanges, it will make a big jump.
2- QSTAR(Q*) is active in Artificial Intelligence(AI) . According to my research, they are preparing a smart bot for this field .
3-Even Elon Musk tweeted, " Guys, I found Q ." This tweet was apparently about AI and may have mentioned QSTAR(Q*) .
4-The Total Supply has been announced as 10,000,000,000 , which prevents inflation.
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Technical Analysis :
QSTAR(Q*) is moving near the Support zone($0.0003-$0.00018) , Support lines , Monthly Pivot point , and SMA(100) .
I expect QSTAR(Q*) to rise to at least the previous top($0.00079) after hitting the Support zone($0.0003-$0.00018) . If it is listed on a Centralized exchange, it will be a different story, and we will have to wait for the QSTAR(Q*) token to increase by several thousand percent(%) .
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I thought you might not know the steps to buy from the Uniswap platform , so I decided to explain them to you in order.
QSTAR(Q*) token purchase steps:
1- First, you enter the Uniswap platform.
2-You connect the wallet to the Uniswap platform
3-Remember that you need Ethereum(ETH) to buy and transfer(Fee) from the Uniswap platform.
4-When the token reaches the Support zone($0.0003-$0.00018), either Swap or use the limit option.
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Note: If you don't know how to buy from Uniswap , be sure to read more about it.
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Note: Be sure to follow the capital management
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QSTAR Analyze (Q*USDT), Daily time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Copper Finds Support at Key Tech LevelsAfter hitting record highs in May, Copper has pulled back and heads towards a losing month, challenging critical tech levels. It has slipped below the EMA200 (black line), into the daily Ichimoku cloud and tests the 38.2% Fibonacci of the advance fromthe 2022 lows. This exposes it to 4.196, but sustained weakness does not look easy, technically nor fundamentally.
Copper already defends the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci and tries to reclaim the EMA200. Successful effort would reaffirm the bullish bias and create prospects for new all-time highs (5.200). The favorable supply-demand dynamics also point to further upside. The market has tightened significantly as key miners lower their activity this year, while consumption is boosted by the AI boom and the clean energy transition.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Apple’s AI May Not Be Enough to Spur Another RallyThe tech giant unveiled highly anticipated generative artificial intelligence (AI) features for its devices and turbocharged its voice assistant Siri, which can now take cross-app actions. The new functionalities will be available with the next operating systems (typically rolled out in autumn) in the most recent devices capable of handling the heavy workloads. The AI features could generate excitement around Apple’s products, get people to buy the latest devices and reinvigorate its sluggish sales.
Apple’s stock registered a relief rally in May, largely due to optimism about the expected generative AI announcements, now being at striking distance of new record (199.62). AI is expected to fuel a recovery in the smartphone market and could help Apple’s top and bottom lines if done right.
On the other hand, Apple’s entry to the AI arena is late, far from groundbreaking and mostly a catching up exercise. Its lack of innovation along with other factors have hurt its sales, which have shrank for five of the past six quarters. Monday’s announcements may not be enough to sustainably take revenues out of contraction and drive the stock higher.
AAPL dropped yesterday as markets appeared underwhelmed and the RSI’s divergence lower could lead to a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line). Daily closes below it however that would pause the bullish bias have a higher degree of difficulty.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Copper Breaches Key Support but Tech & Fundamentals FavorableThe commodity has registered a notable pullback from last month’s record highs and has now moved below the pivotal EMA200 (black line) and 38.2% Fibonacci of this year’s advance. This pauses the bullish momentum and exposes Copper to the ascending trend line from the 2024 low and the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
However, this region could contain the correction and multiple roadblocks follow, making the downside unfriendly, while the RSI points to oversold conditions. As such, we expect Copper to find renewed vigor and push towards 5.000 and eventually new all-time highs (5.200), with the fundamentals also being supportive.
The improved supply-demand dynamics have driven this year’s rally and can fuel further strength. There may be some risks in the consumption outlook, mostly form China’s property sector and the slowdown in the pace of EV adoption, but consumption for the metal is set to increase due to the AI revolution and the clean energy transition. At the same time, things don’t look good on the supply side, with major miners slashing their output targets for the year.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
NVIDIA: Very Limited Upside Potential - A ScenarioNote: While predicting the future is impossible, the following game plan is based on an analysis of current events, historical patterns, market bubbles, and the growing public fear of artificial intelligence.
Please bear in mind that I am an extropist who has been dreaming of the Singularity since I was seven years old, with a keen interest in financial and technological privacy.
1. Current Market Capitalization
Unsustainable Levels:
As of May 30th, 2024, Nvidia's market capitalization stands at a staggering $2.82 trillion USD. This valuation reflects extremely high growth expectations and significant optimism about Nvidia's future prospects. However, such a lofty valuation may not be sustainable in the face of potential risks and headwinds.
