USDJPY in a Downward ChannelUSDJPY has been trading in an upward channel for the past month, which suggests a bullish trend in the pair. However, over the past week, the price has consolidated into a downward channel, indicating a possible reversal or correction in the trend.
It is important to note that a downward channel is a continuation pattern, which means that it is likely to continue in the direction of the previous trend. In this case, as the previous trend was upward, it is possible that the price may break out of the downward channel in the upward direction.
Traders should keep a close eye on the price action to identify the breakout direction and time. A break above the upper channel line would confirm the bullish continuation pattern, and traders could look for long opportunities. On the other hand, a break below the lower channel line would signal a bearish reversal, and traders could look for short opportunities.
It is important to exercise caution and wait for confirmation before taking any positions, as false breakouts can occur. Additionally, traders should use appropriate risk management strategies to limit their exposure to potential losses.
In summary, while USDJPY has been in an upward channel for the past month, it has consolidated into a downward channel over the past week. The continuation pattern suggests a potential upward breakout, but traders should wait for confirmation and use appropriate risk management strategies.
Ascending Channel
USDNOK - Resistance Becomes SupportHello Traders 💖
On The Daily Time Frame The USDNOK Price Reached A Resistance Level 10.55525-10.60426 ✔
Currently, The Price Broke The Key Level (Resistance Level Becomes New Support Level)
If Price Stays Above The Key Zone, USDNOK Can Create New Higher Low and Continue The Bullish Move 📈
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TARGET 1: 10.68262🎯
TARGET 2: 10.74918🎯
Netflix in the rising channelOn the chart we can see a rising channel. We expect that the price will retest the upsloping support trendline which would be our entry in long position.
From there we expect the price to go higher and eventually retest the upper boundary of the rising channel.
Invalidation of this thesis would be if the price breaks and closes below the upsloping support line.
Ascending Triangle #ISEEAscending Triangle on a range of a month here. If you look closely i used a pen to try and make things simple. Whenever a stock has this on its chart its a good thing! The only direction is up! Always keep a resonable entry level for a good out come on the target! OH yea! Bullish !! #ISEE i think we are on to something here. More charts coming soon
AUDJPY: Possible upward continuationThe AUDJPY currency pair has rebounded after touching a yearly ascending trendline on the weekly chart. Current indicators suggest that the uptrend is still intact, but a price level of 91.10 must be surpassed for confirmation.
On the 4-hour chart, the price is moving above the 100 and 200 moving averages and forming higher peaks within an ascending channel. The price has now reached a support area due to touching the ascending trendline and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the 100 moving average.
The expectation is that the price will continue to rise beyond the current resistance level.
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Ethereum - The downtrend is over! Time to buy again.
Ethereum is approaching a key support, and it's a good time to buy/long!
If we take the Fibonacci retracement for wave 3, the price is very close to the 0.618 level. Also, the previous wave 1 acts as a strong support, so we have a great confluence from the Elliott Wave and Fibonacci perspectives.
We should go up and make a new high to complete the impulse wave on this chart. I expect another small bull market on Bitcoin.
On the 4-hour and daily charts, we can clearly see an ascending parallel channel that has been destroyed by the bears recently. This channel should be at least retested, but I expect more.
What happens after we finish this impulse wave? You don't want to hear it, but Bitcoin is going to crash to 15k, so make sure you are prepared for it!
The true bull market will start in 2024.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
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CADCHF - Broken Descending Channel 🔥Hey Traders 💖
On The Daily Time Frame The CADCHF Price Reached a Strong Support Level !
The Price Formed a Descending Channel 📉
Currently, The Resistance Line of the channel is Broken 🔥
so, I Expect a Bullish Move
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TARGET: 0.67700🎯
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Is this the top for Bitcoin?One of the top reasons why i am turning bearish and puting my 46k level on hold is because bears have turned bullish after we broke every target that they set.
We also have volume decrising on the every push up which is the indication that the buying pressure is slowing down.
On the weekly timeframe we have a ascending channel that we just touched so rejection should come.
However on the 4 hourly timeframe we have ascendig channel and i expect a move up until we reach 31.2k where i am going to short, of course with the proper stop loss because we are still in abullish trend.
What do you are we going to get rejeted from the weekly channel.
Feel free to leave a comment.
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Thanks for wathing.
BTC TO THE MOON!!!
