BLK - Strong uptrend is intact with new highs Upward trend, which started from the covid bottom of 2020, continues.
The total assets managed by the company reached 11.5 trillion USD, with an annual increase of 2.4 trillion USD.
The company increased its quarterly revenues by 15% to $5.197 billion, exceeding expectations of $5.007 billion.
Earnings per share for the last quarter were $11.46, above expectations of $10.38.
The shares of the company, which announced a net profit of $1.6 billion in this quarter, exceeded the 2021 high level of $970 and reached $990, and its current market cap is $147 billion.
The stock, which has a dividend yield of 2%, is trading with a price-earnings ratio of 24.
Assetmanagement
Asset Managers are looking at IBIT - Bitcoin thoughts - May 2024Sentiment seems to be that the cycle top is in. I disagree. The bitcoin ETFs are now opening up Bitcoin exposure to hedge funds and asset managers managing trillions of dollars, You have to ask yourself at this point, what is the likely hood that bitcoin has topped before the halving and now ETFs have opened the flood gates. I think very unlikely the bull market ends here.
NASDAQ:IBIT
Fair Value Gap Trading StrategyFair Value Gap Trading Strategy
To implementing a fair value gap as a trading strategy you need to understand these three basic components of this trading strategy.
Time
Liquidity Hunt
Market Structure Shift
Fair Value Gap
Let’s begin by discussing the importance of time in trading. According to ICT Trader, time is considered to be fractal, meaning that what happens on higher time frames is reflected in lower time frames if studied in the proper context.
In this context, fractal refers to the idea that patterns and behaviors observed on longer time frames, such as daily or weekly charts, can be seen in shorter time frames, like hourly or minute charts.
By studying price action and market behavior across different time frames, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and potentially identify profitable trading opportunities.
Time indeed holds significant importance in the fair value gap trading strategy, particularly when it comes to identifying favorable trading setups. Despite the forex market being open 24 hours a day, not all times present ideal conditions for executing fair value gap trades. That’s where the concept of ICT Kill Zones comes into play.
ICT Kill Zones
ICT Kill Zones refer to specific time periods during the day that have been observed to offer higher probability trading opportunities. These zones are associated with the entry of smart money, which are institutional or banks who have the ability to influence market direction.
In short, ICT Kill Zones correspond to specific time periods during the day that are particularly relevant for trading activities. These zones include the London Open, London Close, New York Open, and New York Close.
Traders using the fair value gap trading strategy often focus on these times as they tend to offer higher probability trading setups. The ICT Kill Zones are associated with the entry of smart money and can provide enhanced opportunities for traders to capitalize on market movements. By aligning their trading activities with these specific time periods, traders aim to improve their chances of success.
Liquidity in FVG Trading Strategy
Liquidity in the market often takes the form of buy stops and sell stops.market makers or smart money intentionally trap retail traders by manipulating prices to trigger their stop losses.
The idea is that they move the market in one direction to hunt for stop losses, causing retail traders to place orders in the false direction and set their stop losses at key levels. After the stop loss hunt, the market reverses in the opposite direction, benefiting the smart money.
Let’s analyze the above chart from a retail trader’s perspective. When we observe the chart, we notice that the price levels between 44240 and 44280 have proven to be strong resistance in the past.
Based on this observation, many retail traders might place their selling pending orders to anticipate of a price reversal at these levels. To manage their risk, they would likely set their stop loss orders just above this resistance area.
What is done by market makers or smart money,they could manipulate the market by initially pushing the price upward, deliberately triggering the stop loss orders placed by retail traders. This action would cause some retail traders to think that a breakout is occurring and prompt them to place buying orders while setting their stop losses at levels below the resistance area.
Once the stop loss orders have been hunted and triggered, the market makers or smart money may then reverse the price direction.
Enhancing Trading Success with the Fair Value Gap Entry Strategy
After a liquidity hunt on a higher time frame, you suggest switching to lower time frames such as 15 minutes, 5 minutes, 3 minutes, or even 1 minute to identify certain patterns that may emerge following the stop loss hunt. These patterns include:
1.Sudden or sharp price movements: Following the liquidity hunt, you may observe rapid and significant price fluctuations on the lower time frames.
This sharp movement causing market structure shift and provide an extra confluence.
2. Fair value gap (FVG): Look for gaps between the current price and the fair value of the asset. The fair value represents the equilibrium price based on various factors. Identify instances where the market price deviates significantly from this fair value.
3. Entry position based on the Fair Value Gap strategy: Once you spot a fair value gap pattern after the liquidity hunt, you can consider taking a position in anticipation of the market filling that gap. The expectation is that the market will eventually return to the fair value price.
It’s important to carefully train your eyes to recognize these patterns after a liquidity hunt and patiently wait for the market to come back and fill the identified gap. Once you have identified a suitable entry position, you can place your stop loss order above the first candle to manage your risk.
