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Correlation Matters No More For the longest time, I've been saying that the correlations between the currency pairs have been weakened. Traders have asked me why I have NZDJPY and NZDUSD in my portfolio. Doesn't it move in the same direction? Over the years, these correlated pairs move pretty differently. And recently, the WTI and Gold have no longer moved in an inverse relationship. So yeah, I'm treating them as their own. Although both the 4-hourly and 1-hourly charts show buying opportunities through a potential Bullish Bat Pattern and a Bullish Shark Pattern, I'm more interested in waiting for a shorting opportunity on the 5-0 Pattern. What's your take on the NZDUSD?
Short
by RaynLim
Trend Doesn't Matter!!I'm not saying that trend isn't important, but on this particular trade, it is NOT. And that is because the NZDJPY is on a sideway market, and it didn't show a particular prominent sign. My top focus is to wait for a shorting opportunity on the Bearish Crab Pattern that shows up on the daily chart. It is common for crab patterns to have their retest before the actual move. Why this Crab Pattern? It coincides with the Bearish Shark Pattern on the Weekly Chart. If you want a buying opportunity, a magic candle confirmation 87.21 on the 1-hourly chart will allow you to engage the trade. Gartley Pattern is the first pattern that was discovered. What makes this Bullish Gartley Pattern interesting is that the completion falls on the Key Support Level on the Daily Chart, marked as the Blue Horizontal Line, indicating a Key Support Level. This is both amazing and disturbing to see for both traders. What's your take on the NZDJPY?
Short
by RaynLim
1
Identify Trend, FastThis is how I've identified the GBPUSD is going higher than most traders. If you look at the weekly chart, you would have spotted that the candle broke and close above the previous high; that gives me a sign even before it broke the current structure, and I've been saying that for over a month now. I'm focused on getting the buying on the buying opportunity. There are 2 buying opportunities I'm focusing on. A retest on the trendline on the daily chart is needed would be the magic candle confirmation. A Bullish Gartley Pattern trading setup that confirms at 1.2673. What are your thoughts on the GBPUSD?
Long
by RaynLim
This is why Most Traders Lose MoneyLook at the higher timeframe(right), on the Weekly chart, and have your focus on the retest of the previous high. Not only it fails to close above the previous high, but it also has an RSI Divergence. On the bigger picture, EURUSD is on a Bearish Move. I'm not saying you can't make money if you have bought EURUSD, but you shouldn't stretch your target when you are counter-trend trading and you won't know that if you didn't get the trend right. On the lower timeframe, the 4-hourly chart, Trend Traders could wait for a retest of the Key Resistance Level at 1.0912 and wait for a Magic Candle Confirmation to engage the trade. Counter-Trend Traders could wait for the completion of the Bullish Shark Pattern, followed by a Magic Candle Confirmation at 1.0707 before heading for a buying opportunity. What's your trade plan for the week? Comment down below.
Short
by RaynLim
Fantastic OpportunitiesAs the WTI or US Oil is on a sideway movement, it creates fantastic trading opportunities for counter-trend traders like myself. There are 2 approaches I'm looking at in the following week. A Bearish Gartley Pattern at X, a shorting opportunity on the 8-range bar chart, or a Bearish Bat Pattern on the 4-hourly chart. The important candlesticks confirmation on the Gartley Pattern at X requires the next candlestick to touch 71.47 before the pattern is valid; failure to do so, I'll be waiting for the Bearish Bat Pattern. Magic Candle has to appear at 72.94 for the Bat Pattern on the 4-hourly chart(right) to be valid. This is how trading should be. Plan your trade, and wait for candlestick pattern confirmation before engaging the trade. What's your trade plan for WTI?
TVC:USOILShort
by RaynLim
2
Dollar Bias!My Bias for Dollar Appreciation started on 14 Oct 2021; it has been right after all. The leading trade I'm looking at is a buying opportunity on the 1-hourly chart, left and might keep my final target open and observe the candlestick pattern movement when it approaches its new resistance level. If you are looking for a counter-trend move, I've something for you. A Bearish Butterfly Pattern that seems to complete at 141.65; in order for this trading setup to complete, the candlesticks pattern must touch 141.51 within the next 2 candles, which means within 8 hours after the market opens. If you love what you are seeing, remember to follow my only account, raynlim
Long
by RaynLim
Bullish Trend!Finally, with a violation on the GBPUSD Weekly Chart, trend traders can now long the GBPUSD at ease. I will wait for a retest at 1.2696 on the GBPUSD 4-hourly chart for a buying opportunity. If you are waiting for a counter-trend trade, the safest way is to wait for a violation of the red trendline(left). Then wait for the retest on the red trendline. You have to make sure there isn't any violation that happens after the retest, that is when you can engage the trade after the Magic Candle Confirmation.
Long
by RaynLim
Combo Trade with RiskThis trading setup provides 1 of the Best Profit Factor. But because of how the candlesticks interact on the PRZ(rectangle box) it is also the most dangerous trading setup. On the 8-range bar chart, there's a Deep Gartley Pattern setup, and on the 4-hourly chart, a Bat Pattern setup. Both setups is now resting at X. If you are new to trading, avoid this trade. If you have not traded Oil before, reduce your position sizing by at least 5x. It is better to missed a trade than to enter a trade you shouldn't have.
TVC:USOILLong
by RaynLim
Expansion PatternsAUDCAD has a unique setup that I'd not seen before. We have shark patterns from the Weekly chart to the 1-hourly chart. This is a clear sign of sideway increase volatility, a situation I DID NOT trade when I started trading 18years ago, not until I found the Shark Pattern trading strategy 12years ago. I'm more comfortable waiting for the Shark Pattern form up on the 1-hourly chart at 0.8902. Not only because it was the lowest timeframe, which means lesser initial risk on the trade and the completion of the Shark Pattern lands on the Key Support level on the 1-hourly chart.
Long
by RaynLim
Best of Both WorldsMy long-term bias on Dollar Appreciation had not ended, however, that doesn't mean I can't short the Bearish Crab Pattern that was completed at 140.42. If you had traded this, it would have given you 106pips(approx. 1,060usd/lot) of running profits. If you are like me, having the bias to long the USDJPY, the Bullish Gartley Pattern that completes at 137.84 could provide you with such a trading opportunity. Either way, the M.C confirmation has to appear in both situations.
Long
by RaynLim
Counter-Trend MoveThis could be for you if you are waiting for a counter-trend move. A Bearish Gartley Pattern is expected to complete at 1.2605, but the earliest for that is on 12 Jun 23, 1200(utc+3); any earlier than that, the trade would be invalid. If a break and close above 1.2605 occur, I will wait for an M.C confirmation at 1.2659 on the ABCD pattern. Both of these Harmonic Patterns are counter-trend moves. On GBPUSD, that means a pullback trade. Overall, my sentiment remains bullish on the GBPUSD.
Short
by RaynLim