US INAUGURATION & BTCAs the second Trump era begins, this is how Bitcoin looks:
- BTC new ATH in the run up to inauguration and highest ever weekly close. I believe this was in anticipation for Trumps acceptance speech to mention Bitcoin and or the strategic reserve. That did not happen and so we've seen a selloff wick down to Midpoint with price settling at 0.75 in the range.
Typically, wicks get filled and so I would like to see price steadily reach the midpoint and then begin to show some strength before looking to go LONG. That all changes if we see a crypto specific executive order signed in the coming hours/days we should then see a move back to the highs.
- 4H 200 EMA is always an important level for the Bullrun, the vast majority of altcoins are under the 4H 200 EMA thanks to liquidity being drawn out into BTC and Solana memecoin craze.
- Bitcoin is still leading the greater market but I do expect rotation into strong US based altcoins within the next few weeks going into the later part of Q1. Some key alts that fit that category are SOL, SUI, LINK, ONDO, XRP, ENS, and many more.
It's important to remember this is a marathon not a sprint and I fully expect progress to be made but it may not be linear, until we have broken out of the range in the chart and move into a clear trend environment BTC should be treated as such by trading instead of buying and holding.
ATH
20/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,467.97
Last weeks low: $89,292.15
Midpoint: $97,880.06
The Trump era begins...
January 20th 2025 is the date in which America sees its new Republican administration take office. An administration that has promised to embrace crypto instead of demonise it, one that wants the future of crypto to be built in the US, so far Trumps picks for SEC chairman and other important related roles have reflected that pro-crypto belief.
However, launching a $TRUMP memecoin and the subsequent $MELANIA memecoins just moments before inauguration in my opinion is a very bad start. Not only did the launch of TRUMP draw out liquidity from the altcoin market, it also damages the broader market just from an optics point of view. The general publics perception of crypto is it's full of scams, pump and dumps etc so to try and change the general publics mind the answer is to... Launch a memecoin...
Now I'm fully aware Donald Trump himself probably has very little to do with this, just like most celebrity memecoins but I just don't see how this is a positive start for the administration in proving their pro-crypto stance.
Bitcoin did have its highest weekly close of all time @ $106,500, which was $2000 higher than the previous ATH. +20% move from weekly low to high in anticipation for the potential Bitcoin strategic reserve announcement. Avoiding a SFP similar to that of week commencing January 6th will be a priority for BTC, we are in a rangebound environment so a SFP can have the potential to drop back down and undo a lot of the previous weeks progress. Until BTC breaks the rangebound environment and begins a trending move I will treat it as such.
For this week I'm keeping a close eye on the Liberty Financial portfolio (ETH,AAVE,LINK,ONDO,ENS) & US based majors (SOL,SUI,AVAX, ADA, STX,INJ) etc. The play is definitely coins that will be directly influenced by this new US administration, at least for now I cannot see any liquidity go towards any other coins for the time being.
BTC new ATH incomingGreat Morning!! Bitcoin pushing for another ATH breaking out of a bull flag with a fib target of $110,000. Today is the last day of the current administration, with Trump coming in on Monday and today being Gensler's last day in office. #LFG Check out #XRP which usually runs last but this cycle is leading the way.
ATH is Ready to Break Out? TSX:ATH is showing a solid accumulation zone between $0.061 and $0.068, with strong support around the 0.618 Fibonacci level ($0.061).
If ATH can maintain this range and successfully break the upper trend resistance, a bullish move could be on the horizon! 🚀
Stay patient and manage your risks!
DYOR & NFA
#Crypto #Altseason2025
BTC | FRACTAL | Fractal that leads to new ETH ATHBitcoin has been trading stable around 95K, a good indication that the bull run still has some more cards to play for altcoins.
Ethereum, Doge and SOL for example have not yet made new all time high's, indicating that the bullish cycle is far from over.
There's a saying that leads something like "it's not over until someone sings" - well, in this case, the bullish cycle is not over until Ethereum makes a new ATH.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC | FRACTAL | Multi Month to Higher High?BTC has been full of surprises - but I'm not complaining.
