SPX 15 min looing kind of tired,Taking a look at SPX on the 15, has 2 up gaps to fill and is nearing the top of this Ascending Channel. If it decides to break down, we could see a $100-120 gap down.
Ascending Channel
Arlo Macro Bullish Case + Ascending Channel trade setupHi Guys. As always im on the look out for Macro opportunities in assets with market structure or patterns that scream "Pay Attention to me".
One that stood out to me was ARLO.
This analysis is on the 1 week timeframe.
Notice the Orange rectangle. This zone is a MAJOR Support/ Resistance zone.
When Arlo went Public, we started ABOVE this zone.
Then made our way to the zone, attempted to maintain SUPPORT but eventually fell through and most of price action stayed Below the Zone since 2019.
We had many attempted to test the Zone and try to breakout with little to no luck in:
1. Feb 2021
2. Dec 2021
3. Feb 2022
4. July 2023
5. Sept 2023
UNTIL RECENTLY in March we made our way ABove this zone
We then came down to the bottom fo the zone and confirmed Support. With our current weeks candle up 11% indicating a BUllish Engulfing candle and MAJOR DEMAND.
I believe we are now on our way to test the Upper resistance limit of the Blue Ascending Channel that Arlo seems to be in.
After which we will attempt a Major Support test of the Zone.
Its also IMPORTANT to note, Above the zone, very little data exists. Meaning that theres very little resistance Above. This could fuel an extended Bull run for ARLO to New Highs.
But keep in mind specific signals or signs are needed.
Keep an eye for updates on further signs/ clues to take into consideration to help us make informed decisions!
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on ARLO in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
BITCOIN - Why is there no growth after halving? BINANCE:BTCUSD is not on the rise. Surprisingly to many, the price continues to decline even after the halving. The situation reminds vvot BTC-ETF, when before the growth, MM collected liquidity accumulated at the bottom.
The trend is still strong and bullish. The price is in a sideways range and continues to collect liquidity. The range boundaries are 73500 - 60000K. The key level below which there is a huge pool of liquidity is 59300-59500, there is a high probability that Bitcoin can test this area before further growth. I am expecting a rise because Bitcoin's technical and fundamental components look very promising: Bullish trend, liquidity gathering at the expense of sellers (potential for growth), buyers are very confident to keep the price in the range, introduction of BTC-ETF in Hong Kong, which will only attract new investors and their money.
Resistance levels: 64550, 65500, 67300
Support levels: 61500, 60200, 59300
Within the range you should consider the appropriate trading style (bounce or false breakout). Don't forget to watch the price reaction to strong levels and zones. The outlook is still bullish.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin is ready to reach 70k! Here is why.Bitcoin has finished its corrective pattern (ABC ZigZag) and is ready to go higher. My next target is 70k (69577) because we have a 1:1 FIB extension level at this price. Usually this Fibo level is pretty significant; that's why I am expecting a small crash from it, but after that, we should continue much higher, to the 1.618 FIB extension. Of course, we need more information and data to precisely establish long-term targets.
On the chart, we can see 2 parallel channels, the first is larger than the second. The larger one is still valid as the price is inside it, so we can use this knowledge to our advantage and potentially sell/short Bitcoin at the touch of the upper sloping trendline of the ascending parallel channel. But not now, Bitcoin is bullish, so enjoy the ride!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, I also have to be bullish because I see the dream setup of every Elliott Wave trader. What you want to do is catch the 3rd impulse wave and ride it until the end before the 4th corrective wave occurs. Basically, you want to trade a breakout of the 2nd wave or catch the bottom of the 2nd wave with the Fibonacci retracement tool.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Snowflake Ascending Channel bound, with upside potentialHi guys! So always looking for opportunities in repeating patterns/ macro developments.
SNowflake (SNOW) particularly stuck out.
This analysis is conducted in the 1 day timeframe.
Since June 2022, SNOW has been in a Ascending Channel with consistent Higher low prints.
This shows a reoccuring pattern of everytime we've made our way to the bottom of the channel to test Support, we've had bounces to the Upside.
We've had roughly 4 major moves highlighted with returns ranging from 40% to 80%.
We have in April made our way back to test Suppport on this channel.
Currently up roughly 10%.
We are also Above the 21 EMA, maintaining Support.
This is also a reoccuring sign of a rally to the upside.
Currently our 21 EMA is curving to the upside. The rallies that have occured in the past from touching the support line of channel have shown this sign as well.
FOllowed by a Golden cross, where 21 EMA maintains its position above 50 SMA.
