AUDCHFAUDCHF is trading in ascending channel but it seems like the buying stream is being limited. As the pair has started to form bearish candles from resistance zone. Currently the pair is hovering at local resistance zone but looks like sellers will take charge and continue to downside.
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Ascending Channel
GOLD → Gold is consolidating, there could be a lot of traps.OANDA:XAUUSD updates the local high, forms a retest, but cannot pass the area. The price is forming a correction that may reach the trend support area
Within the medium-term perspective on D1, the price is forming a setup for medium-term sales, but there is no confirmation yet. On the local chart the price is in an uptrend and is preparing to continue rising. On the d1 chart on the left we see consolidation formation for 4-5 days, most likely gold may try to break the resistance to reach the liquidity area of 1925 and 1935, but from the mentioned resistance area in the medium term price may react in a bearish way. At the moment gold is slowly rising and at the same time forming strong bearish impulses, the market is saving energy to move in one direction or the other, partly the situation depends on the DXY dollar index.
Support levels: 1916, 1910
Resistance levels: 1920, 1925, 1930
I expect consolidation in the specified range, a false breakout of one of the trend boundaries or flat is possible, while the market is consolidating it is difficult for us to determine the exact future direction.
Regards R. Linda!
Ascending Channel on XPT/USD @ D1An ascending channel pattern formed on the daily chart of the XPT/USD pair (Platinum CFD) after a downtrend that lasted for about one month. It can now be used for a bearish breakout trade setup. The pattern's borders are marked with the yellow lines. The potential entry level is at the cyan line. The potential take-profit level is at the green line. The position of both lines is calculated based on the channel's width. The stop-loss is to be set to the high of the breakout candle (or to the high of the preceding candle if the breakout one is trading mostly outside the channel) - it isn't shown on this chart.
🥇GOLD - Support Retest. What can it lead to? Gold continues to strengthen.On Monday, the price is strengthening and testing the nearest key resistance. On the D1 chart we see a bearish trend, and on the local chart a gradation of resistances from 1922 to 1916 is forming, forming a tightness
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Gradually declining highs points form a bearish trend
2) Price forms a rebound after updating the local minimum
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Gold is in a bullish channel
2) A rebound from support is forming and the price is testing 1918.97.
3) A bounce from resistance to support may be followed by a bounce to support and then price may strengthen and form a shakeout against 1916-1922 before falling further.
4) From Friday to Monday we see a strong spike down - a shakeout in the market, now price may see the same thing, only upwards.
Key resistance📈: 1918.97
Key support📉: 1911, 1910
💱GBPJPY - Support retest on the background of bullish trend GBPJPY is forming an ascending price channel, but at the same time we see a reversal pattern forming and a retest of trend support.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price breaks the resistance at 184.76 and forms a local high of 186.764
2) The liquidity area forms a density from which the price bounces and tests the key resistance
TA on the low timeframe:
1) An ascending price channel is formed
2) The price bounces from the trend support and forms a retracement of 184.800.
3) If the level is broken, bullish momentum is possible
4) If the price does not break the resistance, returns to the support retest, then we should wait for the support breakout for further sales
Key resistance📈: 184.800
Key support📉: 184.47
GOLD → XAU bumps into a strong resistance area OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form counter-trend correction within the upward price channel. On the global timeframe the resistance area 1920-1935 plays an important role, the price is testing it
Globally, the market has a bearish trend, an upward correction is forming on the 1H while the DXY continues its strengthening. The forex market, where the dollar is in a sign, as with XAUUSD has already broken the support area, most likely this can be taken as a premise.
DXY continues to strengthen after consolidation and forms momentum towards 105.5 area, which could bearishly affect XAU pricing.
Gold bounces off trend support and heads towards 1920 resistance but falls short. The liquidity area has a big impact and prevents the price from approaching a local high. The price is at a strong resistance, a fall and a possible retest is likely to follow
Resistance levels: 1920, 1922.5
Support levels: 1912
The market has been strengthening since the opening of the session, but still can't update the local maximum. If the bulls do not let the price above 1919.45, it will be the beginning of further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → The currency pair will form a correction before the falFX:GBPUSD breaks the trend support and is in the red zone, but the price may form a false breakdown and counter-trend correction before further fall
On the chart we see a global uptrend within the price channel, but at the moment of strengthening of the dollar, the currency pair gbpusd breaks the support of the trend and is in the red zone.
As part of the breakout and strong impulse, the price is testing the flat support and may form a false breakdown of 1.26065, followed by local growth either to 1.26800 or to the previously broken channel line (counter-trend correction)
Most likely, the dollar will continue to strengthen and thus weaken the pound, which will affect the chart. In the medium term, we may see a fall to the above support lines
Resistance levels: 1.26065, 1.26800
Support levels: 1.25600, 1.24868
I expect the formation of upward correction before the further fall of the price.
