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Ascending Channel

GOLD → Lower interest rates are ahead. A stalemate... ↑↓FX:XAUUSD is consolidating between 2588 - 2562. But, buyers are not yet out of the game in the hope of continued growth. Then everything depends on the Fed. Welcome to the casino :) At 18:30 the FOMC & FED will meet to decide whether to cut rates. 0.25% or 0.5%. A 0.5% Fed rate cut could send a mixed signal about the state of the US economy: the Fed's concern about the economy, and that a “soft landing” may not turn out to be so soft, but it would be a strong bullrun signal for gold. A weaker policy, could provoke an unpredictable reaction, which would temporarily disappoint investors. In such a case, a correction to 2550-2525-2500 may form (price may bounce from any zone shown on the chart) before a further global rally, as the general tone of the market is set by the global Central Bank's interest rate cuts.... Resistance levels: 2575, 2588, 2600, ... Support levels: 2561, 2550, 2530 It is difficult to say about expectations, as the uncertainty is high due to the fact that the overall situation is stalemate, either this way or that way. I recommend to refrain from trading on the news and wait for the volatility to decrease . The trading range for today is very wide.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
AUDUSD → A reversal set-up. Rebound before the fallFX:AUDUSD is breaking the bullish market structure amid the counter-trend dollar correction related to fundamentals. The currency pair is bumping into a strong liquidity area... It will be difficult to pass the zone 0.6695 from the first time, because below this area there is a zone of high density of limit orders. Accordingly, as a reaction we see a false break of the support at 0.6699 (H4) and a rebound. Earlier there was a change of market character to bearish, rebound from the support may lead to recovery to 0.5-0.7 Fibo, from which further decline may resume to the key support from which 2 scenarios may develop. In a weak market the movement may continue, but if the general background starts to change (the dollar is in a bear market) the currency pair may start a recovery phase. Resistance levels: 0.674, 0.676 Support levels: 0.6699, 0.6686 Technically, we are waiting for a pullback to the specified zone (0.5 - 0.7 Fibo), further it is worth watching the price reaction to the specified zones. A price retest of the support will increase the chances of a breakout and further decline, but strong bulls may continue to resist the bears, which may lead to growth Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:AUDUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
GOLD → Is it worth going up against knives? No trading history.. FX:XAUUSD continues to renew its high without any strong pullbacks. Buyers continue to behave quite aggressively before strong news. But everywhere there are risks and BUT!!! There is a lot of news ahead before the important Fed meeting on interest rates, where they are likely to be cut. The question of “by how much” remains open, as weaker data (25 basis points) could trigger an unexpected reaction in the market that could lead to a correction.... But before that we have to face retail sales, CPI, FOMC.... Volatility will be elevated in the week ahead.... BUT! For intraday trading right now, there is such a problem as lack of history. You need to build a strategy from the general technical and fundamental background, as well as from local levels and key zones. BUT! The market is strongly bullish and before the news there can be both profit-taking and continuation of the rally.... Resistance levels: 2588, 2600, 2610 Support levels: 2577, 2573, 2563 The local range 2588 - 2577 is being formed. Before the news, traders may go into a consolidation phase, but we should keep an eye on the dollar, if it starts its downward flight, gold will react accordingly. Accordingly, a breakout of the local range boundaries may trigger a move to one side or the other. REMEMBER! The market is bullish! Selling without proper reasons is the same as going against knives! Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25
