QUBICUSDT 4-hr Demand at Entry Time-Frame Price-Based LiquiditySymbol: QUBIC/USDT
Higher Time Frame (HTF): 4-hour
Entry Time Frame (ETF): 4-hour
Strategy: 4-hour demand at ETF PBL
Status: Open
R: 0
Before
I have been waiting for this moment to buy into QUBIC, as the technological offering is profound. I waited for price to form a base - and before I started buying, I wanted demnd to form, and I wanted to see supply begin to get consumed. This was key. This started to happen a few weeks ago, and this is when I wanted to begin to accumulate a long position.
Narrative
I started buying at market, as price began to accumulate. I also put a limit order in, which was recently filled. I am going to hold this position for some time, as I feel that this project has masive potential and utility. All orders are now filled and working, now it's just a waiting game.
Emotions: None.
Management: None.
Notes: None.
Artificialintelligence
After an 80% Drop, Is FET Finally Ready to Reverse?Exactly one year ago, FET reached its all-time high of $3.5, but since then, it has experienced a steep decline of over 80%.
However, the coin has recently found strong technical support around the $0.45 zone, which, in my view, signals a potential rebound on the horizon.
Currently, FET is trading near $0.52, and from a psychological standpoint, being around a key round number and its Binance listing price, we could see a bounce from these levels.
With this in mind, I anticipate a trend reversal, with an initial target of $1 in the near future. Additionally, $0.80 stands as a significant resistance level and could serve as an interim target before further upside movement.
From a risk-reward perspective, this setup offers an attractive 1:5 ratio
$AI – Price at a Pivotal Level | Bounce or Breakdown?📊 C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) is sitting at a critical support level.
🔹 Price Action & Key Levels
Current Price: $21.61
Previous Week Range: Mon, Mar 3 - Sat, Mar 8
Previous Weekly High (PWH): $24.35
Previous Weekly Low (PWL): $20.92
Previous Day Range (Fri, Mar 14, 2025) is a crucial demand area.
Previous Day High (PDH): $21.78
Previous Day Low (PDL): $21.20
Fibonacci Range: Wed, Dec 28, 2022 - Fri, Jan 16, 2023
Fibonacci 0.618: $24.95 (Resistance if the stock bounces)
Fibonacci 0.786: $18.44 (Downside risk if support breaks)
🚀 Bullish Case (Price Needs to Hold & Bounce)
If NYSE:AI holds above $21.20 and reclaims $22 and $23, momentum could push it toward $24.35 and higher. Price above $24.95 (0.618 Fib) confirms strength to the upside.
🚩 Bearish Case (Break Below $20.92 = Danger)
If NYSE:AI breaks below $20.92 (PWL), the next downside target is $18.44 (0.786 Fib).
📌 Holding NYSE:AI 21 MAR 25 $23 Calls @ $0.30
- Entry: Higher low and between the 0.618 and 0.786 ($18.44 - $24.95) Fibonacci range to the upside.
- Target: $0.45 on the options contract, 50% profit
- Stop Loss: $0.20 on the options contract, 33% loss.
🔹 What Does C3.ai Do?
C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) is an enterprise AI software company that helps businesses predict, automate, and optimize operations using AI.
💡 Example Use Case:
Shell (Oil & Gas) uses C3.ai’s predictive maintenance AI to analyze sensor data and detect equipment failures before they happen—reducing downtime and saving millions.
Some other industries and areas NYSE:AI is doing business in:
Banking: Fraud detection & risk management
Healthcare: AI-driven diagnostics
Manufacturing: Supply chain optimization
$VVV - AI Moonshot ticketThe big drawdown prior was due to 50% of the supply being airdrop on TGE -- no VC's, no Presale. The airdrop claim window was open for 45 days and has now closed.
33m tokens were remaining, over $130m in value and the team burnt the lot of it.
basescan.org
Updated tokenomics can be found on CoinGecko, and currently 51% of circulating supply is timelocked and staked with massive 80% APR.
Can see a breakout of prior downtrend, triangle correction (abcde on 1hr chart). Price retested and moving up for the Wave 3 rally.
USA Based project providing inference service for AI -- product ready, similar to OpenAI but crypto native. Founder: Erik Voorhees, multi-millionaire Bitcoin OG from 2011 and founder of ShapeShift.
You do not want to miss this one, already listed on Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance Futures. Can pick up on Aero aswel. Still only 100m mcap with $255m FDV.