Regards R. Linda!
HZN ASX Price action has been adhering to the uptrend channel for a while. Tested res @ 0.165 several times and a base forming on the 0.150 support with the 200 day EMA coming in.
Might look for a slight retrace and see whether this candle closes above the 10 day EMA. Has respected most of the uptrend with solid support & resistance points interacting with the 200 day EMA.
Watching:
28/8/23
0.160
GOLD → Prerequisites for further decline, or?OANDA:XAUUSD is within the descending price channel. The trend break occurred at the end of June. Within the current channel, the price makes a false breakdown of 1902 and forms a rebound to resistance, which many perceived as a trend change, but it is not so
There are not many key news releases this week, but all of them are published on Wednesday, they are worth paying attention to, for the data indicator will provide us with a medium-term insight for pricing:
1) SP Global US Services PMI
2) ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
3) ISM Non-Manufatiruong Prices
Monday is a day off in the US, hence we do not expect high volatility.
From the technical analysis point of view:
The price is in a descending price channel. The nearest resistance that may play an important role for the price is at 1920, 1935, on Monday and Tuesday the price is likely to reach this area before falling further. Why am I expecting a fall? Pay attention to the DXY chart. The dollar index has consolidated above the strong 103 level, forming an impulse and testing a false break of 104.3. In the medium term, the DXY could continue to rise towards 105.65, which would give a bearish push for gold
Support levels: 1902.9, 1884
Resistance levels: 1920, 1935.5
The direction of the dollar will give us the primary movement of the gold price in the first half of the weekly session, the news on Wednesday will determine the further movement.
Regards R. Linda!
Zooming out in Crypto InvestingLet's take a step back and chat about the power of zooming out when it comes to analyzing Bitcoin's price chart. It's like getting a bird's-eye view of the crypto landscape – and trust me, it's full of valuable insights. Ready to dive into the benefits of zooming out and uncovering a decade-long ascending channel? Let's go!
🔍 The Magic of Perspective: Imagine looking at a single brushstroke versus the entire painting – that's the essence of zooming out. When you expand your view, you're not just seeing the trees; you're taking in the entire forest. Zooming out offers context, a broader picture, and a chance to spot long-term trends.
🚀 A Decade of Growth: Believe it or not, we've been riding the crypto rollercoaster for over a decade. And guess what? Bitcoin's price action during this time has been unfolding within an ascending channel – a dynamic corridor of growth. This channel showcases higher lows and higher highs over the years.
💡 The Power of Patterns: Identifying a long-term pattern like the ascending channel can provide valuable insights for investors. It's like having a roadmap for potential price movements. Higher lows and higher highs suggest an overall bullish sentiment in the long run.
📈 The Investment Angle: For investors, zooming out is like tapping into the matrix of market movements. It's not just about day-to-day fluctuations; it's about understanding the overarching trend. And the ascending channel might just be the canvas where Bitcoin's future is being painted.
🌐 The Big Picture: So, where does this take us? Over the past ten years, Bitcoin's price has been following a steady trajectory within the ascending channel. While there will always be short-term fluctuations, the long-term trend indicates a gradual upward momentum.
So, what's the big takeaway from this zooming-out adventure? 🌄 It's all about gaining perspective, understanding the long-term trend, and making more informed investment decisions. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious newcomer, taking a step back can be the key to unlocking a clearer view of the crypto journey.
Stay curious, keep those charts zoomed out, and get ready to ride the waves of the crypto future with a newfound clarity! 📊🌊
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🥇GOLD - Rally. The price strengthens and forms a retest XAUUSD surprises by forming a rather strong movement on the background of weak news. This movement is based on technical factors, namely the realization of consolidation within the framework of correction on the background of bearish trend
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price is correcting and aiming for resistance at 1937.5
2) Globally we have a bearish trend, locally this trend is opposite to the global one.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) I have marked support at 1918 and an ascending support line
2) Price may form a liquidity retest if this area is retested. If sellers sell the level on a pullback, price will break support and fly to 1900
3) At the moment there is a chance that from 1918 area the price will break up and hit 1930.
Key support📉: 1918.9, trend line
Key resistance📈: 1930
USDJPY → Double top on the background of the uptrend FX:USDJPY continues to form an ascending price channel. After breaking one of the resistance lines, the price is forming a pattern that could weaken the price during the DXY stop.
On the chart, I have marked two levels that are quite close to each other. Pay attention to the levels 145.06 and 144.9. The price forms a correction after the formation of a double top reversal pattern, to realize the pattern the price needs to wait for confirmation (breakout of the base of the pattern).
