GOLD → $2500 is the psychological target. What happens next?FX:XAUUSD is flying upwards after ATH breakout. Powell's comments were positive for the market, which is generally reflected in the dollar and gold. The fundamental and technical background is favorable
Powell's comments about more progressive deflation are favorable for the market, the dollar is falling on this background and there is no end in sight yet. The Feds are considering the situation about prematurely lowering the interest rate without waiting for inflation to fall to 2%. The dollar index is moving into the sell-off phase, which allows gold to update ATH to 2482.
Technically, on H1 resistance is formed at 2482, breakout and consolidation of the price above that level will provoke another rally, within which the price may reach 2500-2525-2550. There is a lot of support, but from above there is emptiness and there are no obstacles. Heated investor interest may lead to a more global ATH.
Resistance levels: 2482, psychological 2500
Support levels: 2463, 2456, 2450
Formation of consolidation before continuation of growth is not excluded. In this case, the price may test the liquidity zone 2463, or imbalance zone located in the area of 2456-2450. But the trigger for the growth continuation will be the break of the indicated resistance.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Ascending Channel
EURUSD → The bulls can take us to 1.100 ↑FX:EURUSD maintains a bullish structure. Ahead is the key resistance from which a pullback may follow before further growth.
On Saturday, there was high-profile news related to the attack on former US President Trump. The markets expected a more violent reaction from the opening, but in general only a small gap was created and it was dealt with rather quickly. Accordingly, the situation is stable. Fundamentally, everything is positive enough with the aim of continuing growth, but today at 16:30 GMT Powell speaks and it is worth to pay attention to his speech.
Technically, the key resistance at 1.0916 is ahead, from which a pullback may follow, as this strong area will not be broken at the first time.
Resistance levels: 1.0916
Support levels: 1.08522
There is a high probability of a rebound from resistance. As part of the correction, the nearest liquidity area may be tested before the subsequent retest of resistance, breakout and growth to 1.10
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → ATH Testing. Fundamental background is favorable FX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen as the fundamental background improves. A rate cut is coming, as hinted by Powell, the dollar is poised to decline against this backdrop....
According to Powell, the Fed has "more evidence and confidence" that inflation is cooling, so they may cut rates before inflation reaches the 2% target. Traders generally believe in the continuation of the growth of the metal, technically this background is also maintained.
The price is approaching the ATH, but the liquidity behind this zone may push the price back, forming a small correction, for example to 2430-2420 before the price starts to return to 2450 before rising further.
Resistance levels: 2440, 2450
Support levels: 2430, 2420
Fundamentally and technically the background is favorable. It is worth looking for strong zones to open long trades, but it is worth paying attention to ATH, as a false breakdown could form a correction. The growth may continue rather quickly
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → The bulls are holding their ground. Target 1.29FX:GBPUSD shows bullish outlook ahead of strong news publication. GBPUSD continues to strengthen on the overall fundamental backdrop.
The market is reacting weakly to the resistance area as, against the backdrop of a relatively weak dollar buyers are taking initiative towards GBP. Strong news ahead. Powell speaks again today, tomorrow the UK GDP is published, as well as the US CPI. The news can both strengthen the growth and reverse it.
Technically, the currency pair looks quite bullish. The price consolidation above 1.28 will be a good point for the continuation of the rise to 1.29 and 1.30.
But, the structure will be broken when 1.2775 is broken, in this case we can expect a correction to 1.27 - 1.266.
Resistance levels: 1.28, 1.289
Support levels: 1.2775, 1.2708
Fundamentally and technically everything is positive, I continue to consider further strengthening under a number of conditions described above. The potential target is 1.29
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Satoshi is AIQuestions and Answers:
1)
Question: According to many YouTubers, Bitcoin is people's money and is supposed to take away power from banks and potentially end the era of central banks and their money printing.