CHINA FIN MARKETS | Investing in China & AIChina's market resurgence might pose some great opportunities for investors, especially after a long bearish cycle for the global Chinese financial markets.
February 2025 saw a significant shake-up in global markets, with China emerging as a key player driving investor sentiment. The MSCI China Index surged by 11.2% for the month, vastly outperforming the MSCI US Index:
One of the biggest catalysts behind China’s recent rally has been its advancements in Artificial Intelligence (DeepSeekAI being one of the key drivers).
By operating at a fraction of the cost of their US counterparts, such as OpenAI and Meta, DeepSeek's competitive advantage has given China an edge in the AI space, which can be seen in the market confidence.
XIAOMI has been one of the top gainers, largely as they are expanding their market penetration:
Chinese markets in February saw a boost when President Xi Jinping was warmly received by tech industry leaders. A handshake between Xi and Alibaba’s Jack Ma who previously stepped back from the public eye following regulatory crackdowns, was seen as a major gesture of reconciliation between the government and the private sector. This renewed support for private enterprises.
China’s long-term strategy has been paying dividends in high-tech industries. China has increased its global market share in nearly all industries and is outperforming competitors in cost-efficiency, particularly in sectors like copper smelting.
Despite recent gains, China’s stock market has yet to fully recover from its underperformance over the past decade. While the MSCI China Index has risen 34.6% over the past year, long-term returns still lag behind global markets. A US$100 investment in an MSCI World Index tracker in 2010 would have grown to US$480 by early 2024, whereas the same amount invested in an MSCI China Index fund would have only reached US$175.
China’s resurgence has brought a renewed sense of optimism, but investors remain cautious. While AI advancements and low cost of labor have positioned China as a competitive force, historical challenges like regulatory intervention, tariffs and economic instability still loom.
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Tempus AI Possible Partner for the Stargate Project in the USAAnalysis of Possible Surge in Tempus AI Stock Due to Project Stargate
Introduction
Tempus AI, Inc. has emerged as a key player in the health technology space, leveraging data science and artificial intelligence (AI) to develop precision medicine solutions. The company's focus on oncology, cardiology, and mental health, combined with its strong data-driven approach, has positioned it as a leader in the emerging field of AI-enabled healthcare. A possible surge in Tempus AI’s stock price is now being speculated, due to its potential involvement in Project Stargate, a new initiative spearheaded by President Donald Trump. Project Stargate promises significant investments and infrastructure development in AI, which could catalyze a favorable growth trajectory for Tempus.
This analysis will explore the potential impact of Project Stargate on Tempus AI, considering both the direct and indirect benefits for the company. Additionally, the mention of prominent political figures like Nancy Pelosi purchasing Tempus stock adds an interesting layer to the speculative nature of this surge.
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Project Stargate Overview
Project Stargate, as outlined by former President Donald Trump, aims to overhaul AI infrastructure in the U.S. The initiative seeks to foster partnerships between technology firms, including AI-focused companies like OpenAI, and businesses involved in critical infrastructure, such as data centers, power generation, and construction. The project’s goal is to drive advancements in AI technology, with a specific focus on enhancing U.S. competitiveness in this rapidly growing field.
The strategic involvement of multiple high-profile organizations and the federal government indicates that Project Stargate is likely to have wide-reaching economic and technological ramifications. Key elements of the project include:
-Infrastructure Investments: The construction and expansion of AI-driven data centers and related infrastructure.
- Public-Private Partnerships: Strong cooperation between private companies and government entities, facilitating new technologies and business models.
- Technological Advancements: AI solutions that push the boundaries of healthcare, cybersecurity, and national security.
As a result, companies involved in the development and deployment of AI technology, particularly those in healthcare and data analytics, are poised to benefit significantly.
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Tempus AI’s Position in Project Stargate
Tempus AI operates at the intersection of healthcare and AI, which makes it an intriguing candidate to potentially benefit from Project Stargate. The company’s focus on precision medicine using AI-driven diagnostics aligns well with the ambitions of Project Stargate to expand AI infrastructure.
1. Synergies with Healthcare AI
Project Stargate is expected to fuel demand for AI infrastructure and innovations, particularly in sectors like healthcare. Tempus, which specializes in oncology, cardiology, and depression diagnostics, stands to benefit from both the increased focus on AI-powered healthcare solutions and the additional resources available through government-private sector partnerships.
