Potential outside week and bullish potential for HLIEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:HLI above the level of the potential outside week noted on 17th January (i.e.: above the level of $4.65).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 13th January (i.e.: below $4.44), should the trade activate.
ASX
ASX intraday dips continues to attract buyers.AU200AUD - 24h expiry
Trend line support is located at 8500.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 8500 level.
A move through 8550 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 8675.
Short term RSI has turned positive.
We look to Buy at 8500 (stop at 8440)
Our profit targets will be 8660 and 8675
Resistance: 8550 / 8600 / 8675
Support: 8525 / 8500 / 8450
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Bearish potential detected for IREEntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:IRE along with swing up of the DMI indicators and swing down of the RSI indicator, and
(ii) observation of market reaction at the support level at $9.03.
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the resistance level from the open of 9th September (i.e.: above $9.36), or
(ii) above the resistance level from the open of 21st August (i.e.: above $9.65), depending on risk tolerance.
ASX200 (AUS200) uptrend continuation retest 8460 level?The ASX200 (AUS200) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a corrective pullback. towards the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone.
The key trading level is at the 8460 level, the previous consolidation price range, and also rising support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 8460 level could target the upside resistance at 8570 followed by the 8620 and 8650 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 8460support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 8400 support level followed by 8376.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ASX 200: Why I don't trust today's 'record high'The ASX 200 reached a record high in today's session, but it's not a convincing record high in my books. If anything, it could signal yet another false break. Using the ASX cash and futures market alongside Wall Street indices, I delve into why we need to be on guard for another bull trap before the real move potentially begins.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Potential outside week and bullish potential for AMIEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:AMI above the level of the potential outside week noted on 30th/31st January (i.e.: above the level of $0.20).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 29th January (i.e.: below $0.17), should the trade activate.
Potential outside week and bullish potential for RMSEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:RMS above the level of the potential outside week noted on 31st January (i.e.: above the level of $2.48).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 28th January (i.e.: below $2.26), should the trade activate.
Potential outside week and bullish potential for OCCEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:OCC above the level of the potential outside week noted on 23rd January (i.e.: above the level of $1.635).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 20th January (i.e.: below $1.27), should the trade activate.
Bearish potential detected for WPREntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:WPR along with swing up of the DMI indicators and swing down of the RSI indicator, and
(ii) observation of market reaction at the support level at $2.34.
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the resistance level from the open of 12th December (i.e.: above $2.42), or
(ii) above the resistance level from the open of 27th December (i.e.: above $2.47), depending on risk tolerance.
Bullish potential detected for LRKEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:LRK along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI.
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the support level from the open of 5th December (i.e.: below $0.985), or
(ii) below the support level from the open of 27th September (i.e.: below $0.96), depending on risk tolerance.
ASX 200 Futures: Finding a Signal Amid the NoiseWe're sandwiched between an incoming NFP report and the turbulence from Trump's tariffs. That could provide a double dose of 'fickle' price action, which we tend to see leading up to big events such as nonfarm payrolls or Fed meetings. With that in mind, I update my bearish bias on ASX 200 futures, using the intraday timeframe and a glance at Wall Street indices.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Potential outside week and bullish potential for AUZEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:AUZ above the level of the potential outside week noted on 10th January (i.e.: above the level of $0.016).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 7th January (i.e.: below $0.008), should the trade activate.
Bullish potential detected for AIZEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:AIZ along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI.
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the support level from the open of 29th November (i.e.: below $0.51), or
(ii) below the support level from the open of 7th November (i.e.: below $0.49), depending on risk tolerance.
ASX 200: Why I'm not banking on [an immediate] record highThe ASX 200 cash market is tantalisingly close to retesting its record high set in December. Traders are betting on an RBA cut in February (and 100bp of cuts this year) which is helping to support the market. Yet I doubt the ASX will simply break to a new high without a fresh catalyst. Comparing the ASX 200 cash and futures market and their key levels, I explain why.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Potential outside week and bullish potential for OPTEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:OPT above the level of the potential outside week noted on 17th January (i.e.: above the level of $0.85).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 13th/16th January (i.e.: below $0.725), should the trade activate.
Bearish potential detected for IREEntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:IRE along with swing up of the DMI indicators and swing down of the RSI indicator, and
(ii) observation of market reaction at the support level at $9.10 (open from 13th December).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the resistance level from the open of 9th September (i.e.: above $9.36), or
(ii) above the resistance level from the open of 21st August (i.e.: above $9.65), depending on risk tolerance.
Potential key reversal top detected for WBTLevel of interest: Prior support/resistance levels in the past of $3.04 (09-Aug-2022) and $3.75 (12-Dec-2022) (key support/resistance areas to observe).
Await signals for entry such as DMI/ADX and/or RSI swing to the bearish direction, and observe market reaction to support/resistance area at $3.04 to confirm.
Stop loss for the trade involving ASX:WBT (and indication that this trade is an absolute 'no-go') is any trade above the high of the signal day of 2nd January (i.e.: any trade above $3.80).
Potential outside week and bullish potential for PBHEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:PBH above the level of the potential outside week noted on 20th December (i.e.: above the level of $1.045).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 16th December (i.e.: below $0.925), should the trade activate.
ASX futures tease bearish with a potential swing highSanta's rally put in a poor performance this year. ASX futures sold off into Christmas before the 200-day SMA and 8000 handle came before the market eked out a weak comeback into the new year. Yet price action on the daily chart suggests we could be approaching a swing high.
It appears we're in a third wave higher from 8000, yet momentum lacks the legs of the initial bounce to suggest an ABC correction could be nearing an end. The 50-day SMA has so far capped today's rally and could leave a bearish pinbar should it close the day around current levels. A multi-week bearish divergence has formed on the RSI (14) and the daily RSI (2) is approaching overbought.
The bias is to fade into moves towards the 50-day SMA and target the November low. But if appetite for risk truly sours, we could see prices break beneath the 200-day SMA and 8000 level and head for the lower trendline of the rising channel.
MS
Bullish potential detected for QUBEntry conditions:
(i) breach of the upper confines of the Darvas box formation for ASX:QUB
- i.e.: above high of $4.04 of 28th November (most conservative entry), or
(ii) swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI along with a test of prior level of $4.00 from 25th November.
Stop loss for the trade (based upon the Darvas box formation) would be:
(i) below the support level from the low of 13th December (i.e.: below $3.80).
Potential key reversal top detected for GMGLevel of interest: $36.67 area level of interest proved problematic on 22nd July (key support/resistance area to observe). Observe market reaction around this level of interest.
Stop loss for the trade involving ASX:GMG (and indication that this trade is an absolute 'no-go') is any trade above the high of the signal day of 10th December (i.e.: any trade above $39.43).