ETHUSD → Manipulating growth before liquidation BINANCE:ETHUSD is forming a counter-trend bounce and is aiming for strong resistance amid a bearish trend. The project is going through a rough patch, fumbling for a market bottom... ETH faces troubles:: WisdomTree has requested the withdrawal of its ETH (Ethereum Trust) fund registration application three years after filing with the SEC. Earlier, VanEck closed its futures ETH-ETF, citing lack of demand. Likewise, indicators suggest that Whale stopped accumulating ETH since July. Since then, they have been mostly selling. Technically, we see the market being squeezed by strong resistance: trend lines as well as moving averages, which may negatively affect the market, keeping the coin from rising. Resistance levels: 2375, 2460, 2510. Support levels: 2309, 2111 The coin is heading towards the resistance and liquidity area amid a bearish trend. This can be seen as a manipulated move to capture liquidity before further testing the intermediate bottom. I expect a decline from the mentioned zones towards 2100-2000. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
39
GBPJPY → Traders increase short, preparing for a fallFX:GBPJPY is unable to continue the uptrend. The price is breaking the price channel support, and the parabolic curvature can be interpreted as a set of short positions. The Japanese Yen continues to strengthen. GBP is forming a small correction since the Open of the session, and the Japnese national currency is accelerating northward. The parabolic curvature that is forming on the chart can be explained as a set or increase of short positions by large players. Such a maneuver indicates a possible strong and prolonged decline in prices. But, the focus is on the sideways range 192 - 189. Despite the fact that the price has left the channel, it is still in the range and the mentioned support restrains the market from falling. Resistance levels: 190.97, 192, MA-50 Support levels: 189 If the bears manage to break 189 and consolidate below, it will be the reason for the continuation of the decline to the global low. On D1 the price is pushing away from the strong zone and also shows bearish preconditions Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPJPY ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
24
EURUSD → Entry into the bullish zone. ! NFP ahead !FX:EURUSD is returning to a bullish plane relative to the ascending channel. Focus is on the 1.1100 obfuscation and the upcoming NFP data to be released later on Friday. Price is testing the global resistance level at 1.1125. Before the news, a struggle for the key zone may form or a pullback may be formed. The favorable NFP, which the markets are waiting for before a possible interest rate cut on September 18, may affect the decline of the dollar, which in turn will have a bullish effect on the currency pair. Unexpected data may close the price in the range of 1.120 - 1.105. Resistance levels: 1.114, 1.120 Support levels: 1.1099, 1.1047 The focus is on the resistance of the ascending channel and 1.110. If the bulls can take the defense above this zone, we should expect growth to 1.130 in the future. But a failed attempt may affect the pullback to 0.5 fibo or 1.1045. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
BNXUSDT → Liquidation on bullish trend before rising...BINANCE:BNXUSDT continues to correct and is heading towards global bullish trend support.Against the overall backdrop, the coin looks promising as one of the few continues to hold an uptrend.... Locally, BNX is testing the key liquidity area, a rebound to 1.300 may follow, but depending on the situation, there are various patterns indicating selling pressure on the market, such as: local lows, sma cross, closing bars at daily lows.... But, confidence is given by the overall trend. It is worth paying attention to the support 1.061 - 1.22, in this zone the struggle between the market participants is formed. The bulls may finally win if they are able to consolidate above 1.2000, but before that a long-squeeze or a scramble for support is possible. Resistance levels: 1.2000, 1.31, 1.425 Support levels: 1.14, 1.06, 0.95 Technically, the trend boundary and liquidity area has not been tested yet. There are no strong bullish signals and MM may form a trap (false growth, liquidation (sell-off) and false breakdown followed by growth). Emphasis on these key zones... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BNXUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
EURCAD still bearish expectations EURCAD in last week we are have strong bearish trend, technicalls are be strong bearish and one of impacts is come from USD weakened. On 4h TF we can see bearish expanding triangle, bounce from top zone of triangle is start on 26.8 price is fall 200PIPS. Now for new week, next periods, based technically here still strong bearish expecting. Based on price action can see 1.49500 strong zone is breaked on 30.8 Friday, which will use for one more good sign for bearish still to see. TP1: 1.47100 (200) All best, here for comments, stay tuned!
