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ASX 200 bulls eye 8000The ASX 200 futures contract (SPI 200) snapped a 3-day losing streak overnight, and with Wall Street trying to shed last week's losses and the Nikkei and Hang Seng finding support, we suspect a bounce could be due for the ASX today. The daily chart found support at the 20-day EMA and monthly R1 pivot and closed back above the May high. It is now within 1-2 day's trade form the 8k level. The 1-hour chart shows a liquidity gap between 7950 - 8000, and with bullish momentum behind it we could find that area acts as a magnet to fill the gap towards 8000. Bulls could seek dips back towards the May high for longs up to 8000, although without a fresh catalyst it seems like a tempting area for bulls to book profits.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex
2
Liontown Resource OutlookTechnical Analysis Short-term: Watch the $1.00 support level. If it holds, there might be a short-term bounce, especially considering the increased volume at this level. Medium-term: Monitor the $1.25 support and $1.75 resistance levels. Both levels show significant volume activity, indicating strong buying and selling interest. Long-term: Significant resistance is around $2.75. A break above this level, confirmed by high volume, could indicate a potential for higher highs. Macro Analysis The latest quarterly report for Liontown Resources, dated March 2024, indicates several updates and progress compared to the previous financial report. Here are the main changes: 1. Project Completion Progress: The Kathleen Valley Lithium Project is now more than 85% complete on an earned value basis, with the process plant approximately 90% complete. This is a significant advancement compared to earlier stages. 2. Workforce and Construction Hours: The site-based workforce now exceeds 900 people, and approximately three million work hours have been recorded since construction commenced at Kathleen Valley (61204675-1) . 3. Mining Progress: Underground mining has achieved significant progress, with approximately 1,535 total development meters recorded for the March quarter Open pit mining has also advanced well, with 1.1 million bulk cubic meters mined and ore being stockpiled ahead of plant startup 4. Process Plant and Infrastructure: Commissioning of the dry plant commenced in late March 2024, with the crushing circuit energized ahead of schedule Wet plant milestones were achieved, with key areas like flotation piping and electrical well-progressed 5. Financial Position and Funding: Execution of a A$550 million debt package to support the Kathleen Valley project, ensuring sufficient funding through to first production and beyond The company's cash balance was A$358.1 million as of 31 March 2024 6. Business Readiness and Recruitment: Business readiness preparations continued to build momentum ahead of first production, with 258 full-time employees directly employed by Liontown at the end of the quarter 7. Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Activities: Key ESG activities progressed, including the approval of the Kathleen Valley Mining Proposal update and the completion of heritage surveys for infrastructure construction 8. New Contracts and Agreements: The Kathleen Valley Village Services contract was awarded to Sirrom Corporation for three years Significant progress was made on the construction of the 95MW Hybrid Power Station, including the installation of solar panels and live testing of LNG gensets 9. Tailings Storage Facility and Water Management: The Tailings Storage Facility (TSF) cell 1 continues to be filled with raw water to support start-up processing operations These changes reflect significant advancements in project development, financial structuring, and operational readiness compared to previous reports, positioning Liontown Resources closer to commencing production and generating revenue from the Kathleen Valley Lithium Project.
ASX:LTRLong
by monkreet
ASX looks set to retrace from resistanceThe ASX 200 cash market enjoyed its most bullish day in seven on Thursday. But like the SPI 200 futures contract, it met resistance before pausing. The daily chart shows that a double top formed around the June 26 high and trend resistance. And as it's not unusual to see a market retrace against a strong move, and we have an NFP report looming which could suppress volatility, we're looking for prices to retrace lower against yesterday's rally. Bears could target the 20-day EMA between the weekly and monthly pivot point, with a stop above yesterday's high.