Valuation Metrics:
Key valuation metrics such as the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio are also at historically high levels, indicating that the stock is priced for perfection. Any deviation from expected growth or profitability could lead to sharp corrections.
2. AI Regulation in 2025
Intensive Regulations:
There are growing concerns that the AI industry, which Nvidia heavily relies on for growth, will face stringent regulations by 2025. Governments worldwide are increasingly wary of the ethical implications, data privacy issues, and potential misuse of AI technologies.
Impact on Growth:
If new regulations impose strict compliance requirements, limit data usage, or introduce hefty fines, Nvidia's AI-driven revenue could be significantly impacted. Compliance costs would rise, innovation might slow down, and the overall profitability could decline, leading to reduced investor confidence and lower stock valuations.
3. Incoming Lawsuits
Patent Infringements and IP Disputes: Nvidia is frequently involved in legal battles over intellectual property and patent infringements. As the company expands its technology portfolio, the risk of lawsuits increases, which can lead to costly settlements or prolonged legal battles.
Class Action Lawsuits: There is also the potential for class action lawsuits from shareholders if Nvidia fails to meet its lofty expectations or if there are any perceived misrepresentations of its business prospects. Legal troubles can drain resources and divert management attention from growth initiatives, negatively impacting stock performance.
4. Geopolitical Risks: China Invading Taiwan / World War 3
Supply Chain Disruption: Taiwan is a critical hub for semiconductor manufacturing, with companies like TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) playing a crucial role in Nvidia's supply chain. An invasion by China could disrupt this supply chain, leading to shortages, production delays, and increased costs for Nvidia.
Market Sentiment: Geopolitical instability typically spooks investors, leading to market sell-offs. A conflict involving Taiwan would create uncertainty around Nvidia's ability to maintain its production levels and meet market demands. This uncertainty can drive investors to pull out, causing a decline in stock prices.
Trade Restrictions: In the event of a conflict, the US and its allies might impose sanctions or trade restrictions on China, further complicating Nvidia's operations and supply chain. These restrictions could limit Nvidia's access to essential materials or technology, affecting its long-term growth prospects.
5. Social Unrest Due to AI Impact
Mass Riots Over Job Losses: As AI technology advances, millions of jobs are at risk of being automated. This could lead to significant social unrest as people face unemployment and economic hardship. Mass riots and protests against AI-driven job displacement could create a hostile environment for companies like Nvidia, leading to negative public perception and potential backlash.
Intellectual Property Theft Concerns: AI technologies have been criticized for infringing on the intellectual property rights of artists and creators. This could lead to increased legal challenges and a loss of support from the creative community. Public outcry and legal actions from artists claiming that their work is being used without permission could further tarnish Nvidia's reputation and create financial liabilities.
In Conclusion:
While Nvidia has enjoyed a remarkable rise in its stock price, several factors suggest that its current valuation might be unsustainable. The potential for heavy AI regulations, a surge in lawsuits, geopolitical risks related to China and Taiwan, and social unrest due to AI-driven job losses and intellectual property theft present significant headwinds. Coupled with the current market capitalization at an unprecedented $2.82 trillion USD, these factors collectively argue for a more cautious outlook, suggesting that Nvidia's stock may not have much room to rise further and could even face a significant correction.
And as Always: This is NO Financial Advice, Do your own Research.
CYANE
Kainos Group plc $LSE:KNOS Profits UP +14% to £77.2mLSE:KNOS Kainos Group plc is back in favour as adj pre-tax Profits UP +14% to £77.2m and reaching 14 Years of Consecutive Growth with Revenue hitting £382.4m!
With the Workday Segment of the business growing to over £60m ARR and Cash topping +16% to £126m with NO Debt this is a business that has great long term growth as leading consultants in Workday Products and in the Generative AI space having invested more than £10m into training their 3,000 staff in this area. The COVID contracts have ended in their healthcare segment thus returning to more organic growth figures and the share price since 2021 reflected this.
NAS100 Hits Record Ahead of NVIDIA but RSI DivergesThe tech-heavy index runs its best month of the year, extending the advance to new record highs. After last week’s CPI moderation, markets strengthened their bets for two rate cuts by the Fed this year, beginning in June. NAS100 now eyes the psychological 19K mark.
On the other hand, the disinflation process has slowed this year and Fed officials have turned cautious around a pivot, adopting a higher-for-longer narrative, while the hawkish commentary continued this week from various policymakers. On the technical side, the RSI did not follow prices higher, in a divergence that creates risk for a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line). Daily closes below it, would pause the bullish bias, but that would need strong catalyst.
Even if a pullback ensues, the path of least resistance is higher. NAS100 has looked past the Fed’s cautious shift, largely due to the generative AI boom and investors now await Wednesday’s results by NVIDIA, its enabler and main beneficiary. After February’s last report, the stock had jumped more than 12% and had lifted NAS100 with it, so there is potential for volatility.
NVIDIA expects new record revenues due to AI demand and growth to the tune of 235% y/y. This would mark a small slowdown in pace and markets will want to see if it can continue to post eyewatering numbers, or if cracks will begin to appear.