Given Tempus’s reliance on large-scale data analysis to build its precision medicine solutions, any acceleration in AI infrastructure could lower operational costs for Tempus while improving the capabilities of its platform. Enhanced AI infrastructure would likely lead to faster data processing, increased diagnostic accuracy, and the potential for more personalized treatments.
2. Expansion of Partnerships and Funding
The potential for public-private partnerships, which Project Stargate promotes, could help Tempus secure additional government contracts or private sector collaborations. This influx of capital and resources could enable the company to scale its technology faster and expand into new medical areas beyond its current focus on cancer, cardiology, and mental health.
3. Alignment with National AI Strategy
With AI being a major focus of Project Stargate, Tempus may find itself well-positioned within the broader national AI strategy. If the company becomes a key partner in helping build AI solutions for healthcare or other sectors, it could solidify its reputation as an industry leader, driving up stock demand and valuation.
---
Nancy Pelosi’s Stock Purchase: A Political Angle
The mention of Nancy Pelosi, a prominent U.S. politician, purchasing Tempus AI stock adds a speculative element to the situation. Pelosi’s involvement in the stock could be seen as a potential signal of confidence in Tempus AI’s future performance. Politicians often make investment decisions based on inside knowledge of forthcoming legislation, partnerships, or government contracts.
Though speculation about Pelosi’s investment could generate increased media attention, it should be approached with caution. However, if Pelosi’s investment is tied to a potential announcement of government support or strategic alignment between Tempus and Project Stargate, it could amplify investor confidence and trigger a buying frenzy.
---
Potential Catalysts for Stock Surge
Several factors could drive a surge in Tempus AI’s stock price if Project Stargate moves forward:
-1. Government Contracts and Funding: If Tempus is awarded government contracts under Project Stargate, particularly related to AI infrastructure or healthcare solutions, the company could see a significant increase in revenue and market capitalization.
-2. Partnerships with Major Players: Any announcement of Tempus AI partnering with companies like OpenAI or other stakeholders in Project Stargate would likely signal strong growth potential and increase investor interest.
-3. ncreased Demand for AI Healthcare Solutions**: As the U.S. government prioritizes AI advancements, healthcare applications could see substantial growth. Tempus could be a key beneficiary of this shift, leading to a surge in its stock price as market expectations align with actual developments.
-4. Political Endorsement: If high-profile political figures continue to signal support for Tempus AI, either through public statements or stock purchases, it could bolster public perception and attract institutional investors.
---
Risks and Considerations
While there is substantial upside potential for Tempus AI, there are also risks to consider:
- Dependence on Project Stargate’s Success: Tempus’s growth will be closely tied to the success of Project Stargate and its integration into the broader national AI ecosystem. If the project faces delays or fails to meet expectations, it could have negative implications for companies like Tempus.
- Regulatory Risks: The healthcare industry is heavily regulated, and any change in regulatory policies could impact Tempus’s ability to grow at the expected pace. While AI infrastructure investment may mitigate some challenges, government policies could still create obstacles.
- Market Volatility: The stock market, particularly tech and healthcare stocks, is inherently volatile. Any unforeseen global events or shifts in economic conditions could negatively affect Tempus’s valuation, regardless of Project Stargate.
---
Conclusion
Tempus AI stands at an exciting intersection of AI technology and healthcare, which could see its stock price surge due to its involvement in Project Stargate. The initiative’s focus on building AI infrastructure and fostering partnerships could provide Tempus with opportunities for rapid growth, enhanced funding, and access to cutting-edge technology.
The involvement of high-profile political figures such as Nancy Pelosi adds an additional layer of speculation, with the potential for both public perception and market sentiment to play a significant role in the stock’s trajectory. However, investors should consider the risks associated with regulatory changes, market volatility, and the uncertain success of Project Stargate itself.
Ultimately, if Tempus AI is able to capitalize on these emerging opportunities, it could see a substantial boost in both market visibility and stock price in the near future.
For any questions or remarks kindly react here under the comments
Greetings,
Zila
NVIDIA Stock Goes Diving-Dressed ahead of Dotcom Crash RepeatingNvidia’s stock recently experienced a significant decline, tanked to 6-month low reflecting a mix of investor sentiment shifts, market dynamics, and company-specific concerns.
