Ascending Triangle
Bitcoin to 18k. The big crash is coming!
It looks like Bitcoin has completed the first bullish impulse wave, which is a very positive sign for the future, but right now the correction is in progress.
As you know, from the Elliott Wave perspective, wave 2 corrections are usually deeper, especially in crypto. 0.618 FIB or even lower is a classic retracement, and because we have a huge unfilled GAP, this is going to happen!
0.618 FIB is at 18658 (LOG), and the start of the gap + POC of the previous consolidation structure is at 16830. Only these two levels are important; the others are insignificant. So you want to buy bitcoin at these points!
The market always moves in waves, no doubt about it. The waves in crypto are absolutely different from the stock market because different environments have different personalities. What works on the crypto market doesn't work on the stock market. If someone claims that his bot or trading system works on all markets, including forex, indices, crypto, commodities, and stocks, he is most likely lying to you. It is best to concentrate on a single type of market; in my case, that is crypto. I don't trade forex, stocks, or gold because the market movements are very different. It's like comparing apples to beef steak; they look different and taste different. It's better to eat the beef steak.
We can see on the chart that there is a large unfilled GAP between approx. 16830 and 20407. These gaps tend to be filled sooner or later. I think maybe it's better to fill the gap right now than next year. You probably do not want Bitcoin to go to 40k and then dump back to 16k next year; this would be as ugly as the COVID crash in 2020.
The bulls didn't react to the major supports on lower timeframes, and it's a huge sign of weakness at this moment. The structure was bullish, but currently at this point, it's extremely bearish to me.
So what is the plan now? You can trade Bitcoin on futures and trade reactions on the previous structures. For example, 21,950 is a strong level and bitcoin could bounce from it, so you can take some intraday trades with a few % of gains before it collapses down to the abyss. You can definitely short bitcoin. I will make these types of trades in the next few weeks. Once bitcoin reaches my reversal zone, I will take some brutal long trades with an extremely high RR and a target of 30k+.
March is going to be a very bearish month. And usually Bitcoin starts to pump significantly when April starts. You can do a back test. April is a very positive month.
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BA FEB24 220/FEB17 225 DIAGONAL CALLHIGH BASE SET-UP
Detailed Definition of setup and what market conditions are desirable
Ok, so on January the 13th, BA made a new swing high and it's been trading above the 50-day SMA...really since about November 2nd. So as far as trend analysis goes, BA looks like it has more momentum to the upside in the coming months.
Detailed Definition of the trigger (entry point) used to enter positions
You can say this also has an ascending triangle pattern but I saw this more as a longer than 5 day base with lower or equal volume. I had set an alert for 212.15 using yesterday's high as my trigger. I also wanted to wait until earnings to see the price action. Seems to me as this has a higher probability of it going higher.
Detailed Definition used to determine Stops (abandon or adjust)
No stops will be used. I'm set up for max loss risking under 2% of my portfolio.
Detailed Definition of the methods used to determine targets
Let's take a look at the 4 hour chart. Since about November 10th 2022, it's been poking it's head above it until the price action brought it into the upwards channel I drew. So if it trades in this area until the 17th of this month.. then it should come close to my 225 target. But it may even want to jump up to the other channel above it and push to 230, 235, 240 maybe? That's why I went with a diagonal strategy just incase it does take off more.
How strike prices and expiration dates are selected
If we look at the hour chart I think it may want to slowly trade within this channel to get to 225 by the week of the 17th. Also, this traded in this range of 200ish to 225ish for most of the back half of 2021. So I would think it might want to trade in this area once again. 3 weeks is more than enough time for this trade to unfold.
Position management strategies when the stock goes lower
If the stock goes lower I'll let the combo expire worthless since I'm set up for max loss.
Position management strategies when the stock goes sideways
Again, set up for max loss so if it just stays here, i'll let it expire worthless and move on to the next trade.
Position management strategies when the stock goes higher
This is the outcome I prefer. If this goes straight through 225 and stays above 225 come the 17th, I'll close out the entire combo. That's why I would prefer this pushes up to the higher channel and stays above 225 until the 17th.