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Technical Study of Fundamental Support for NVDA EarningsNASDAQ:NVDA is the NYSE:GE , NASDAQ:MSFT , or NYSE:GM of prior Great Bull Markets of the past. It is overly influential; when it moves so too do most of the other semiconductor, electronic components, gaming stocks, etc. Too much importance is placed on this one lone stock. It is just one of many companies that are leading this new Great Bull Market.
However, NVDA has an earnings report due out Wednesday May 22. The black line defines the support that has held the stock even when the overall sentiment of retail groups was selling other stocks down more steeply than this one. The sideways trend is not developed enough at this time to pattern out any excessive pricing above fundamentals.
The question is where are the fundamentals right now--obviously well above the lower level outlined in blue, which was the previous fundamental support level.
The sideways support of February, outlined in orange, was the start of a fundamental support level before retail traders and smaller funds went bonkers on their excitement about NVDA beating expectations.
One good indication that fundamentals are within the current wide sideways trend is the fact that this stock has been trending back up to a narrow sideways trend, outlined in green.
Watching this stock this week can provide some more information for pre earnings run activity. Holding through to the earnings date poses higher risk as HFTs are gapping stocks down on earnings news that is not bad news but a minor weakness somewhere in the earnings report.
Possible Bear flag patternI'm not a financial advisor, and investing in cryptocurrencies involves risks.
The Bear flag pattern on a chart might indicate a potential downward move, but it's essential to consider various factors.
If the market condition continues to be bullish we might break to the upside.
The bearish target is around 2$
The bullish target is around 8.5$ but might go up high to 12.5$.
I have a spot bag with a good entry here but will open the hedge short once the Bear flag starts to break.
BINANCE:AIUSDT AI/USDT looks similar and I'm in
Even AMZN may struggle at 2021 HighsNASDAQ:AMZN rebounded off a gap up support level which implies that this is where fundamentals are likely to be. The stock's price shows resilience and no HFT interference for now, even after the Q1 earnings report after market yesterday.
Amazon has more than just its retail consumer and small business products. It has AWS with AI integrated to help the small businesses that sell via AMZN.
AMZN weekly chart shows that the highs of this month ran into the 2021 all-time highs. Note the negative divergence between the price trend and the Accumulation/Distribution indicator line, indicating a lack of buyers at that high. This resistance level is likely to take another quarter or more to overcome unless there is a big surprise. This goes for all companies, not just AMZN.
🚀 Catch the Classic Rise: ETCUSD Long Trade Alert! 🚀Hello, Traders! Looking to spice up your portfolio with a flavor of classic gains? Let's break down why Ethereum Classic (ETCUSD) is gearing up for a notable uptrend and why you might not want to miss out!
Current Summary for ETCUSD
Currently, there's no direct news about Ethereum Classic, but we can contextualize its position in the broader crypto market. Recent significant crypto transactions involve a whale depositing a substantial amount of ETH into Binance. This action signals potential volatility or strategic positioning in the market, which indirectly affects all related cryptocurrencies, including ETC.
For example, a whale deposited 11,550 ETH into Binance, worth about $37 million. This move might suggest a preparation for price movement or a strategic shift in holdings. Such large-scale activities often impact market sentiment and can lead to price fluctuations across the board, including for Ethereum Classic. 🐋
Although these activities primarily involve Ethereum, they reflect general market behaviors that could influence Ethereum Classic, given their shared blockchain heritage and investor base.
Why Go Long on ETCUSD?
Ethereum Classic's transaction value in USD recently dipped to a noteworthy low of $523.06. Why care? Historically, such lows have been the catapults for upward price trends. This isn't just a hunch — data dives deep!
Big Data Insights 📊:
On-chain metrics have shown a pattern — when certain metrics fall, ETC tends to bounce back stronger, much like a phoenix rising from its ashes. Here’s the scoop:
Transaction Value USD : Below $1150.6
Puell Multiple : Below 1.3 (52-day change below -0.1)
Total Fees in USD : Below $70
Each time these conditions were met historically, ETCUSD saw a median price increase of 24.19% over the following three months. We've crunched numbers from 11 similar past events, showing an impressive 85% of those periods ended in price surges. 💹
Price Projections:
1 Week : $27.4473 📈
2 Weeks : $27.9672 📈
1 Month : $30.4003 📈
3 Months : $33.7996 📈
6 Months : $36.3007 📈
Trade Strategy:
Take Profit: $34.7601
Stop Loss: $24.605
🌟 Why Follow This Trade?
It's backed by consistent historical data, promising a high accuracy and attractive risk-reward ratio. This isn’t just trading—it’s trading with the wisdom of the crowd, refined through big data!
Let's ride the wave of historical momentum with Ethereum Classic. Are you in? Drop a comment, share your views, or toss a like if you're ready to catch the classic rise! 🌊🏄