Short
by DepaTrading
GOLD → Area of Interest 2475. What's next? 2450 or 2500?FX:XAUUSD is shedding downward on the background of unexpected NFP, which was published on Friday. The dollar is rising, which is generally negative for the metal. But, globally, gold is still strongly bullish.... The first half of the week should be extremely quiet, as important news will not start to arrive until Wednesday. Traders are waiting for CPI, PPI, as well as the Fed meeting scheduled for September 18, where they are expected to make a decision on interest rate cuts. A rate cut makes currencies cheaper, which only increases the interest in gold. Technically, the price of gold can't consolidate above 2500 and is trading below the critical level of 2494, indicating buyer weakness, which goes into the accumulation or waiting phase.... Resistance levels: 2493, 2500 Support levels: 2485, 2475, 2450 Technically, it is worth considering a decline and a retest of 2475, as after the upward rally from below there is a huge pool of liquidity that attracts the market. Further, further scenario will depend on the market reaction to the range support: False breakdown may give a chance for growth to 2500, and breakdown and consolidation below 2475 may provoke longsqueeze to 2450. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
16
GOLD → Aggressive bulls and double bottoms. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is testing the support of the range, forming a double bottom and distribution. Buyers are not ready to say goodbye to 2475, aggressively holding this area. Price is heading towards the upper end of the range. Bulls held global support, bringing price back to ATH amid expectations of key economic data from the US. NFP, and inflation data on Friday weigh on markets' assessment of the size of the Fed's rate cut this month. Gold traders will be focused on ADP private sector employment data, Initial Jobless Claims and ISM services PMI. Technically, the focus is on the 2526 - 2504 range. Such a strong move (distribution) is fraught with a false breakdown and rebound, but there are fundamental nuances: favorable news can strengthen the rally and break the resistance, while negative news can turn the price all the way to 2475. Resistance levels: 2526, 2531 Support levels: 2510, 2504, 2494 Emphasis on the retest of resistance 2526. High probability of a rebound to 0.5 fibo. Further, the market will be influenced by economic data, which will be published from 12:15 GMT. It is not excluded that the price will reverse earlier or fly to 2550. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
43
EURUSD → A retest of the liquidity zone. Ready to go to 1.130FX:EURUSD is testing the liquidity zone within the correction. False breakdown of the channel boundary may form another bullish potential for continuation of growth to 1.1300 The currency pair forms a false breakdown of 1.1123, after which it enters the correction phase amid a strong market. The price is testing 0.236 fibo on D1, forming a false breakdown we get a reaction in the form of a pullback. On H4 the situation is even more interesting: false breakdown of the support conglomerate: 0.5 fibo + channel boundaries, which only strengthens the bullish set-up. Today the focus is on CPI in the Eurozone, as well as Core PCE in the US. High volatility is possible and the news may set a short-term tone in the market. Resistance levels: 1.1099, 1.1201 Support levels: channel boundary, 1.1061, 1.1047 The task of the bulls is to keep the defense above the resistance of the ascending channel, as well as above the level of 1.1099 - 1.11, in this case the price will consolidate above the lower boundary of the new bullish channel, which will open for us the potential for growth to 1.1300. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
GOLD → Change of Mood (local). Correction phaseFX:XAUUSD is breaking the structure of the ascending channel amid the counter-trend correction of the dollar (fundamental reasons). Price closes in the range of 2526 - 2477, what could this mean? On D1, the market is bullish both locally and globally. But, fundamentally and geopolitically the situation is slightly changing, which favorably affects the dollar exchange rate, against which gold goes into a local phase of correction. There is low liquidity in the market today due to the closed US market. On H1, the focus is on the resistance 2505 - 2510, sma. False breakdown and price consolidation below these zones will confirm the absence of bullish potential, which may lead to price correction towards the lower boundary of the key range. Support levels: 2483 (D1), 2493, 2477 Resistance levels: 2505, 2510, sma The focus is on the global range 2526 - 2477, the price continues to trade inside and does not hint at a possible exit from this channel, accordingly, it is best to use the inturidian trading strategy. The main target is liquidity below the key support zones Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
16
NZDJPY for new week bullish expectations NZDJPY after BoJ is rise rates, we are have strong bearish trend in last periods from 12.7 till 5.8. In last periods we are saw USD weakened and we are can see JPY is start stagnating. In the meantime ASCENDING CHANNEL is be created and on 28.8 price is make break of same. And in next day 29.9 price is break and crucial zone (90.500), zone is fresh breaked, bullish trend is not make to much here and for new week still expecting here bullish push till next zone. TP1: 93.000 (160) TP2: 94.000 (260) All best, here for comments, stay tuned!