Position management strategy at expiration
Come February 17th, if this is trading below 225, I'll let my 225 strike expire and hold on to my 220 strike until the 24th. The week of the 24th I'll monitor this and close out the 220 strike once it gets to my 225 target.
SPY & SPX Price AnalysisOverview
On the 17th, both SPY and SPX, broke out of their ascending triangle patterns that had been accumulating for the past few weeks. We can see it has broken out bearish and is likely to continue bullish. There has been no divergence -both visible and hidden; following the breakout, my charts are indicating a continuation. Opened bearish today, but it is most definitely a pullback.
What's my proof?
Volatility is expanding past 20% threshold on both charts, and Stochastic going down with it. Additionally, ClusterAlgo is giving off a bearish signal - although we are yet to see sell signal for double confirmation. These signals with the combined knowledge of breakouts derived from chart patterns such as the triangles we have just seen has me confident that this information is accurate.
Effects of this breakout
If you have any pre-existing knowledge on markets, you likely know that these breakouts are significant because they will greatly reflect on the market as many stocks follow them. As for cryptocurrencies, I believe that we will likely see a turn to the downside as well. While crypto does not follow SPY and the S&P as closely, with the market likely maintaining a bearish trend for next short while, we can expect to see crypto head in a bearish direction - likely following BTC. As for Forex and Futures, that is not my expertise, nor am I nearly experienced enough to discuss it.
In all, I believe that in the short-term time frame, we will see a continuation to the downside. I'd also like to mention that I am not extremely experienced in markets or technical analysis. This is just my opinion as an amateur trader - if you disagree or feel I missed important information, please leave a comment; I'd love to hear some other perspectives on the recent price action.
Ethereum is ready for a massive pump! (again)
It has been one of the best 2 months in crypto history, with tremendous gains on altcoins. Euphoria is at a very high level, but it's going to be even higher because ETH is forming this incredibly bullish pattern!
My main focus is and always will be on altcoins, and I am monitoring all futures + spot pairs on major exchanges. I prefer to trade on leverage, so you don't need too much margin compared to the spot.
Ethereum's chart is displaying an inverse head and shoulders pattern, and I am confident that once we break the neckline, we will see a massive green dildo, which is why you should be in.
It's a good idea to buy ETH right now and set your stop-loss below the right shoulder. You don't want to wait for a confirmation! You want a higher risk-to-reward ratio instead.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
On higher timeframes, ETH has been moving in an ascending parallel channel on the LOG scale. This channel is indeed very resistant; make sure you are aware of it.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, the wave structure is totally incomplete. We are still in the 3d wave, and we have plenty of time for the upcoming uptrend!
Some altcoins are skyrocketing with 100% - 500% gains already. Do not forget to take a look at my previous analysis on BTC - "30k next stop, then big crash! (Whales plan)."
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BTCUSDT - Ascending Triangle PatternAscending triangle with monthly, weekly, daily, nPoc support levels. Pattern should play out within this week ending Feb 24, 2023.
The ascending triangle is a bullish continuation pattern which signifies the continuation of an uptrend. Ascending triangles can be drawn onto charts by placing a horizontal line along the swing highs – the resistance – and then drawing an ascending trend line along the swing lows – the support.
Source: www.ig.com
Bitcoin Ascending Triangle Pattern #Bitcoin 4hr #TA
As per present scenario, #BTC moves with #Ascending Triangle Pattern ans soon will be chances for some #Bullish Signal in Feb. at final high wave of #BullTrap upto $27.5k to $29.5k, but after that it will Return back with more #Bearish Signals in March & April.
Ascending Triangles to Break $25k ResistanceI believe these ascending triangles are pointing to a breakout here, converging right at $25k, and it could be the one to finally overcome this beast of a resistance. Been a tough battle here. The triangles are a little malformed, but clearly they're getting smaller, and culminating to a point. We are almost there... rejection wouldn't surprise me, but I'm leaning towards a breakout. If we get above $25200 cleanly we should consolidate somewhere above $25k, and then after that, could be a pretty clear path to 28k or so, given the large volume gap in the 25-28k range. This all seems obvious though, and crypto rarely does the most seemingly obvious thing.