CSPR working on a double bottom breakoutThe enckline of the double bottom, which is also the top trendline of this rising channel shown here. Is currently still resistance, however should it start to close a few consecutive weekly candles above this neckline/top trendline and then trigger the breakout the target would be around 9 cents. *not financial advice*
AUDUSD - BROKEN CHANNEL 🔥Hello Traders 💖
On The Daily Time Frame The AUDUSD Price Reached a Resistance Level!
Currently, The Price formed an Ascending Channel 📉
The Support Line of the channel is Broken🔥
So, I Expect a Bearish Move 📉
i'm Waiting for a Retest...
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TARGET: 0.66090🎯
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DXY - Dollar comeback and stock market crash! (prepare for it)
The DXY index is currently sitting on the major support, and at this point, I think it's a good idea to speculate on a bounce from the support. As you can see, we have just retested the trendline on the monthly chart and retested wave (3) + wave 1.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we are missing a final impulse wave upwards to complete this bullish cycle on the DXY index: 2008 - 2023(2024?). Use your Elliott Wave count to compare with my analysis.
The final wave 5 should end right above the previous wave 3 because of the wave 2 deep retracement. I do not expect any brutal extended wave 5 to the moon.
After we reach my target (around 116), the ascending parallel channel will breakdown and the dollar will go down. I do not trade forex or stocks, because my specialization is only in the crypto market, but I am not only a trader; I am also an analyst, and I enjoy doing analyses for all kinds of markets. For maximum performance, it's best to focus only on 1 area, such as only on crypto, only on stocks, only on forex, only on commodities, and so on. The market behavior absolutely differs, and you have to use different tools and strategies. A strategy that is profitable on crypto gets totally REKT on forex. People who say that his strategy or trading system works on all markets are either scamming you or lying to you.
As I said, DXY is sitting on the major support on the monthly chart, and usually you want to long supports and short resistances. In this case, we want to long the support.
If DXY drops below 99, then it's over, and this channel is going to break down. Everything indicates that the recession is pretty much inevitable. And when the Fed pivots, a market crash is almost guaranteed.
Now the question is, when will we rise on the DXY? We could start consolidating at these levels before an uptrend, or we can start an uptrend very soon. This is an analysis of the monthly chart, so it could take another few months!
Q2 2023 could be still bullish for the crypto market!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
GBPNZD, ShortPrice action moving within an ascending channel which indicates a reversal is forming. Price could make one more leg up before a making its way to the lower boundary of the channel.
Thanks
Trade Safe
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SPX: Powerful Breakout! The Index Seems Unstoppable (For Now).• The SPX triggered the pivot point at 4k, which we mentioned in our last analysis, and the trend is now bullish (the link to my previous analysis is below this post);
• Now, the support levels are: 21 ema; 4k; and the lower purple trend line. The SPX would have to lose all these support levels, doing a downwards breakout from its Ascending Channel, in order to reverse the bullish bias;
• In the daily chart, the index broke the trend we talked about in our previous study, indicating that it is reversing the trend;
• What’s more, it triggered a bullish pivot point, as it broke the previous high at 4,039 after doing a higher low (3,909);
• Now it appears the index is seeking the next resistance at 4,078 (Futures already hit this resistance level);
• There is a possibility that the index triggered an Inverse Head & Shoulders chart pattern as well, indicating that the bullish reversal has just started. In this scenario we would easily hit the 4,200 in the next few weeks;
• I’ll keep you updated on this. For now, let’s pay attention to the movements in the 1h chart.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
Ethereum - Secret bear flag! (70% crash target)
Ethereum shows a lot of weakness on the major timeframe. You can see that the downtrend was pretty steep, and now we are in a bullish correction / consolidation.
The chart is printing a big bearish flag or ascending parallel channel, and I think we should test the upper trendline first before continuing lower below 900 USDT. The bear flag is a little bit hidden, but you can spot it with a little skill. We have been consolidating within this bear flag for almost a year now.
At least a 30% pump is very possible at this moment, and it will be a great time to take profits before a huge crash!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
You can see my Elliott Wave count on the chart. I don't know whats yours, but you can take some inspiration. A lot of people are very bullish at this moment, but the chart does not look bullish.
A trendline from 2015 on the ETHBTC chart is breaking down, which is a significant bearish technical event. Make sure you check out the trendline in the related section down below!