ASX24:AP1!Short
by CityIndex
ASX rally to stall at market price?ASX200 - 24h expiry Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the daily chart. RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 7770 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 7725. We look to Sell at 7800 (stop at 7832) Our profit targets will be 7720 and 7700 Resistance: 7775 / 7800 / 7825 Support: 7750 / 7735 / 7725 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:AU200AUDShort
by OANDA
AU200AUD to continue in the upward move?ASX200 - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 7800 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 7850. We look to Buy at 7750 (stop at 7710) Our profit targets will be 7825 and 7850 Resistance: 7800 / 7825 / 7850 Support: 7750 / 7725 / 7700 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:AU200AUDLong
by OANDA
ASX 200 futures looks set for a bullish breakoutThe SPI 200 shows an established uptrend on the 1-hour chart, with a recent bullish engulfing candle forming a higher low around the 20-bar EMA and closing above a retracement line. The RSI remains above 50 to show positive momentum, and there are no obvious signs of a topping pattern forming on the chart. A break above 7907 assumes bullish continuation and brings the 7936 high into focus, a break above which opens up a run for the all-time high. Bulls could seek dips within the recent bullish engulfing candle whilst prices remain above its low, in anticipation of a break above 7907.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex
AU200AUD to form a higher low?AU200AUD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 7800 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 7850. We look to Buy at 7760 (stop at 7720) Our profit targets will be 7860 and 7885 Resistance: 7800 / 7835 / 7850 Support: 7775 / 7760 / 7750 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:AU200AUDLong
by OANDA
SPI 200 hints at bullish breakoutPrices have been coiling on the daily chart to form a potential bullish pennant / symmetrical triangle, which hints at further gains. RSI (14) remains over 50 on the daily chart, and volumes were lower during the consolidation to show lack of conviction from bears, sellers stepping in at the cycle highs. The 1-hour chart shows prices retracing lower after RSI (2) reached overbought, alongside a bearish pinbar at the cycle high. We're now looking for price to either hold above the triangle breakout level, or for RSI (2) to reach oversold whilst prices hold above the high-volume node. From here, the bias is for a rise to 7850m or the weekly pivot point just above the high-volume node at 7866.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex
ASX to continue in the upward move?AU200AUD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. A lower correction is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 7800 will confirm the bullish momentum. We look to Buy at 7750 (stop at 7718) Our profit targets will be 7830 and 7850 Resistance: 7800 / 7825 / 7850 Support: 7775 / 7750 / 7725 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:AU200AUDLong
by OANDA
ASX dips continue to attract buyers.AU200AUD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a bottom. Short term RSI is moving higher. Further upside is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 7650 will confirm the bullish momentum. We look to Buy at 7600 (stop at 7560) Our profit targets will be 7700 and 7725 Resistance: 7650 / 7675 / 7700 Support: 7625 / 7600 / 7575 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:AU200AUDLong
by OANDA
Upward trending channel - ASX:SEMI (Long)SEMI currently sitting on upward trend line within established bullish channel. Previous support line at $16.30 where demand triggered another uptrend to above $17.00. RSI currently within average buying levels around ~56-60% showing higher highs, indicating another potential run back towards previous ATH SP level of $17.54. Aiming to take a long position between $17.00 - $17.10 if buying pressure increases in the coming days. Disclaimer: NOT financial advice, I am not a qualified finance profession. These ideas are my own based on my research. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
ASX:SEMILong
by entryspecialist
1
SPI 200 looks set for lift-off ahead of US PCE dataWe have a huge risk event in the coming hours; US PCE inflation. Should it come in softer than expected, risk is likely to pick up as this is how it has behaved pretty much every time inflation has come in soft. Conversely, a hot inflation report could dent risk - but we suspect not to such a large degree. Fed members have been very vocal about maintaining higher rates, and markets seem more likely to jump on any chance of re-pricing in multiple cuts which could send indices higher. SPI 200 futures (of the ASX 200 cash market) just tapped a record high ahead of the European Open. Given the US dollar is also retracing, it suggests traders are placing last minute bets of a softer inflation report. But the bullish trend structure of the SPI 200 futures chart is hard to ignore. Prices have remained above the bullish trendline despite two intraday spikes below it. And an inverted head and shoulders pattern (bullish continuation during an uptrend) appears to have formed at the record high, which projects an upside target around 7900. The 100% projection of the prior rally lands around 7800.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex