Bitcoin - Why is everyone wrong + Magic Moving AverageWe have so many warning signs that Bitcoin is going to crash significantly in 2025/2026. One of them is this magic 20-weekly moving average. As we can see, the price always respects this dynamic level, and if the price falls below it, it triggers a sell signal. On the other side, if the price rises above it, it triggers a buy signal. The price is currently below it, so this is a bearish signal.
The next bad signal is this Elliott Impulse wave. What we can see here is a perfect textbook impulse wave that has been completed. If you are an Elliott Wave trader, you already see that this is a big problem. After such a wave is complete, we are always looking for an ABC correction with a fibonacci retracement tool. Use only these 3 Fibo levels, others do not work properly! Specifically, 0.618 FIB, 0.500 and 0.382 FIB. Bitcoin loves the 0.618 FIB, so there is a pretty huge chance of going down to 32k. But expect a very strong bounce from the 0.382 FIB as well, which is at 52k. Set up your buy orders here, and thank me later!
What we can also see on the chart is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 34k and 28k. Often the price loves to come back and test these important price actions. This is a great buying confluence with the 0.618 FIB because the FVG is inside this Fibo level.
The last thing I want to talk about is this huge blue ascending channel on the weekly chart. This is a representation of this whole uptrend (bull market). You may say that Bitcoin is bullish until this channel holds, yeah, but what we do here is we predict future price action and give you technical analysis. I am giving you this information in advance so you can prepare for the future!
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Ascending Channel
GOLD → Tense fundamental environment and retest of 3025FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction within the descending channel. The situation is becoming complex and confusing. The focus is on the channel resistance and on the support at 3004.9. Further price movement depends on the fundamental data...
The problem is the uncertainty around the US tariff policy and the outcome of talks between Russia and the US on ceasefire in Ukraine.
The market is focused on US consumer confidence data and comments from Fed officials. The rise in the dollar, supported by Bostic's hawkish statements and strong PMIs, is pressuring gold, but the lack of clarity on tariffs and geopolitical tensions are limiting its further decline
Technically, the situation is simple in that it all depends on the resistance of the current channel. A break and consolidation above 3025 will trigger growth. A false break of the channel resistance will provoke a continuation of the decline both to 3004 and to 2980.
Resistance levels: 3024.6, 3038, 3056
Support levels: 3004.9, 2987, 2981
Based on the difficult fundamental environment, which is far from any positive decisions, the tensions in the Middle East, and the tariff war, I can conclude that gold will try to strengthen once again, as we have technical support: a strong bullish trend, a strong 3004 level, and a cascade of locally rising lows.
A failed breakdown will be false and in this case, a price consolidation under 3017 will trigger a fall to 3004.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin’s Next Challenge – Can BTC Break the Heavy Resistance?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from the Support zone($84,120_$81,500) as I expected in the previous post . The question is, can Bitcoin break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) and Resistance lines ?
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin appears to have broken through the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) and is preparing for its first attack on the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) .
In terms of waves, Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 4 of microwave C of the main wave Y . The waves structure inside the Ascending Channel appears to be of the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to prepare for its first attack on the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200), the upper line of the ascending channel , the monthly pivot point , 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Resistance lines after completing the pullback to the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800 ) and fill first CME Gap($86,640_$86,520) . I think the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) could be the zone to start a new decline for Bitcoin.
I chose the label of this analysis ''SHORT'' because I think Bitcoin is in a bit of a risky zone for a LONG position, what do you think?
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $91,000, we can expect more pumps.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,200 before hitting the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200), we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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LAYERUSDT → Far retest of key resistance at 1.400BINANCE:LAYERUSDT.P is forming a realization within the uptrend. The coin is stronger than the market, but the initial reaction to the strong resistance at 1.400 may be in the form of a false breakout and a pullback to 1.275 or 0.5 fibo
Since the opening of the session, LAYERUSDT has passed the daily ATR, but after reaching the resistance, the coin may not have the potential to continue rising. Liquidity above the 1.400 level may hold this area and prevent the coin from breaking through this zone the first time around.
Bitcoin is testing trend resistance at this time and could likely form a rebound or a continuation of the decline, which could affect altcoins accordingly!
Resistance levels: 1.400
Support levels: 1.2932, 1.2747, 0.5 fibo
BUT ! Everything depends on the price reaction at 1.400. A sharp and distributive approach with 90% probability will end in a false breakout and correction to the mentioned targets.