Look for this signal to appear.
There is also potential for another test of Support on the lower border of channel. Keep this in mind as it is seen when you look at the previous data.
Remember it is bad practice to trade using a single indicator or tool. Always try to find overlap of signals. Look to updates ont his idea for more evidence to make informed decisions.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on SNOW in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
FET can 15x in 2024. Here is whyFET is in a strong uptrend, that is confirmed. Now the question is, how far can FET go in 2024? I would say a 15x profit is definitely possible. We can see that the price of FET is inside the ascending parallel channel on the weekly chart. Also, the previous impulse wave + corrective pattern are complete. This is huge guys, if you want a reliable investment, then this coin is for you. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Fetch.ai was founded by Toby Simpson, Humayun Sheikh and Thomas Hain.
Humayun Sheikh is the current CEO of Fetch.ai. He is also the CEO and founder of Mettalex and the founder of uVue and itzMe.
Toby Simpson is the former COO of Fetch.ai, now a member of the Advisory Board. He was also the CTO at Ososim Limited, as well as Head of Software Design at DeepMind.
Thomas Hain is the former Chief Science Officer of Fetch.ai. Before that, he was a co-founder and director of Koemei. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
DUSK can make a 2800% profit in 2024, buy now?First technical analysis. DUSK looks absolutely great! We have a pretty long bullish accumulation of whales, which you can see in the rectangular pattern. Usually, whales need to accumulate a lot of coins / contracts before they send a coin to the moon. What is positive is the Elliott Wave outlook. My EW count suggests that the WXYXZ complex correction has been completed together with the leading diagonal pattern. This is a strong bullish combination. Where to take profit? 1:1 Fibonacci extension is always a strong resistance, so I recommend taking profits at this level, which is an achievable 2800% profit. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
What is Dusk?
Founded in 2018, Dusk is a Layer-1 blockchain designed to provide institutional-level and privacy and compliance in order to make it possible for anybody to trade real-world assets from their wallet. Built for regulated and decentralized finance, Dusk aims to evolve the financial landscape by making it possible for regulated assets to be brought on-chain.
Dusk’s three core pillars are; privacy and compliance in order to bring institutional-level assets to anyone’s wallet.
Using cryptographically secure Zero-Knowledge Proofs (ZKPs) to maintain privacy, the research team at Dusk have been leading the way in the developments of ZKPs, having had papers published on their work. A custom-built ZKP virtual machine, Piecrust, is the first of its kind and breaking new ground in the spaces of blockchain and privacy.
Featuring a suite of products, including Citadel, a ZKP licensing product which is well-suited to KYC/AML procedures as well as subscription-based models, Dusk is building the infrastructure for the economy of the future.
Benefits for businesses and institutions include automated and programmable compliance, instant settlement finality, and access to unified liquidity. Through the use of private smart contracts, Dusk is even able to provide levels of privacy above what banks and institutions are used to.
For users, Dusk offers the possibility to break out of the crypto sandbox, and make it possible to trade real-world, regulated assets with the same level of ease and autonomy as they can trade digital assets.
The Dusk network is Proof-of-Stake (PoS) and powered and secured by the DUSK token. The blockchain is public and open for anyone to use and participate in the consensus mechanism. Validators can run nodes by staking DUSK to secure the network, and transactions are paid using DUSK.
Through the use of a transactional model called Phoenix, Dusk focuses on bringing privacy and anonymity to both transactions and smart contracts. Additionally, tokens deployed on Dusk can build on top of Zedger, a hybrid privacy-preserving model specifically modeled for security tokens.
The ‘Segregated Byzantine Agreement’ (SBA) consensus mechanism secures the network. According to the SBA is an improvement over the underlying PoS mechanism as it combines existing ideas like cryptographic sortition (lottery), stealth time-locked transactions (private stake amounts) and a reputation module to increase the chances of selecting honest nodes and further promote decentralization.
Dusk is based in Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
ARPA is starting a new uptrend. This is going to be hugeARPA is looking really good on the major timeframe. We have a breakout of the local small parallel channel and the volume last year was pretty strong. 25x is possible on this coin in 2024. Take profit at the top of the parallel channel or 1:1 FIB extension (LOG). It looks like the pump is starting, so it is time to buy if you are interested in this coin. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
ARPA Network (ARPA) is a decentralized secure computation network built to improve the fairness, security, and privacy of blockchains. ARPA threshold BLS signature network serves as the infrastructure of verifiable Random Number Generator (RNG), secure wallet, cross-chain bridge and decentralized custody across multiple blockchains.
