XAUUSD ASCENDING TRIANGLEXAUUSD is trading an Ascending Triangle on its hourly chart.
The price is trading the ceiling of the Ascending triangle @1823.84 and 50% of its width where ideals breakouts occur in between the 50% and the 75%.
Target 1
62%: 1855.78
79%: 1864.09
Target 2
127%: 1889.09
162%: 1906.49
Ascending Triangle
MELI - could be ripe for breakup soonThere are several factors that are aligning in MELI's favour for sustainable recovery in the near future (minor pullbacks not withstanding):
1. Since hitting the low in June2022, it began to whip saw sideways within an ascending triangle pattern. This is a possible reversal pattern when formed after a downtrend.
2. A golden cross on 22 Dec2022: another signal that the trend is possibly reversing up although the stock could still continue to whipsaw for several weeks (sometimes up to a couple of months) until the 200day moving average could flatten or start turning up.
3. Very strong volume in the last 2 days that propelled the stock to move 15.6% in just 2 days to retest the neckline of the ascending triangle.
Watching to see if a (valid) breakup will materialise in the near future (perhaps after the next minor pullback).
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. I may or may not enter into this trade. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
One of my Oldest Trading TechniqueIf you have been following me, you should know that I was a born counter-trend trader, but you might not be aware that I am also a Breakout trader. What I love about breakout trading is the sudden spike of movement that brings me instant profits; nowadays, I do lesser of those trading setups.
I'm waiting for a break and close above 0.9345 for further confirmation of the trend continuation move; another approach is to wait for a retest on the trendline without having the candle break and close below the trendline.
JAR - printing flat top Looks like nice flat top or ascending triangle ... ascending patern reminds me of parabolic start but that's my imagination... Set alerts on this one traders, moves really nice...
Entry levels are on the chart.
Good luck traders,
Please hit that boost, help me reach more people...
Bitcoin - Exponential pump, right now! (must see).
I know more about bitcoin than anyone else, and I am telling you that this bear market rally will be huge! But at the end, it can be destructive.
Bitcoin is absolutely prepared for an exponential pump to 38,981 USDT! In this analysis, I will tell you why, so keep reading, you don't want to miss it!
First of all, a major impulse Elliott Wave has been completed (69,000 -> 15,476), and people are calling for 13K, 10K, and 6K. I think it's definitely possible to reach these low levels, but first we should have a bullish ABC retracement (correction), and I was looking for an optimal retracement level, which is the 38,981 level.
Why 38,981? It's the 0.618 FIB retracement of the major impulse wave + the last GAP that needs to be filled + the previous consolidation structure's POC. This is the strongest level, and it's the open gate to a new all-time high.
Unfortunately, this is going to be a bear market rally, and after we hit 39k, we could continue in the bear market and fall down to 6k–10k to complete this bear market.
If you want Bitcoin to grow exponentially, hit the like right now!
The volatility index on BTC is at an all-time low, which suggests an exponential move is likely. I think the move is going to be to the upside because there is not enough fuel to go down. The falling wedge is a huge barricade, and the bears don't want to go against it. So for the bears, it's better to transform into bulls and ride the bear market rally!
Have you seen that huge green dildo on Solana? It's an indication of a trend reversal not only for this coin but for the whole crypto market.
What's more, if we take a look at the RSI indicator on the weekly chart, we can spot a bullish divergence, which is a very strong indication, especially in the crypto market. All markets move differently, and the crypto market follows the RSI and the Elliott Wave theory much more than others.
Anyone who tells you that his strategy or bot works on all types of markets, such as forex, stocks, crypto, and commodities, is most likely lying to you. A bot that is profitable on forex is absolutely not profitable on crypto.
I post trade setups privately. This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing.
A 131% pump from the current price is likely, and it's time to fill your bags with altcoins if you trade on the spot market. Otherwise, you can open a leveraged position on bitcoin on the futures market. Personally, I am a futures, options, and spot trader. I want to take advantage of all of these products.
Look at my extremely important idea about "Bitcoin: All of the Reasons Why the Bottom is Near (in)" from November 13, 2022 in the related section down below; you must see it!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Ethereum is about to explode! (brutal)
Let's celebrate with me this massive upcoming pump on ETH! The chart is now extremely bullish, and in this analysis, I will tell you why!
As you can see, the price is printing an ascending triangle on the daily chart. Ascending triangles are very powerful, especially at the bottom of the downtrend!
From the Elliott wave perspective, this triangle is a nest with 2 impulse waves, which we can label waves (1), (2) and Waves 1, 2. This is definitely not a corrective pattern in this case.
I am sure you have seen the huge dildo on Solana; what if I tell you that something similar may happen to ETH? I predicted this exponential pump on SOL 3 weeks in advance, so check out the related idea about SOL down below!