But, if LAYER starts to slow down and consolidate in front of the level, an attempt of breakout and struggle above 1.400 is possible and further movement will depend on it.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Long squeeze (false break of uptrend support) FX:XAUUSD within the liquidation the price is testing the key support at 3004.9 and forms a false break of support. The trend is generally bullish as the geopolitical situation remains tense and carries high risks.
Friday saw a liquidation phase relative to the consolidation at 3024-3045. Reason: the White House is expected to revise tariff policy, easing measures against key trading partners. Negotiations over the conflict in eastern Europe, where the U.S. is a key link, also support the positive sentiment. On Monday, market attention will focus on Russia-US talks, as well as preliminary PMI data that could affect the global economic outlook.
The focus is on the current consolidation and the 3024 level. If the bulls hold their defenses above this level, gold will continue to strengthen.
Resistance levels: 3045 - 3056
Support levels: 3024, 3004
The growth within the bullish trend may continue. The price is forming a consolidation between trend support and resistance at 3024. The emphasis is on 3024, if the bulls hold the defense over this zone, gold may head for a retest of the high (the initial reaction to ATH may trigger a pullback down)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Correction to the liquidity zone. Waiting for a FBFX:GBPUSD gets a negative CPI report in the early session and tests key support, but failing to reach the liquidity area a rebound is formed. The pair is in consolidation...
The CPI report provoked a small liquidation in the market, within the framework of which the price tested one of the key supports at 1.2886, but the price did not enter the liquidity area, i.e. technically the chances to return to this area are quite high.
A correction to the imbalance zone is being formed, from which the decline may continue. In the short term I am interested in 1.2868, which can still hold the market and form a bullish impulse.
Resistance levels: 1.2926
Support levels: 1.2886, 1.2868, 1.2811
False break of the global range support at 1.2868 may trigger a rebound to 1.2926. I do not exclude a deeper correction to the support from D1, for example to 1.2811 from which, against the background of the bull market, we can wait for an upward correction.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Price is in consolidation. Emphasis on false breakdownFX:EURUSD is forming a correction within the consolidation that was formed on the uptrend. The reason for the consolidation is the halt in the movement of the dollar index...
The dollar is forming a counter-trend correction due to political and econmoic data, but the general background is bearish. But, the fall of the dollar, to which the index may soon return, may strengthen the growth of the currency pair. EURUSD consolidation within the uptrend (against the background of the dollar index correction). The zone of interest is the support at 1.078 and the imbalance area
Resistance levels: 1.078, 1.074
Support levels: 1.0936.1.1009
The price has not tested the support and is forming a correction to the imbalance zone 1.087 - 1.09 from which the price may return to the downward movement to 1.078. The emphasis is on the range support from which we should wait for a false breakdown before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
US100 - Testing Key Resistance: Will the 4H Trend Reverse?Market Structure & Trend Overview
The Nasdaq (US100) has been in a 4-hour uptrend, forming a series of higher lows and respecting an ascending channel after a prolonged bearish trend. This structure suggests that buyers are stepping in, and momentum may be shifting in favor of the bulls. However, the index remains at a critical decision point that could determine whether we see a confirmed bullish reversal or a continuation of the larger downtrend.
Key Zone: 4H Imbalance & Resistance Area
Currently, price action is testing a 4-hour imbalance zone, which has already acted as a strong resistance level twice. The market is struggling to break through this supply zone, which is crucial in determining the next major move. If price tests this area again and successfully breaks above it, it could confirm that buyers have gained control, signaling a potential trend reversal back into a bullish phase.
However, if price gets rejected from this level again, it could indicate that sellers are still dominant, increasing the probability of a breakdown from the ascending channel and a resumption of the bearish trend.
Bullish Scenario: Break & Hold Above Imbalance Zone
For a confirmed bullish reversal, Nasdaq must break above the imbalance zone with strong volume and sustain price action above it. A successful breakout could attract more buyers, leading to a push towards higher resistance levels, possibly targeting the $20,000 - $20,300 range in the short term.
Signs to look for in a bullish breakout:
✅ A decisive close above the imbalance zone with strong bullish momentum.
✅ Retesting the broken level as support, confirming it as a new demand zone.
✅ A continuation of higher highs and higher lows after the breakout.
Bearish Scenario: Breakdown of the Ascending Channel
If price fails to break through the imbalance zone and instead rejects for the third time, this could indicate a weakening bullish structure. The key support to watch is the lower boundary of the ascending channel. A confirmed break below this channel could invalidate the short-term uptrend, signaling a return to bearish price action.