ARPA was previously known as ARPA Chain, a privacy-preserving Multi-party Computation (MPC) network founded in 2018. ARPA Mainnet has completed over 224,000 computation tasks in the past years. Our experience in MPC and other cryptography laid the foundation for our innovative threshold BLS signature schemes (TSS-BLS) system design and led us to today’s ARPA Network.
Randcast, a verifiable Random Number Generator (RNG), is the first application that leverages ARPA as infrastructure. Randcast offers a cryptographically generated random source with superior security and low cost compared to other solutions. Metaverse, game, lottery, NFT minting and whitelisting, key generation, and blockchain validator task distribution can benefit from Randcast’s tamper-proof randomness. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD → Correction may continue ↓ before further growth ↑FX:XAUUSD continues to form the phase of correction. The price stops in the zone of 0.236 fibo, but the candlestick setup on D1 is forming multidigit. The struggle between buyers and sellers for 2285 continues.
Last week was fundamentally rich, but the market reaction is weak, sellers are actively selling out any buying activity. A pre-breakdown setup is forming around 2285, and if it is not broken, the correction will extend to 2222 (2195). The signal to the continuation of the fall will be the fixing of the price below 2285. But, with active participation of buyers, which may be caused by fundamental and geopolitical reasons, the market may break the structure: Break of resistance and price consolidation above 2320-2325. This will mean the end of correction with further continuation of growth and formation of the fifth wave, the target of which could be the area of 2450-2550.
Resistance levels: 2320 - 2325, 2350.
Support levels: 2305, 2295, 2285
The global trend is bullish, the local trend is bearish (correction). Take this into account when trading! It is necessary to wait for price confirmation, which will mean either the continuation of the correction or its end. Only then you can take some measures to open orders in one or the other direction
TVC:DXY MCX:GOLD1! COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Crash to 57k, then 100k! (must see)The price of Bitcoin is preparing for a final drop to the downside, to 57k per my calculations! The price is still inside this bullish flag formation, and we still need to complete the ABC corrective pattern from the Elliott Wave perspective. At this point, I cannot be bullish at all, just be patient and wait for 57k to be hit before buying BTC!
It's also important to take a look at the long term trendline (October 2023 -> January 2024). We have 2 touches, and the 3rd touch is inevitable sooner rather than later! It will be good if you buy Bitcoin at this trendline. Trading is easy if you have the right information. After we hit the trendline, we can continue in the bull market (100k+). Do not forget that prices are usually very volatile around the halving event.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
USOIL - Buy IdeaUSOIL is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
USOil is currently trading in a strong bullish ascending channel and is now retracing after the last HH, which is also the 0.886 Fib retracement level and local support zone as well. if the market successfully sustain this buying confluence the next leg up could go for new HH.
AUDNZDAUDNZD is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH, which is 50% Fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this buying confluence the next leg up could go for new HH.
What you guys think of this idea?
Ascending Channel on EUR/USD @ D1An ascending channel pattern has formed on the daily chart of the EUR/USD currency pair. This followed a long period of bearish trend for EUR/USD. The pattern can be used for a downside breakout trade setup. The pattern's borders are marked with the yellow lines. The potential entry level is at the cyan line. The potential take-profit level is at the green line. The position of both lines is calculated based on the channel's width. The stop-loss isn't shown on the chart. It is to be set to the high of the breakout candle or to the high of the preceding candle if the breakout one is trading mostly outside the channel.
GOLD → Correction before the news. A range is forming FX:XAUUSD on the background of dollar correction is strengthening to the resistance of the bearish channel, which was formed on the background of sell-offs. Ahead of strong news, on the background of which the price may reach the liquidity zone before further decline.
On the high timeframe, a false breakdown of support is formed, liquidity gathering and after consolidation the price is heading towards the liquidity above. In general, the correction phase is not over yet. A sideways range may form within the price movement, but there is a high probability that the price on the background of CPI news will reach the channel resistance and form a bounce down.
The global trend is bullish, the local trend is bearish. Fundamental background is neutral (for the moment).
Resistance levels: 2344, 2359, 2365
Support levels: 2328, 2305
Buyers and sellers are dividing the price field between them. As gold stops and stabilizes, the price starts to pay attention to the dollar and the news. CPI is ahead which could increase volatility.
Regards R. Linda!
CADJPY → Pending a breakout of resistance. Target 114? OANDA:CADJPY on the background of global weakening of the yen forms a pre-breakdown setup against 112.26. The currency pair is preparing to strengthen.