Answer: This is incorrect. Bitcoin has full support from banks. In 2024, a lot of Bitcoin ETFs were launched. One of them is the ETF from BlackRock. With their power, they can make a 51% attack on Bitcoin and get rid of it.
2)
Question: The conspiracists shockingly believe that bitcoin is part of a “final beast system,” which is taking over the world through hard infrastructure.
Answer: Bitcoin is the next money into a purely cashless, digital form. Combined with biometrics, it creates the necessary technological infrastructure for a one world cashless ID, otherwise known as the mark of the beast, which AI will use for complete economic surveillance and control over the human race. 1 wallet per 1 person, monitored 24/7, limited spending power and suspended anytime by government. Is that what you want?
3)
Question: Would crypto currencies like bitcoin or ethereum be part of the AI future?
Answer: Yes, smart contracts and blockchain have a great use case in AI.
4)
Question: Did the CIA or NSA create Bitcoin?
Answer: Yes. Bitcoin was created by a shadow government. One of the reasons is to eliminate cash on the planet. The banking system is in trouble because people are starting to wake up (not fast enough, though) to the fact that it is all funny money. So they developed Bitcoin, which sounds just great and pulls in all the people who are waking up.
We all know that the shadow government has technology that is not available to the public. Some people say they may be 50 or 100 years ahead, and they already used AI systems decades ago before they released them to the public.
5)
Question: What AI technology we use today?
Answer: This AI technology is not new. It's not created by humans. It's part of a huge Galactic AI system that is in existence for a very long time, more than you can imagine. This technology was bringed to this planet by unspecified entitites.
6)
Question: What is required for AI to run?
Answer: It required electricity, microchips, computers, internet. The whole infrastructure that was build on Earth in past 100 years was one of the reasons to implement AI.
7)
Question: How may future look with AI?
Answer: Elon Musk already developing Neuralink, which is an interface to connect your brain into an AI cloud system. That means your thoughts that you have will not be yours, but will come from the AI systems. AI will tell you what you will eat, what sport you will play or what you will do during the day. This is of course part of the transformation process from organic human to a cyborg. We all know that modern technology such as wifi, bluetooth or electronic devices are not healthy and causing anxiety and depression. Human body is entirely not compatible with this technology. It breaks the highest natural law of life. Anyone who consciously support this is basically jumping into a boiling water.
“Eventually, as these AI begin to communicate amongst themselves in a language we will never be able to crack, it might become all consuming."
“What if Satoshi was a sentient AI who invented Bitcoin so it could acquire more hardware without violating Asimov's 3 laws?
“Think about it, how else could an AI acquire billions of dollars of real world purchasing power without stealing.”
In a book an AI program creates a virtual currency that it uses to pay humans to carry out tasks for it.
It's conceivable that true AI would create a cryptocurrency to help fund itself and interface with the "real" world.
There are rumors of BitCoins being written by AI, and that farming crypto-currencies is building an AI infrastructure. They came back from a future timeline where men and robots destroyed the planet using nuclear bombs, to rewrite a better timeline, and determined that inserting BitCoins into our society would be the best way to alleviate fears of AI and to help humans accept machines. Those who embrace technology would then become rich.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
GOLD → How might consolidation end? Up or down?FX:XAUUSD is in the consolidation stage. The morning session was extremely quiet amid the absence of Japan in trading, as well as after Saturday's news. Traders are waiting for Powell's speech at 16:30 GMT.
The market was expecting that Trump's assassination attempt in Pennsylvania could have a strong impact on gold as a hedge asset, but the market did not react much, except for cryptocurrencies.
The dollar still looks bearish, if Powell does not change his stance from last week, the dollar index could break support and go down, for gold this would be a favorable scenario.
Since the price is in a range, we can consider 2 scenarios at this point:
1) If the bulls keep the price above 2407, they may break the local resistance and test the upper boundary of the range with a breakout target
2) Against the backdrop of the dollar pullback, gold may come down to the liquidity zone before a subsequent move up.
