NZDUSD - 5-0 PatternMy money is in the Bearish 5-0 Pattern within the NZDUSD chart. That's an important trend trading setup and gives me the opportunity to ride onto the wave. But in order for the 5-0 Pattern to be valid, the Bullish Shark has to happen.
Let's wait and see how the market responds from here.
Question:
Would you engage the Bullish Shark Pattern when it forms up?
Answer:
Definitely, I will need a 3-bar reversal as usual.
Askforex100
USDJPY-Weekly Market Analysis-Oct22,Wk2In my analysis of the USDJPY Daily Chart, the Bearish Crab Pattern still stands. At this moment it is a Bearish Crab Pattern checkback, which means it is at its best possible price for interested traders to engage this trade with the best Reward:Risk that is possible that happens on the Crab Pattern.
Personally, I'm not that crazy about that because of the prolonged consolidation. I'm more interested in the buying opportunity as I believe that USD still have room for appreciation.
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Oct22,Wk2GBPUSD on its daily chart reversed on the Key Resistance level. Counter-Trend traders could wait for a 3-bar reversal on the dotted blue line.
However, that is NOT good enough for me. I will need to see a Double Bottom with an RSI Divergence before I'm interested to engage in the trade.
What is the condition you need for you to get on a counter-trend trading setup like this?
EURUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Oct22,Wk2If you had read my overall analysis(check out the Related Ideas within TradingView) on EURUSD, you might get a bit confused with this analysis. How could we look for a buying opportunity where the overall trend is bearish? In fact, we can, there are ebbs and flows of the market, so within the bearish trend, there are bullish movements within; what is important is that you have to know if you are trading with or against the trend.
This Deep Bullish Gartley Pattern has been violated, there is a break and close below of X, but with NFP(Non-Farm Payroll) just happening last Friday, I like to give EURUSD some leeway(but leaning towards not engaging it.
Some of the further movement I need to see is an immediate reversal( bullish ) with a double bottom combined with RSI Divergence.
EURUSD - Bearish ChannelIsn't it amazing that the EURUSD still respect the Bearish Channel setup? Respect means that the market touch the furthest end of the channel and reversed.
This show that the EURUSD is still bearish and it move in order, something to take note. On the longer term persepctive, I will be looking for shorting opportunity.
NZDJPY - Bullish SharkTo those who trade based on currency correlation, this is one setup you have to look at. On the surface, the NZDJPY and NZDUSD both have a Bullish Shark Pattern on the 1-hourly chart, but if you look closely at the 4-hourly chart, you will be able to see the future of these two pairs differs from one another.
On the NZDJPY, the Shark Pattern is more direct, in and out of the setup. However, on the NZDUSD setup, there is a potential trading combo setup.
Check out the related ideas at the bottom of my tradingview post to learn more.
NZDUSD - Bullish SharkProbably "the most important" Bullish Shark Pattern of the week. I'm waiting for the market to fulfil the Shark Pattern at 0.5583; for that to happen, a 3-bar reversal has to be seen.
What is more important than the Shark Pattern is the fulfilment of the 5-0 Pattern. The market shouldn't break and close beyond the red box that marks 5-0 Pattern, and when that happens, I'm going to head in for a shorting opportunity and might just ride the wave down on a Bearish Flag Pattern that could form on the 4-hourly chart.
You can check the related ideas at the bottom of the tradingview post on the potential bearish flag pattern.
NZDUSD - Bearish FlagCounter-trend traders do take note, if you are looking for a trend-reversal trade, it might not be the time yet.
What I've spotted is a potential Bearish Flag Pattern, the Flag Pattern confirmation will happen when the candlestick break and close below 0.5560, so I say, "Hold your horses!" Let's see what pans out.
Check out the related ideas at the bottom to access the lower timeframe analysis.
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Oct22,Wk1Last Friday, I shared this analysis in Tradingview; the comment I received is lovely yet scary. The reader felt that the Bat Pattern had completed and seemed like he had engaged in the trade. Oh nooo!!
First of all, no matter who the analyst was, never follow their trading ideas blindly. Secondly, for the Bearish Bat Pattern to be valid, the market has to touch the furthest end of the PRZ; in this example, it's at 1.1251 and touches the opposite end of the PRZ for it to be valid.
Engaged in advance of the pattern completion can risk riding on an invalid setup or put yourself at a major disadvantage when you enter too early.
Some of the obvious disadvantages is a lopsided Reward is to Risk; you risk more and earn lesser than other traders who engaged in the same trade. While others can shift their stop-loss to entry, you could only reduce your risk.
With that said, in this bearish setup, my analysis remains unchanged.
EURUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Oct22,Wk1The EURUSD is on a Bearish Trend on both Daily & 4-hourly charts. The key resistance level on the Daily chart is at 0.9900, and on the 4-hourly chart, we have a Bearish Shark Pattern that completes within the sell zone(supply zone) at 0.9866.
Last Friday, we did an aggressive short on the 1hourly chart based on a potential double top setup that has an RSI Divergence with it. Currently, the setup is a double top with a retracement pull-back. Normally, it is a perfect opportunity for traders to engage in the trade, I don't quite like the current candlestick pattern confirmation.
I leave that to you. Related Ideas is at the bottom of the tradingview chart.
GBPUSD - Bearish BatA Bearish Bat setup within the sell zone work well for trend traders. Consolidation before completion could be a warning sign for the Bat Pattern trader; hence traders must wait for confirmation in the PRZ zone and not to rush into this Harmonic Pattern without waiting for further confirmation.
Episode578 CADJPY - Bullish CrabAs much as I like to prize this Crab Pattern as the ultimate setup for the week, this Bullish Crab Pattern has a major warning sign.
Trained Harmonic Pattern traders can comment at the bottom.
The reason I would still consider this a Crab Pattern is because the levels converge at 104.08.
The better setup this week is the Bearish Crab Pattern on the USDJPY Daily Chart, check out the link at the bottom.
Episode577 NZDJPY - Resistance Level 82.16 is an important level of NZDJPY on the daily chart; that's the support level of the Bullish Flag setup.
While some traders are non-believer of the Flag Pattern, 82.88 provide a good level for the trend traders to head in for a shorting opportunity in advance of the move.
USDJPY-Weekly Market Analysis-Sep22,Wk5Monetising on the idea that USDJPY has a completed Bearish Crab Pattern on the Daily Chart, I'm waiting for this odd-looking Bearish Shark Pattern to complete at 145.27.
Normally, I wouldn't have factored in the fact of BOJ intervention that makes the chart an odd-looking one, but because the level of the PRZ within the shark pattern converges, I'm going to observe how the market reacts at 145.27 before engaging the trade.
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Sep22,Wk5GBPUSD is on a bearish trend; you may wonder if GBPUSD will hit parity with the dollar. The next level of support is at 1.0554, the market has to break and close beyond the level before we talk about Pound Parity with the US. The immediate resistance level that I'm waiting for a shorting opportunity is at 1.1212.