ASX200: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: ASX200
Pattern – Support/ Regular Divergence
Support – 6885
Resistance – 7000 - 7070
Thanks for checking out today’s update. Today, we have run over ASX200, breaking down the overall price picture, levels, and patterns and incorporating moving average and RSI into the analysis.
Interest today starts from the support hold we are watching from 6885. This lines up with the bottom of the overall range. We can also see regular divergence forming with price holding at this support point. This could set off a new rally that could get back up to test 7000.
If this level of support breaks and price closes below, this could break the range and set off a new overall downtrend. Are stocks a bit oversold at this point? Keep in mind we have US employment data due out this Friday.
Have a great day and good trading.
ASX
$ESS - Possible Breakout Above 50 & 200 SMA NYSE:ESS is looking like a possible breakout. It's above the 50 & 200 SMA, it's also on the Upper Bollinger Band Walk
XSO.AX ~ Snapshot TA / ASX Small Ordinaries IndexChart mapping/analysis for ASX Small Ordinaries Index ASX:XSO
ASX Small Ords ETFs:
- ASX:MVS ASX:SSO ASX:ISO ASX:SMLL
Constituents (aggregate ETF holdings):
- ASX:ANN ASX:AUB ASX:BPT ASX:CNU ASX:CSR ASX:FLT ASX:ILU ASX:JBH ASX:LTR ASX:MTS ASX:NHC ASX:NSR ASX:ORA ASX:PME ASX:QUB ASX:SFR ASX:TLX ASX:VEA
CAPITALCOM:AU200 ASX:XJO
XBK.AX ~ Snapshot TA / ASX 200 Banks IndexChart mapping/analysis for ASX 200 Banks Index ASX:XBK
Constituents:
- Big 4 Banks = ASX:ANZ ASX:CBA ASX:NAB ASX:WBC
- Mid Tier = ASX:BEN ASX:BOQ ASX:JDO ASX:VUK
- Small Banks = ASX:ABA ASX:BBC ASX:BFL ASX:KSL ASX:MYS
Note: Macquarie Group Ltd classified as Diversified Financials but also facilitates Banking ASX:MQG
ASX ETFs
- Pure-Play Banks: ASX:MVB
- ASX Financials (Banks/Insurance Providers): ASX:OZF ASX:QFN
Global Banks ETF: ASX:BNKS
CAPITALCOM:AU200 ASX:XJO ASX:XFJ
CIA ~ Snapshot TA / Psychotic Yo-Yo YOLO (Weekly Chart)Title pretty much sums up Champion Iron's recent price action lol.
Reminds me of similar movements exhibited in Mineral Resources chart before getting pumped after diversifying into Lithium.
Held onto a trend-line that's been running since 2015, crazy.
Appears ~$8 is established resistance level, as it continues to put in Higher Lows off trend-line while 200DMA climbs higher to act as dynamic support/confluence..
ASX:CIA ASX:MIN
Coal Futures ~ Snapshot TA / Neutral-Bullish AccumulationNewcastle Thermal Coal Futures breaking out of short-term downtrend + Neutral-Bullish Accumulation around 78.6% Fib Retracement.
Still within larger downtrend after steep sell-off through later half of 2022 into 2023.
(Coal) embers likely re-igniting due to recent China stimulus measures & other macro-economic influences, TBC.
Highlighted preliminary Trading Range 174.05-129.
On watch for further price action development &/or break out of range in either direction.
Boost/Follow appreciated, cheers.
Futures: ICEEUR:NCF1! ICEEUR:NCF2!
ASX: ASX:WHC ASX:NHC ASX:YAL ASX:SMR ASX:TER
HZN ASX Price action has been adhering to the uptrend channel for a while. Tested res @ 0.165 several times and a base forming on the 0.150 support with the 200 day EMA coming in.
Might look for a slight retrace and see whether this candle closes above the 10 day EMA. Has respected most of the uptrend with solid support & resistance points interacting with the 200 day EMA.
Watching:
28/8/23
0.160
Iron Ore Futures ~ Snapshot TA / Coiling like a Steel RollIron Ore Futures coiling like a steel roll in a series of Lower Highs & Higher Lows since October 2022.
Break above 116.60 = Bullish momentum towards 134.85 (38.2% Fib Retracement)
Break below 99.40 = Bearish momentum towards 77.60 (78.6% Fib Extension)
Seasonality typically favours the Bulls running strong into end of year - we'll see if it still rings true this year, given China's current economic woes..
Boost/Follow appreciated.
Futures: SGX:FEF1! SGX:FEF2! COMEX:TIO1! COMEX:TIO2!
ASX: ASX:BHP ASX:RIO ASX:FMG ASX:MIN ASX:CIA
NYSE: NYSE:VALE
Woodside Energy Running on FumesASX:WDS (NYSE: NYSE:WDS ) price action looks extended ahead of FY23 Interim Earnings tomorrow (Tues 22/08).
Notable Headwinds: threat of imminent Worker Strikes & CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE / CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS consolidating amidst Global Economic uncertainty.
Best-case Scenario: ASX:WDS also consolidates between 50-61.8% Fib + Supply/Demand confluence & stays within upward Price Channel.
Hub24 FY23 ShowdownHub24 closed out of its little Flag Pattern ahead of FY23 Earnings (Tues 21/08).
Looks incredibly Bullish, but extrapolating the "Flag Pole" presents equal case for Supply/Demand zone in either direction.
Will be interesting to see which way Traders decide to take it...good luck to anyone who took the HUB punt.
AU200 Short-Med Term OutlookAnticipating short-term bounce to fill gaps, re-test 23.6% Fib zone & create opportunities for Short positions.
Selling 'should' re-commence in September to test lower range re: parallel channel, in-line with Market Seasonality.
Over-extension into Golden Fib Range could signal warning of more extreme market capitulation (~6400).
Depends on break-outs either side of current indecision candle/price action, TBC.
RIC Trend ASXApproaching trendline (orange) while just sitting above the 200ema with a bit of resistance around that area.
Last couple candles closed above all emas with wicks touching the down trendline. Price reaching an area of confluence with the trendlines and ema's interacting with that S/R line @1.970