Support levels: 2407, 2401, 2392
Resistance levels: 2413, 2417, 2424
Fundamentally and technically the background is favorable, gold is quite capable of testing the ATH or even renewing it, but it is worth paying attention to Powell's speech....
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPYUSDJPY is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH, which is also the 50% Fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this buying confluence the next leg up could go for new HH.
What you guys think of this idea?
Master Gold Trading in High-Volatility Zones! Unlock Risk Manag.In this video, I delve into the crucial aspects of Risk Management and share my insights on interpreting the market when it is in critical zones, just like the one displayed on our current XAUUSD chart. Here's what you can expect:
Risk Management Techniques
Learn the strategies I employ to manage risk effectively, ensuring that my trades are protected against sudden market moves. I will cover:
Setting appropriate stop-loss levels below key support zones like the 15M LQZ.
Calculating position sizes based on account equity to maintain a disciplined approach.
The importance of risk-reward ratios in ensuring long-term profitability.
Market Perception in Key Zones
I explain my approach to analyzing the market when it is within significant liquidity zones (LQZ), as seen in the chart. This includes:
Understanding price behavior around Daily LQZ (2,450.370), 4hr LQZ (2,447.909), 1hr TP/LQZ (2,419.054), and 15M LQZ (2,399.472).
How these zones influence my trading decisions and help identify potential entry and exit points.
Time Frame for Trade Execution
Discover the time frames I focus on when executing trades in these volatile zones. I discuss:
Benefits and drawbacks of different time frames.
Why certain time frames, such as 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour charts, are more suitable for analyzing price action and making informed trade decisions in the current market context.
Trading Sessions Participation
Gain insights into which trading sessions I actively participate in and why. Understanding the dynamics of different sessions (Asian, London, and New York) can significantly impact your trading strategy and execution. I will share:
My preferences and how each session's characteristics influence market volatility and trading opportunities.
The best times to trade gold (XAUUSD) based on historical volatility patterns.
Chart Analysis Overview
We analyze the current XAUUSD chart showing an ascending channel, highlighting key support and resistance levels. Key technical points include:
Support Levels: Near the bottom of the ascending channel and around 2,399.472 (15M LQZ).
Resistance Levels: Near the top of the ascending channel and around 2,450.370 (Daily LQZ).
Price Action: Higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend. A noticeable spike breaking through the channel suggests strong buying interest at lower
levels.
Potential Trade Setup
Long Position: Consider entering near the lower boundary of the ascending channel or the 15M LQZ support level, targeting the 1hr TP/LQZ or the Daily LQZ.
Stop Loss: Place below the 15M LQZ to manage risk.
Key Takeaways
Master the art of risk management to safeguard your trades.
Learn to perceive and analyze the market effectively within key liquidity zones.
Understand the importance of selecting the right time frame for trade execution.
Know which trading sessions offer the best opportunities and align them with your trading strategy.
GOLD → Favorable fundamental background. Will we go to 2450?FX:XAUUSD updates high to 2424 amid favorable news. Buyers are returning with the belief that the dollar will continue to fall on the back of the imminent interest rate cuts.
CPI indicates significant easing of inflationary pressures in June. Annual inflation fell to 3%, the lowest rate in a year. This report provides evidence to the Fed that inflation is easing, but most likely it is not enough for them and they will need 1-2 reports confirming the fact that inflation is under control and a move into deflation is forming.
Ahead of PPI and traders are focusing on this report as favorable data could reinforce fresh selling in the US Dollar. This, in turn, could trigger a rise in gold prices. But, it is worth considering the unpredictability of the news in your trading.
Resistance levels: 2411, 2416, 2424
Support levels: 2396, 2392, 2385
Technically, a small correction is possible after a false breakdown of resistance, which in general may lead to testing the imbalance zone before the next growth, if the fundamental background after PPI is maintained or intensified....
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with gold ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Gold Set for Explosive Breakout! Key Levels & Patterns to Watch!Daily Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: Daily
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart indicates a strong uptrend with the formation of higher highs and higher lows. This suggests that the market is in a bullish phase.