BTCUSD - 4 Hour - Ascending Triangle Breakout PatternToday we're taking a look at Bitcoin & a potential bullish breakout trade featuring one of my favorite breakout patterns, the ascending triangle. We'll talk about what makes this potential opportunity a good one as well as a few MAJOR things that you should be aware of before taking it. I'll also show you my method for how I project target levels.
If you have any questions or comments, feel free to leave them below & until next time - Plan Your Trade, Trade Your Plan - Akil
Bitcoin - Another 10% increase is likely, long here!
Bitcoin looks extremely strong these days; there is probably nothing that can stop the rise at this moment. This is an analysis on the 1h chart that could give you 2 potential trades.
On the first trade, you want to buy/long the ascending triangle's support. If this trade fails for some reason, there is another trade that you could take. It's at the start of the ascending triangle, which is also a significant swing low, and below this swing low is a huge gap, so it's very positive for a long trade!
Now, where to trade profits for this trade? It's not that hard in this case. If we take a look at the parallel projection of the ascending triangle, we can see there is a dynamic resistance, so once the price reaches this level, you want to take profit!
Exchanges do not support dynamic take-profit targets like profiting at the trendline. At this moment, you have to use some 3rd-party programs and an API interface.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we can see that the price has been moving in 5-wave impulses to the upside in the main direction of the trend and in 3-wave corrections to the downside. By identifying these patterns, we have a higher chance of success in these trades.
This is my plan for Bitcoin on the 1h chart. I trade these moves on the futures market in addition to my spot holdings. By taking these trades, you will gain a pretty good risk-reward ratio, specifically one above 1:4 depending on your stop loss.
Bitcoin should reach a price range of $28,000 to $30,000 in the immidiate short-term. If you do not know why, take a look at my previous analysis below! Remember to trade with the trend and only go long to increase your chances of success.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
AOT | Wave Projection | Rising triangle ABCDE Uptrend TargetPrice action and chart pattern trading setup
> Rising triangle ABCDE pattern @ breakout neckline position
> TP1 estimated @ height of E wave +17% upside 1.618 extension of CDE wave
> Stoploss @ triangle support -8% downside
> RRR: 2:1
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stop
$RAY - showing a #RAY of PUMPHello my Fellow TraderZ,
$SOL is breaking out, so will its ecosystem.
$RAY is consolidating beautifully here.
If you see price has formed ASCENDING TRIANGLE on DTF.
Break $0.35 and BOOM for ~80% Gains. Look at the GAP till next Resistence level.
Use proper R : R .
Happy Trading. CHEERS!!!
UBX - Flat topUBX printing flat top - ascending triangle. More chance to go up... Be aware that we could see some near-term retest of lower support zones, 15min srsi could use some cool-down time... Details on the chart
Good luck traders!
PRIMAL - 2x Loading 🚀PRIMAL Consolidating within an ascending triangle, 0.025 area is breakout target!
NFA & DYOR - Thanks! 🤑
Bitcoin cycles: comparison and forecast (must know)
We are currently in the new bullish cycle on Bitcoin, based on physics, statistics, mathematics, and logic. But the market can sometimes be unpredictable and go to zero. In this case, we are all doomed.
This is the LOG scale on the weekly / 2W chart. That basically means we can't go up at the same rate and angle because bitcoin would cost more than $10 billion in the next few years.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
On this particular chart, the bull market from 2015 to 2017 has an angle of 48 degrees. The bull market from 2019 to 2021 has an angle of 35 degrees. The prediction is that this current bull market has an angle of 27 degrees.
On this particular chart, the bear market in 2014 has an angle of 51 degrees. The bear market in 2018 has an angle of 51 degrees, which is the same value as the previous bear market. Bear market 2022 has a lower angle of 44 degrees than the previous. The next bear market in 2026 should have a similar or lower angle than the previous bear markets.
From a time perspective, classic bull markets last for 1064–1071 days, and bear markets last for 364–406 days, as you can see on the chart. With this data, we can predict that the current bull market is going to end sometime in September 2025.
