BTC | SHORT TERM | ATH OutlookBitcoin is in the process of making new ATH's and this process is called "price discovery mode".
This basically means that we have no indication of possible resistance or support zones. However, there is one method I like to use for price discovery mode - Fibonacci.
This could hold some key information as to where the price of BTC may possible see some rejection, and where it could bounce from.
If you're keen to see the journey, I made an update on my ENTIRE BTC prediction-roadmap. Find it here:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
ATH
BERT/USDT 1H Memecoin play with some strong numbers and community:
- FWB:69M MarketCap
- $42.5m 24h volume (61% Vol/Mcap)
- 100% of max supply (980M) in circulation. (Self-reported)
- Solana chain
Currently not yet listed on Binance or Coinbase but there are rumours that it may be listed soon which would bring a lot more potential buyers to the coin.
For memcoins technical analysis is less important but can still tell a story. The current range shows a clear resistance at 0.75 and a support at 0.25.
The diagonal resistance breakout coupled with the bullish divergence already printed indicating a bullish reversal the TA looks good currently.
Memes are risky and unpredictable so DYOR
BTC\USD - 2025 ATHV prodolzhenie prognoza po obnovleniyu ATH v 2024 godu
Kak vidno, vopreki vsem hejteram bitkoina shortivshim ego osen'yu 2023, a takzhe rasskazyvayushchih skazki o tom, chto posle 48000 ego obnulyat, eto ego poslednij cikl - bitkoin udivil dazhe menya)))
Delo v tom, chto on obognal moj prognoz na polgoda, chto dlya menya bylo absolyutnoj neozhidannost'yu)
Celi dostignuty i my mozhem prodolzhat' dal'she)
Kasaemo ATH2025
Ot ATH2021 Primerno 1430 dnej dlya pikovogo znacheniya v 2025 godu
Tri diapazona ceny:
1 - (oranzhevyj, negativnyj) - 90-120k
2 - (zheltyj, nejtral'nyj) - 120-140k
3 - (zelenyj, pozitivnyj) - 140-150k
Dopuskayu chto bitkoin vnov' mozhet vsekh nas udivit' (a eto on umeet = burnyj rost osen'yu 2023 vopreki ozhidaniyam + rost k ATH vesnoj 2024 ran`she prognoza) i pokazat' znachenie vyshe 150-200k. Odnako veroyatnost' takogo sobytiya ya ocenivayu takzhe, kak i prognoz nizhe 90k (v dannom sluchae ya oshibus' i moj prognoz vovse ne srabotaet).
Sam zhe ya sklonyayus' k diapazonu 120-140k.
Takzhe dopuskayu veroyatnost' otkloneniya po vremeni +\- 1 mesyac
CYCLE 4 | Realised Price Oscillator & OverlayThis post is intended as an interactive companion post with a 'to follow' detail post for historic analysis.
I want to explore the relationship with BTC and Realised Price, and historically where we have seen cycle over bought and sold regions based on extensions from calculated realised price values.
What is Realized Price?
Source: www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com
"Bitcoin Realized Price is the value of all bitcoins at the price they were last transacted on-chain, divided by the number of bitcoins in circulation. This gives us the ‘average cost basis’ at which all bitcoins were purchased, which is another way of describing Realized Price."
The above relationships have been incorporated into the Overlay and Oscillator indicators developed for this post to use into DCA accumulation and sell strategies.
I will follow this post with a zoomed version for detailed discussion.
CYCLE 4 | TA - First Log Measured Move HitQuick Update: Cycle 4 BTC price action has hit our first measured move (log scale) which coincides with the 1.272 Fib Extension using the prior cycles technical top and cycle bottom.
This was our first point of interest as BTC approaches our Early Sell Zone region....
The Power of HODLINGMANTRA ( NASDAQ:OM ) has been making waves in the crypto market, not just for its price surge but for the incredible profit booked by a savvy trader. This feat has drawn the attention of investors worldwide. A reported $6 million profit from trading NASDAQ:OM has sparked interest and speculation about the coin's future, as well as its potential to deliver significant returns. Let's explore both the technical and fundamental aspects driving this market activity.
The Million-Dollar Trade
A crypto trader, identified by the wallet address "0xdc2," achieved a staggering return on investment (ROI) of 161X within approximately 10 months. The trader bought OM tokens at an average price of $0.026 and recently sold 600,000 tokens on Binance for a profit of $2.49 million, highlighting their total profit of $6.28 million.
This trade underscores the potential of holding onto a coin for strategic periods and taking advantage of market conditions. However, it also raises concerns about sell pressure in the wake of significant dumps.
Market Confidence Despite Sell-Off
Despite the dump, NASDAQ:OM maintained upward momentum, reflecting strong market confidence. A 26.58% price increase over 24 hours saw the token trading at $4.15, with trading volume surging 33% to $771.50 million.
Altcoin Market Sentiment
The overall positive sentiment in the altcoin market, with the crypto market cap breaching the $3 trillion mark, has helped bolster NASDAQ:OM 's price.
Futures Open Interest Growth
MANTRA Futures Open Interest surged by 53%, indicating increased investor activity and hinting at further potential price gains. This is a critical indicator of the token's growing appeal among traders.
Technical Analysis
NASDAQ:OM reached a 24-hour high of $4.47 before slightly retracing to $4.15, marking a consolidation phase after its sharp rise. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 90, indicating overbought conditions. While this suggests the potential for a short-term correction, it also reflects heightened buying pressure.
The large-scale token dump may trigger sell-offs by smaller investors, potentially leading to a short-term dip. However, the broader market sentiment and rising Futures Open Interest could mitigate this impact.
A Lesson for Traders
The $6M profit story serves as both inspiration and caution for traders. Strategic holding and avoiding FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) can lead to substantial returns. It reflects on a missed opportunity, when i sold sold a memecoin at a $3M market cap, only to watch it climb to $300M later.
This highlights the importance of conducting thorough research and believing in your investments while being mindful of market conditions.
Conclusion
MANTRA ( NASDAQ:OM ) continues to capture the attention of traders and investors alike with its significant price movements and market activity. The coin's ability to hold steady after a massive sell-off and its impressive Futures Open Interest growth hint at its strong potential in the crypto space.
While short-term fluctuations are expected, NASDAQ:OM 's broader market confidence and fundamentals position it as an asset worth watching. For savvy traders, the mantra is clear: patience, research, and timing are key to unlocking the full potential of crypto investments.
18/11/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $93,269.62
Last weeks low: $86,738.62
Midpoint: $80,207.62
The "Trump pump" continued last week as BTC hit a massive $93k, another new ATH. Later in the week some of that progress did retrace mainly due to news events such as CPR & PPI data as well as profit taking/ de-risking.
This week should be an interesting one as we see an early surge after weekly close putting BTC back at $92,000. As president-elect Trump announces his picks for roles in his new administration, the rumour is that Howard Lutnick may become Treasury secretary after backing from Elon Musk and RFK Jr, Lutnick would be a very pro crypto choice which has great potential for the space, with a new SEC chairman after the firing of Gary Gensler and the potential Bitcoin strategic reserve. Things are looking bullish bullish bullish!
With BTC.D now at 60%, this would indicate although BTC hit new ATH altcoins are outpacing the market leader in growth. Memes are taking centre stage this Bullrun even though historically that stage of the cycle tends to be towards the end. Every other metric suggests this Bullrun is far from over so it's definitely something to take into consideration.
This week I would like to see some breakout continuation patterns on fundamentally strong altcoins, as well as bitcoin, I do believe it is dips are for buying season going into the end of the year. A dip could be triggered by a loss of the diagonal support & 0.75 line shown on the chart which would provide a better entry/DCA opportunity after a leverage flush.
NVIDA what next..!The chart displays NVIDIA (NVDA) stock on a daily interval with several indicators and clear support and resistance levels. Here is a detailed technical analysis:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
Nearest Resistance Level: $150 (above the closing price).
Key Support Levels:
$140.75 (immediate support level).
$130.62 (secondary support level).
$127.21 (critical support level for the medium term).
2. Ascending Channel:
The chart shows movement within a clear ascending channel, with the stock nearing the lower boundary of the channel.
A drop below the lower support line of the channel (around $140) could indicate a trend reversal.
3. Indicators:
Moving Averages:
The 50-period moving average (green) is above the closing price, supporting the continuation of the uptrend.
The 150-period moving average (dark green) is far below the current price, indicating strong long-term support.
CCI (14):
The current value is -2.96, indicating a nearly neutral state but slightly leaning bearish.
Volume:
Higher-than-average volume on the last day suggests significant selling pressure.
4. Candlestick Analysis:
The last candlestick is a large red bearish candle, reflecting a strong daily bearish sentiment.
The candlestick formation shows bearish pressure but is close to a significant support level.