If the price returns above the level of 145.06 and forms consolidation of the price above the level, then in the short term the currency pair may update the local maximum and test the trend resistance
If the price breaks the support at 144.9 and forms consolidation below the level, we will see a fall to the support zone.
Resistance levels: 145.06, 145.515
Support levels: 144.9, 144.59
Consolidation near these levels in the short term will determine the future direction, our task is to follow the price reaction to these key points.
Regards R. Linda!
💱GBPUSD - Rising channel. Is growth to 1.29000 possible? GBPUSD forms a rebound from 1.26525 support and forms a local counter-trend correction
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price in the range of 1.28484 - 1.26525
2) After a false breakdown of support there is a potential for strengthening to resistance
TA on the low timeframe
1) A local bullish channel is formed
2) Price consolidates at support and forms a retest of resistance
3) Within the up-trend, the retest of 1.27836 may form a breakout and growth to 1.29000.
Key support📉: 1.27155
Key resistance📈: 1.27836
CADJPY → Ascending triangle. Waiting for a breakthrough FX:CADJPY is forming a local upward trend. The currency pair is gaining resistance at 108.12 and forming an ascending triangle, most likely we will see some development in the near future.
The currencies are weakening on the background of fundamental and geopolitical nuances, but the currency pair is getting stronger, overcoming one of the key levels at 107.6. Globally, CADJPY is in a bullish trend, but for the last few weeks the price has been stopping and forming a flat. Within the flat we see prerequisites for further growth.
Earlier, the SMAs were tested, which now act as support.
Resistance levels: 108.12 109.47
Support levels: 107.6, pattern support
According to the mentioned prerequisites, I expect a retest of the figure resistance with further breakout and growth to the mentioned resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - will crash to 10,000! (Proof here)
10k in April 2024? This is not sci-fi, but a real scenario that is probably going to happen! Make sure you are ready for what is coming. In this analysis, I will tell you all of the reasons.
Bitcoin is extremely weak compared to the stock market or gold. While gold almost hit an all-time high, Bitcoin is near its low from November 2022, which is 16K. The current price of Bitcoin is 26k, and the previous all-time high was 69k. Compared to gold, Bitcoin should be worth 60k at this moment, but it's not.
A few days ago, we had a massive sell-off, not only on Bitcoin but on all altcoins. The charts on the majority of altcoins look absolutely bearish. We have entered a new bear market. No coin from the high-cap category looks bullish, to be honest.
From a technical perspective, the price is now below the 200-week simple moving average and also below the 20-month simple moving average. The bulls are not strong enough to sustain the uptrend, so it looks like the bears are in full control again, and it can be really nasty. I can see another 70% crash on DOGE and SHIBA.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
10k is definitely a strong support that should hold! I believe this will be the bottom on Bitcoin because we have the 0.618 FIB retracement and the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern from 2020.
On the chart, you can see my Elliott Wave count. Pretty much every Elliott Wave trader has bullish and bearish scenarios prepared. This is clearly my bearish scenario. Bear market 2022: impulse wave 12345; bull market 2023: triple three WXYXZ; bear market 2024: impulse wave. We can complete the ABC correction in April 2024.
Let me know in the comment section what you think about a crash to 10k! Are you prepared or all in?
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
💱EURCAD - Symmetrical triangle before the impulseEURCAD stops near strong resistance and on the background of bullish trend the chart is forming a pattern that can form both upward and downward momentum
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Globally, a bullish trend is visible, but before strong resistances the price stops and forms consolidation
2 Consolidation is forming between key liquidity areas
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A symmetrical triangle is formed against the background of a bullish trend
2) Positive aspects of this pattern are that it is clear where to open trades (border breakout).
3) But, at the same time, in a bullish trend the price can break the support of the pattern and we will see a correction.
4) It is not important for us which of the borders will be broken, we need to wait for a signal, and it will be a breakout of the border with subsequent consolidation below or above the line.
Key support📉: lower triangle boundary, 1.47000.
Key resistance📈: upper triangle boundary, 1.47978
GOLD → Prerequisites that the price will continue to fall OANDA:XAUUSD finally breaks the medium-term support line and updates the low to 1885. The trading week closes near the local support level, which indicates that the market is ready to continue the trend
This week ended positively for the dollar, the metallo reacted as expected.
There are several important news items to watch out for in the coming week:
1) Building Permits
2) SP Global US Services PMI
3) Core Durable Goods Orders
4) Initial Jobless Claims
5) Fed Chair Powell Speaks
There is talk within the FED that the market is not ready to weaken yet as inflation is still at a high level, but again, rumours and facts affect the market in categorically different ways
From a technical analysis point of view the market is preparing to decline further as the global upward price channel was broken earlier, price breaks strong support and also breaks MA200, at the end of last trading session price closes very close to the risk zone, breaking through which will form a downward momentum.
