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ASX

LYC @ 20 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- LYC - Previous analysis was done on 14 Sep - Suggested waiting for a retracement and successful rebound - Since then, the stock tested $8 levels and today broke through the short- and mid-term supports with above average volume - Stock is exhibiting high price volatility and may not be suitable for all types of traders - A successful rebound looks to be close to 7.50 levels - R is more than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows
ASX:LYC
by Jerm88
2
GLN @ 20 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- GLN - Previous analysis was done on 15 Sep -> suggested waiting for the next rebound wave for a better setup for entry - Since then, the stock has retraced back to re-test the $1 psychological support - Any strong break of the 1.00 support levels will also coincide with a structure break - Stock will have to rebound to around 1.19 levels to have any chance of a mid-term uptrend - R is more than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows
ASX:GLN
by Jerm88
IGO @ 20 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- IGO - Previous analysis was done on 15 Sep -> suggested waiting for successful breakout of $10 psychological resistance - Since then, there was a false breakout and the stock quickly fell below the mid-term support with above average volume - Four of my other indicators are also borderline bearish - A Higher High and Lower Low was formed in the past week -> usually a sign of sideways consolidation - R is more than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful breakout of $10 psychological resistance
ASX:IGO
by Jerm88
BKW @ 20 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- BKW - First time doing a written analysis on BKW - In last night’s livestream, I mentioned that 25.00-25.50 levels used to be a resistance zone and it will be interesting to see if the stock can rebound of this zone and treat it as support - Today’s price action suggests that’s not the case. - Stock gapped down and fell to the mid-term support - Short-term average doesn’t provide a good support and/or resistance - A successful rebound will be above 25.50 levels - R is less than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful rebound before plotting entry
ASX:BKW
by Jerm88
ASX 200 @ 20 SEP 202120 SEP 2021 – Market Watch As predicted in last night’s livestream, the twin US events (ie. Last Friday’s Quadruple Witching Hour and the upcoming FOMC meeting) are dragging markets down this morning. At market close, the ASX 200 is down 2.1% to test the 7250 support levels created in July 2021. As mentioned last week, 7150-7250 levels (purple lines) will be a support zone for the index. Any break of this zone will also coincide with a structure break. We will have a better gauge on the Fed’s decision whether to taper by Thursday morning. If the Fed does decide to taper, I foresee a drop to potentially 6900 levels (orange line). If the Fed postpones the key decision to November’s meeting, we should be able to see an immediate challenge of 7400 levels again with a potential of even possibly re-testing all time high levels. This would also depend on how China deals with the Evergrande problem and whether there will be a shock to its financial systems. Some analysts have likened the Evergrande issue to the Lehman Brothers issue back in 2008 that precipitated the Global Financial Crises (GFC). I’m not super familiar with Evergrande but I don’t think there will be as big an impact to the world markets. There are three main reasons for my thinking: - (i) China has been reigning in their financial markets since the 1st half of 2021. Thus, there worldwide exposure isn’t as large as before. (ii) Even before the reigning in, China’s markets were not as big and open as the US. (iii) Since the GFC, all the big financial institutes have been forced (through regulation) to beefed up their financial reserves. Even with the Covid pandemic crash in March 2020, most financial institutes held strong and were not severely impacted like they did during the GFC. In terms of my strategies in the market, I will wait to see what happens this Wednesday (US trading hours) and that will guide what I do in the market. It’s too soon to engage bearish strategies. There might be short-term opportunities to short but from my experience, it’s better and safer to trade based on what I see, rather than what I feel. What do you think? Are you out of the markets completely? Or is this a juicy time to pick up undervalued stocks? If you find this market analysis helpful, let me know in the comments. May the markets be with us! Disclaimer:- I’m a mid-term trader and I hold my stocks between 1-3 months. I’m using Trend Following strategies and my analysis will be from a perspective as a Trend Follower. I’m sharing these analyses for learning purposes and as always, DYOR.
ASX:XJO
by Jerm88
DRO - Buying Trade PlanDRO has been in a good uptrend and within the bullish trend its always ideal to buy pull backs. Currently DRO is pulling back and has reached good support level. I will be interested to take a long position in the current zone for a potential swing trade to the upside after bullish price action confirmation. Lets see how it develops. Please note these are my own notes, by no means trading advice. Please do your own research before entering into any trade.
ASX:DROLong
by AsimMirzaTrader
BVS - Buying OpportunityBVS has plummeted hard but seems it has found support on the trendline. I think it is a good support level and price is currently consolidating. I expect price to bounce and start its upswing soon. We should also note that BVS rocketed in early May 2021, and broke its downtrend and has been making higher highs and higher lows. Lets see how it develops. Please note these are my own notes, by no means trading advice. Please do your own research before entering into any trade.
ASX:BVSLong
by AsimMirzaTrader
ASX:FMGThe recent drop in iron ore prices has seen the major mining companies being beaten down, the selling has now reached panic proportions and of all the big miners Fortescue has faired the worst. While I am not saying this is a good time to buy, as iron ore prices still have fundamental head winds to contend with and the prices can certainly move much lower before smaller miners are forced out the market and the supply glut begins to dissipate. However expect some consolidation or a small bounce within the highlighted zone before any moves lower are made. This zone will be the first major test for bulls if the can keep prices around the $15.00 mark and a floor develops in the next few months in iron ore prices this could develop into a good buying opportunity. Don't be surprised though if price consolidates before moving lower to one of the highlighted support zones. *Not a recommendation to buy or sell, simply for educational purposes*
ASX:FMG
by MarkE
2
DMP @ 17 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- DMP - First time doing a written analysis on DMP - Stock has history of uptrends that usually end with strong price increases (blue arrows) that is followed by the stock falling below the mid-term support (red arrows) - Since early Aug 2021, the stock price has risen more than 40% with almost no good setup for entries - Today, it gapped down to test the short-term support and recovered with above average volume -> good sign - A successful rebound would be around 164 levels - R is less than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a successful rebound before plotting entry
ASX:DMP
by Jerm88
ASM @ 17 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- ASM - Previous written analysis was done on 13 Sep -> suggested waiting for a successful rebound before plotting entry - Since then, the stock has had a weak test of 10.00 levels and is already a Structure Break in my books - Today’s price action with above average volume is interesting but still hasn’t broken through the counter-trendline (blue line) - If the stock fails to break the counter-trendline, another Lower High (LH) would form -> not good - R is more than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a series of Higher Highs (HHs) and Higher Lows (HLs)
ASX:ASM
by Jerm88
1
ILU @ 17 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- ILU - Previous analysis was done on 14 Sep - Suggested half entry at 10.40 levels (to manage risk) or wait for a retracement and successful rebound - Since then, the stock has dropped more than 9% to rest at the mid-term support - As mentioned previously, the stock has a history of strong retracements back to the mid-term support -> Today’s price action should not be a surprise - Technically not a structure break yet -> A close around 9.00 levels would be a structure break for me - A successful rebound would be a price recovery above 10.20 levels accompanied with good volume - R is borderline 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a successful rebound
ASX:ILU
by Jerm88