XJO ASX200 update -Pay attention to the 200 MA low monthlyGood morning,
I want to show you an important trading indicator today and it is the 200 moving average low on the monthly. (currently at 4885)
This indicator acted as major support during the GFC (Nov 2008, Mar 2009) and we tested this level last Friday and bounced strongly.....
I will wait and watch the monthly close to see if this is an excellent buying opportunity from a risk/reward strategy.
Asxlong
ASX200 $XJO Are we heading for a bear market? Good Evening, investors and traders, the Asx200 $XJO went lower again due to market uncertainty with the coronavirus.
Last week, I said if we breach the 50 moving average, the first level of support is around 6300-6400.
The market went straight down to 6259.9 on Monday and traded sideways between 6259-6500 for a few days and eventually making a new low of 6216 at Friday's close.
Next week, I am watching 5800-6100 as a very important area of support. (Currently, I do forecast a dead cat bounce from there)
Furthermore, the ASX200 $XJO must close above or near the 200 MA (red line). If not, we are more likely heading for a bear market.
One important thing to keep in mind is that the VIX is at a bearish high reading.
This tells the mid-large fund organizations such as investment banks and hedge funds to reduce risk and exposure in their long/short portfolios.
The good news is that we do have a TD 9 coming for the Vix and this signal a likely top for the short term.
Therefore, like the hedge funds and investment banks,
I am still only risking a small amount of money in the market. I will go big again WHEN the Vix is below 15 and price level can close above all moving averages. At the moment this price area is around 6666-6800.
Glossary:
VIX
The S&P/ASX 200 VIX Index ( XVI ) calculates the amount of volatility expected in the market over the next 30 days.
• High readings indicate uncertainty ( bearish ) 20-30
• Normal readings suggest a slight bullish bias 15-20
• Low readings indicate low volatility ( bullish ) and strong investor confidence. <14.99
Bear market
A bear market is a condition in which securities prices fall 20% or more from recent highs amid widespread pessimism and negative investor sentiment.
XJO ASX200, close above 20 MA (weekly) to be bullish againThe retracement that I was waiting for came this week and we went down fast and hard.
This has made me more bearish than before in the short term.
We could see an "exit pump" in the next few trading sessions by big investors/institutions and have the price level jump back toward the 20 moving average before going down further like the past. Therefore, for me to turn bullish on the Australia market again, I need to see the price level close above the 20 moving average on the weekly . "Green line" (around 6900-7000).
If we break the 50 MA yellow line:
-I will close all my open positions
-Be out of the market
-so I can buy great companies at a discount once this is over.
-I will be watching that box around 6300-6400 as the first level of support.
#cashisking. #warrenbuffet #valueinvesting
CUE.ASX Simple Trend Line TradeThe setup is pretty basic: there has been a failed pennant which has returned to the long running channel and is heading back to support at 0.125. It may or may not get there, instead turning at the moving average, but it should getto the bottom trend line. I would expect after the price has consolidated a little that the trend will resume. Short term target is 0.150, but could be extended if the price continues hold the trading channel. Very important to keep in mind is that crude oil is selling off at the moment so that may weigh on this trade. Very important to keep a stop at 0.125 because the pants could drop off this in a hurry.
VRX.ASX Possible repeating patternI'm not so certain of this set up, but I'm keeping a close eye on it still. There is a large triangle that has formed in the price action which within it is playing through a series of peaks and troughs. If the cycle series is correct we could expect to see a bump in the next few days. The 200 day moving average was just crossed and now after hit a resistance level at 0.115 the price is reverting. possible that the price could pull back to 0.100 at the dotted line before it moves up again. I wouldn't expect it to go to the trend line again. If so, I would say that the repeating pattern has been made void. however as further confirmation we have a pickup in the volume to confirm the pattern so I think this could be a good trade. I believe that i will leave a stop at 0.100 and use an upper target of 0.165 and a lower target of 0.155.
OLL Looks to be setting up for another runIPO didn't open any higher but on market buying has been impressive, Looks to have most of the supply from Traders/Sellers move it down to the 20EMA where it has seen support, will need a few more days to play out here but possible early entry for anyone building a position
SVW Breakout of 14 month baseSVW broke out of 14 month base today after resetting a 2 week pivot, hopefully the beginning of a new trend
SVW Stage one setupSVW looks like its setting a nice stage one, possible 2 week pivot here, very low volume, an entry above last weeks high and stop just below provides a nice RR with an aim to get some out at the old highs.
IDX - Channel Breakout on good Fundamentals This stock is showing great signs of breaking out of it upwards trending range. The ADX is holding a strong bullish trend with the reading of 40. All the moving averages are aligned and the SAR indicator confirming a buy signal. The OBV stayed well above its moving average as pull backs waves are becoming smaller, on low volume, as price moved higher. The stock is also backed by good fundamental data for the past three year running.
ASX:APT STRONG Long Hello my dear
You can find all details on the chart above.
ASX:APT
Entry: 28 - 28.5
Targets:
First : 36.4
Second: 46.4
Stop: 25
______
$OAR $OAR.AX High Probability ReversalSelling absorbed at support indicating a reversal for long entry.
Possible target price is 0.18
Moving trend line down trend intercept support
Waiting for price action to confirm reaction to break up
Still bearish but bullish momentum could break the down trend
Use you trading strategy to confirm the bias
Vap Long Term IdeaLong term market cycle idea based - This can be counted two ways the first being the displayed idea. The second being it has begun its third wave on it grand cycle, however the probability of this count is substantially lower based off market capitalisation and fresh money flowing in. In saying that I believe Vap has entered it fifth wave and will see higher returns over the next year.
Looks like ASX:RAP is on the move again.Time to look @ renteringI've probably held this one back a little longer than I would normally, due to my personal bias of previously being burnt by it...But the charts are now too interesting to leave it in my watch list. If your not familiar with ASX:RAP they are producing a smart phone App to help diagnose respiratory conditions. Some recent news around TGA classification as a medical device has helped spur the price northward and it's now time for me to face my demons...
If you remain unconvinced, perhaps add it to your watch list...
Disclaimer: We do not currently hold this stock.
TLG confirms change of directionOne of the most anticipated companies on the ASX with technology to held EV's has just confirmed it's bottom @ $0.37.
The price has closed above both the bollinger band and Linear regression. More specifically the Linear regression is in a downward projection and for the candle to be out of it confirms that a change of direction on the larger scale of things.
In the short term expect the price to touch $0.49 which is where the 61.8% fib line is.
This information is based on my opinion of how I read the market.
SEI.asx continues the move higher as buyers step up the pressureSEI continues to drag in buyers to hold higher levels with clear skies up to the 0.10 Zone. Price oscillated around the 0.03 level before building a head of steam and cementing the trend higher. We expect the move to continue with a push through 0.06 in the coming days.
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Possible SIS ASX Long Position!!SMP TRADING
SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - H4
Timeframe - 1 - 3 weeks
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Market will find support in zone @ Current Levels - .... and move to the 0.110 . In order to enter, the pair MUST be in line with my Entry Procedure....
B – Beliefs
Market will move towards the first Target 1 level @ 0.110
ASX:SIS
Trade Management
Entered @ .....
Stop Loss @ .....
Target 1 @ 0.110
Target 2 @ ....
Risk/Reward @ 2.1
Happy trading :)
Follow your Trading plan, remain disciplined and keep learning !!
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This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!