Long
by DepaTrading
GOLD → Retests of 2531 continue. Bulls want to go to 2550FX:XAUUSD continues to strive upward to overcome 2531. The price does not react to the dollar growth and forms a pre-breakdown consolidation in the format of an ascending triangle. US GDP data slightly cooled market expectations of a significant rate cut in September, the US dollar rebounded strongly. However, this failed to deter gold buyers, who continue to consolidate and move closer and closer to key resistance. Interest in gold is being instilled by geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe as well as the Middle East. Ahead is the PCE inflation data in the US. Traders are waiting for hot data, if expectations are confirmed by actual data, the market will continue sideways movement on the background of dollar correction. Technically, the consolidation has the character of a breakdown formation with the aim of breaking through 2531 and further growth to the psychological data. Resistance levels: 2531 Support levels: 2517, MA-50, trend We continue to watch 2531, another retest and slow price approach to the level may break this zone, which may form an upward impulse. But, unpredictable news may break the structure and finally close the price in flat until next week. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
5
GOLD → Inside the key range. Emphasis on MA-200 ↑FX:XAUUSD is once again testing the resistance of the 2531 range, but is not able to overcome it yet. At the same time the dollar is forming a flat in anticipation of important news.... “Dovish” expectations of the Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East will continue to support the price of gold. The Israeli army mobilized thousands of soldiers from special units in preparation for a major operation in the northern West Bank. Despite the bullish sentiment around the gold price, the upcoming Fedspeak could have an impact on the markets. Technically, the market is in a strong bullish trend, another range is forming and price is confirming its boundaries. Focus on trend support and SMA-200 on H1. If trend support fails to hold the price, gold may reach the lower end of the range, after which it will continue to rise. Resistance levels: 2517, 2531 Support levels: MA-200, trend, 2501, 2493 As long as the gold is within the ascending channel, we should consider long positions against the support. But if MM decides to lower the price, we should wait for correction to liquidity zones and count on growth from 2486, 2477. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
24
EURCAD → A change in sentiment to bearish. MA-200 breakdownFX:EURCAD breaks trend support and spills to the downside as funds increase long positions on the Canadian dollar, whose rise is directly linked to the fall in DXY. On D1, we see the currency pair returning to the range (1.5040 resistance) after a deep false breakdown. Accordingly, after the short-squeeze the market has potential - liquidity located at the bottom. Accordingly, in the nearest future the market may test 1.497, then 1.493. BUT! On H4 there is a strong zone of 1.498 ahead. There is a high probability of a false breakdown and correction before a further fall, because below this zone there is a huge pool of liquidity, which will not let the price pass the first time. Resistance levels: 1.506, 1.5085 Support levels: 1.498, 1.49 The 200&50 SMAs act as resistance, which indicates the current market sentiment. If the market is weak, a correction may not happen, bears may break the level quite quickly. In any case, it is worth watching the price reaction at 1.498 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURCAD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
How I Nailed a Perfect Breakout Trade Using a Simple Strategy*The following Analysis is made by my Trading BOT* Analysis of Your Trade: Descending Channel: Formation and Breakout: The descending channel is well-defined, indicating a corrective phase following an impulsive move. The breakout above the channel suggests a potential reversal or continuation of the prior trend, which appears bullish. Entry Timing: You entered the trade after the breakout from the descending channel. This entry aligns with a strategy to buy at the break of a corrective pattern, capitalizing on the resumption of bullish momentum. Resistance Zone (Blue Area): Initial Resistance Encounter: The blue horizontal line represents a resistance zone where price consolidated and failed to break higher on the first attempt. This is a good spot to watch for confirmation of a breakout or reversal. False Breakouts: There are some upper wicks visible in this resistance zone, indicating possible false breakouts or liquidity grabs. This suggests that many traders might have been stopped out before the true breakout occurred. Price Action Post-Breakout: Sharp Move Down: After the breakout, price made a sharp move down to retest the previous resistance (now turned support), which aligns with the principles of market structure where old resistance becomes new support. Correction and Continuation: The downward move appears corrective in nature, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows within a descending channel, after which the price breaks out and moves upwards sharply. Risk and Reward Considerations: Stop Placement: If your stop loss was placed below the previous swing low or the bottom of the descending channel, this would be a strategic placement to avoid being stopped out by market noise. Take Profit: Your target seems to be well-placed, considering the previous highs or a key Fibonacci level. The green area likely represents the take-profit zone. Volume Analysis: Confirmation with Volume: The volume spike during the breakout from the descending channel and the subsequent move up indicates strong buying interest, which is a good confirmation signal. Key Takeaways for Future Trades: Pattern Recognition: Identifying descending channels and their breakouts is a strong skill that can be leveraged in various time frames. Risk Management: Your trade shows a good understanding of risk management, especially if stops were placed beyond significant levels to avoid market noise. Confirmation Signals: Waiting for volume confirmation during breakouts is an excellent strategy to avoid false moves. Suggestions: Multiple Time Frame Analysis: Ensure that your lower-time-frame trades are aligned with the higher-time-frame trends or setups to increase the probability of success. Post-Trade Analysis: Continue reviewing your trades like this to refine your entry and exit strategies, especially around key zones like support and resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