We have a tremendous unfilled gap between 1352 - 1448, and the market wants to fill this gap, which gives us high confidence in this upcoming move.
On the way up, we have basically 4 resistances. The first is the 1448 0.618 FIB + FTX dump, followed by the parallel trendline, the previous POC, the start of the GAP at 1545, and the 1680 monthly / weekly high. These levels are good for intraday trading.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Two scenarios are now possible. We will spend more time consolidating in this ascending triangle, or we will break out very soon!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
GOLD on an ascending triangle 🦐GOLD on the 4h chart is trading with a series of rising lows below a 4h resistance.
The price has been moving over the ascending trendline and reached the 1820 level.
How can i approach this scenario?
According to Plancton's strategy IF the price will break above we can set a nice long order according to the Plancton's strategy rules.
--––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any questions.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger
Ethereum - Big overview of the bear market.
The bears are in full control because ETH is below the two major trendlines and also below the 200-day moving average.
We have a FTX GAP between 1545 and 1352. This gap was caused by a huge panic sell-off of traders due to the collapse of the FTX exchange and by CZ Binance, who tweeted that he was not going to buy FTX as he wanted. This gap can be filled, but of course it doesn't have to.
Also, there is a 0.618 FIB at 1415 + the top of the yellow trendline + the 200-day moving average, which is another strong resistance. The bulls need a lot of strength to break this zone, and even if they are able to do it, there is another white trendline, which is the top of the parallel channel at around 1800. It's hard to say if the bulls will be motivated enough to break it.
I don't want to be bullish about this strong resistance, but we can definitely touch it, no problem. At this moment, my trades are only short-term swing and intraday trades, so I am not thinking about buying any coins for the long term.
I still think the bear market will continue in 2023 because other coins look extremely bearish, including Bitcoin.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
As you can see on the chart, the price is moving in two parallel descending channels. The top trendline of the first white parallel channel has only two touches, so the third touch should be rejected strongly.
This is a bearish Elliott Wave count, and we are currently at the 3rd wave of the 5th wave. I suggest continuing lower to complete this impulse wave.
I would love to buy ETH for around 250 - 300. I believe it is possible to get there, based on other assets such as stocks. TSLA, META, NTFLX, etc. are experiencing the biggest crash in history. And ETH is also, basically, in the IT sector.
If ETH drops below the key resistance of 1073, I expect a huge flash crash to the bottom of the descending channel.
Overall, I am bearish, and we may definitely see some relief rally. But don't get rekt by the main resistance I mentioned earlier.
Look at my idea about SOLANA (exponencial growth) in the related section down below.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
📈 4 Common Bullish Patterns🟢 RISING THREE
"Rising three methods" is a bullish continuation candlestick pattern that occurs in an uptrend and whose conclusion sees a resumption of that trend.
This can be contrasted with a falling three method. The first bar of the pattern is a bullish candlestick with a large real body within a well-defined uptrend.
🟢 FALLING WEDGE
The falling wedge pattern occurs when the asset’s price is moving in an overall bullish trend before the price action corrects lower.
Within this pull back, two converging trend lines are drawn. The consolidation part ends when the price action bursts through the upper trend line, or wedge’s resistance.
🟢 BULL PENNANT
A pennant is a type of continuation pattern formed when there is a large movement in a security, known as the flagpole, followed by a consolidation period with converging trend line.
Pennants, which are similar to flags in terms of structure, have converging trend lines during their consolidation period and last from one to three weeks.
🟢 ASCENDING TRIANGLE
An ascending triangle is a chart pattern used in technical analysis. It is created by price moves that allow for a horizontal line
to be drawn along the swing highs and a rising trendline to be drawn along the swing lows. The two lines form a triangle.
Traders often watch for breakouts from triangle patterns. The breakout can occur to the upside or downside
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📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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Can $ESAB go higher from here?Notes:
* Moving up on the right side of its IPO base
* Good earnings
* Breaking out of an ascending triangle with higher than average volume
* Has a 50 day UD ratio of 2.26 and a 15 day UD ratio of 5.27; indicating that there's been a ton more buying short term
* Has a solid relative strength in the sector and against the SP500
* Showing an early entry relative to its 50 day line
* Printed a pocket pivot, indicating institutional demand
Technicals:
Sector: Industrials - Metal Fabrication
Relative Strength vs. Sector: 2.87
Relative Strength vs. SP500: 14.88
U/D Volume Ratio: 2.26
15 Day U/D Volume Ratio: 5.27
Base Depth: 77.73%
Distance from breakout buy point: -16.17%
Volume 21.39% above its 15 day avg.
Trade Idea:
* Now's a great time to jump in as it's close to its 50 day line, printed a pocket pivot and breaking out of its ascending triangle
* If you're looking for a better entry you may look around the 48.1 area as it may retest that level for support
Some resistances to keep in mind are $49.2 and $51.3. There may be sellers in these areas.
