ASX buy-now-pay-later stocks enter regulatory spotlight From relative obscurity, buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) services have become instant superstars. As consumer preference shifts from credit cards to interest-free instalments, the market for BNPL providers also grows, attracting regulations that may curb their capabilities and the fast rate at which the sector is expanding.
It wasn't until 2015 that BNPL caught attention following the launch of Afterpay in Australia. At the height of the pandemic, the sector took off, with as many as 8.5 million customers shared between the three largest platforms — Afterpay, Zip (ASX: ZIP) and Humm (ASX: HUM), according to Savings.com.
Customer spending is also growing with A$11.9 billion recorded from Australian customers in the 2021-2022 financial year from A$5.6 billion three years earlier, according to ABC. Globally, spending is expected to further increase, with generous projections between US$650 billion and US$1 trillion by 2025, AJOT reported.
The players and coalitions
Currently, there are 19 BNPL providers in Australia that are catering to millions of customers. The largest in terms of market capitalization are Block (ASX: SQ2), Zip, Humm, Splitit (ASX: SPT), and Sezzle (ASX: SZL).
Block, formerly Square, entered Australia through its record $39 billion acquisition in 2021 of Afterpay. Now, the companies have a combined market capitalization of $59.36 billion, so much more than Afterpay's $100 million valuation when it listed on the Australian Securities Exchange in May 2016.
The company benefitted heavily from a niche it found during the pandemic. It saw its shares skyrocket, as did most of its peers. But as supply chain issues, inflation fears and worries about rising interest rates became more prevalent, confidence in BNPL companies dwindled and have their stock prices. From the chart below, we see that several of Australia's largest BNPL stocks all have fallen ~90% from their respective peaks.
From relative obscurity, buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) services have become instant superstars. As consumer preference shifts from credit cards to interest-free instalments, the market for BNPL providers also grows, attracting regulations that may curb their capabilities and the fast rate at which the sector is expanding.
It wasn't until 2015 that BNPL caught attention following the launch of Afterpay in Australia. At the height of the pandemic, the sector took off, with as many as 8.5 million customers shared between the three largest platforms — Afterpay, Zip (ASX: ZIP) and Humm (ASX: HUM), according to Savings.com.
Customer spending is also growing with A$11.9 billion recorded from Australian customers in the 2021-2022 financial year from A$5.6 billion three years earlier, according to ABC. Globally, spending is expected to further increase, with generous projections between US$650 billion and US$1 trillion by 2025, AJOT reported.
The players and coalitions
Currently, there are 19 BNPL providers in Australia that are catering to millions of customers. The largest in terms of market capitalization are Block (ASX: SQ2), Zip, Humm, Splitit (ASX: SPT), and Sezzle (ASX: SZL).
Block, formerly Square, entered Australia through its record $39 billion acquisition in 2021 of Afterpay. Now, the companies have a combined market capitalization of $59.36 billion, so much more than Afterpay's $100 million valuation when it listed on the Australian Securities Exchange in May 2016.
The company benefitted heavily from a niche it found during the pandemic. It saw its shares skyrocket, as did most of its peers. But as supply chain issues, inflation fears and worries about rising interest rates became more prevalent, confidence in BNPL companies dwindled and have their stock prices. From the chart below, we see that several of Australia's largest BNPL stocks all have fallen ~90% from their respective peaks.
Asx200
BHP Group to explore new territory of $53 per share?This week is one of the busiest for the Australian Securities Exchange, with many of its biggest names delivering their respective earning reports. Among those reporting is the country’s largest mining company, BHP Group (ASX: BHP). BHP are expected to deliver their FY2022 results on 16 August 2022.
In addition to BHP’s results, the miner announced an AU $8.4 billion to acquire OZ Minerals (ASX: OZL) last week. As OZ Minerals have already rejected the take-over offer, additional rounds of bids will likely follow over the next week or two.
The monthly chart indicates that BHP is currently in a bullish trend and has tested a key resistance just above $48 a share twice in the past month and a half.
BHP is currently trading inside a parallel channel, and it looks like it might be about to bounce from the support, in confluence with the 50-DMA.
Fibonacci extension levels indicate that the price might reach an all-time high of $53, if bullish fundamentals continue.
From the perspective of the daily time frame, BHP looks a little more vulnerable with the suppression of Iron Ore prices, one of its primary exports. It was only last month that the mineral rebounded from a multi-month low, from $101 USD/T to $110 USD/T but is still contending with the dark clouds hanging over the Chinese construction sector. However, Iron Ore is mor eon the side of oversold rather than overbought according to the RSI indicator.