5. Risk Assessment:
The risk level is moderate since the stock is near a clear support level but experiencing strong selling pressure.
Position Recommendation:
Entry: Around $140.75 (near the immediate support level).
Stop-Loss: Below $138 (approximately 2% below the entry point).
Profit Target: $147 (around a 5% increase from the entry point).
Summary:
The stock's trend over the past two weeks is bullish, but the last day indicates a potential correction.
It is recommended to monitor the price reaction near the $140.75 level and evaluate the strength of the support.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin ATH: Potential Retracement Zones and Key LevelsBitcoin current price now is 76k surpassed ATH at 14 March 2024, after surge more than 13% we may see increased speculation and bullish momentum driving the price higher. However, if Bitcoin struggles to maintain upward momentum near this level, we may witness a retracement before the next significant move.
Retracements are a common and healthy part of price movement, providing the opportunity for consolidation before the next leg up. On the chart, we observe several retracement levels marked by Fibonacci retracement levels, as well as Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that may act as areas of support if Bitcoin's rally takes a breather.
1. The first potential support level sits at the 0.5-0.62 retracement level. This zone represents a modest pullback and would allow Bitcoin to establish a higher base without losing its bullish structure. This level falls within an FVG, which might reinforce the zone as a strong support if Bitcoin pulls back to this area.
2. A deeper retracement could see Bitcoin testing the 0.705-0.79 retracement level. This level could attract more significant buying interest, as it represents a meaningful correction or extreme discount zone that provides an attractive entry point for new buyers.
3. Green zone (OB) signaling areas of potential liquidity where buyers might enter aggressively to capture value.
Trendline Support and Horizontal Levels
Trendlines provide insight into Bitcoin's directional bias. A rising trendline, indicated in yellow on the chart, has been guiding the recent rally and could serve as dynamic support in case of a downturn. If Bitcoin respects this trendline, it would suggest a continuation of the uptrend, with the trendline acting as a safety net for any dips in price. This would allow BTC to pull back and consolidate while maintaining its upward momentum.
Another significant level is marked as "rH" around $73,787, a former resistance level that could now act as support. If Bitcoin retraces to this level and finds support, it could reinforce bullish sentiment and potentially lead to another rally attempt.
Volume Analysis
We also see moderate trading volumes, indicating sustained but cautious buying activity. An increase in volume at higher prices would strengthen the case for a continued rally, as it would demonstrate robust market interest. Conversely, if the volume decreases during a pullback, it may indicate that sellers lack conviction, suggesting that the retracement could be brief and limited to consolidation.
Price action on the TOTAL chart now comfortably above the c&h Price action is now knocking on the door of 3 trillion for the total crypto market cap. We can see also that now that price action is reasonably above the rimline of this massive cup and handle pattern, and has also closed a weekly candle above it now as well, that we are likely to soon validate the breakout of this pattern and star climbing towards its breakout target of 4.6 trillion. I think Brad Garlinghouse was anticipating the total market cap nearing 5 trillion by end of 2024 and that target is not that far off. I will link some previous total market cap charts below so you can see other macro patterns we are also heading towards with an even higher target than this cup and handle. *Not financial advice*
HelenP. I Bitcoin can correct a little and then continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In the chart, we can see how the price some time traded near support 2, which coincided with the support zone and even entered to this area, where little time traded too and then started to grow inside the upward channel. Soon, BTC broke support 2 again and then reached the resistance line, after which made a correction to trend line and later broke this line and fell to the support line of the channel. A not long time price traded near this line and later rebounded to the trend line, which coincided with support 1 and broke them. Next, the price rose to the resistance line, after which made a correction back, breaking the trend line one more time, but soon BTC turned around and continued to move up between this line. At the moment, price traded below the trend line and I expect that BTCUSDT will fall to the channel's support line and then start to grow to the resistance line, breaking the trend line. For this case, I set my goal at 97500 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
MOODENG Price Rockets 33% Amid Major Listing!The meme coin Moo Deng ($MOODENG) is turning heads in the crypto world with a stunning 26% surge following its major listing on the Asian crypto exchange, OKX. This development has sparked a wave of optimism among investors, who are now eagerly speculating on the potential for further gains.
Why the Buzz Around MOODENG?
The excitement began when OKX, a leading crypto exchange, announced the listing of MOODENG in their USDT market. Trading commenced at 12:00 PM (UTC) today, opening new avenues for investors keen to capitalize on this trending meme coin. The announcement has piqued global investor interest, as OKX's massive user base gears up to explore this new trading opportunity.