If this occurs, Nasdaq could drop towards the key support level at $19,146, a previous liquidity zone where buyers may step in again.
Signs to watch for a bearish breakdown:
❌ A clear rejection from the imbalance zone.
❌ A break and close below the ascending channel.
❌ Increased selling pressure and a shift in market sentiment.
Final Thoughts: A Critical Inflection Point
Nasdaq is at a pivotal moment where the next move will determine the broader trend direction. If bulls can push price above the imbalance zone, we could see a confirmed bullish reversal with upside potential. However, if sellers regain control and force a breakdown of the channel, the downtrend is likely to continue, targeting the $19,146 level as a potential support zone.
Traders should closely monitor price action at the imbalance zone and the ascending channel boundaries, as these key areas will dictate the next major move. Whether we see a trend reversal or continuation, this setup presents significant trading opportunities in either direction.
Key Levels to Watch:
📍 Bullish Breakout Target: $19,900 - $20,000
📍 Bearish Breakdown Target: $19,146
__________________________________________
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GOLD → Consolidation (correction) before growth to $3100FX:XAUUSD is going into consolidation after strong growth on the back of dollar correction. The metal may test deeper support areas before attempting a new high
Gold is correcting, but remains in an uptrend
The decline in quotations may be seen as a buying opportunity, given the economic uncertainty due to Trump's tariffs and expectations of Fed rate cuts.
The Fed reiterated its forecast of two rate cuts in 2025 despite Powell's cautious comments. Gold is further supported by rising inflation risks and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Resistance levels: 3045, 3057
Support levels: 3024, trending, 3004
Reaction to support is weakening, even amid the uptrend. Gold may stay in this consolidation until the middle of next week, or it may try to break out of the consolidation to retest deeper support zones, such as the rising trend line or the 3004 imbalance zone, from which the growth may resume.
Regards R. Linda!
META is coming back to life!NASDAQ:META
As we discussed before a breakdown out of this Bullish Trend since 2022 would be very bearish and take META to the $400's.
Well, they said, hold my beer, and bounced hard exactly at the bottom of the channel and Anchored VWAP.
It's not over yet, as we need to follow through next week with a nice engulfing candle to make people into believers!
Not financial advice.
GOLD → Fading out before the news. Possible long-squeezeFX:XAUUSD continues its bullish trend, but locally, the movement is in a very narrow channel (wedge). To form a potential for further movement, the price may form a long-squeeze before or at the time of news...
Fundamentally, gold remains a bullish asset due to the Fed's rate cut forecasts and economic risks associated with Trump's tariff policy. Gold hit a new high on Wednesday after the Fed reiterated plans to cut rates twice this year, raised its inflation forecast and worsened growth and employment estimates.The price is further supported by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with Israel announcing the resumption of ground operations in Gaza.
Gold is forming a bull market. Before further growth (before the news) the price may enter the liquidity zone (fvg, 3028, 3024), after which it will continue to grow. Dollar enters local correction before the news, which creates pressure on gold
Resistance levels: 3046, 3051, 3056
Support levels: 3038, 3030, 3024
Price is forming a retest of the wedge support, which increases the chances of a breakdown. If the support fails to hold, the price may go down to the above support before rising further.
But! If gold bounces from 3038 and consolidates above 3044, the growth will continue without a deep pullback
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of Fed rate meeting...FX:XAUUSD goes into consolidation 3038 - 3024 before the news - Fed rate meeting. The situation is generally predictable, but gold is reacting to rising geopolitical risks.
Gold is stabilizing before the Fed decision , markets are waiting for the data. The regulator is expected to keep rates, but Powell's forecasts will determine further dynamics.
“Hawkish” tone of the Fed may lead to the strengthening of the dollar and gold correction.
“Dovish” signals about economic risks will support the growth of metal prices.
Geopolitical tensions and Trump's tariffs continue to have an impact.The market is preparing for high volatility on the background of the Fed's decision and events in the world
Resistance levels: 2038, 2045
Support levels: 3024, 3015, 3004.9
Several scenarios can be considered for trading:
Breakdown of resistance 3038 - 3045, consolidation of the price above the level with subsequent growth to 3050 - 3060.
Or wait for the reaction to the news and with a possible breakdown of support to look for strong levels to trade a false breakdown, for example 3024, 3015, 3005.
Regards R. Linda!