Please note that implementing such strategies requires careful analysis, experience, and a deep understanding of the specific market you are trading. It’s crucial to conduct thorough research, backtest your strategy, and consider other factors that may influence price movements before making any trading decisions.
Ninety One Looking good to R50.82 and about the companyCup and Handle formed which is what we were waiting for.
The breakout was quite vigorous and didn't give us the buy signal until Friday where the price opened above the breakout.
Now that the price came down a bit gives a great buy signal A conservative trader will continue to wait for the price to retest a bit further.
But an opportunist, will buy ASAP.
7>21>200 - Bullish
RSI>50
Target R50.82
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Ninety One (formerly Investec Asset Management) was founded in South Africa in 1991 by Ian Kantor and Bernard Kantor.
The company manages over $140 billion in assets for clients worldwide, including institutions, financial advisors, and individual investors.
Ninety One has offices in Africa, Asia, Europe, and the Americas, and employs over 1,800 people globally.
In March 2020, Ninety One became a publicly traded company, with a listing on the London Stock Exchange.
Aegon N.V. (AGN.as) bullish scenario:The technical figure Ascending Triangle can be found in the daily chart in the Dutch company Aegon N.V. (AGN.as ). Aegon N.V. is a Dutch multinational life insurance, pensions and asset management company headquartered in The Hague, Netherlands. As of July 21, 2020, the company had 26,000 employees. Aegon is listed on the Euronext Amsterdam and is a constituent of the AEX index. The Ascending Triangle broke through the resistance line on 22/12/2022. If the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 23 days towards 5.064 EUR. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 4.488 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
Aegon has completed two share buyback programs, one aimed at neutralizing the dilutive effect of the 2022 interim dividend paid in shares and the second to return EUR 300 million of surplus cash capital that was generated by the sale of Aegon’s Hungarian business to Vienna Insurance Group.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Long on Manchester towards $15Good day, based on our technical analysis on NYSE:MANU and research of the fundamentals of the football club we are long on the Stock.
IMPORTANT TO NOTE!!!!!
MANU has it's earnings on 14 Sep 2022 . The estimated earnings is a negative -0.13. Based on the actual reported earnings and reaction on the earnings we will place entries accordingly on lower entries of the stock.
My personal Opinion:
- I personally believe based on a few indicators that in a economic recession and especially a depression that the crime rate and alcoholism rate will go up, more people will be unemployed and in turn start making more bets on sport related topics. I also believe that sponsors will dry up in the area.
- Lastly the company in my opinion is undervalued and I believe the club will be existing in the coming years.
Buy Limit: $12.70
Stop Loss: $11.70
Target: $15.25
RR: 3.45
Buy Limit 2: $11.85
Stop Loss: $10.85
Target: $15.25
AvH (ACKB.br) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the Belgium company Ackermans & van Haaren (ACKB.br) at daily chart. Ackermans & van Haaren (often abbreviated as AvH) is a diversified group operating in four core sectors: Marine Engineering & Contracting (DEME, one of the largest dredging companies in the world - CFE, a construction group with headquarters in Belgium), Private Banking (Delen Private Bank, one of the largest independent private asset managers in Belgium, and asset manager JM Finn in the UK - Bank J. Van Breda & C°, niche bank for entrepreneurs and the liberal professions in Belgium), real estate and senior care (Leasinvest Real Estate, a listed real estate company - Extensa, a major land and real estate developer with a focus on Belgium and Luxembourg) and energy and resources (SIPEF, an agroindustrial group in tropical agriculture). The Triangle has broken through the resistance line on 30/04/2022, if the price holds above this level you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 23 days towards 174.70 EUR. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 163.40 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
Ackermans & van Haaren realised a record result of 407 million euros over the full year 2021.
Excellent results of the companies across the whole AvH group support this impressive result, which also surpasses that of pre-COVID year 2019 (despite the substantial capital gains realised in that year).
A substantial increase (+17%) of the dividend to 2.75 euros per share is proposed to the general meeting of shareholders.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Azimut (AZM.mi) bearish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the Italian company Azimut Holding (AZM.mi) at daily chart. Azimut Holding is an Italian asset management company, based in Milan, Italy, with branches in Australia, Brazil, Chile, China, Egypt, Ireland, Luxembourg, Mexico, Monaco, Singapore, Switzerland, Taiwan, Turkey, United Arab Emirates and the United States. Traded on the Borsa Italiana, the company is specialized in investment management aimed at private and institutional clients. The Triangle has broken through the support line on 26/01/2022, if the price holds below this level you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 44 days towards 21.500 EUR. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 26.73 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
Italian asset manager Azimut Holding said its U.S. subsidiary had struck a deal to buy a minority stake in U.S. private credit investment manager Pathlight Capital. Under the deal, Azimut Alternative Capital Partners (ACCP) will buy a stake of around 20% in Pathlight and contribute “permanent capital to the business going forward”, the companies said in a joint statement, adding there would be no changes to Pathlight’s strategy or management as a result of the agreement.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Appreciation VS Depreciation - The Big AppleSo today we're going to make a rough analysis on asset appreciation vs depreciation - If you are familiar with antiques and artifacts or vintage vehicles you will know assets have a life span of usability.