BHP Group to explore new territory of $53 per share?This week is one of the busiest for the Australian Securities Exchange, with many of its biggest names delivering their respective earning reports. Among those reporting is the country’s largest mining company, BHP Group (ASX: BHP). BHP are expected to deliver their FY2022 results on 16 August 2022.
In addition to BHP’s results, the miner announced an AU $8.4 billion to acquire OZ Minerals (ASX: OZL) last week. As OZ Minerals have already rejected the take-over offer, additional rounds of bids will likely follow over the next week or two.
The monthly chart indicates that BHP is currently in a bullish trend and has tested a key resistance just above $48 a share twice in the past month and a half.
BHP is currently trading inside a parallel channel, and it looks like it might be about to bounce from the support, in confluence with the 50-DMA.
Fibonacci extension levels indicate that the price might reach an all-time high of $53, if bullish fundamentals continue.
ASX200 looking to breakout? ASX200 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 6985 (stop at 6906)
6980 continues to hold back the bears. The lack of interest is a concern for bears. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Further upside is expected.
Our profit targets will be 7157 and 7200
Resistance: 7160 / 7300 / 7630
Support: 6980 / 6800 / 6425
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ASX200 4H, could we see a new test of 6715?Happy Monday. Thanks for tuning in. Today we’re looking at the ASX200 as a few things point to buyer control. Since last Friday, we continue to watch the new fast uptrend remain in play. Buyers are also starting to break out of a wedge pattern, but we want to see if price can get back up to and break 6715.
A move up to and break of that level could start to tell us that a new short-term up trend is underway.
Thanks to all our subscribers and to the trading community for watching today’s update. We wish you good trading for the rest of the day.
Trading The ASX200 CorrectionIn this update we review the recent price action in the ASX200 and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target
ASX 200 drills lower thanks to commodity stocksAustralia’s main share index, the ASX 200, closed lower on Wednesday by 0.5%. This fall could have been a lot worse If not for technology and financial stocks mitigating the rout in other major Australian sectors.
Australian Securities Exchange’s Metals & Mining Index fell by a massive 5.6%. Heavyweights in the mining sectors, Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO), Newcrest Mining (ASX: NCM), and Fortescue Metals Group (ASX: FMG) lead the way, falling by 7.4%, 6.6%, and 4.9%, respectively.
The ASX Energy Index also declined by 5.8% as crude oil prices plummeted 9% overnight Tuesday. Two of the most significant index drivers, Woodside Energy (ASX: WDS) and Whitehaven Coal (ASX: WHC), slumped by 6.9% and 3.7%, respectively.
Virus and lockdown concerns appear to be the main factors suppressing commodity and energy stocks in Australia.
Domestic tech stocks did briefly push the ASX 200 into green territory intraday but were ultimately overcome by the strong headwinds of commodity stocks. The big tech winner of the day was Zip Co (ASX: ZIP), rising by a phenomenal 12.8%. Financials were also up by 0.9% as three of the "Big-four" seek to benefit from the Reserve Bank of Australia lifting its benchmark interest rate by another 50-basis points.
On the technical side, we can see on the daily chart that the ASX200 has been on a clear downtrend since April.
The index is currently moving in a tight range between 6700 and 6560.
A break above the resistance at 6700 could potentially retest the 6810-level area, creating a lower high of the downtrend before continuing to the downside. In consideration of the long-term scenario, a close below 6560, depending on market sentiments, could eventually drive the index down to the 6000 psychological support level.
The ASX 200 might struggle to maintain short-term upside movements. At least until China moves past its Covid concerns and lockdowns in the country no longer threatens to sideline its commercial operations and consumer demand.
BHP - Awaiting for buy opportunitiesG'day Traders and Investors,
Note: Before reading this, I would like to declare that this is not a financial advice, I am not financial advisor. Any mentioned information is for education and entertainment purposes only and based on my trading and investing strategy. . I may or may not act according to this analysis.
Facts:
- As of 2022, BHP is the largest mining company in Australia, by market capitalisation and It is one of the very profitable business as
most of BHP products are essential for global economic growth.
- The company primary operational units are: Coal, Copper, Iron ore and Petroleum. But many are key to the energy transition, to
lower carbon world, for example:
Copper - has electricity conducting, corrosion resistance and antimicrobial properties and is used in everyday household products.