On D1 the general trend is obvious. Buyers are not going to give up and continue to press the strong limit resistance at 112.26, formed by sellers. The trend is bullish and it may continue. Fundamentally, the Japanese Yen has no positive prospects at the moment. There is a clear potential for further trend continuation on the chart due to price compression to the resistance and formation of pre-breakdown consolidation.
Resistance levels: 112.26
Support levels: MA-50, 111.0
Technically as on H1, H4 and D1 everything is roughly clear. We have a high chance that the market will try to continue breaking the resistance with the purpose of its breakout. Consolidation of the price above the resistance will be a good starting point to 114.0.
Regards R. Linda!
ETHEREUM → Consolidation continues. The market is waiting for...BINANCE:ETHUSD is declining following BTC on the back of the crisis in the Middle East, but the price still has not left the sideways range and even more so has not passed through the risk zones, which still leaves the coin in a favorable prospective area
Ethereum is trading in a bullish plane, above the previously broken resistance of the upward range, which tells us that the market is in a bullish trend phase forming a retest of support as part of a counter-trend correction.
The entire cryptocurrency market is standing still in anticipation of a bitcoin halving, which could happen in 3 days. How the market will react is unknown, there is a high probability to see a long-slide before further growth or growth at once.
Resistance levels: 3200, 3730
Support levels: 2910, 2850, Channel Border
Technically, another retest of the support is possible, but we should wait for the formation of a reversal pattern relative to the lower levels in order to catch the growth. Or we should pay attention to 3200 and wait for the formation of a pre-breakout setup and trade the breakdown of resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Continued consolidation before a strong move BINANCE:BTCUSD is testing 71572 and forming a false breakout, I have emphasized our attention to liquidity above this level in a separate idea. Trading inside the range after capturing liquidity continues and the market appears to be preparing for a halving.
(April 6 idea: BITCOIN → Trading inside a sideways flat. ↑ 75K or ↓ 60K?)
The false break of resistance and 8.5% retracement indicates that the coin is not ready to go up yet, but at the same time it is not ready to go down, as indicated by the MA-50 retest and the candlestick pattern, which can be interpreted as the activity of strong buyers protecting the market from falling. On W1 we see a strong growth, which gradually turns into consolidation and does not give any correction or technical pullbacks - this indicates the strength of the market, the bulls are watching the price and continue to stand in their bullish stand in order to throw the price even higher.
Resistance levels: 71572, 73679
Support levels: 0.236 fibo, 64545, 61447
After the resistance retest, the market may be interested in the lower zones from the liquidity point of view. Bulls are actively defending them and holding the price, but before halving the price may try to drive it lower in order to liquidate traders and accumulate potential before further strong price movement
CME:BTC1! BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF → Breakthrough readiness. Target 0.925 ↑FX:USDCHF looks stronger than the dollar. The Swiss franc is weakening strongly due to fundametal reasons. The bullish trend may continue with a break of 0.9142
On D1 earlier we saw a trend change, after which the market went into a consolidation phase and reached 0.9147. The market resistance continues to hold the price, but against the background of compression and gradual approach of the price on the background of volume growth, the sellers have less and less chances to hold the resistance zone. A break of the mentioned line will activate the realization and distribution phase, which will give us a bullish momentum.
Resistance levels: 0.9142, 0.9147
Support levels: 0.9089, 0.9020
Technically, a compression to resistance in the format of an ascending triangle is being formed. Impulse activation zone - resistance breakout.
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → A strong buyer is willing to go higherFX:USDJPY does not pay attention to the behavior of the American dollar. The focus is on the Japanese yen. The currency is in a strong sell-off and continues to get cheaper, while a beautiful set-up is forming on the chart.
Rising triangle in the global perspective and in the short term: on D1, on H4 and on H1. A beautiful situation, when the chart lives its own life and practically does not react to the behavior of the US dollar, which starts the correction from a strong resistance.
The trigger level for the Japanese Yen is 151.94, the break of this resistance will cause the formation of a strong bullish impulse. The structure will break when the support at 151.15 is broken, but not about that for now.
Resistance levels: 151.78, 151.94
Support levels: 151.15, 150.8
Technically and fundamentally, the Japanese Yen is weakening and will continue to weaken despite the change of actions of the central bank of Japan. The currency pair may renew the high in the medium term.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Bears win. Downward counter-trend correction ↓FX:XAUUSD is entering the correction phase. Earlier, based on technical and candlestick nuances on D1, I warned about the approaching decline. Gold is eliminating buyers and apparently heading towards 2267, 2228.