🌟 A Bullish Meme Coin Market 🌟
The current market environment is particularly favorable for meme coins. In this Q4, we've seen established names like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu achieve impressive weekly gains of 90% and 25%, respectively. However, despite these significant performances, MOODENG has managed to steal the spotlight, thanks in part to support from major exchanges.
Recent reports from CoinGape Media highlight that Binance's launch of Moo Deng futures, with up to 75x leverage, sparked a 90% price surge. These factors combined have led to MOODENG's remarkable 103% weekly gain and an astonishing 538% monthly uptrend, suggesting that the token holds considerable promise for future growth.
📊 What Do the Numbers Say? 📊
Data from Coinglass reveals a 26% rise in MOODENG’s futures open interest, totaling $293.14 million. Additionally, the derivatives volume has increased by 10% to $2.60 billion. These figures demonstrate a growing market interest, reinforcing the bullish outlook for the token.
🔍 Technical Analysis 🔍
As of now, $MOODENG is up by 38%, with charts showing strong bullish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 73, indicating continued bullish sentiment. The daily price chart reveals a bullish flag pattern, supporting the optimistic outlook. However, with MOODENG reaching new highs, immediate support is identified at the $0.50 level. A return to this point could establish a solid buy zone, potentially propelling MOODENG towards the $1 mark in the near term.
In conclusion, while the crypto world is abuzz with MOODENG’s impressive rally, it's important for investors to stay informed and approach with caution. The volatile nature of meme coins can lead to swift market changes, but for now, MOODENG continues to ride the wave of investor enthusiasm.
Stay tuned for more updates, and happy trading!
GOLD VS BITCOIN Bitcoin is often referred to as digital gold as they are both stores of wealth, but how do the charts compare?
Firstly GOLD has been around for much much longer than BITCOIN so naturally the charts are not comparable in terms of duration and that should be taken into account. Golds PA plays out over a much longer timespan to BTCs but the chart patterns are certainly similar.
We have Golds previous rally peaking in 2011 before falling with a rounded bottom, the exact same as Bitcoins structure from the last bull cycle.
Gold then steadily climbs over the HTF stalling briefly at a bearish orderblock (blue box's) which is the same as BTC. Continues to climb to reach previous ATH before distributing/accumulating with sideways choppy price action.
So cleqarly Gold and Bitcoin share a lot of similarities, where they differ in their charts is what happens after ATH and into price discovery...
Gold continued its rally for a further 32% increase once it broke out above the trend channel/ mini range at the ATH level. Bitcoin is looking to do the same and if successful, price discovery should exceed the 32% increase the gold saw because of the difference in market caps of the two assets.
Gold market cap: $18.3T
Bitcoin market cap: $1.35T
Such a massive difference in market caps means less investment is needed to create the price increase and so I believe 32% is a super conservative estimate but we'll use it as an example for comparison. That would take BTC up to ~$92,000, a more than doable move IMO.
Bitcoin can little correct and then continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price a few days ago started to grow inside the upward channel, where it at once reached the resistance line of the channel. Then the price rose to the support area, which coincided with the 66800 support level, and then turned around and made a correction to the support line of the upward channel. When the price fell, it turned around and in a short time rose to the 66800 level, broke it, and then some time traded near. Later, BTC bounced from this level and rose almost to the resistance line of the channel, after which turned around and corrected to the support level, where at once made a strong upward impulse to the resistance line. Price some time traded between this line and later exited from a channel and continued to move up. Some time later, the price reached 86800 current support level, which is located inside one more support area and broke this level. Now BTC trades near this level and in my mind, the price can make a small correction, below the support level, and then continue to grow, and even reach new ATH. For this case, I set my TP at 94000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin: You are not bearish enoughIf you had spoken to me last week I would have given you my expert opinion that my expert opinion was going to be WRONG. I have been of the sentiment that Bitcoin was not going to break the ATH this year and return back to the ETF launch level of 43k. As price rose to test the 2024 ATH I was just as sure as the bagholders I would be proven wrong. That did not happen... in a rather spectacular fashion.
In my past posts and videos I laid out the possible scenarios for price action. One of which was the traversal from 69,420 up to the prior ATH of 73,575. This is something one can just assume when a secondary Resistance is broken that price will move unimpeded to the major Resistance. Breaking an ATH though is the test but often momentum is such that it will just... do it.
