Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 3/03A review of the price action from the European session and US sessions which gave us some choppy price action but generally bullish from a weak open both in Europe and the US. To me, markets remain under pressure but bulls continue to provide support on pullbacks. There is no fear driven selloff which shows that bargain hunters still believe in a longer term move up. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Asx200
easyMarkets ASX 200 (Australia) Daily - Quick Technical OverviewIn the short-run, ASX 200 may continue drifting lower, while trading within a falling wedge pattern. Although this pattern tends to be a bullish indication, as long as the boundaries of that barrier are respected, the slide may continue. But, don't forget that...
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ASX 200 close to a swing low?The ASX 200 had a great start to the year, but has since seen prices pull back from tis YTD highs. Yet is we zoom out, the daily trend remains bullish overall, and prices during the recent decline appear to be corrective.
It's pullback has also found support around a cluster of support levels including the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, 50-dy EMA, monthly pivot point and 7300 round number. And as RSI recently reached oversold and has since formed a bullish divergence with price, we see the potential for a rally towards 7500.
As US traders are set to return to their desks after the 3-day weekend, there is a reasonable chance of an 'up day' which could spill over to a positive start for the ASX tomorrow. Therefore, we're happy to enter the ASX long ahead of the close with a stop beneath this week's low, and initially target 7500.
Key Levels and Market overview into the Asian session openA look at the price action from the European and US sessions and what that may mean for the Asian session open after some stronger than expected US CPI data showing 'sticky inflation'. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to play out.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
BetaAUS200 showing a strong buy signal to 143.00 but first...BETAAUS200
Formed a W Formation. We still need a strong break above the neckline before we see any potential upside.
7>21>200
RSI >50
Target 143.00
Bullish
ABOUT:
BetaAUS200 is a financial term that refers to the beta (a measure of volatility or risk) of the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) 200 index.
The ASX 200 index is a benchmark index that tracks the performance of the top 200 companies listed on the Australian Stock Exchange, based on market capitalization.
The beta of the ASX 200 index represents the sensitivity of the index's returns to changes in the overall market.
A beta of 1.0 means that the index's returns are perfectly correlated with the overall market.
A beta of > 1.0 shows that the index is more volatile than the market as a whole, and a beta less than 1.0 indicates that
Investors and analysts use beta as a tool to assess the risk of an investment and its potential returns.
A higher beta indicates greater potential for returns, but also greater risk of losses, while a lower beta implies.
In the case of BetaAUS200 asset it will seek to replicate the performance of the ASX 200 index.
I believe this has the aim of providing investors with exposure to the Australian stock market.
When you analyse a beta of such a product, investors can assess its risk relative to the broader market and make more informed investment decisions.
easyMarkets ASX 200 Daily - Quick Technical OverviewDisclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ASX to find buyers at market?ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 7490 (stop at 7455)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
The medium term bias remains bullish.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 7490 level.
Our profit targets will be 7585 and 7870
Resistance: 7590 / 7870 / 8325
Support: 7340 / 7140 / 6980
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
7 reason why the ASX200 is eyeing all-time highs With the ASX200 testing the ATH's seen in August 2021, the question of what exactly is driving the flows has been asked more liberally by clients - While we can point to macro factors, such as a belief that we're closer to an end in the hiking cycle, USD weakness, and a China re-opening, our analysts look at 7 of the key attractions driving the strong performance of the Aussie share market.
1) The ASX 200 trades on a 14.7x 12-month PE ratio - that's in line with 10yr average, but you get 5% expected EPS growth. Hardly blow the lights out potential returns but compared to other global equity markets, it could be worse!
2) The ASX200 is a 'value' markets and it trades on a 4.4% yield - arguably the highest yielding market in the developed world, and by some way - 47% of ASX200 listed entities have a higher div yield than the Aus 10yr govt bond (3.5%).
3) The ASX200 is leveraged to quality banking institutions who are benefiting from the higher cash rate environment- fine, the demand for credit is falling, but it's not awful at this stage and their asset mix is still of top quality and there are limited concerns around bad and doubtful debts - CBA report on 15 Feb and should highlight a decent lift in NIM, where the market feels strongly they should pay out cash to shareholders, lifting the dividend nearly 20% at FY earnings
4) There are some of the highest quality names in the materials space - for managers who want leverage to China reopening and the bullish dynamics in copper and ferrous (even in AUD), then the ASX200 has it - BHP, RIO and FMG all looking strong, and are now benefiting from a drop in production from Vale
5) Australia has the strongest GDP expected this year of any developed economy - fine, the consensus only expects GDP to average 1.8% in 2023, but that is far higher than the US, UK and EU
6) The ASX200 has excellent exposure to some of the world's highest quality healthcare stocks - CSL, COH are world-class and have been on fire recently
7) There is low leverage to tech - granted, that has seen the ASX200 underperform the NAS100 since mid-Jan, but international managers come to Australia for quality value stocks - they go to the US for high-quality tech/growth
ASX offers good risk/reward at market.ASX200 - 22h expiry - We look to Buy at 7468 (stop at 7411)
The medium term bias remains bullish.
Bespoke support is located at 7468.
This over-extended move shows no sign of slowing.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 7588 and 7625
Resistance: 7531 / 7588 / 7620
Support: 7468 / 7447 / 7395
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Buying ASX at market.ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 7105 (stop at 7065)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
Short term bias is bullish.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 7220 and 7280
Resistance: 7340 / 7590 / 7800
Support: 7140 / 6965 / 6860
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Selling ASX into a rally.ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 7130 (stop at 7175)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 7005 and 6975
Resistance: 7140 / 7340 / 7590
Support: 6965 / 6860 / 6770
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Shares - ASX200 - Westpac WBC Descending Triangle SHORTASX 200 - Westpac descending triangle breakout. High probably pattern. Target is set at 21.60. STO is low so entry price between 22.60 and 22.90. Expect levels around the 20.60 level as a take profit.
Volume: pretty low showing lack of support.
RSI: The new low has been confirmed by a new RSI low of 34.
STO: STO is low so it may be possible to enter a little higher just below 23.
Current Price: 22.63
Target 1: 21.60
Stop Loss: 23.90
ASX200 prediction for end of year ASX200 prediction for end of year , traffic light system .
expect extra volatility within 3-5 days either side of full moon January 6th
Buying ASX at psychological level.ASX200 - 21h expiry - We look to Buy at 7000 (stop at 6960)
Selling pressure from 7171 resulted in all the initial daily gains being overturned.
The current move lower is expected to continue.
The medium term bias remains bullish.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 7115 and 7140
Resistance: 7140 / 7340 / 7590
Support: 6965 / 6860 / 6770
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
SPI200 - Sentiment remains negativeSPI200 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 7165 (stop at 7215)
Buying pressure from 7018 resulted in prices rejecting the dip. With the Ichimoku cloud resistance above we expect gains to be limited. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 7025 and 6965
Resistance: 7140 / 7340 / 7590
Support: 6965 / 6860 / 6770
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Buying ASX at market.ASX200 - 21h expiry - We look to Buy at 7160 (stop at 7120)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A lower correction is expected.
The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited.
The 200 day moving average should provide support at 7141.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 7275 and 7340
Resistance: 7340 / 7590 / 7800
Support: 7140 / 6965 / 6860
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.