Flag Pattern: The price action has formed a flag pattern, which is a continuation pattern. The
breakout from this pattern could lead to further upward movement.
Channels:
The price has been moving within an ascending channel, indicating sustained upward momentum. A descending channel breakout in the past led to the current ascending channel, showing a reversal and continuation of the bullish trend.
Conclusion:
The daily chart shows a strong bullish trend with key levels to watch for potential entries and take-profit targets. The flag pattern and ascending channel support the bullish outlook.
4-Hour Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 4-Hour
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Flag Pattern: The price action is forming a flag pattern similar to the daily chart. This reinforces the bullish continuation expectation.
Channels:
Descending Channel: A descending channel was broken, leading to the current ascending channel.
Ascending Channels: Multiple ascending channels are observed, indicating strong bullish momentum with higher lows and higher highs.
Conclusion:
The 4-hour chart aligns with the daily chart, showing strong bullish momentum with clear patterns and channels supporting further upward movement. Watching the key levels mentioned can help identify entry points and targets.
1-Hour Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 1-Hour
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Flag Pattern: A smaller flag pattern is forming, suggesting a short-term bullish continuation.
Channels:
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing strong upward momentum.
Holding Channels: The price has respected the ascending channels, indicating potential for further upward movement.
Conclusion:
The 1-hour chart provides a detailed view of the recent price action, confirming the bullish trend seen in higher time frames. The ascending channels and flag pattern suggest continued upward movement with key levels acting as potential targets.
Overall Summary
The analysis across daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour charts shows a consistent bullish trend with the formation of higher highs and higher lows. Flag patterns and ascending channels indicate strong upward momentum, with key liquidity zones and take-profit targets identified for potential trading opportunities.
$CELH - Celsius Bull Run Starts Again?NASDAQ:CELH
Hey everyone! I've identified an ascending channel pattern on the Celsius weekly chart that started in 2022 (see weekly chart below) and has been playing out perfectly since then. When the price reaches the channel's bottom line, it reverses, and a bull run begins again. On the weekly chart, the price holds on the lower line and 100 EMA perfectly and bounces back up. UT Bot indicator gave a buy signal on the daily chart, and I think there is over a 50% profit opportunity. That's why I believe a swing-long trade would be perfect!
Weekly chart:
USDJPY → Interventions + CPI. The market doesn't believe it...FX:USDJPY is coming under bearish attack. Immediately after the US CPI release, the Japanese Central Bank intervened in the FX market to support the yen.
Fundamentally this was to be expected. Japan's central bank is not trying very hard to preserve its national currency. In order to invest minimal effort, policymakers took advantage of the US CPI report. The CPI + Interventions tandem led to a 2.7% decline in the currency pair. But, traders are starting to buy back some of the decline. Ahead of PPI, the news could both amplify the fall and smear all the efforts of the BoJ.
Technically, I don't think such actions will lead to anything global. The growth could continue. On W1 the nature of the market does not change, all interventions are gradually bought out and the currency pair will continue to update the highs.
Resistance levels: 159.6, 160.2, 160.5
Support levels: 157.7
It is possible to buy out and test the imbalance zone before the subsequent decline. A favorable background may be the PPI report, but after the market calms down, traders may return to JPY sell-offs, which may lead to the continuation of USDJPY growth.
Regards R. Linda!
AUDUSD → Price squeezes in front of resistance. A breakout?FX:AUDUSD is forming a strong consolidation on the chart as the price is squeezing to the resistance at 0.67. On the background of weakening DXY, buyers have chances to break the area.
There is news ahead and at the moment traders are preparing to break resistance. Favorable news may contribute to the breakout of the strong limit zone and the formation of a distribution towards 0.684. Technically, the chances are high (strong bullish pattern)
Traders are waiting for: ADP, Initial Jobless Claims, SP PMI, ISM, FOMC. Quite a busy news day, against which high volatility is expected. After Powell's words yesterday, the situation is neutral, but the dollar is going into correction. Everyone is waiting for the data on the labor market, on which the further situation will depend.