Support levels: 1885
Resistance levels: 1902.9
The market is weak, the dollar index continues to strengthen actively, which may continue to negatively affect gold.
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSD → An impulse that scares the buyer. What's next? BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is breaking the 26700 support and MA-200 forming a strong bearish momentum, but at the same time the price is not breaking the bullish channel. In terms of global outlook, the price is still in an uptrend
Pay attention to the weekly chart on the left. Price is forming momentum and a strong distributive move towards the strong support at 25000. The level is important for us, has a double confirmation, the first confirmation was from the sellers side, the second from the buyer side. I think that another retest, and especially after the distributive movement, may give us either a reversal or at least a strong bullish reaction.
Traders are waiting for fundamental confirmation for cryptocurrency action. At the moment it is the approval from the SEC of BTC-ETF futures applications. This will give a new breath to the market.
Most likely, this movement within the uptrend may be triggered for the sake of buying the asset at a lower price before further strong growth
The moving averages are acting as resistance. The market is in a correction phase.
Support levels: 25000, 24819
Resistance levels: 26707, 28474, 30575
The market is in the phase of a bullish trend, a correction is forming within the upward channel on the garfish, which may end near support
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin is starting to crash to 20,330 USD! (emergency)
The major uptrend from 15500 to 32000 is over, and the bears are stepping in! I expect 20330 to be hit in the next few weeks, so make sure you are prepared for it!
We can clearly see that the major trendline / parallel channel is breaking down! The price is below the trendline, and what's more, if we take a look at altcoins such as ETH, it confirms this analysis!
We have finished the first cycle (1) of a huge (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) impulse wave. Now we are in cycle (2), which will send the price of Bitcoin to 20330, according to my technical analysis. Why 20330? We still have the unfilled CME GAP, which you know because I have been talking about it for more than a few months. Also, we have the 0.618 FIB retracement in confluence.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, waves marked as (1) have usually deeper retracements, such as 0.618, 0.764, or almost 1:1. It also tends to fill previous gaps because breakaway gaps usually appear when wave (3) starts.
It took 234 days for wave (1) to be completed. Compared to the stock market or gold, Bitcoin is struggling this year. Gains were overall pretty low.
Bitcoin has been going sideways for a long time, and the direction is unclear. The volatility index on Bitcoin is at extreme lows, so a big move is expected! A big pump at the current price doesn't make too much sense. But a big dump is definitely on the table.
Let me know what you think about BTC in the comment section!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
💱EURCAD - Ascending triangle EURCAD continues its bullish trend. The price is testing the resistance on the background of upward movement. There is a chance for a quick breakout
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Accumulation is formed near the level of 1.47728. At the next retest, the price may break the resistance
2) The liquidity area of interest for the price is above 1.48560.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A triangle is forming
2) Price bounces off the support on the background of a bullish trend
3) A retest of resistance is forming, increasing the chance for a breakout
Key resistance📈: 1.47600, 1.4796
Key support📉: 1.4700, 1.4654
CADCHF → Downtrend triangle on the background of a bearish trendFX:CADCHF under trend pressure is forming a setup to continue the trend and update the global lows.
The currency pair is in the bearish phase. The price continues to decline and test the strong limit support line at 0.64990.
A descending triangle pattern is forming on the chart, which can be interpreted as pressure from dynamic sellers on limit buyers at 0.64990. The price is within the descending price channel, a retest of the trend resistance each time sends the price to the indicated support - a strong signal for a breakout
Moving averages act as resistance
Support levels: 0.64990
Resistance levels: trend boundary, 0.65450
I expect a bounce from resistance, which will lead the price to another retest of support, which may help the price to breakout.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Secret parallel channel! (Important update)
Bitcoin is bullish, and I expect its price to reach levels above $30,500 in the short term! That's because we have this secret parallel channel that no one talks about. It's important to take profit on your intraday trades at the top of the parallel channel!
I believe Bitcoin can rise much more, to 32k, until the end of the month. But of course, volatility on Bitcoin is currently extremely low, so this can take some time.
I recommend buying XRP for the long term; the current price is very good. Check out my previous analysis on XRP in the related section down below.
But be really careful in September, because this is statistically the worst-performing month for Bitcoin. Usually, Bitcoin goes down during this period of time. But after that, we have October and November, and these months are, on the other side, extremely bullish!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin has completed the complex correction double three (WXY). We can definitely start a new impulse wave from here, but it can also transform into a triple-three pattern (WXYXZ).
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
This was a quick update on BTC. Some altcoins are pumping heavily, but these pumps are most likely a game of whales. To catch these coins, you have to sit on the right coins before it happens.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!