What is Gold Waiting For? Is This the ATH 3045? In our group, we secured profits in two rounds when gold hit an all-time high of $3045. Currently, we are still focusing on selling at $3040-$3045, as this is the liquidity grab zone for sellers.
I believe we can still trade within the sideway range, and be cautious of the two liquidity sweep zones as I have marked in the image.
Sell Liquidity 3040-3045: We can place Sell Limit orders in this area.
Buy Liquidity 3020-3025: We can place Buy Limit orders in this area.
The reason for this sideway phase of gold is that the market is awaiting the Fed meeting at 1:30 AM tomorrow, March 20th. After that, a strong trend will emerge. My plan is still leaning towards the Buy side, as the market is currently concerned about a potential economic recession in the US.
Therefore, we can focus on making small profits during this sideway period and wait for the next upward wave.
Thank you for your review, and I hope you'll stay longer by pressing Follow.
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout & Retest Trade Setup - Bullish Move!Gold (XAU/USD) has successfully broken out of the consolidation zone after a strong rally. The price action recently tested the previous resistance level, which is now acting as new support.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Price has retested the breakout zone and is showing signs of bullish momentum.
Support: The previous resistance area (now turned support) is holding well.
Stop Loss: Placed just below the support at $3,034.562 to manage risk.
Target: A potential upside move towards the $3,055 zone, which aligns with the next key resistance level.
This setup follows a breakout-retest continuation pattern, a classic technical strategy where price revisits a breakout level before resuming the trend. If bullish momentum continues, we can expect a move towards the projected target.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $3,034.562
Resistance/Target: $3,055
Current Price: $3,039.925
💡 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the stop loss is placed strategically below support.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper risk management techniques.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Will Gold push higher or face rejection? Let me know in the comments! 🚀💬
Gold (XAU/USD) Sell-Off Continues | Bearish Target insightGold Spot (XAU/USD) indicates a potential continuation of the current downtrend.
🔹 Sell Limit at 3082: A significant level where a sell order was placed, marking the start of the recent decline.
🔹 Strong Downtrend: After rejecting the 3082 level, gold has been making lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish momentum.
🔹 Support & Target Zone: Price is approaching a key support area near 2880-2900, which aligns with the marked target level.
📉 Bearish Outlook:
If the price breaks below the current support, further downside is expected.
A potential bounce could occur at the target zone before a trend reversal.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3082
Support/Target: 2880-2900
Traders should monitor price action at support to determine if further downside is likely or if buyers step in for a potential reversal.
What’s your outlook on gold? Will the bearish trend continue? 📉💰
OMUSDT → Paranormal behavior. Rally readinessBINANCE:OMUSDT as a whole looks stronger than the market. After a strong rally a correction in the format of a bearish wedge is formed, subsequently the price broke the resistance and is trying to consolidate above the key support
Against the background of a weak market OM coin has good prospects as technically someone is interested in this project and the coin as a whole behaves strongly and looks stronger than the market.
A breakout of the bearish wedge (consolidation pattern within the correction) is forming. If the bulls keep the coin above the previously broken figure resistance and above the base of the 6.752 reversal pattern, the growth may continue in the short to medium term
Resistance levels: 7.39, 7.98
Support levels: 6.752, 6.51
One of the few coins that is rising while bitcoin is falling. Focus on the previously mentioned support levels, as well as on the local resistance 7.05, the break of which may provoke a prolongation of growth
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Consolidation after a trend breakout. Long-Squeeze?FX:GBPUSD may test the local support amid the pre-news correction of the DOLLAR. Traders are waiting for inflation data, high volatility is possible
The fundamnetal situation is predisposed in favor of the pound sterling, which has an advantage on the back of the falling dollar, which is likely to take a medium-term position on the back of the Trump administration.
Technically, GBPUSD is consolidating above the key support zone of 1.286 - 1.280 below which a huge pool of liquidity has formed which could be tested before the trend continues.
Important news ahead. Traders are waiting for CPI data. High volatility is possible
Resistance levels: 1.2938 (trigger)
Support levels: 1.2868, 1.281, 1.2728
Bulls may be aggressive and keep the price from correcting downwards. In this case, price consolidation above 1.2938 could be a good entry point for the continuation of growth. But because of the upcoming news, I would prefer to wait for a retest of the liquidity zone 1.2868 - 1.281 before taking action to open a position.
Regards R. Linda!
Gold's Crazy Run: New All-Time High of 2994 - Reaching the TopFirst off, congratulations to those who entered a Buy order following yesterday's plan that I posted earlier.
