ASX
BLX.ASX_Retracement Trade_LongENTRY: 3.02
SL: 2.47
TP: 3.39
- ADX>20
- RSI>50,RSI<70
- Daily RS +ve
- Daily FFI -ve. But turning positive.
- Daily MACD +ve
- Weekly RS +ve
- Weekly FFI +ve
- Weekly MACD +ve
- Retracement to 50% fib. level and rebounded today with high volume green candle.
- Possible buyers coming back in today.
- Above HVN currently as well.
- Buyers-in-control actions on 11 Nov 2021 and 10 Dec 2021
YAL.ASX_Retracement Trade_LongENTRY: 2.99
SL: 2.75
TP1: 3.58
TP2: 4.23
- ADX>20
- RSI>50,RSI<70
- Daily RS +ve
- Daily FFI +ve
- Daily MACD +ve
- Weekly RS +ve
- Weekly FFI -ve
- Weekly MACD +ve
- Breakout of range on 13 Jan 2022 with good volume.
- Retracement thereafter, and today shows volume dry up.
- Looking for it to break 3.07 for further uptrend movement.
Bubble popping?I am not saying this will happen, personally sitting in 80% cash besides a few stocks that I still see upside in the next couple months, but could you imagine the pain if this played out. bearish divergence on the monthly Fed turned hawkish. Before you say it couldn't, the 2008 financial crash was 53%. 2000 dot com bubble 60%. Will tech pop this time? or will govts find another way to keep the market going?
PPS.ASX_Retracement Trade_LongENTRY: 1.450
SL: 1.255
TP: 1.610
- ADX>20
- RSI>50,RSI<70
- Daily RS +ve
- Daily FFI +ve
- Daily MACD -ve
- Weekly RS +ve
- Weekly FFI +ve
- Weekly MACD +ve
- Retracement to cover gap and until 50% fib. level since 2 Nov 2021.
- Possible buyers coming back in on 29 Nov 2021.
- Above HVN currently as well.
Could be a slippery slide lower on the ASXThe ASX200 is under pressure as price falls into the weekend on stock market meltdown fears. US rate rises and inflation, along with other concerns, are weighing on bullish sentiment and testing the patients of buyers. Is this the calm before the inevitable storm?
To me, the 7175 level is the line in the sand after the recent RTF (Double Top) at 7625, and buyers will need to hold the line if we are to see higher prices. Price has extended into the level so may see a bounce on some bargain hunting in coming sessions although this will largely depend on how the US performs tonight.
US bonds are pointing to four rate rises this year which is more than expected and pressuring markets. There are some saying that the US Fed has made a mess of easing and have left it too late to contain inflation so will be chasing with faster tightening. If this is the case, I do not see traders wanting to add risk to portfolios or Funds willing to support price...so now is the time I am happy to be cautious hence the recent short on the ASX200 CFD.
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Silver/ASX ratio breakdownIt's finally looking like Silver is going to outpace the ASX. A breakdown from the clear descending wedge after a clear double top on the Weekly time frame, I am feeling very bullish. Inflation is here to stay, and fiat currencies are in trouble.
Eyes are getting drawn to the shiny stuff.
BRN/AUD - A prosperous 2020From a technical perspective, Brainchip Holdings (ASX:BRN) ticks all my boxes. I believe we're at an ideal buying location for both traders and investors looking to add to their position.
My reasoning:
Location: Bottom of range
Structure: Triple bottom, "W" price structure
Divergence: Huge OBV div, confirmed div in histogram, Willy div
VPVR: Currently sitting at the POC. Large hole in volume above price, approx 125% potential if price clears 0.076c
Weekly gap left @ 0.201c (marked by green line)
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$RMSRMS breakout with target market on the change
RMS broke out on decent volume.
Looking for a move above the "level" and then to see if it uses that same level as support. this will be confirmation.
The next level is the target that is marked on the chart and a potential profit taking zone for short term traders.
FMG - Is it headed to $30 ?Fmg - looks like the uptrend is about to resume.
Key techinical - Inverse head and shoulders formation. FMG chart suggests it could be headed to $30. Resistance at $26. 20% upside.
Key fundamental - Iron ore prices at record highs to continue, resulting in record EPS ( big dividends ).