Technology is the same but with asset depreciation it differs out with the old in with the new
However now this is where you could have made a better decision
Lets say for example you bought upgrades every release you could have benefited more from buying the stock 2 years ago
The stock would show you value of appreciation meanwhile the devices you buy are going to slowly depreciate in value = losing money.
Which would you rather....
NASDAQ:AAPL
MOEX:AAPL-RM
XETR:APC
BCBA:AAPL
BMFBOVESPA:AAPL34
FTX:AAPLUSD
SWB:APC
MIL:AAPL
BMV:AAPL
GLOBALPRIME:AAPL.NAS
FWB:APC
BITTREX:AAPLBTC
BCBA:AAPLD
BITTREX:AAPLUSDT
LSIN:0R2V
BVC:AAPL
BER:APC
SIX:AAPL.USD
TSE:2788
BVL:AAPL
LSE:3LAP
EUREX:AAPH1!
TVC:NDQ
NASDAQ:NDX
SKILLING:NASDAQ
NASDAQ:NDAQ
AMEX:QQQE
CURRENCYCOM:US100
CAPITALCOM:US100
AMEX:SPY
SP:SPX
OANDA:SPX500USD
FOREXCOM:SPXUSD
$BLK: The Undisputed Heavy WeightAs we look forward into the future we may continue to see Blackrock's influence grow from an asset management company into something far greater. With deep pockets and potentially blue skies for the market along with a rising rate environment, we'll see if $BLK can get it done in the weeks / months / years to come.
An intuitive way of understanding the nature of PRICE DISCOVERYThis is an idea that I have an probably will keep working on for a long time. I haven't shared any ideas in a while, and this idea will be a detailed and one of my best ones so far. The aim is to provide the guidelines on how to improve the decision making of your next trade or investments. I will try to keep it as simple and short as possible. As the chart above is mostly explained, I will focus on other complementary explanations. The idea is based on well known decision tree methods, however what most textbooks do not state is how should they be effectively applied in practice. The diagram is a visual representation of the methodology.
A snapshot of the idea that is not altered by the tradingview frame dimensions.
The most essential rule or the truth is that almost all of asset pricing is based on guess work, as markets are forward looking. However, guesses can differ by the amount of information that they hold. Consequently, the aim is to come to the most educated guess about the paths that the future prices could take, which may not simple be the most probable outcome (i.e optimization doesn't work as intended, because markets are not always rational). To come up to the best guesses, an understanding of the price discovery process is essential. Price discovery is related to the timing and efficiency of updating of investors expectations, which in theory should be immediately reflected by the ensuing price action.
Following this train of thought, I decided to formalize the ideas that I already had from my experience of following the markets. The best way to understand new ideas is always with the help of examples:
To further explain the steps, few complementary things must be elaborated:
1. Firstly, are you investing or trading? For trading purposes only trade(speculate or bet) based on your beliefs of the probability of an event. Whereas, for investments consideration of a multitude of events that are usually codependent is almost always required. For a more refined investment process, see CFA's investment policy statement (IPS) guidelines. Generally, more complex decision trees are required for investments, and only simple trees are required for trading. For options this is a relatively given due to the option maturity, although such a choice of a timeline is actually contained in the choice of maturity and strike.
2. When you are distinguishing the timeline of the events, it is of crucial importance that the events are likely to occur in your holding period horizon. For instance, there are all these talking heads such as Peter Schiff and the likes that have been blabbering about the collapse of the monetary system for the past 10 years, which is obviously inevitable (at least from a historical stand point). However, if you are planning to hold gold or bitcoin in the next year, there is almost zero percent that such an event would take place, in which case there is a mismatch between your holding period and the event that you are trading(speculating) on. The idea here is, do not come too early to the party.
3. Catalysts hold the same meaning as in a chemical context, but only now instead of substances, they are events that can speed up the pricing of certain events. They are usually unanticipated by the broad market players, hence the swiftness of the corresponding market reaction. Catalysts are in a sense hitting the jackpot, the fastness and easiest money can be made if the trade is based on such catalytic events. Given that catalysts are by default unanticipated events they are to be separately considered and not part of the diagram above. Catalysts are similar to the concept of swans from Taleb, although he focuses on events of high impact magnitude.
4. Here is a simple example of other slightly more complex variation of decision trees.
The basic idea here is to consider the timeline of the price discovery process of each event, it's conditionality to other events and whether it is a part of a cycle.
