The swing low could be in for the ASX 200 (XJO)The ASX 200 suffered its worst day in 10-week on the final day of May, thanks to weak China PMIs and month-end flows. The first day of June posted a very minor (almost sheepish) gain, but with a positive lead from Wall Street and SPI futures higher by ~0.66% overnight, the ASX is expected to extend its rise from the lows.
The fact that the lows formed around a 61.8% Fibonacci ratio 7070 support level alongside a bullish RSI divergence could bode well for bulls over the near-term. From here the bias is bullish above last week's low and for a move to the 7200 area, within the channel. But as the channel appears to be corrective in nature then we also see the potential for it to head for (and break above) the 7300 highs.
But as we're a period of the year notorious for fickle price action and lower trading volumes, traders might be wise to remain nimble and seek smaller moves unless a large macro theme arrives worthy of expecting broad-range expansion for global markets.
Asx200buy
It could be now or never for ASX 200 bullsI suspect it could be a case of now or never for ASX bulls.
Whilst it suffered its worst day in 9-weeks on Thursday, this could be part of an ABC correction and the 200-day MA is nearby as a probably support level, even if it breaks lower today. Futures markets shows heavy volume occurred around yesterday's lows (bears piled in around the lows) yet sentiment could rise if a debt ceiling deal is reached as reported, forcing a short-covering rally.
Yesterday’s low sits around a 50% retracement and 61.8% projection level, and there is a volume cluster around 7122 during the strong rally which could provide support. Furthermore, RSI (2) is oversold.
The bias is bullish above 7090 (below the 200-day MA) and for its next leg higher to begin.