I can say that the majority of people are refusing to accept the fact that ETH and BTC could continue in the bear market. I can see it below my previous posts in the comment section, so I can make a pretty accurate conclusion. I also use this indicator for my analysis.
The major crash could occur in September 2023 or later. Now I think ETH will go up by 30%, even though I am not going to speculate on any longs at this point on ETH.
Choose some better altcoins, such as WAVES!
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TSLA: Lots of Technical Movements.• TSLA is still trading inside a congestion, between the resistance at $200 and the support around $186 - $187, which we talked about in our last public analysis (link below this post);
• Yesterday, TSLA did a downwards breakout from an Ascending Channel (purple lines), just to hit its support at $186 again, and now, TSLA is retesting the bottom of the channel as a resistance, as evidenced by the last red line;
• This movement follows the Principle of Polarity, which states that previous support levels are supposed to work as future resistance levels, and vice-versa;
• Despite the good reaction above the 21 ema, this alone isn’t good enough to make TSLA fly again.
• In the daily chart, we see a series of 6 bearish candlesticks, while it is just moving sideways. This is a sign of weakness, but as long as TSLA remains above its key support at $187, and the 21 ema, the trend will just remain sideways, not bearish;
• In order to do something new, TSLA needs to do a clear breakout from this congestion. So far, there’s no evidence pointing towards any direction, but probably we’ll see something new soon.
• I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
BITCOIN close to ascending channel resistance area ❌🧨Hello 🐋
we expected the retest of the resistance zone to be completed ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the resistance zone to the upside and just complete the retest, we will see more correction, at least to our lower trend line ❌🧨
otherwise
we can see more gain to upper resistance level ✔️🚀
if
breakout of the lower support zone be completed, we can see more correction to the downside ❌🧨
brief amount of green candlesticks to the upside before any other movement is logical 📖💡
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
Bitcoin is retesting a trendline from 2013! (right now)
This trendline is 10 years old, and Bitcoin is currently retesting it from the opposite direction. If this was the same trendline on the 1h chart, it's likely to go down at this point.
We have multiple touches on this trendline: 2013, 2015, 2015, 2020, and 2022 on the LOG scale. Make sure you switch to LOG scale to see it.
So what now? Will the bears step in and send bitcoin to 10k - 15k? Let me know in the comment section. I look forward to your comments!
But I want to tell you that this trendline is parabolic, and if it is reclaimed and followed, then theoretically the price of Bitcoin will be around 5 000 000 dollars in 2030, which is absolutely almost impossible, and the higher chance is that this world will end than this.
On the chart, you can also see previous halving dates and a prediction for the next halving, which should occur on April 8, 2024. Historically, Bitcoin always goes up after the halving, but we still need to wait more than a year for this event.
Meanwhile, we could experience a huge flash crash to liquidate high-leverage traders with a strong and steep rebound back to 30k. Bitcoin is very volatile, and a 50% or 80% crash is nothing.
I hope you like this short and juicy description. I don't want you to spend too much time reading, so let's get straight to the point.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
SPX: Trend Analysis + Key Points to Watch From Here.• The SPX is trading inside an Ascending Channel in the 1h chart. Today it is losing momentum, indicating that it could seek the bottom of this channel;
• Yesterday, the index failed in breaking the 4k, which is its most important key point. By breaking the 4k, we would see a bullish pivot point in the 1h chart, indicating that we could seek the higher line of this channel;
• If it loses this channel downwards, then it is very likely that it’ll seek its support at 3,808, which we mentioned in our previous analysis (the link to it is below this post, as usual).