Forget about chart patterns! Hello, my dear friends and happy New Year!
I wish you to be healthy and reach all your goals in trading and not only! Never give up on this difficult way which we are going to overcome together!
Today we have a very important topic. How to use Elliott waves instead of classical chart patterns. This is the natural exposure why the chart patterns are garbage. I remember my third year at university when we have the trading lessons. Our teacher gave us a lot of useless knowledges about support, resistance and chart patterns. I have not understood why it should working and it was not soo intereting subject for me. That’s why I returned back to trading much later using self-education. Now I have the clear understanding why Elliott waves is the best tool and why it’s working. Most of traders even don’t understand that chart patterns is just the special case of Elliott waves. That’s why today I decided to explain you how you can change the first one to the second one. Let’s go!
Double Top(Bottom)
On the chart above I drew the different types of double tops. Generally we have 3 types of this pattern
Double top with the second top higher than the first one. In this case we can interpret it in two ways. It could be the classical waves 3, 4, 5 and the corrective wave A at the ending stage. In this case we can anticipate waves B and C. Also it could be the irregular correcton ABC inside wave 4 (rarely in wave 2). In this case we should wait for the wave 5 after that. Traders usually execute short position on the neckline breakdown and suffer when the wave 5 smashed their stop-loss. They are wondering why double top does not working.
Double top with the equal highs has the same possible outcomes. The only one difference that correction called flat instead of irregular.
Double top with the second top lower than the first one. Here is the most common variant is the end of the ABC correction. In this case we have the low potential for shorting the market becuase the new impulsive wave to the upside can hit all stop losses.
Head & Shoulders
This is the easiest pattern for analysis. The right sholder usually is the wave 4, the head, obviously is the wave 5 and the right shoulder is the wave B. On the neckline breakdown we have the shorting potential only in the rest part of the wave C. You could correctly count waves and short that the bearish reversal bar of the wave 5 or, as a last resort, at wave B potential top. Shorting at the neckline has sence only if you are sure that the wave B was the the wave 1 of the impulsive wave to the downside if higher degree and now the market is in wave 3. We have to learn how to count waves in a correct way. I would recommend you to read the Trading Chaos book by Bill Williams because it has the best explanation how do waves work.
Triangles and Wedges
This part is common for all types of triangles (ascending, descending, symmetrical) and wedges (falling and rising). This patterns have the similar structure. If we faced with one of these patterns we have 4 possible scenarios.
Triangle in the downtrend after the wave 3. In this case triangle is the wave 4, which is represented as the triangle correction. This correction type consists of 5 waves A, B, C, D and E. When the wave E is finished market will continue it’s move in the direction of a trend, printing the wave 5.
The same, but in the uptrend.
When the market showed us the 5 waves cycle to the upside and the correction is in progress. Triangle can appears in the wave B. In this case the price will continue the corrective move in the wave C after it’s finished.
The same with the downtrend.
Guys, of course there are much more types of chart patterns. For example, tripple tops and bottoms and so on. The purpose of this article is giving you another view of the market structure and to motivate you studying the Elliott waves theory. Believe me, it has much more potential than it seems on the first glimplse.
Best regards, Ivan
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BTC QUICK UPDATE! NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this quick BTC update.
BTC is still struggling to break the $17k resistance level and is currently trading around $16.8k. Price has been stuck in this range for the last few days because of Christmas. Now we might see some volatile move but the question is in which direction? Let us try to find this in this analysis.
According to the chart, BTC is forming an ascending triangle in a 4hr time frame and currently rejecting from the triangle's upper trendline. IMO, BTC breaks down this triangle and the price might hit the $16.2k-$16.4k level before any upward move. After hitting the $16.2k level, if the price holds there then we resume the uptrend.
Invalidation Level:- Any 4hr candle close above $17k
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Also, share your views in the comment section.
Thank You!
Acending bottom formation scenario ''IF'' the BTC bottom is inHi @everyone,
Like mentioned in previous published ideas we showed you to always be prepared for multiple scenario's
In our previous trade plan we showed an possible 'SHORT' swing trade setup for BTC with targets below previous low.
In this chart we show (incase of an invalidation on the short swing setup) how we could approuch the market ''IF'' BTC already bottemed out. And will see an Acending bottom formation showing up like in this example.
This is aswell an possible trade plan based on a potential scenario where we still have 0 conformation on that it will play out,
But.... ''IF'' this scenario could play out, we are well prepared for it.
A scenario is a guide with rules for conformations, and invalidations. No mather wich scenario will play out ( becease there to are many of them ) aslong you are prepared on the most of them you are able to make better and saver decisions in your trading.
Just Always have a plan and trade based on a position out of strenght, but also having a plan B,C,D etc.. just think like an piece of code --> if this...--> then that--> if this not--> then this..
Enjoy this possible scenario thread,
Quantistic