Here’s our @PandorraResearch Team ̶M̶u̶m̶b̶o̶ ̶j̶u̶m̶b̶o̶ fundamental and technical breakdown of what is going on with Nvidia stock NASDAQ:NVDA and why:
1. Cooling AI Enthusiasm
Nvidia has been at the forefront of the AI boom, with its chips powering advanced AI platforms. However, investor optimism about AI-related stocks has begun to wane. While Nvidia reported impressive revenue growth (122% in recent earnings), its future guidance failed to meet sky-high expectations. Investors are increasingly concerned that the returns from AI investments may take longer to materialize than initially anticipated. This cooling enthusiasm has led to a reassessment of Nvidia’s valuation, contributing to the stock's decline.
2. High Valuation Concerns
Nvidia’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio had soared to levels significantly higher than industry averages, reflecting lofty expectations for its future growth. At its peak, Nvidia was trading at 45 times expected earnings, compared to the S&P 500’s average of 22 times. Such high valuations often make stocks vulnerable to corrections when market sentiment changes or growth slows. The recent sell-off suggests that some investors are beginning to view Nvidia’s stock as overvalued.
3. DOJ Antitrust Investigation
Another factor weighing on Nvidia’s stock is news of a U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) subpoena investigating potential antitrust violations. The probe reportedly focuses on whether Nvidia’s business practices limit customer options or stifle competition. While no formal charges have been filed, such investigations create uncertainty and make investors jittery about regulatory risks.
4. Broader Market Pressures
The decline in Nvidia’s stock also coincides with broader market challenges. Rising interest rates and concerns about the U.S. economy have led many investors to shift away from high-growth tech stocks like Nvidia toward more stable, rate-sensitive investments. Additionally, a general downturn in the Nasdaq Composite index has amplified the pressure on Nvidia shares.
5. Profit-Taking After a Massive Rally
Before its recent drop, Nvidia had seen meteoric gains—its stock surged over 120% in one year and briefly became the world’s most valuable company. Such rapid growth often attracts profit-taking as traders sell off shares to lock in gains. Analysts described this as a "routine selloff" after an extraordinary rally.
Technical challenge
The main technical 3-month log scaled graph for Nvidia's stock indicates on unattainable highs never seen before since Dotcom crash, reached through a massive long term path inside upside channel.
Conclusion
Nvidia’s stock decline is driven by a combination of factors: tempered AI optimism, valuation concerns, regulatory uncertainty, broader economic pressures, and profit-taking after an exceptional run-up. While some analysts remain bullish on Nvidia due to its dominance in AI hardware, others see the pullback as a natural correction in response to overextended valuations and shifting market conditions.
--
Best schadenfreude wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
NVIDIA to $228If Nvidia were truly done for, why is it impossible to find their latest 5000 series GPUs?
Even if someone wanted to buy one, they simply can't.
The reason lies in Nvidia's commitment to fulfilling the soaring demand from AI data centers, which has left them unable to produce enough H100 and H200 models.
This situation also allows Nvidia to increase their profit margins significantly, capitalizing on the disparity between demand and the media frenzy surrounding them.
DeepSeek serves as a prime example of how out of touch mainstream media can be.
All DeepSeek did was replicate Chat GPT.
Training models requires substantial computing power. The panic surrounding Nvidia and other semiconductor companies is quite amusing; the demand for computing power is skyrocketing!
The gap between the reality of the AI mega-trend and the narrow focus of mainstream media is staggering! It's astonishingly out of touch! Just as out of touch as Cramer was when he declared META was done at $100, or when he thought Chat GPT would obliterate Google at $88.
Stock prices fluctuate between being overvalued and undervalued. While we have metrics like EGF and PE ratios to assess valuation, indicating that Nvidia is currently inexpensive, this doesn't guarantee it won't drop further. However, it is generally wiser to buy stocks when they are cheap rather than when they are costly.
The greater the deviation from the high then the greater the BUYING OPPORTUNITY being presented for the very best leading companies.
The key takeaway is that the deeper Nvidia falls during its corrections, the more advantageous it could be.
Those who are experiencing anxiety during these declines may find themselves selling at a loss, or for a marginal profit possibly around previous highs, while the stock has the potential to rise to $228 and beyond.
The potential for growth is significant; the $228 Fibonacci extension may not represent the peak. Attempting to predict a top for Nvidia could be misguided. Once it reaches $228, Nvidia might maintain a valuation similar to its current $130 level.
Tesla Stock Goes 'Interesting', Ahead of Earnings CallTesla is preparing to release its fourth-quarter earnings report on January 29, 2025, and analysts are closely watching the stock as it approaches this key event.
