Its failure to retest 8,000 after a feeble 2-day recovery this week looks like it may not take much to topple ASX 200 futures for another leg lower. And with an all-important NFP report lined up and traders heavily focused on minor signs of weakness, the path of least resistance could well be lower. Matt Simpson take a quick look.
Overbought indicators are of little use when markets are obsessed with rate cuts ahead of a key fed speech. Jerome Powell will speak at the Jackson hole symposium and Friday, and expectations for a dovish show are high. And that's helped Wall Street indices extend gains and the allowed the ASX 200 to tag along for the ride. But if this turns out to be a classic...
The sharp fall from its record high remains the dominant feature on the daily ASX 200 futures chart. Whilst this is likely to suppress appetite for risk for some time, Tuesday's bullish hammer suggests bears are in need of a break. The false break of the April low has been followed by a higher low and higher high on the 1-hour chart. Prices are now trying to form...
The ASX 200 cash market enjoyed its most bullish day in seven on Thursday. But like the SPI 200 futures contract, it met resistance before pausing. The daily chart shows that a double top formed around the June 26 high and trend resistance. And as it's not unusual to see a market retrace against a strong move, and we have an NFP report looming which could...
The SPI 200 shows an established uptrend on the 1-hour chart, with a recent bullish engulfing candle forming a higher low around the 20-bar EMA and closing above a retracement line. The RSI remains above 50 to show positive momentum, and there are no obvious signs of a topping pattern forming on the chart. A break above 7907 assumes bullish continuation and...
Prices have been coiling on the daily chart to form a potential bullish pennant / symmetrical triangle, which hints at further gains. RSI (14) remains over 50 on the daily chart, and volumes were lower during the consolidation to show lack of conviction from bears, sellers stepping in at the cycle highs. The 1-hour chart shows prices retracing lower after RSI (2)...
We have a huge risk event in the coming hours; US PCE inflation. Should it come in softer than expected, risk is likely to pick up as this is how it has behaved pretty much every time inflation has come in soft. Conversely, a hot inflation report could dent risk - but we suspect not to such a large degree. Fed members have been very vocal about maintaining...
The ASX 200 cash market rose for a second day, although the SPI 200 futures closed flat with a potential bullish pinbar on the daily chart. The 1-hour chart also shows a potential bull flag, which projects a target around 7640 (or the Feb 2nd overnight VPOC - volume point of control). For today, bulls could seek pullbacks towards 7580 - 7587 (overnight VPOC) in...