TLS.ASX_Retracement Trade_LongENTRY: 4.06
SL: 3.89
TP: 4.29
- ADX<20. Would like to be higher.
- RSI>50,RSI<70
- Daily RS +ve
- Daily FFI +ve
- Daily MACD -ve
- Weekly RS +ve
- Weekly FFI +ve
- Weekly MACD -ve
- Retracement to resistance turned support level since breakout of range on 18 Nov 2021.
- Volume dry up on 22 Nov 2021.
- Weekly chart shows possible hidden buying last week.
- Need to account for possible to retrace further to 38.1% fib. level.
- If break previous high 4.09, should expect further price movement up.
S32.ASX_Retracement Trade_LongENTRY: 3.71
SL: 3.36
TP: 4.07
- ADX<20. Would like to be higher.
- RSI>50,RSI<70
- Daily RS +ve
- Daily FFI +ve
- Daily MACD +ve
- Weekly RS +ve
- Weekly FFI +ve
- Weekly MACD +ve
- Retracement since hit high on 14 Oct 2021
- Possible hidden buying on 30 Nov 2021 and followed up with 2 days of above average volume.
ABB @ 27 DEC 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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ABB
- After hitting an overhead resistance zone (orange highlight) at 5.10-5.50 levels, stock has retraced back to support zone (blue highlight) at 4.40-4.60 levels
- Short-term average has crossed below (red circle) the mid-term average –> not a good sign
- Stock has been trapped in a sideways movement for almost 4 months
- All the indicators that I’m using is saying that the stock is not a good pick for a mid-term hold
- If stock can rebound above the moving averages, the support zone will be a strong place for possible future collection
- Any break below the support zone is pretty much game over for the stock
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Wait for HH and HL formations
ASX 200 @ 1 Dec 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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In the last Market Watch analysis done on 2 November (red dash line), I wrote that I would avoid the big caps (eg. Blue Chips, ASX 200 constituents) while being more selective with my purchases. Since then, the ASX 200 tested and failed to break the 7450 resistance and is now falling towards the strong support zone near 7200 levels (orange line).
The ASX 200 previously rebounded from this support zone and another rebound would be good. The index is also testing the long-term average. Judging by its historical performance, I can’t say that the long-term average is a very strong support.
Since 1 Dec 2017 (blue dash line), the ASX 200 has only rebounded of the long-term support 2 times (blue arrows). The red arrows were when the index was rejected by the long-term average. This does show that the index does at least respond to long-term average – albeit not often as a support.
The red thumbs downs were periods when the index just fell through the long-term support. My huge concern is whether the ASX 200 will fall below the 7200-support zone. If it breaks this support, the overall market will likely be in a world of pain for at least a few weeks.
The US market hasn’t really shown convincing signs of a strong rebound. If a strong retracement takes place over the coming days in the US, I have a strong feeling that the ASX 200 will fall off the support that it is sitting on. Our best-case scenario is that the US creates a new all-time high in the next couple of weeks and the ASX 200 will take the hint and slowly rebound again.
With the integrity of our politicians being called into question and the federal election happening in less than 6 months, the markets will continue to be in state of flux. Rising inflation and potential Omicron scares will continue to disrupt the economic recovery.
In last Saturday’s FB livestream, I explained around the 17-minute mark how the US and Australia markets’ movements is signalling that there is a lack of confidence in the ASX market. Personally, I have reduced my trading portfolio from 6-8 stocks down to 3 stocks. I’m increasingly being more selective in my purchases as sometimes, doing nothing in the market is a form of capital preservation.
How about you? Are you optimistic or pessimistic on the ASX market over the coming 6 months? Are you aggressively buying now or waiting for stronger rebounds or retracements?
TIE on the ASX is set to run higherTIE looks good on the weekly charts as buyers soak up the minor pullback above the EMAs. Expecting to see the pullback hold as a higher low and drag in more buyers in coming sessions. Watch the video for a more detailed breakdown of the price action.
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Asian Markets melting down and do not look healthy longer termThe Nikkei and Hang Seng along with my local ASX200 are well under pressure today and may see further downside in coming sessions. In the video I take a look at the daily charts for my major Indexes and discuss where I see the risk and how I will look to trade any downside if this weakness continues.