• The problem is that in the daily chart, the trend is still bearish. There’s a purple trend line connecting the previous tops, and it seems it worked again yesterday;
• As long as the index remains under this purple line, the SPX won’t do any meaningful bullish reversal pattern;
• What’s more, there’s no clear bullish reversal structure in the daily chart yet. Yes, there’s a bottom at 3,909, which is higher than the previous one at 3,808, but without a higher high, the trend will remain bearish;
• Therefore, it is very important to watch how the index is going to react now that it just hit its major resistance in the daily chart, and if it’ll break its pivot point in the 1h chart;
• This is a defining moment for the SPX, and I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
A look at the inv h&s and rising channel on btcusdI focused on the bullish pennant btc recently broke up from on my last chart, so for this one I wanted to focus now on the inv h&s patterns and the rising channels since btc price action is now above them. The green inv h&s pattern is the most obvious one, however there is also one with an ascending neckline(in lavender) even though the lavender inv h&s is smaller than the green, because it’s neckline is slanted upward its breakout target is slightly higher than the larger green one. We can also see price action now above the teal blue rising channel. On the daily chart you can see how the bottom teal line is also valid with multiple touches, which essentially makes the channel twice as big as most people realize. I have posted the measured move targets for the top half of the ascending teal channel as well as a target for if the bigger channel is more valid. Odds are they are both valid but we will know by how close price gets to each target. There are several other bullish patterns I left off this chart as I wanted to focus on the most current patterns I’m currently focused on and with price action just now closing multiple daily candles above these patterns I knew now was the time to post a chart focusing on them. You can look back through my chart ideas to see all the other bullish chart patterns currently in play including a bullish pennant, descending channel that is also a potential inverse Bart, and the falling wedge that encompassed most of the bear market. *not financial advice*
AUDUSD - New Breakout !on the daily Time Frame The AUDUSD Price Reached a Resistance Level !
Currently, The Price Broke The Higher Low and Broke The Support Trendline 🔥
So, I Expect a Bearish Move 📉
i'm waiting for a retest...
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TARGET: 0.66085🎯
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BTC/USD - Analysis of recent events and a Double TopQuick BTC/USD analysis of the last few Months:
Looking at the Price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) Convergence/Divergence:
From Tuesday 13th Sept 22 until Saturday 5th Nov 2022 we had Convergence with the Price and RSI which indicated a reversal was most likely on its way.
Price = HH - LH (Higher High - Lower High)
RSI = HH - HH (Higher High - Higher High)
Next from Wednesday 9th Nov 2022 to Monday 21st Nov 2022 we had Convergence with the Price and the RSI which then lead to a reversal breakout.
Price = LL - LL (Lower Low - Lower Low)
RSI = LL - HL (Lower Low - Higher Low)
Next from Sunday 29th Jan until Tuesday 21st Feb 2023 we had Divergence with the Price and the RSI leading to the bearish reversal drop that we are still in today. I suppose you could start this Divergence sooner if you wanted, but i have started it on the 21st Feb 2023.
Price = HH - HH (Higher High - Higher High)
RSI = HH - LH (Higher High - Lower High)
Here is a closer look at the 1 day chart.
Here is a closer look at the RSI Indicator.
For those who are new and do not know, please note that Divergence/Convergence with the Price and RSI is indicted by the Straight Yellow Lines on the Chart and RSI Indicator.
A few other bits.
BTC has also created a Double Top Pattern as indicated by the 2 circles on the chart with arrows. The 1st Top was at Monday 15th Aug 2022 and 2nd Top was at Tuesday 16th Feb 2023. Note that BTC tried to get above this support level 3x and failed all attempts at closing above this resistance line.
BTC is still in an Ascending Channel Pattern, while it did break out of its Upper Resistance Trend-line, it did not CLOSE ABOVE it, so this Upper Resistance Trend-line is still valid.
Using the Lower Trend-line of the Ascending Channel and the Double Top Resistance line, we can also say that BTC may also be in an Ascending Triangle Pattern.
At the moment of typing this, BTC is still below its 50MA (Yellow Line) and has found some support from its 200MA (Red Line).
Looking at just the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) of the Ichimoku Cloud, we can see that BTC is in the Equilibrium Zone Inside the Cloud. Note that a successful daily candle CLOSE BELOW the 200MA will also bring BTC under its Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) support level into the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. Please note that i am not using the traditional 9,26,52,26 settings for this cloud.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands, we can see that we have had massive expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands for the negative side, BTC is still way below its Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and note that the Middle Band is still Pointing Downwards. Note that BTC is still walking on the underside of its Lower Band.
My thoughts:
While Silvergate Bank’s liquidation may have contributed to the drop we are still in, looking at this chart, we can clearly see that the Price and the RSI were already giving the warning signs back in February especially with the Double Top and Price/RSI Divergence. We will now have to see if the 200MA holds as Support, if it doesn’t then next is the Lower Trend-line of the Ascending Channel Pattern.
During these recession, it is iInteresting times ahead for BTC and the whole Crypto market. In any case, i hope this post has been informative and has helped those who are new to charting and using Price/Oscillator Convergence & Divergence to help predict possible price movement.