April 19 idea: The market is getting ready to turn around, collecting liquidity from buyers
On H1 the price is forming a bearish momentum, since the opening of the session on Tuesday, the price has overcome a 1.8% retracement. The reasons for the fall may be both profit taking in the 2400 zone, after which the market maker changed the course to liquidate traders and balance the market (I remind - at the moment the imbalance is in favor of buyers), and the correction after a strong rally, the price is heading downward in order to find strong support zones and form a market bottom.
Resistance levels: 2300, 2305, 2328
Support levels: 2267, 2250, 2228
Today traders are waiting for PMI. Positive data for the dollar will only strengthen the fall of gold, but the negative PMI will weaken the strong fall. But, in general, at the moment, the medium-term course of the metal is clear to everyone.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The structure of the bull market is at risk. 2300??FX:XAUUSD is breaking the bullish trend structure, earlier I pointed out that the market is preparing for a reversal amid liquidity capture at the expense of buyers. The market is testing support for a breakout
Idea from April 19: GOLD → One step away from a correction? What's going on?
Selling since the opening of the session. Price is testing local lows and forming an entry into the risk zone. Possible shakeout before the subsequent fall. Last week a major player was collecting liquidity at the expense of buyers, this can be seen in the long tails of daily candles, volumes and trading relative to the 2400 zone.
At the moment we should pay attention to the zone 2354 - 2365. There may be an active struggle in this zone (shaking, level sawing, long consolidations), but now there is a prospect of correction to 2330, 2300
Resistance levels: 2365, 2400.
Support levels: 2354, 2328, 2300
Technically, strong sellers are emerging in the market and they are building limit resistance zones. The market is not ready to pass through 2400 yet, so we should wait for a sideways range or correction
Regards R. Linda!
Paychex (PAYX) Revenue miss... Is this the end?Hi guys! As always, im looking for macro trends/ signals and critical movements/ developments in the markets.
What caught my eye is PAYX.
Today it gets the focus as it had Q3 revenue miss and its down 6% pre-market.
With panic coming in, ill go over technical developments and the big picture.
Lets jump in. We are in the 1 week timeframe (note this weeks candle has not yet printed and can current develops can change throughout the week).
Currently, we are range bound between $100.00 and $133.00.
After the large bull run it had looking left. It is now in a period of accumulation/ consolidation in my opinion.
This pattern started December 2021. So its a long-term pattern. Which will take alot to break out of.
Breaking to upside would continue the bull run to new all-time highs.
Getting there though, will take time. And we must break other obstacles first.
First thing to break is the Short-term resistance trendline.
2nd thing to break is the upsloping channel highlighted, which is a intermediate trend.
If we get rejected from any of these obstacles, we can also continue down to test the lower border of the range.
Our first test of support would be the lower border of the sloping channel.
We must also watch VOLUME -> increase in volume would help us with breaking this obstacles and eventually getting us to the top of the range and an eventual breakout.
Watch also the 2 indicators i put up.
MACD -> We need a bullish cross with the lines moving ABOVE black horizontal trendline to form a higher high. This would help the case of breaking trends, moving above the consolidation range and to new highs.
If we get a bearish cross we can retest the support line of the ascending channel and lower range of the consolidation zone.
RSI - A HIgher high print is needed to continue upward and eventually out of the consolidation range. Notice however the resistance ABOVE us, depicted by the trendlines.
A bearish case is printing a Lower low, doing so may bring us down to the black support trendline. Depending on how low the RSI goes, will determine how far down we go as well.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on PAYX in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
GOLD → Range 2365-2400. Will the price continue to grow? FX:XAUUSD is trying to consolidate above 2365. This area is an intermediate bottom and plays an important role for the bulls in the medium term. The range of 2365-2400 is being formed.
Idea of Apr. 16: GOLD → There's no limit to the bulls' activity. Support retest
In general, everything is the same, but after a strong rally, the price makes a small stop and starts to enter liquidity zones more often, which has not happened for 2-3 weeks. Apparently, the energy is exhausted and the market maker starts to collect liquidity from the market with the help of traps. Gold is still trading above key support levels and looks strong enough to test or even renew the global high
Resistance levels: 2395, 2400, 2430
Support levels: 2365, MA-200, trend support
The price is testing MA-200 and forming a false breakdown of 2365. The market reduces volatility and goes into the waiting phase before the news, the growth may continue either after the support retest or at the breakout of 2380.
Regards R. Linda!