Iron ore - is one of the most sought after commodities in the world and is integral to the steel-making process.
Nickel - is a key ingredient is stainless steel and major component in the lithium-ion batteries that are helping power the electric
vehicle revolution.
Potash - is a group of potassium compounds that will be vital link in the global food supply chain.
- BHP also committed to Sustainability and Social responsibility. Read more on www.bhp.com
Source: www.bhp.com
If you like the idea, please like and comment. Many thanks for your support.
Cheers!
Jimmy
Indexes and Cryptos under the pump so where to for markets now?The Morning Jumpstart Weekly Review 20/06/22...key levels to watch on major markets for the coming week!!
Cryptocurrencies remain under pressure and I expect that things will get worse before they potentially get better as we see cracks appearing in the underlying fundamentals of the asset class. Solana is taking an unprecedented step of freezing a large account that goes against the idea of a decentralised exchanges...and will potentially trigger shockwaves in the crypto space. Major share market Indexes are heading lower as traders unwind risk assets in the face of raising interest rates and continued high inflation.
The general trend for major Indexes remains down with the the USD in the driving seat....continuing to be careful into shares as prices could continue the trend lower.
Markets covered
US - DOW, Nasdaq and SP500
Europe - DAX and FTSE100
Asia - Hang Seng, ASX200 and Nikkei
FX - Dollar Index (USD), EURUSD , GBPUSD , AUDUSD and USDJPY
Commodities - GOLD , Oil and Copper
Crypto - Bitcoin and Ethereum
ASX Extremely Oversold Friday Afternoon Short SqueezeLooking for sellers to take profit and bargain hunters to squeeze this heavily sold Australia stock index into the close Friday or for Pop higher Morning if US stocks can Bounce.
In large sell offs Friday are profit taking days for sellers and this naturally causing some buying as they close short positions and in the fallout there are some stocks that are bought on dips that help the whole index rally.
Some good news would help but technically its sets up some excellent 3-1 and 5-1 risk rewards.
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Long Santos #STO #ASX # ASX200 # Trading #breakoutHi all,
An ascending triangle is classified as a continuation chart pattern.
Continuation patterns are expected to lead to the continuation of an existing trend.
While the ascending triangle is considered a bullish continuation pattern, exceptions are quite possible. It’s not infrequent to see it develop in downtrend conditions.
Breakouts can also happen in both directions. Statistically, upward breakouts are more likely to occur, but downward ones seem to be more reliable.
Price is in an interesting area here.
Strong resistance around 8.4
Depending on your strategy offers a great RR.
Regards,
Bitcoin and Ethereum give back gains as US indexes fallThe US gave back a stronger open to fade lower into the close. Again the fight is between economic data and higher inflation and whether the strength in the US economy can continue and absorb high inflation and the inevitable rate hikes. Any economic data releases that fail to meet expectations will see the share market unwind risk and head lower. US key Employment data out tomorrow is the focus.
Bitcoin and Ethereum give back most of the recent gains about as fast as they made it. Both are back under pressure and need to find some new buyers to provide support as they target back into major lows.
The general trend for major Indexes remains down with the the USD in the driving seat....continuing to be careful into shares as prices could continue the trend lower.
Markets covered
US - DOW, Nasdaq and SP500
Europe - DAX and FTSE100
Asia - Hang Seng, ASX200 and Nikkei
FX - Dollar Index (USD), EURUSD , GBPUSD , AUDUSD and USDJPY
Commodities - GOLD , Oil and Copper
Crypto - Bitcoin and Ethereum
Bitcoin saved from a beating as major Indexes rallyShare markets bounced back as the European and US markets brush aside higher inflation and rate rises. Markets are only in correction mode and have not built a longer term base so I expect a grind up prior to another bout of selling pressure to come in to the action. The Fed does nit seem as intent on containing inflation as first thought as we see the USD re-adjust lower.
The general trend for major Indexes remains down with the the USD in the driving seat....continuing to be careful into shares as prices could continue the trend lower.
BITCOIN and ETHEREUM spiked into and then rejected lows but remain heavy as lower highs hold. Expecting to see further selling if bulls can not move prices off support areas soon. If the share markets again move lower, then concern will be for a meltdown into BTC and ETH through Daily support areas.