To conclude this idea, it is important to know the timelines of events and their conditionality to other events. The probability and values of their outcomes are mostly a guess work, where probabilities are usually extracted from the observed prices. So in this respect just have an idea of potential targets outcomes in each scenario which usually can be done from a historical perspective, other comparable transactions, or using technical/trend patterns. By knowing the targets, you can estimate whether the trade or investment is worthy according to your risk appetite. Likewise, if you reckon that the probability of an event is different than the priced in probabilities of the market, you are also in a position to earn nearly riskless profits, assuming the market is wrong and you are right.
Each market has its own specific price dynamics, stocks are valued using different methods (DCF, comparable ratios, etc..) to commodities, bonds or currencies, but overall it is best to focus on a particular segment. The eternal problem here is that you might miss out on opportunities that arise in other markets, especially in periods that are not volatile. Overall, all methods are based on certain set of unavoidable assumptions, even quantitative methods such as simulating price paths (media.springernature.com) are at least based on an assumed drift or the distribution parameter of the residual term (depending on the model used, which is by itself a biased choice). An additional disadvantage to such methods and the use of technical patterns is that they do not consider other "soft" public or private information that is an integral part of discretionary fundamental strategy. This is why a combination of methods with choices that are rightly justified is the most consistent way to break out of the zero sum game.
Clearly many books have been written on this subject and this idea can go on in extreme details, however for now I reckon that all the principal points are covered in this idea. Thank you for taking the time to read!
-Step_ahead_ofthemarket
________________________________________________________________________________________
>>I do not share my ideas for the likes or the views. This channel is only dedicated to well-informed research and other noteworthy and interesting market stories.>>
However, if you'd like to support me and get informed in the greatest of details, every thumbs up and follow is greatly appreciated!
Disclosure: This is just an opinion, you decide what to do with your own money. For any further references or use of my content- contact me through any of my social media channels.
BYTOM BTM: $0.18 | easy double to the MOONa game changer that digitize your hard assets into with an ORGANIC price action
that gets everyone on board before the next lift off
Driver: user friendly to Devs from other space and Venture Capitalist piling up placements
the b[AI]te's weekly insights -- FFIV 2021-03-29center stage image
stock
our system found that FFIV received the best image over the course of last week.
comment image
we see a moderate positive correlation with our image indicator. We therefore assume that prices are driven partial emotionally as there is probably some other catalyst with regard to the company resulting in an uncertain pricing.
new free tool
we launched our new free analysis tool. Check our website and test it out!
new free and powerful data API
you can now access our data via our free API . Check our website and test it out!
FAQ
ATTENTION
our algorithms define ATTENTION as the overall number of stories and opinions that appear for a given security each day.
IMAGE
our algorithms define IMAGE as the averaged sentiment value extracted from all opinions received for a given security per day.
the b[AI]te's weekly insights -- OTIS 2021-03-29center stage attention
stock
our system found that OTIS received most attention over the course of last week.
comment image
we see a weak negative correlation with our image indicator. We therefore assume that prices are driven by facts rather than emotions and reflect an accurate picture of the companies current state of affairs.
new free tool
we launched our new free analysis tool. Check our website and test it out!
new free and powerful data API
you can now access our data via our free API . Check our website and test it out!
FAQ
ATTENTION
our algorithms define ATTENTION as the overall number of stories and opinions that appear for a given security each day.
IMAGE
our algorithms define IMAGE as the averaged sentiment value extracted from all opinions received for a given security per day.
the b[AI]te's weekly insights -- PVH 2021-03-22center stage image
stock
our system found that PVH received the best image over the course of last week.
comment image
we see a weak negative correlation with our image indicator. We therefore assume that prices are driven by facts rather than emotions and reflect an accurate picture of the companies current state of affairs.
new free tool
we launched our new free analysis tool. Check our website and test it out!
new free and powerful data API
you can now access our data via our free API . Check our website and test it out!
FAQ
ATTENTION
our algorithms define ATTENTION as the overall number of stories and opinions that appear for a given security each day.
IMAGE
our algorithms define IMAGE as the averaged sentiment value extracted from all opinions received for a given security per day.
the b[AI]te's weekly insights -- WDC 2021-03-22center stage attention
stock
our system found that WDC received most attention over the course of last week.
comment image
we see a moderate positive correlation with our image indicator. We therefore assume that prices are driven partial emotionally as there is probably some other catalyst with regard to the company resulting in an uncertain pricing.
new free tool
we launched our new free analysis tool. Check our website and test it out!
new free and powerful data API
you can now access our data via our free API . Check our website and test it out!
FAQ
ATTENTION
our algorithms define ATTENTION as the overall number of stories and opinions that appear for a given security each day.
IMAGE
our algorithms define IMAGE as the averaged sentiment value extracted from all opinions received for a given security per day.