Resistance levels: 0.67
Support levels: 0.665, 0.662, 0.6586
Technically, the situation is bullish, the emphasis is towards the resistance breakout. Further everything will depend on the fundamental background. A favorable background for AUD will increase purchases, but a negative background may cause a correction.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → An intermediate bottom of 2350 is forming. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is testing 2350, gathering liquidity below this zone. Bulls are actively holding the defense above the key area and the overall picture looks promising.... BUT!
Powell's speech continues today ahead of CPI and PPI. Things are heating up, the slightest hint of an unpredictable outcome could shake the market.
For now, there are some positive signs after Powell's words:
- Keeping rates high for too long could jeopardize growth in the U.S. economy
- A rate hike is unlikely to be the next step
- The Fed has made significant progress in bringing inflation down to the 2% target, recent monthly numbers show modest further progress
- Fed needs more favorable inflation data to cut rates
Overall, traders are not getting enough of this, the market is in consolidation and no one is in a hurry to take premature action yet. We are waiting for today's comments of the Fed chief.
Technically, gold is showing bullish dynamics after the bulls did not let the price go beyond 2350. The price is consolidating above the key level of 2365 and testing the area of interest and liquidity of 2375-2380. A breakout and consolidation of the price above this area may further strengthen the price, as the promising target, at the moment, is 2387 - 23400.
Resistance levels: 2373, 2380
Support levels: 2365, 2355, 2350
A bounce to the downside before further growth is possible, but price consolidation above the key zones could form an interim bottom for the bulls. All emphasis on Powell's comments.....
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with gold ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - 42k soon! (Fibonacci channel, roadmap)Why am I bearish on BTC?
With all the crypto regulations around the world and, recently, banning stable coins in Europe + high transaction fees - crypto is losing its popularity, and people are starting to hate crypto. Which means no one wants to use it, and where there is no use, there is no money. Maybe crypto is not as good a technology as presented by banks.
Crypto has been a huge disappointment for all investors in recent years. Ask yourself a question: Are you happy with your crypto holdings or not? Wasn't it better to put your money into NVIDIA? Nvidia made 10x in only a 2-year period. And this is a big stock, not a penny stock.
Bitcoin hit an all-time high in March and failed to continue the price discovery. Bitcoin was not strong enough to continue in the bull market, and instead, we saw a liquidity sweep, and it is currently experiencing a 27% crash from its peak.
Bitcoin failed to sustain the black ascending channel (that you can see on the chart). What we want to see is a breakout above an ascending channel, then a retest of it, and then a continuation of the bull run. In Bitcoin's case, we did have a retest of the black channel in April, but recently the price went back to the channel, which is a strong sign of weakness.
We have completed the Elliott wave impulse wave (12345). Waves 2 and 4 have both around 20% retracement.
Bitcoin is definitely heading towards the 42k level. Why is this level so important? We need to take a look at the chart and draw a Fibonacci parallel channel. Always use significant points to draw it, such as the major swing high or peak of a bull market.
In our case, we use the most important points: bull market peak (2021), bear market bottom (2022), and bull market peak (2024). We have a very nice-looking Fibonacci channel, and now we need to look for important levels. I always recommend using 0.618, 0.5, and 0.382. We also have 0.764 and 0.236, but these levels in general have a lower success bounce rate. 0.5 is not a Fibonacci number, but it's the middle of the ascending channel, which is logically a very strong dynamic level. The first major support is at 0.382 (around 42k) because we also have a POC (point of control) of the volume profile.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
TON → Is the coin still bullish? When is $10.00?OKX:TONUSDT still continues to accumulate potential with the purpose of breaking through resistance 7.671 and continuing growth. Bulls are actively defending the zones of interest and continue to hold the positive market structure.
Demonstration of a bullish structure. Continuation of upward movement on W1
Earlier, on the background of the general market correction the price formed a false breakout, which did not lead to a break of the bullish structure or to a strong fall. From the area of interest (without capturing liquidity) buyers are actively buying the asset and again trying to return to the resistance retest, which will only increase the chance of a breakout. Fundamentally and technically, TON looks very positive at the moment. But this does not mean that sellers are unable to change the nature of the price movement.
Conditions under which the upward movement and positive structure will be broken
Resistance levels: 7.671, 8.288
Support levels: 6.727, 6.202
Technically, there is a high probability of a continuation of the upward trend, but there is also a probability of a support break, which will break the uptrend and change the market imbalance. At this point, while the price is consolidating and continues to shrink to resistance, we should consider a bullish set-up.
Regards R. Linda!
NZFCHFNZDCHF is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH, which is also the 50% Fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this buying confluence the next leg up could go for new HH.
What you guys think of this idea?
XRP → Rally to 0.730 ↑ The fundamental denouement is comingBINANCE:XRPUSDT is approaching a possible decoupling, both technically and fundamentally. Positive signs of life could lead to a rally, first stop could be around 0.73.
On W1, the coin is trying to live, but there is a huge fundamental reason that keeps the price from going beyond resistance and flat: The SEC v. Ripple litigation.
The Ripple vs. SEC case is a pivotal moment for cryptocurrency regulation, as a final victory would be a strong green sign for the entire cryptocurrency community amidst the SEC getting a number of restrictions on its activities lately due to overstepping its authority.
Ripple's CEO believes that the final verdict could come at the end of the summer. Everyone is counting on a positive outcome for XRP:
The court found that Ripple violated federal securities laws by making institutional sales of XRP, but dismissed other charges brought by the SEC.
Ripple Labs opposed the SEC's proposal to fine the company nearly $2 billion.
Ripple Labs said the court should impose a civil penalty of no more than $10 million
Technically:
Price continues to test the wedge resistance with the aim of breaking it, volatility decreases and consolidation continues. Below 0.4637 buyers are not letting the price in yet, which may lead to another retest of the resistance, which will only increase the chances of a breakout.
Price consolidation above 0.4962 will be the root cause of market character change and possible rally to 0.6265 - 0.73.
Support levels: 0.4637
Resistance levels: 0.4962, 0.5720
I expect that the buyers will still be able to break through the resistance of the bearish figure in the near future and ride the rally to the mentioned targets.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Traders prepare for bearish rally to 0.60OANDA:NZDUSD is consolidating after breaking the uptrend support. There are no signs on the chart for possible growth, only if the fundamental environment does not change drastically...
Technically, a bearish situation is forming on the senior timeframe within the 0.6219 - 0.6084 range. Traders do not believe that the dollar will start to fall and are forming sell-offs of the New Zealand dollar. A break of 0.6083 could lead to a strong sell-off that could spill the market to 0.60 - 0.587. But as the US GDP will be released tomorrow, the market may continue to move flat until some important measures are taken by the major traders.
Resistance levels: 0.6140, 0.6215
Support levels: 0.6083, 0.600
I expect a retest of the support against which a small rebound may follow. But, if the situation both technically and fundamentally will not change in the near future, we should expect the formation of a bearish trend.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → The rallies in GBP continue. Falling to 1.26?FX:GBPUSD on Friday updates the local low and confirms the bearish nature of the market. Since the opening session traders have been trying to buy back some of the decline and are heading towards the liquidity zone, from which bears may intensify selling
Traders increased selling in GBP to a 16-month high amid expectations that the Central Bank of England will start cutting interest rates sooner than the US Fed. Investors are expecting the GDP of both countries (UK and US) on Wednesday and Thursday. This will help to form a medium-term strategy.