Gold is currently forming a small sideways range around the 2980-2990 area, and I believe there will be another upward push to grab liquidity from those entering SELL orders around this zone. This will create market panic, reaching a peak where no one dares to participate anymore. At that point, Gold will experience a strong correction.
Therefore, today's Asian and European sessions will likely see a sideways range between 2980-2990, and the beginning of the US session will see an upward push to grab liquidity above the 3000 USD/oz level. The US session will then conclude with a price drop. If Gold's scenario plays out as expected, we can anticipate a profit-taking day from investors next Monday
Thank you for your review, and I hope you'll stay longer by pressing Follow.
Gold (XAU/USD) - Potential Liquidity Sweep Before ReversalGold has been in a strong uptrend, forming a rounded bottom pattern, which led to a breakout above key resistance. Currently, price is consolidating near the all-time high (ATH) around $3,005, suggesting a potential liquidity sweep before a larger move.
📌 Key Observations:
Rounded Bottom Formation: A bullish reversal pattern led to a breakout.
Consolidation Zone: Price is ranging just below the ATH, likely gathering liquidity.
Liquidity Sweep & Weak Highs: The chart suggests a push above the ATH to trigger stops before a potential reversal.
Projected Bearish Move: A break lower could lead to a corrective move towards $2,920 - $2,800 in the coming sessions.
⚠️ Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario: A clean breakout above ATH with strong volume could invalidate the bearish setup.
Bearish Scenario: If the liquidity sweep occurs and price fails to hold above ATH, a strong sell-off could follow.
Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering any positions. Stay cautious and manage risk effectively!
📊 What are your thoughts? Will gold continue higher or reverse? Share your views below!
#XAUUSD #Gold #Trading #Forex #LiquiditySweep #ATH
EURJPY still bullish for expect
OANDA:EURJPY strong bullish push we are have on start of month, thoughts are strong bullish volume is gathered and the we can see still here bullish trend.
Currently price is in ASCENDING CHANNEL, expecting to see break of same and new bullish push.
SUP zone: 158.500
RES zone: 164.500
EURUSD Faces Resistance zone – Will Bears Take Over?The EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) has reached the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) as I expected in my previous post . Can the EURUSD break the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) ?
EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) , the Resistance line , and Yearly Resistance(1) .
According to the Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD seems to have completed 5 impulse waves and we can expect Corrective Waves .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the EURUSD to decline to at least the Support zone($1.0817-$1.0760) in the coming hours after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel . One of the EURUSD targets could be as wide as the ascending channel .
Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916), we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD → Testing ATH. High chance of a breakout 2954FX:XAUUSD in the distribution phase of the previously formed consolidation. The price is testing ATH and the market has all chances for a breakout and further update of the high. We are close to 3K
Gold price continues to rise, approaching a record high of $2,956, amid fears of a global trade war. Lower US inflation has weakened the dollar and bond yields, boosting demand for gold. Markets now await PPI data, but escalating trade conflict remains key.
Technically, gold is testing global range resistance a month after last touching it. I don't like to trade primary breakouts in such a case and the ideal scenario would be to wait for a small consolidation near the level or a correction to 2945 - 2935 before the metal starts to tetse 2954.5 for a breakout
Resistance levels: 2954.5
Support levels: 2945, 2935, 2930
As a first move I expect a pullback after resistance test. A retest of 2954.5 (retest) will mean that buyers are ready to break the resistance and go higher.
BUT, we have important news today. Gold could break the level without a pullback. A close above 2954.5 will trigger a rally.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Retest of 2926 before a possible breakout. CPI aheadGold is rising after long-squeeze and consolidating at the top of the 2926 - 2893 range, which is generally a hint that the market is getting ready to break resistance. But it all depends on CPI
Traders awaiting US CPI data. The dollar is partially recovering before the news, which is holding back gold, which continues to consolidate in front of 2921, but weak inflation data may push prices up again.
New trade measures as part of Trump's tariff war and geopolitical tensions are having an additional impact. The negative part for the markets presents the lack of a clear position of the leaders of the countries and constantly changing opinions: then they specify tariffs, then cancel them. Inadequate swings in the markets.
Resistance levels: 2920, 2926
Support levels: 2910, 2905, 2893
Emphasis on 2926, breakdown of this level will trigger a bullish rally. Now the price is trying to get out of the local consolidation to test 2926, from which a small correction is possible before another breakout. The focus on CPI, weak data may support further price growth.
Regards R. Linda!