Here are some important points regarding Tesla's current stock situation and what to expect:
Current Stock Performance
Tesla shares have seen a 10% increase in 2025, but recently experienced a more than 5% decline, trading at Monday's pre-marker below $400, approximately $395.
The stock's valuation is considered high, with some analysts stating it is "priced for perfection," indicating that any earnings miss could lead to a significant pullback.
Earnings Expectations
Analysts forecast earnings per share (EPS) of 72 cents and revenue of $27.23 billion for the fourth quarter.
Gross profit margins are expected to widen slightly to 18.85%.
Key Factors Influencing Stock Valuation
👉 Delivery Performance. Tesla's deliveries were slightly below expectations in 2024, with 1.79 million units delivered, compared to 1.81 million in 20231. Investors will be keenly interested in guidance for 2025, especially with increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers like BYD and NIO.
👉 New Vehicle Launches/ The anticipated launch of the smaller SUV, referred to as the Model Q, is expected later this year, which could impact Tesla's growth trajectory.
👉 Technological Developments. Progress in autonomous driving software and energy generation will also be focal points during the earnings call.
👉 The company aims to launch its Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in specific U.S. states and expand its energy storage business.
Analyst Sentiment
There is a mix of opinions among analysts; while some maintain a cautious stance due to potential delivery shortfalls and market competition, others see Tesla as a strong buy-and-hold investment for the long term.
The average price target among analysts is around $345.11, suggesting a potential downside from current levels.
Technical Sentiment
Technical graph indicates on epic upside channel breakthrough, as a result of China DeepSeek AI model influence.
Ahead of Tesla Earnings Call our "super-duper" Team is Bearishly calling to $300 per Tesla share, that is correspond to major current support of 125-day SMA.
Conclusion
As Tesla approaches its earnings report, investors should remain vigilant about delivery numbers and guidance for the upcoming year. The stock's high valuation combined with competitive pressures makes it susceptible to volatility based on the forthcoming financial results.
PDYN: High Momentum AI Drone Software Play -> Projected EntriesPDYN is a turnaround growth AI Drone Software company. en.wikipedia.org From a purely Gann technical standpoint, at about $250 MM market cap, the company stands to potentially achieve substantial gains from AI, Drone, and Small Cap tailwinds in the coming months. PDYN also has an existing contract with RCAT to deliver it's drone software to. investor.palladyneai.com
As we can see from the green vertical lines. These are points where Gann analysis expects to see turnaround points for the stock. It has fallen substantially from it's 15$ 52 week high on December 30th, but has had a reaction (correction) period of 51 days. I will note 3 Gann-based forecasts tools that substantiate a potential 40-50% rally in the next coming weeks or months.
1. The price failed to structurally break below the 50% Gann support level from the 15$ high. Aka the support level that is 50% below $15 -> $7.50. This is marked by the thick horizontal blue line.
2. It has shown signs that the 30-35 day reaction period is the bottom. The Jan 29th-Feb 3rd period. If this reaction period is not correct and the price does not breakout, then the next important bottom dates are Feb 28th - Mar 5th (the 60-65 day reaction points). These reaction pivotal times are marked by the green vertical lines. However, we also are showing signs of bottoming at the 45-49 day reaction period of Feb 12th-18th (also marked with vertical green lines). Let's see what happens!
3. Finally, one of Gann's rules is that if the 1st rally high is broken, a trend change is underway. So it stands that the Feb10th breaking of the 1st rally high of $11.86 on Jan 22nd is evidence that a trend change is underway for PDYN.
STOP LOSS: $6.50
Ideally should set a stop loss 1 point from the 50% Support Level of 7.50. Risk no more than 10% of your capital on this trade.
BAIDU’S Q4 2024 Earnings drop today Review Q3BAIDU’S Q3 2024 PERFORMANCE—AI GROWTH VS. AD WOES
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview Fam! Baidu’s latest financials are 📈🔍. Q3 2024 revenue hit ¥33.6B ($4.7B USD), but the story’s in the details: AI’s soaring, ads are slipping. Let’s dive into BIDU’s numbers and outlook! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Total Revenue: ¥33.6B ($4.7B USD)
• Baidu Core: ¥26.5B ($3.7B USD), +4% YoY 💥
• Cloud Revenue: Strong growth (exact figures vary) ☁️
• Q3 EPS: ¥19.2 ($2.67 USD), missed ¥19.62 est.