Initially, I was following a strict Elliot Wave Theory pattern, which played out extremely well - until the price shot out above the target.
I then re-adjusted the target to just under or just over 100k, which hit shortly after. The most interesting part though, is actually Ethereum. The fact that ETH has not yet made a new ATH after the dramatic BTC high, likely tells us the bull cycle is far form over.
I've been making a few updates on ETH and Altseason, and how you use the BTC.D chart, the BTC chart and the TOTAL# together to get a clear indication of where we are at in the cycle.
I've done MANY updates using this chart, because it is such a powerful combo to use. The fact remains - we have not yet seen a new ETH ath. This raises flags (and in the best possible way) indicating that the bullish cycle is not yet over.
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BYBIT:BTCUSDT COINBASE:ETHUSD
I know what's NEXT for Bitcoin!I recently shared two thoughts on Bitcoin price action to come..
In one of them I call for a retrace to 85K or lower, in the other I call for a new ATH. I know this might be a bit confusing so let's shed some more light on it.
Here you see BTC on the 1W Timeframe. I am using the Dynamic Fib Retracement indicator to do some trend analysis based on Fibonacci.
The blue colored zone/band is the golden pocket as calculated by the indicator from pivot highs/lows within a certain lookback range. The lines are the 0.236 (Preliminary), 0.382 (Secondary) and 0.5 (Median) Fibonacci retracement lines calculated in the same way. The purple line is the 1.618 retracement line (aka the ''Target Line'').
Now you understand this I can explain my thought process:
Scenario A (Bullish)
If price can manage to get back above the blue preliminary fib line and hold that range (around $98,550), I am convinced we see a new ATH for Bitcoin. The purple target line suggests the target for that would be around $117,000+ USD per BTC.
Scenario B (Bearish)
If price cannot get back above the blue preliminary fib line and finds resistance in that range around $98,550, I am convinced we see a bigger retracement for Bitcoin. The blue zone/band suggests the target for that would be around 80-83K USD per BTC as of right now, but this golden pocket band will slightly adjust higher so lets say $85,000 per Bitcoin.
Do you agree or do you have other ideas? Let me know!
ETH | FRACTAL ATH $6000 | Bitcoin Overlay I'm still anticipating the new Ethereum All Time High .
I just don't believe that BTC will make such a climb and ETH stays behind - it hasn't happened before, I don't believe it will happen this time.
What has happened before, is an interesting topic - ETH usually makes its ATH AFTER the BTC rally, about when the cycle comes to an end. We see this playout during the past two peaks. Ethereum stays fairly low beneath it's own previous ATH , and shoots out above BTC just when the cycle ends.
Using a fractal form the previous cycle, this puts an interesting target on ETH.
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COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
BTC On Its Way To New ATH?!Nice recovery for Bitcoin!
It looks really good for an attempt to break the ATH I must say..
This is the 3D Chart.
We crossed back above and are bouncing off the light blue preliminary fib line on the DFR , this could be a leg up towards $120,000 but lets stay conservative and say $104,000 is our first target if we manage to break through $101,500.
The level to hold for bulls is $96,300. Everything in between is irrelevant and would suggest BTC going higher.
What are your thoughts? Is a new ATH near for Bitcoin?
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin return to above $100,000?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk off sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. One can look for Bitcoin sell positions in the supply zone.
Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will allow us to buy it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
In 2025, key narratives in the cryptocurrency market are expected to include asset tokenization, artificial intelligence, and Bitcoin as a reserve asset. Experts also predict that meme coins might become a major trend, while maintaining caution regarding Solana and Ripple ETFs.
In 2024, the crypto market experienced increased adoption and institutional investment. Experts anticipate significant trends in 2025 as the market matures and Bitcoin’s upward trajectory continues.
ETF providers are exploring more innovative and potentially riskier ways to attract investors to cryptocurrencies. New applications submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) include ETFs converting S&P500 returns into Bitcoin and funds investing in convertible bonds to purchase Bitcoin.
Additionally, Volatility Shares aims to launch inverse and leveraged Solana funds.If approved, more than ten new cryptocurrency-related funds could become available to investors in 2025.