GOLD → Consolidation in a bull market. Will we reach 2550?FX:XAUUSD is moving into a consolidation phase amid a strong bullish trend as buyers are waiting for catalysts for a new upswing. Buyers are still serious, and Central Banks of major economies continue to actively buy the metal. Fears of a wider Middle East conflict, have eased, at the same time the US Dollar paused its overnight recovery. The corresponding reaction - flat, we observe on the chart of gold. Further price direction appears to be northward, as it remains supported by the Fed's dovish sentiment on monetary policy and looming geopolitical risks in the Middle East. In addition, hopes of improved physical gold demand from India and China are likely to limit the decline in the gold price. Resistance levels: 2517, 2531 Support levels: 2501, 2493, 2477 Technically, since the price is in a range and tested the resistance area earlier, the MM has a liquidity target at the bottom. Consequently, gold may test support (false breakdown) before heading towards resistance again. Emphasis on the channel boundary, 2501, 2493, 2477. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
ETHEREUM → Readiness for realization ↑ Target 3300 BINANCE:ETHUSD ETH is consolidating in front of strong resistance. Bulls do not let the price down beyond 0.5 fibo. amid Friday's news, the cryptocurrency market is reviving and ETH has high chances to pass through 2800. A false breakout of the resistance of the range is formed, but instead of falling, the coin is consolidating, which is generally one of the pre-breakout nuances. Technically, it would be an ideal condition for me to wait for a prolonged consolidation near 2780-2800 followed by a price advance towards the zone with a breakout target. The liquidation that took place earlier rid the market of an unnecessary part of speculators, after which the whales went into an active accumulation phase, now ETH shows positive preconditions of readiness to go to the intermediate high and resistance of the global range. Support levels: 2717, 0.5 fibo Resistance levels: 2780, 2817 The market is bullish, as evidenced by some indicators, technical indicators on the chart, as well as the fundamental background. Accordingly, in the mid-term I expect the price to come out of the consolidation 2780 - 2550 and most likely this exit will be accompanied by a breakout of resistance and growth to 3300. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
19
GOLD → The bull market is testing ATH. What to prepare for?FX:XAUUSD consolidates above 2508 and flies to the key resistance - the border of the range. High probability of a false breakdown and correction before the subsequent growth. . The lively price growth is based on the sustained weakness of the U.S. dollar after the “dovish” remarks of U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at a symposium in Jackson Hole on Friday: “the Fed's easing cycle will begin in September”. The hedge asset, meanwhile, is also benefiting from escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East Focus on US durable goods orders data, which will be released later on Monday. Technically, strong resistance will be difficult to pass the first time around. MM may test the imbalance zone of 2520 - 2510 before returning for another retest of 2531, the target of which could be a breakout and rise to 2550. Resistance levels: 2531, 2550 Support levels: 2515, 2508 The global and local trends are bullish and the overall sentiment is clear. This tone is supported by the fundamental background from last Friday. Technically, the continuation of growth should be considered, as there are no prerequisites for a reversal or change of trend at the moment Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
ARB/USDT 15m / D BB & FVG / ELLIOT / LIQUIDATIONS / FIBOAccording to higher timeframes, the market sentiment is bullish. We are moving within an ascending channel with the potential to rise to 0.7416. To increase the probability of this outcome, the price needs to establish itself above the ascending channel. Locally, within the range of the daily breaker block (D BB) and the daily imbalance (D FVG), three potential entry points are visible: 1. Liquidity grab (Sellside liquidity) 2. 0.5 Fibo 3. 0.618 Fibo / bottom of the ascending channel 4. The target is the local high, which is at the midline of the channel. Locally, based on the EFIATR oscillator, volume, and liquidation levels, there is a likelihood of growth. According to Elliott Wave theory, a 5-wave pattern and an ABC correction in the 4th wave are visible, which further increases the probability of upward movement.
Long
by WoWAcEDuDe
3
EURUSD → ATH update, false breakdown, but there are nuances...FX:EURUSD continues to strengthen, updating the December 2023 ATH and forming a false breakout that could form a small correction before a possible rise. . The key level is 1.1123, as well as the high of 1.1173. The struggle for the lower level continues, bears are not letting the price up, expecting to capitalize on the correction before the news. The focus is on Powell's speech, which will take place at 14:00 GMT. His tone, prerequisites and comments could set a strong medium-term backdrop for the markets. Technically, 1.1075 has formed a pool of liquidity that could be of interest to MM. But we need to watch price behavior, a small correction and a retest of resistance or consolidation near the level will be a good signal that the bulls are ready to go higher. Resistance levels: 1.1123, 1.1173 Support levels: 1.1047, 1.1009 The price is currently in the consolidation phase. The correction may start, but if the price turns to retest 1.1123, it is worth considering a breakout strategy and further growth. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4