What I honestly did not expect is for not only the failure to break to happen but also price close the week BACK INSIDE the three major levels of Resistance I have been harping on for the last two weeks. Bar closing are the great decider. It is always best to wait for them to occur before assessing. This has served me well.
The meme I noted on social media last week was "you are not bullish enough." I think that Bitcoin investors got bullish for good reason but now the rejection has happened. If it was going to go... it should have gone.
Trade wisely.
11/11/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $81,532.47
Last weeks low: $66,852.48
Midpoint: $74,192.48
BITCOIN ATH! After a Republican victory in the US election. A massive moment in history and the markets have reflected the enormity of the moment. Since the announcement of a new president BTC burst through the $74,000 ATH price has continued to climb all the way to a weekly high of $81,500 a +10% move and +22% move for the week, very strong PA!
Investors have clearly taken well to the news as BTC has a net inflow of $1.63B last week from the various ETFs, a staggering sum! Clearly an indication of investor confidence, and to prove that point even more GOLD has taken a tumble at the same time BTC is making new highs, a shift to a more risk-on environment that is further fuelled by the 25bps cut during last weeks FOMC.
This week we have some important data news coming with CPI on Tuesday and PPI on Thursday. Traditionally these events can be volatile however I believe this time they will have less of an effect on the market just due to what's happening in the broader macro environment, the rate cut plus a more pro-growth presidency is enough for a more bullish/risk-on bias.
This week the main focus is on altcoin analysis of first movers, strong performers and what's lagging. Having a plan for when BTC hits its first FIB EXTENSION @ $83,500 depending on how price reacts to that level, it would be reasonable to expect a pullback in which I would say $77,500 is the level I would like to hold.
Good luck everyone!
MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC | BTC COLOURED CANDLES [DAILY]As promised, post showing the 'MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC' indicator on the daily time frame for you to explore.
This post shows BTC's behavior to historic over / under extension to price and historic levels of volatile in prior cycles on the Daily chart.
Feel free to interact with the chart on a computer via this post (phone apps only show the static image with trading view posts).
MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC | BTC COLOURED CANDLES [Weekly]Hi All. Since my prior post on this indicator, I have been asked to show this indicator with risk level colours against price. I initially built this functionality in originally (during the development of this indicator) a number of different ways but ended up simplifying to using pine scrip 'bar color' function.
This post shows BTC's behavior to historic over / under extension and volatile ranges in prior cycles on the Weekly chart. I will follow this post showing the daily chart.
Feel free to interact with the chart on a computer via this post (phone apps only show the static image with trading view posts).
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/13/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21183.75
- PR Low: 21142.50
- NZ Spread: 92.25
Key scheduled economic event
08:30 | CPI (Core|YoY|MoM)
Virtually unchanged from previous session
- AMP margins increase for expected CPI volatility
Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM 11/13)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 289.56
- Volume: 25K
- Open Int: 275K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -1.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
High precision version - BTC log trend DEC/JAN PEAKThis is an updated version of my first logarithmic price trend.
This trend is in line with Bitcoin since it first started to trade.
With highly precise curves that better match the cycles, I now expect to see a
peak in BTC price of $90,400 set to hit somewhere between 14th of November and New Year.
I think the trend will be followed even on the downturn,
forming the 'Mother-of-all Head and shoulders patterns'.
Spring '21 Resistance Halts DOGE, Retracement Coming??Here I have COINBASE:DOGEUSD on the Weekly Chart!
Last week COINBASE:DOGEUSD jumped .15 cents or roughly 102% following the final voting count electing Donald Trump the next President of the USA. Along his campaign, we saw a very heavy Pro-Crypto agenda along with the on-boarding of Elon Musk, known for his interest in COINBASE:DOGEUSD possibly being given a position running a "Department Of Government Efficiency".
Price on COINBASE:DOGEUSD after breaking the Aug - Oct '21 Highs has halted right at the Apr - May '21 Resistance. Now with all the speculations coming out about the imminent RISE of price, where is a good place to start investing before the boom?!?!
Based off the High @ .4398 to the Low @ .0805, just before the Break of Structure, We are given some Fibonacci Levels that align with Potential Buying Opportunities if Price needs Support to continue Higher to the All Time High @ .7605.
*Aug / Oct '21 Highs
.3550 - .3025
23.6% - 38.2%
*Mar / Apr '24 Highs
.2290 - .2067
*Golden Zone
.2178
61.8%