Reports indicate that the Bitcoin network settled over $19 trillion in transactions in 2024, more than double the $8.7 trillion settled in 2023.
At the height of the 2021 bull market, Bitcoin’s transaction volume reached approximately $47 trillion. However, this volume significantly declined in 2022 and 2023. Nevertheless, in 2024, Bitcoin’s network reestablished itself as a store of value and medium of exchange with over $19 trillion settled.
Robert Kiyosaki, author of the best-selling book Rich Dad, Poor Dad, has predicted Bitcoin’s price to range between $175,000 and $350,000 in 2025. A strong advocate of Bitcoin, Kiyosaki believes the cryptocurrency can serve as a hedge against global economic volatility.
According to data from SaylorTracker, MicroStrategy currently holds 446,400 Bitcoin worth approximately $43.7 billion. Michael Saylor, co-founder of MicroStrategy, shared a Bitcoin chart from SaylorTracker on January 5, hinting at potential Monday purchases. He tweeted, “Something on SaylorTracker.com doesn’t seem right.”
The previous week, on December 29, Saylor shared a similar chart, and on December 30, MicroStrategy purchased 2,138 Bitcoin at an average price of $97,837 per unit. These purchases are part of the company’s 21/21 program, which aims to acquire $42 billion worth of Bitcoin through $21 billion in stock issuance and $21 billion in fixed-income securities.
MicroStrategy’s inclusion in the Nasdaq Index on December 23, 2024, provided traditional stock investors indirect exposure to Bitcoin through ETFs. Following its inclusion, the company held a special shareholder meeting to secure approval for increasing funds to buy more Bitcoin.
According to a December 23 filing with the SEC, MicroStrategy has requested shareholder approval to increase its Class A common stock from 330 million to 10.3 billion shares.
an analysis on BTCBINANCE:BTCUSDT
✅ Currently, with the break of the $97,500 resistance, it can grow to the top of its trading range, which is the $99,500 range 👌
✅ Bitcoin's exit from the top of the short-term trading range will start a new upward wave and record a new high for Bitcoin 👍
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
XRP movement and rhythm originally figured for a smaller abcde triangle with upside resolution, however, zooming out makes it appear as tho maybe we have more time to eat up before the next leg up.
this is just a chart to track progress.
hypothesis: one more leg down, but a higher low, followed by new move up for new ATH sometime around january 29th 2025
two highlighted paths in white and red represent the bullish scenario
separate post may be warranted for bearish case
BNB SWING LONGSwing Long BNB Opened:
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The 2021 all-time high is the most critical level for me to watch. Historically, this level has acted as a strong support and resistance zone. Additionally, the price recently tapped the first 4H order block, showing a solid reaction from a 4H perspective.
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My trade strategy is grounded in sentiment (ATR) and general average price. Currently, all indicators have flipped green, even though the price hasn’t yet broken the previous internal swing high (1D perspective).
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Key Levels:
2021 All-Time High, as strong support especially with the current 4H reaction from it
Current ATH, This level will be my 75% TP, since its bove 3R (which is my minimum required R per trade, also This level holds liquidity and offers potential for price discovery above, where i will take the 25% (1.2 dev)
Last Internal daily Swing High, Breaking this level could create upward momentum tp reach the minimum target of the ATH.
The daily ATR sentiment confirms a bullish bias with a green signal,. (Main criteria for system)
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Trade Details:
Stop-Loss: Below the lowest wick from the 4H OB test. This area also aligns with the 4H 24/42 EMA, meeting my SL criteria.
Targets, 75% of the position will be exited at the current ATH. The remaining 25% will aim for the 20% deviation zone above the all time high, ($829.23 on Phemex linear charts).
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This trade offers a potential R of 4.2, with a maximum of 5.1R in total on average.
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Comparative Analysis:
Looking at the weekly BNB chart versus the daily BTC chart, I noticed similarities in structural behavior. While the timeframes differ, the fractal nature of the market validates this comparison.