• Non-GAAP Net Income: ¥7.6B (~$1.06B USD)
Next up: Feb 18 earnings, est. $1.78 EPS, $4.56B revenue (-7.4% YoY).
(3/9) – BIG MOVES IN AI & AUTONOMOUS TECH
• Baidu World 2024: Unveiled iRAG & Miaoda AI tools 🤖
• ERNIE API: 1.5B daily calls, up 30x YoY 📈
• Lidar Deal: $200-300M with Hesai for Yichi 06 robotaxis 🚗
AI and autonomy are stealing the show—growth engines revving up!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: $31.36B (Feb 2025) 🌍
• Trailing P/E: 10.56x, Forward P/E: 10.5x—cheap vs. Alphabet or Tencent 📊
• Lags GOOG in search/ad scale but leads Chinese peers (JD, PDD) in AI diversification
At 3x EV/EBITDA, is BIDU undervalued? X posts think so!
(5/9) – RISKS ON THE RADAR
• Ad revenue: Squeezed by Tencent, ByteDance competition 📉
• AI costs: Big R&D spend, profits TBD 🤔
• China regs: Unpredictable hurdles loom 🏛️
• Economy: Slowdown could hit ad & cloud growth
• U.S.-China tension: Weighs on sentiment ⚠️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• King of China’s search market, mobile ecosystem thriving 🔍
• ERNIE Bot: 430M users, 770k enterprise apps 🌟
• Apollo Go: Leading autonomous driving, $162.6B robotaxi market by 2025 🚦
Baidu’s got serious firepower!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Ad margins shrinking, AI not yet cashing in 💸
• Opportunities: AI cloud expansion, robotaxi scale-up, China stimulus upside 🌍
Can Baidu turn its tech bets into gold? Time will tell!
(8/9) – What’s BIDU’s 2025 vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI and autonomy will drive a breakout.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth potential, but risks balance it out.
3️⃣ Bearish—Ads and regs will drag it down.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Baidu’s Q3 shows a tale of two trends: AI and autonomy surging, ads under pressure 🌍. With a low valuation and big tech bets, BIDU’s at a crossroads. Will innovation outpace the risks? Earnings drop today—stay tuned for the next chapter! 💪
China stocks ready to go? #DeepSeek another reason..This is a chart of the benchmark index for Hong Kong - HK50
It's up on Monday, while Nvidia is down 10+%
If funds are flowing out of Nvidia - China (home of DeepSeek) could be one place they end up.
The Hang Seng is a perfect example of how long a trend can take to reverse.
How many times would traders have tried to go long this index only to see it slump right back towards the bottom?
Now while this trend reversal might be delayed further - and might fail altogether - we think there is enough evidence to suggest a reversal is happening.
The price is above a rising weekly 30 week SMA
A long term trendline has broken
Crucially - the price made a double bottom pattern around 15,000
DAILY CHART
On the daily chart we see the strong surge in buying interest from September has given way to a long multi-month correction.
We are looking for a breakout above the down trendline to demonstrate the correction has finished and a new up-leg is beginning.
The final confirmation would come from a break of resistance (not drawn) from the November and December highs at 21,350.
Should the price turn lower and make a new fractal low under 19,650 then we’ll have to wait a bit longer for the Hang Seng trend reversal.
But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Can AI Weather the Storm of Volatility?BigBear.ai has captured the market's attention with its dramatic stock performance, navigating through a sea of volatility with recent gains fueled by significant contract wins and positive AI sector developments. The company's journey reflects a broader narrative in the tech industry: the high stakes of betting on AI innovation. With its stock soaring over 378% in the last year, BigBear.ai demonstrates the potential for rapid growth in an era where AI is increasingly central to strategic sectors like defense, security, and space exploration.
However, the narrative isn't without its twists. Analyst warnings about cyclical business patterns and valuation concerns introduce a layer of complexity to the investment thesis. BigBear.ai's ability to secure pivotal contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense showcases its technological prowess, yet the challenge lies in converting this into sustainable profitability. This scenario invites investors to ponder the delicate balance between innovation, market sentiment, and financial stability in the AI landscape.