Hit "like" right now if you think this is an interesting analysis!
I know more about Bitcoin than the majority out there, and I have been trading it for a long time—longer than the majority out there. Bitcoin moves in cycles because of the halving events that cut in half the reward for miners.
Now the question is: What is the price going to be in September 2025? Well, Bitcoin is not going to make you extremely rich. It's too late for the party; you should join in 2010 or 2014, when people got rewarded for their skills to buy Bitcoin cheap and early. But still, bitcoin is a store of value and will increase your wealth by a significant amount, compared to gold or stocks. 140,000 USDT is a reasonable target for 2025!
If you want to make 100x or 100000x your money, the only option for you is to search for hidden gems or use high leverage on the futures market with a trading system and strategy. Both are indeed very hard and risky, but they're doable!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
SHIB Ascending Triangle Breakout LongSome clear cut ascending triangles have formed on the SHIB chart. Here is the look on the 2 hour, and is reaching convergence very soon IMO. I am for sure taking a long breakout trade here if/when it rises above the ceiling of the pattern, with a stop under the final triangles low.
BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
Not advice, just my idea.
Bitcoin - 20k or 18k before 40k! CME GAP
The solution to this analysis is to find the most probable reversal point for this corrective move, that is currently happening on Bitcoin.
Bitcoin failed to make a parabolic move. If we compare the start of the bull market in 2018, it was different because Bitcoin parabolically rose. But this time is different!
We must now concentrate on catching the bottom of this correction so that we can ride wave 3. Waves 3 are usually the most impulsive and most parabolic, so you really want to be in the market.
To catch the bottom of this corrective move, we need to use the most effective tools, such as FIB, GAPS, and Elliott Waves. Elliott Wave works best with crypto and stocks and worst with forex, so you want to use different tools for each environment.
On the chart, you can see 4 possible reversal points. Which one do you think is the most probable? Let me know in the comment section; I want to see your opinion! In my opinion, the 0.618 FIB seems the most logical level for a trend reversal.
But POC and the start of the gap at 16859 are also pretty juicy. But it's too low; it's hard to believe that the market will go back to these levels. On the other side, everything is possible.
Also, we have a CME gap on BTC1! futures, which is between 19995 and 20460. The chances of a pullback in this area are very high!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
The true issue and threat is the unfilled GAP between 16.8K and 20.4K. Usually, all gaps tend to be filled. You can do a backtest, and you will see that this is pretty much true. We don't need to close the gap completely, but partially, yes. That's why it's almost a guarantee that Bitcoin is going to touch 20500 sooner or later. It can be this month, next month, or even later next year, in 2024. I hope it's going to happen sooner rather than later!
I am not shorting anything, just to be clear. I rather prefer short-term longs with low RR rather than shorting. I don't want to play against the main trend, which is bullish! I believe we will hit a new all time high on Bitcoin this year or next year.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
NIO looking bullish on 4hThe price action may be trying to form an inverted head and shoulders (currently in the process of forming the right shoulder). The RSI seems to be bullish and creating an ascending triangle seem to have completed wave D and now waiting on wave E which should be the breakout wave bringing the RSI hopefully into the overbought territory.
AUDNZD on an ascending triangle 🦐An ascending triangle pattern in the AUD/NZD currency pair on a 4-hour chart suggests that the market sentiment is bullish, with the price creating higher lows while being contained by a horizontal resistance. This pattern can be considered a continuation pattern, implying that the upward trend may continue if the resistance is successfully broken.
In this scenario, a long order could be considered according to the Plancton's strategy rules if the price breaks above the resistance level, signaling a potential uptrend.
An ascending triangle is a technical chart pattern that occurs in an uptrending market and is considered a bullish continuation pattern. It is characterized by a flat upper resistance level and a series of higher lows that form a diagonal support line.
The pattern forms when buyers attempt to push the price higher but are met with resistance from sellers, causing the price to consolidate at the same level. As time passes, the support line moves higher, reflecting an increasing willingness among buyers to pay higher prices for the asset. If the price breaks above the flat resistance level, it can be considered a signal of continued bullish sentiment and a potential uptrend.