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Both charts show clear break-of-structure patterns with higher-low formations. On the BTC weekly chart, three BOS moves have occurred since the last low, mirroring 2 break of structures on the BNB chart. BNB is approaching its ATH without significant rejections, which I interpret as a sign of strength.
HyperLiquid Introduces Native Staking as $HYPE Eyes a 58% SurgeHyperLiquid, a prominent Layer-1 blockchain renowned for its decentralized derivatives exchange, has recently introduced native staking for its GETTEX:HYPE token. This move, coupled with promising technical patterns, has set the stage for a potential 58% surge in the token’s value.
The Staking Overview
HyperLiquid announced the launch of its native staking on Monday via a post on X (formerly Twitter). Token holders can now stake their GETTEX:HYPE tokens across 16 validators, contributing to network security and earning rewards in return. A notable aspect of this staking mechanism is the ability to stake locked tokens bound by a vesting schedule, though accrued rewards remain inaccessible until the lock-up period ends.
At launch, HyperLiquid staked 300 million tokens, valued at approximately $8.4 billion. Within the first hour, users added another 7 million tokens, reflecting strong community participation. This development comes just a month after the GETTEX:HYPE token’s issuance, which debuted at $3.57 and has since soared to $27.89, according to CoinMarketCap data.
This remarkable growth has propelled GETTEX:HYPE into the top 20 largest tokens by market cap, surpassing well-known assets like Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Litecoin (LTC), and Pepe (PEPE). With a market capitalization of $9.2 billion and a 24-hour trading volume of $2.64 billion, HyperLiquid’s exchange is generating over $1 million in daily revenue, as reported by DefiLlama.
Technical Outlook
Despite its fundamental strength, GETTEX:HYPE is currently down 2.66%, trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart. This technical formation often signals a potential breakout, though the direction remains uncertain until the price breaches either trendline.
The relative strength index (RSI) stands at 42, indicating a neutral market sentiment. The upper triangle trendline aligns with the $30 resistance level, making it a critical threshold for bullish momentum. A breakout above $30 could trigger a 50% surge, targeting prices as high as $45. Conversely, a breakdown below the lower triangle trendline could lead to a significant sell-off, with prices potentially dropping by 14%
Market Implications
The introduction of native staking and the token’s rapid rise in market cap underscore HyperLiquid’s growing influence in the blockchain space. The ability to stake locked tokens enhances flexibility for investors, while the platform’s robust trading volume and revenue generation reflect its strong utility.
For traders, the symmetrical triangle pattern presents a strategic opportunity. Monitoring the $30 resistance level and the lower triangle trendline is crucial for anticipating the token’s next move. A decisive breakout could attract further interest, while a breakdown may signal caution.
Conclusion
HyperLiquid’s latest staking initiative and GETTEX:HYPE ’s impressive market performance highlight the project’s potential as a leading player in the blockchain industry. While the token’s price currently hovers in a consolidation phase, both fundamental and technical indicators suggest that a major move is imminent. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on key levels to capitalize on the next phase of GETTEX:HYPE ’s journey.
Ethena Price Shows Bullish Momentum After Breaking ResistanceThe cryptocurrency market has its eyes on Ethena (ENA) as the token broke out above the critical $1 resistance level, signaling a bullish trend. We are predicting gains of up to 35%.
Breakout Above $1 Signals Bullish Sentiment
Ethena’s price has established a bullish trajectory after breaking through the crucial $1 resistance level. This breakout marks the end of a prolonged downtrend, during which the price bottomed out and began forming higher lows. Strong buying pressure accompanied the move, evident from large green candlesticks on the chart.
The $1 level, previously a significant resistance, has now transitioned into a robust support zone. We observe that the $0.97-$1.00 range is crucial for maintaining upward momentum. Holding above this level will be essential for MIL:ENA to sustain its bullish outlook.
Technical Outlook
As of this writing, MIL:ENA is up 5.68%, trading within a bullish horizon. The altcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 54, indicating there is ample room for further upward movement. MIL:ENA has broken out of a presumed falling trend channel, reinforcing its bullish momentum.