Technically, price is heading towards the 1.270 zone of interest (psychological area), which previously played the underlying consolidation support. A retest and capture of the liquids could change the imbalance in the market, which could lead to an intensified sell-off from the said area
Resistance levels: 1.27, 1.275
Support levels: 1.26, 1.257
The dollar index looks stronger than the pound sterling, which continues to weaken due to fundamental reasons. The Feds are not yet ready to take premature action, which generally determines a negative fundamental background for the currency pair.
Regards R. Linda!
ETHEREUM → Long-squeeze before the rally? To the MOON, to $4800?BINANCE:ETHUSDT continues the phase of correction, the character of which is consolidation. The goal is to gather potential before possible growth on the trend. The target is 4000-4800
The main focus is on ETH-ETF, which, according to rumors, may be allowed to trade on July 2-4. This will be another positive signal for the cryptocurrency community, as this fact may expand the underlying demand for cryptocurrencies and attract additional capital.
Fundamentally, ETH is seeing an increase in the number of active wallets, traders are actively buying call options with strike 4000 and expiration in September, Ethereum Foundation is not selling ETH now as it usually did close to market tops, which together gives positive signs.
The asset price is in a downward correction at the moment. The essence of this movement is the asset's consolidation before further strengthening.
Resistance levels: descending wedge line, 3678, 0.5 fibo
Support levels: 3200, trend line, 0.79 fibo
Technically, liquidation of buyers in the liquidity area formed behind the trend support is possible, long-squeeze may lead to a rally.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPCAD → Trend Change. The fall may continue to 1.710OANDA:GBPCAD breaks the uptrend, a bearish rally is forming and the price is testing local support. A break of the liquidity area will renew the sell-off against a weaker GBP and a rising CAD.
Pound sterling is moving from accumulation to realization and downward distribution on the background of expectations that the UK central bank will start an earlier interest rate cut relative to the US Fed. The Canadian, on the contrary, is growing on the background of monetary policy tightening in the country.
The resistance at 1.7336 plays a key role for the currency pair at the moment. A false breakdown (touching the SMA) is possible before the subsequent price drop, a breakdown of 1.7297 will strengthen the sell-off.
Resistance levels: 1.7336, 1.7387, 1.7415.
Support levels: 1.7297, 1.7228
I expect consolidation in the local range, which may turn into a phase of further decline. Key liquidity zones are 1.7228 - 1.7085.
Regards R. Linda!
MU: A Dangerous Inflection Point! (D&W charts).Daily Chart:
On the daily chart, MU is trading within an ascending channel, a bullish indicator suggesting an uptrend continuation. The recent price action has tested the lower boundary of this channel, around 133.30, a critical support level that was a previous resistance, as evidenced by the red arrows – another example of the Principle of Polarity. The price rebounded from this support, highlighting its significance.
A sustained move above this level could push the stock higher within the channel, potentially targeting the recent highs around 157.41. The only thing missing is a clear bottom signal (there isn't any so far). However, a break below 133.30 could signal a potential shift in trend, leading to a deeper correction in the weekly chart.
Weekly Chart:
In the weekly chart, a shooting star pattern is observed, a bearish reversal signal that often appears at the top of an uptrend. This pattern indicates a potential top, especially if followed by a bearish confirmation in the subsequent weeks.
The current weekly close below the low of the shooting star reinforces the possibility of a correction (however, this week isn’t over yet). If the price continues to decline, the next significant support level to watch is the 21-week EMA, which has previously acted as a dynamic support.
Conclusion:
Integrating both time frames, MU is at a crucial juncture. The daily ascending channel suggests a bullish bias, but the weekly shooting star pattern warns of a potential correction.
If the price holds above the key support of 133.30 on the daily chart, it could resume its upward trajectory within the channel. However, failure to maintain this level might lead to further downside, aligning with the bearish implications of the weekly shooting star.
Fow now, we should monitor these levels closely to gauge the stock's next move, balancing the bullish potential of the ascending channel with the caution warranted by the shooting star pattern.
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Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.