The strategic acquisition of Pangiam and partnerships like the one with Virgin Orbit illustrate BigBear.ai's ambition to not only ride the wave of AI hype but also to steer it into new territories. These moves are about expanding market presence and redefining what AI can achieve in practical, real-world applications. As BigBear.ai continues to evolve, it challenges us to consider how far AI can go in reshaping industries and whether the market can keep pace with such rapid technological advancements. This saga of BigBear.ai is a microcosm of the broader AI investment landscape, urging us to look beyond immediate gains to the long-term vision and viability of AI-driven companies.
Snowflake ($SNOW) | Rerating Incoming with 2-3x PotentialOur top analyst Shay Boloor (@StockSavvyShay) is adamant that Snowflake will be rerated in 2025 with a price target of $300 (called out live on Fox Business). Their NRR is at 127%, meaning existing customers will spend 27% more YoY. For Snowflake to grow 27% within the next year, all they need to do is nothing. They can afford to sit.
Data consumption models make money out of thin air. 40% of the Fortune 2000 data is stored in Snowflake’s ecosystem ALREADY. They are trading at 25% of Palantir’s valuation and 20% of Cloudflare’s. This could be a 3-4x trade. There is still no floor on AI and its applications.
On the technical side, over $205 and we have a liquidity zone up to $300. Our entries are at $109 and $125, but this would be a secondary entry for a position trade to capitalize on one of the top names in stage two AI (software/applications).
Entry: Over $205
Targets: $230, $300, $400
NYSE:SNOW
$PATH should test upper end of the range @ $21- NYSE:PATH is uniquely positioned for robotics automation which could benefit from advances in Generative AI and with launch of smarter Machine Learning & AI models.
- NYSE:PATH sits in the application layer which will provide companies to automate things with least friction while leveraging powerful models.
- NYSE:PATH is badly beaten down. However, with advancement of AI, this company could leapfrog its offering to customer
- NYSE:PATH could easily be potential acquisition by NYSE:NOW or NYSE:CRM
Strategy 2025. Introducing Palantir, BTC Killer Of The Year 2024It's gone 3 months or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SP:SPX .
Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index.
This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in this year 2024.
Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer this year, with current +375% YTD return in 2024, being highlighted at 80.55 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Friday, December, 19 at regular session close.
What is most important also, even recent Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025 were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership.
Since Palantir stock is rallying 7th month in a row, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares.
Judge for yourself.
One of the nearest pursuer, Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA (# 4 out of all S&P500 index performers in 2024) is nearly to finish the year of 2024 with +170% return, i.e. lagging against Palantir behind twice.
The quite similar things happen with the most popular and heavy c-coin, also known as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that is currently +130% YTD return in 2024.
What is most important also, Palantir stock outperforms both - S&P500 index, Nvidia Corp. and Bitcoin 7th straight month in a row.
In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from May to December 2024) were better against each of mentioned above assets.
What is Behind this?
On November 4, 2024 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.
“We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Q3 2024 Highlights
• U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter to $499 million
• U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter to $179 million
• U.S. government revenue grew 40% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter to $320 million
• Revenue grew 30% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter to $726 million
• Closed 104 deals over $1 million
• Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter
• GAAP net income of $144 million, representing a 20% margin
• GAAP income from operations of $113 million, representing a 16% margin
• Adjusted income from operations of $276 million, representing a 38% margin
• Rule of 40 score of 68%
• GAAP earnings per share (“EPS”) grew 100% year-over-year to $0.06
• Adjusted EPS grew 43% year-over-year to $0.10
• Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities of $4.6 billion
• Cash from operations of $420 million, representing a 58% margin and $995 million on a trailing twelve month basis
• Adjusted free cash flow of $435 million, representing a 60% margin and over $1 billion on a trailing twelve month basis.
Is the stock growth fundamentally deserved? Definitely, "Yes".
Palantir stock Alpha
What is Alpha?
Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk.
The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC twice over the past 12 months (watch lower "percent bar chart" subgraph), so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and kill "the new oranges" respectively.
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What companies are you positioned in or ready to start a position in?
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$NVDA - Resilience in ActionNASDAQ:NVDA
In my previous post (linked above) I noted the amount of macro upwards pressure NASDAQ:NVDA
Even with the market becoming leary of (or noticing other A.I. developer options), NASDAQ:NVDA still just makes the HARDWARE that these A.I. models are able to use and abuse in order to perform better. NASDAQ:NVDA will continue to create great hardware, and continually iterate on the items that will continue to make A.I. great.
My recommendation? Continue to hold, and buy at these lower levels. NASDAQ:NVDA will continue to rise.