The 1-month high of $1.32 serves as the next significant resistance point. If MIL:ENA can breach this level, it could pave the way for even greater gains. However, caution is warranted due to the broader market’s volatility, particularly Bitcoin’s recent price swings. Should CRYPTOCAP:BTC dip to $90,000 or the psychological $85,000 level, it could exert downward pressure on MIL:ENA , potentially causing a retreat to its 1-month low of $0.76.
Conclusion
Ethena’s breakout above $1 marks a pivotal moment for the token, signaling the potential for significant gains. With strong technical indicators and bullish market sentiment, MIL:ENA appears poised for a rally. However, traders should remain vigilant, considering the broader market’s influence on altcoin performance. As MIL:ENA continues to hold above $1, the coming days could bring substantial price action and opportunities for investors.
Just In: BGB Set for Breakout as Bitget Conclude 800M Token BurnThe cryptocurrency market has been abuzz with excitement following Bitget’s monumental token burn. The event has set the stage for a potential breakout in the price of Bitget’s native token, $BGB. With both technical and fundamental factors aligning, market participants are optimistic about what’s next for the asset.
Tokenomics Boosted by Massive Burn
Bitget’s decision to burn 800 million BGB tokens, equivalent to 40% of its total supply, marks a significant step in strengthening the token’s value proposition. The burn, worth approximately $5.2 billion, was executed through five multi-sig wallet addresses, as confirmed by on-chain tracker @ai_9684xtpa. Key wallets involved in the burn include addresses such as (0x2dd), (0xe36), and (0x255), as reported by Arkham.
This move aligns with Bitget’s updated tokenomics strategy outlined in its latest white paper. By reducing the token’s supply, Bitget is adhering to the fundamental economic principle of supply and demand. With fewer tokens in circulation, the potential for price appreciation increases, especially as demand grows within the platform’s ecosystem.
Adding to the bullish sentiment, Bitget has unified its ecosystem by merging the BWB and BGB tokens. This strategic consolidation is expected to enhance utility and simplify the user experience, further bolstering market confidence.
Technical Analysis
As of the time of writing, NYSE:BGB is trading at $6.23, down 0.86% intraday. Despite this minor decline, the token has shown impressive weekly gains of 56%, reflecting strong bullish momentum.
The current price action places NYSE:BGB within the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, which serves as a minor support zone. However, the major support lies at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This psychological level is crucial, as it has historically acted as a “buy zone,” shaking out weak hands and attracting liquidity. A bounce from this level could trigger significant upward movement.
On the resistance side, the immediate target is the recent high of $7.19. A breakout above this level could pave the way for a retest of higher levels, fueled by renewed market optimism and robust tokenomics.
Market Sentiment and Broader Implications
The broader market’s recent volatility has impacted NYSE:BGB ’s price, yet the token’s fundamentals remain strong. The successful token burn and the unified ecosystem have injected fresh optimism into the community. These developments, combined with NYSE:BGB ’s technical setup, position the token for potential phenomenal gains in the near future.
Looking ahead, market watchers are closely monitoring NYSE:BGB ’s price action as it navigates critical support and resistance levels. With reduced supply and an improved ecosystem, NYSE:BGB is well-poised to capitalize on the next bullish wave in the crypto market.
Conclusion
Bitget’s 800M token burn is a landmark event that underscores the exchange’s commitment to enhancing NYSE:BGB ’s value. While the token’s price currently consolidates, both technical and fundamental indicators point toward a potential breakout. As the market digests these developments, NYSE:BGB remains a token to watch for investors seeking exposure to innovative and fundamentally sound crypto assets.
#ATH/USDT a Solid Investment Opportunity!10X POTENTIAL!TSX:ATH : A Cheaper and Better Alternative to CRYPTOCAP:RENDER
TSX:ATH is emerging as a strong competitor to CRYPTOCAP:RENDER , offering decentralized GPU rendering services for digital creators at a more cost-effective price point. While RENDER leads in market cap and adoption, ATH is catching up with its blockchain-based approach and value-driven proposition.
