BTC Short to 45k The BTC mining industry currently incurs the following production costs per BTC:
Power cost: $23,000
Hardware cost: $20,000
Historically, BTC's market price has aligned with its production cost on at least four occasions.
This pattern is especially evident after halving events, where the price tends to reach or hover around the production cost level.
The consistent correlation between BTC's price and production cost is a significant indicator for technical analysis, suggesting a critical support level in market behavior.
ASIC
NU440 Miner Deal with Sphere 3D Put it on your watchlist, supposedly they just made a deal that would be a massive game changer if true.
The NU 440 has 4.5-5x the hashing power with less energy usage compared with the top asic miner available.
Sphere 3D would be way ahead of the game if this is true. DYOR NFA
BTC & NVIDIA RELATION SIGNALS A CYCLIC EXCESS IN BTC PRICEI believe the chart speaks by itself. Food for thoughts
At actual values, this relation will signal for a 25-30% btc correction. However, it is worth notice that usually the iperextension starts to deflate 2-3 months after the divergence occurs. Now, just 1 month passed from when the prices started to diverge.
EBON (EBANG makes BTC Mining Hardware)EBON (EBANG makes BTC Mining Hardware)
This will go up but what puzzles me is that it's competitor has a lower price and it is still dropping - both EBANG and CAN should be the same price and the y both will climb but both are finding that price as i write this.
I am hopeful we will have a longer chart in the future with more to see.
Once the BTC price jump everyone will wonder what these mining companies do - they make mining equipment and i would think they also are mining bitcoin so they will be profitable.
Share price will be increasing in 6 monthsXilinx presented a lot of new products last year like ALVEO (computing accelerators for heavy tasks of Machine Learning), the biggest FPGA with 9 million logic blocks, new Supermicro servers with XILINX FPGAs and lot more. Also it opened new R&D facilities in India.
Xilinx's products are very specifically and outstrip products from competitors, they need time to be implemented in equipment of Data centers, machine accelerators and new ASICs for blockchain to gain Xilinx big profit.
Regarding Xilinx, Fortune wrote:
“The semiconductor developer is well-positioned to serve growing markets including A.I. and 5G technology thanks to its specialization in field-programmable gate arrays (FPGA)…"
All information about Xilinx said that it shares are underestimated on 30% at least. So share price will grow after short fall.
lowest BTC price analysis by miner technologyWe discussed about miners and mining viewpoint for preparing a BTC in previous posts:
A) BTC Analysis based on Block frame and halving
b) BTC network analyses from miners viewpoint
We predicted to see new asic miner technology and hear about new miners.
2 month ago, Bitmain introduced new asic miner with 7 nm technology which they called S 15
ASICminer is another company who claim their new miner machine can worked with 80 TH and 4200w power usage also; they used 8 nm chip in their miner machines.
Last well known miner machine antminer s9 prepare 14 TH by using 1370 w
I used my new Power Usage Index instead power efficiency, which derived by dividing device power usage to hash power.
PUI:
1- S9 = 97.85 W/Th (16 nm chip )
2- ASICminer pro 8 nano = 52.5 W/Th ( according to the ASICminer website 8 nm FINFET technology )
3- S15 = 57W/Th ( according to the bitmain website with 7nm FINFET technology )
We can assumed new technology reduce power 50% per Terahash.
In bullish market, fresh and updated miners who are, using new technology wants to overtaking traditional miner by sold their new BTC with lower price than S9 PUI .
Today BTC network hasharate is about 33.55 EH and if we assumed electricity cost 0.1189 $/w AVG. BTC block rewards 12.64 BTC per blocks
With all of above information and last 2 posts we can estimate how much BTC miner machines paid for electricity to generate a BTC
We can find BTC price roughly near 6200$ and 3300 $ for both 7nm and 16 nm chips PUI (16 nm 97.85 W/Th and 7 nm 52.5 W/Th )
if all of the above parameters stay constant we can predict 3300$ for lowest BTC price at the moment ( :D )
STM to rebound with new iphone?STM has been beaten down as Apple supplier for ASIC chips and new iphone release this fall should jump start this.
It's down 27% from high and await good entry.
Viewers come to own opine. The Cboe VIX which started to uptick yesterday from 10-11 to 14. Trade war with
China as another factor.
DASH(ing) to $500? LONGDASH Buy: Target pice 470-500
Stop lost: 280
Resistance, 373, 413
For fast trader you can lock out your position if the price falls below the recent uptrend line.
I go for LONG in dash with $500 target. We are talking about longer trades here,an investment even, maybe towards the new year. The MACD rises above and the price stands on longer term EMA.
Base on smaller time frame chart in 4H the coin can retrace to 280 areas again to test the break out and that too should be our stop if it doesnt hold.
We see similar break out triangle pattern in some of the coins in the ALT coin market. This is one of the pattern that I look for.
The coin had break out of the downtrend line in daily chart. The previous high can be trace back to the 400 areas.
Note: There are miners out their servicing the crypto world, asics and gpus. This is one coin that can be mine with the X11 algorithm asic miners. I understand that the ROI of the new miners have been extended with massive increase in difficulties. So I hope this post can benefit both miners and traders.
Best of luck, please feel free to comment, I am open to constructive discussion :)
Short Term Speculation of BITCOIN GOLD....thinking of 2 ways, rising from this basecamp
or retracement.
But my opinion, it seems promising.
So let's wait and see...
Bitcoin's May Rebound and the release of KnCMiner's "Titan"Short until June.... It's the reality of the market right now. Low demand, China news, increasing difficulty for miners with dropping prices, regulation... these are all negatives for the currency.
KnCMiner will be releasing their Scrypt ASIC miner entitled the "Titan." It is my belief that many of it's first adopters will begin mining with their gear on multipools which auto-sell the most profitable altcoin for Bitcoin. With over $500 million in sales with KnCMiner the network hashrate will begin jumping immediately. Miners will begin cashing out, and the price of BTC will jump dramatically. KnCMiner has promised a delivery time of around Q2/Q3 which leads me to believe they will push these out until the end of Q2 or beginning of Q3.
The automatic buying pressure at that time should fuel the initial run and an automatic run for Bitcoin in the long-term until difficulty levels adjust and profits decrease.