Markets covered
US - DOW, Nasdaq and SP500
Europe - DAX and FTSE100
Asia - Hang Seng, ASX200 and Nikkei
FX - Dollar Index (USD), EURUSD , GBPUSD , AUDUSD and USDJPY
Commodities - GOLD , Oil and Copper
Crypto - Bitcoin and Ethereum
Trading plan and review of Key Levels for major marketsReview of the key levels in the major markets as global markets continue to bounce and find more buyers. Powell was concerned for the high inflation levels and hinted at being more aggressive if needed sending bond yields higher. Traders focused on the stronger than expected economic numbers and the resilience of the US consumer. USD fell away from highs as safe havens exited.
The general trend for major Indexes remains down with the USD, Inflation and Interest Rate Rises in focus.
BITCOIN and ETHEREUM remained around lows as buyers remained on the sidelines unwilling to again follow share markets higher. Expect that if share Indexes again turn south, cryptos may take another hit.
Markets covered
US - DOW, Nasdaq and SP500
Europe - DAX and FTSE100
Asia - Hang Seng, ASX200 and Nikkei
FX - Dollar Index (USD), EURUSD , GBPUSD , AUDUSD and USDJPY
Commodities - GOLD , Oil and Copper
Crypto - Bitcoin and Ethereum
Trading plan and review of Key Levels for major marketsReview of the key levels in the major markets as the US bounces back Friday following of from a strong Asian and European session. Bargain hunters taking the opportunity to buy in an extended market so the questions is whether this bounce can gather momentum higher.
The general trend for major Indexes remains down with the USD, Inflation and Interest Rate Rises in focus.
BITCOIN and ETHEREUM took a beating as BTC spiked below $30k to take out some stops. Crypto enthusiasts will be hoping to see BTC back above the $30K area to fend off more selling pressure.
Markets covered
US - DOW, Nasdaq and SP500
Europe - DAX and FTSE100
Asia - Hang Seng, ASX200 and Nikkei
FX - Dollar Index (USD), EURUSD , GBPUSD , AUDUSD and USDJPY
Commodities - GOLD , Oil and Copper
Crypto - Bitcoin and Ethereum
ASX200 support remains from 6910Hi all, this morning, it's hard not to notice 6910 support on the ASX200 daily chart. Sellers once again breached the level but have again been unable to hold the break with buying developing in today's cash session.
We see this level as key support as it has held firm since April 2021. Green circles show the amount of times sellers have been unable to break the level since April. Interestingly, we've seen four moves higher after a level test. Today's idea is not a buy or a sell, it's more of a heads up.
We will be watching this level to see if any further ideas develop.
Trading plan and review of Key Levels for major marketsReview of the key levels in the major markets as the US continues to edge lower. CPI release spooked the market and saw the DOW futures dump 500 points ahead of the stock market open. Prices did bounce back into the open...in a strange sign of strength...before dumping again into the close. This created a fear based market as traders focus on inflation and a more aggressive US Fed on interest rate rises. USD re-adjusted higher and FX crosses (with the USD) moved lower.
BITCOIN, ETHEREUM and crypto holders may come under margin pressure if the BTC and ETH rout continues. BTC needs to push back above the $30K zone to gather some confidence.
Key theme is around the USD and whether it continues higher above 104 (USD Index) or we see some dollar weakness creep in. Expecting that many traders were caught off guard and will reposition higher.
Markets covered
US - DOW, Nasdaq and SP500
Europe - DAX and FTSE100
Asia - Hang Seng, ASX200 and Nikkei
FX - Dollar Index (USD), EURUSD , GBPUSD , AUDUSD and USDJPY
Commodities - GOLD , Oil and Copper
Crypto - Bitcoin and Ethereum
Where to from here...US markets take a hit...levels to watchUS markets meltdown Friday and pressure Asian and European Indexes lower. I talk through the major US indexes and others in Europe and Asian, highlighting the key levels to watch and the overall trend and bias of the action.
Focus on : -
US - DOW, SP500 and Nasdaq
Europe - DAX and FTSE
Asia - ASX200, Hang Seng and Nikkei
FX - USD, EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPUSD and USDJPY
GOLD
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Major Indexes are resilient but may be due to selloffThe world is focused on the US indexes which have recently broken down out of the uptrend. The question is now whether there is more downside to come which could turn into a major selloff after such a big Fed Fueled pandemic rally. I take a look at the price action and major levels of the Key Indexes.
In the US - DOW, SP500 and Nasdaq
Europe - DAX, FTSE and Eurostoxx
ASIA - ASX200, Hang Seng and Nikkei
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