ATH Market Cap: $374.75 million
RENDER Market Cap: $3.46 billion
If ATH reached RENDER's market cap, it could potentially deliver a 10x return from its current levels. This potential is why ATH remains one of my largest holdings.
If you feel that FOMO, focus on accumulating fundamentally strong coins like ATH, which feature robust use cases and display bottom-reversal chart patterns.
##Why TSX:ATH is a Strategic Accumulation Opportunity
Due to the ongoing bearish market conditions, nearly all altcoins, including ATH, are under pressure. However, this creates a golden opportunity to accumulate quality projects.
I hold a low-leverage futures position with an average entry of around $0.75, and I plan to add more if the price dips further. My target is $4-$5, especially if the much-anticipated altseason materializes.
For spot entries, the $0.054-$0.066 range is an excellent zone to accumulate. With strong fundamentals and promising potential, ATH remains a key project to watch.
Note: Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to hit the **like button** and share your thoughts in the comments below!
Thank you and #PEACE ✌️
BTC USD bullish pennant inside a rising broadening wedgeBullish pennant forming for continuation inside a big rising broadening wedge
If successful this pennant could take bitcoin to 102k as first stop before a second consolidation.
Right now trading the pennant, not the broadening pattern, which is still forming but could reach a target around 111k
GALA: Channel Breakout to Golden Zone - 40% Upside TargetHere's a professional TradingView analysis for GALA/USDT:
Technical Analysis:
Key Levels:
🎯 Entry: 0.035 USDT
🎯 Target (TP): 0.050 USDT (+40%)
📊 Current Price: 0.035 USDT
📈 Volume: 90.38M
Pattern Structure:
• Trading within descending channel
• Double resistance confluence at target zone
• Channel breakout setup forming
Trade Setup:
1. Entry Setup:
- Entry at 0.0356
- Clear channel breakout formation
- Volume accumulation phase
2. Target Analysis:
- Primary target: 0.05
- Confluence with major resistance
- Potential 40% return from entry
3. Key Technical Factors:
- Descending channel boundaries clearly defined
- Wave pattern projecting upward movement
- Multiple timeframe confluence (4H chart)
Risk Management:
• Set stops below recent lows
• Risk:Reward ratio approximately 1:4
• Consider scaling in at entry zone
Timeframe:
• Chart: 4H BINANCE
• Target Timeline: Early January 2025
Note: This is technical analysis only. Always manage risk appropriately and DYOR.
#GALA #USDT #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading
BTC $95,105 is as low as it gets!BTC Analysis (3D) 12/18/2024
It's likely one of these two scenarios for BTC plays out.
Depending on the FOMC it could get invalidated but this is what I'm seeing on the charts at the moment.
• Slow grind to 120-130k
or
• Retrace slightly to about 95K where we almost certainly will get SOME bounce, as that is where the preliminary fib line lies on the DFR as well as an anchored VWAP and it matches with the anchored Volume Profile (Im positive one of the MAs is also in this range).
If this level holds, we will most likely create a new ATH at $120,000+
Thoughts?
BTC DECEMBER FOMC Going into FOMC the consensus is we'll see a 25bps cut from the FED (95% chance), this would take interest rates from 4.75% to 4.5%. Because the expectation of a cut is so certain, we can assume that the markets have priced this in so baring any craziness in the form of a different result we should see market sentiment remain the same, bullish.
A FED pause,(although unlikely according to data) would be very bearish in the the short term in terms of volatility. I would expect to see price revisit the $98-99K mark where the 4H 200EMA would roughly be. In a bullmarket the 4H 200EMA can be used as a great support level often bouncing off of it.
For a 25bps cut which is the expected outcome, we have two paths IMO. The bullish path is consolidation under the ATH then a break above, retest and off we go towards $110,000. The bearish path is a loss of this key S/R level after a consolidation above support and break under with a confirmed retest of new resistance. I know it's typical "could go up, could go down", however it's the context that matters here.
Alts have taken a back seat for the last week or so, BTC.D at a key level and a rejection off this level would mean alts can play catch-up while as BTC consolidates. We very rarely see BTC drop and altcoins pump so this is the most likely outcome to me baring no upsets in FOMC.