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ATH

Kaspa (KAS): In great spirits!Kaspa is in great spirits, with a run of over +40% in 5 days, and is now just a step away from its closing ATH! Does it need a breather, or will it break all the way up? Being rejected by the ATH should bring the price back towards $0.123 in the first instance, on the support indicated by our Pivot Identifier . But if we get a daily close above $0.145, then Kaspa could mark a new ATH. To find a target, we've plotted Fibonacci extensions of the last big move. Why not go for 1.618 in the medium term, towards $0.21! In the short term, a small retracement seems probable, as many indicators are currently overheating, as shown in our Ultimatyx Screener table.
Long
by Blockunity
29/01/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $42827.56 Last weeks low: $40677.38 Midpoint: $38527.20 As the first month of 2024 nears its end BITCOIN finds itself back above 40K after spending half of lasts week below the big even level. There are 3 main FVG's I have my eye on: - At the previous weeks MIDPOINT level 40.5K (1H) - The drop from 49K has left a large FVG at 45.5K (4H) - The daily FVG at 33K (1D) Price tends to get pulled and pushed towards these areas of imbalance. HTF imbalances have the largest force of attraction so in this case the 33K daily FVG is the main target in my opinion, and there are many possible routes to this destination. As it stands BTC is above both 40.5K & 33K FVG's and ideally we would need to retest these areas before progressing towards ATH' s post halving which would also mean clearing the 45.5K FVG on the way back up. For me this is how I think it will play out however if BTC pushes towards 45.5K first I will also be prepared for this move. For this week I'm concentrating on how BTC regains its strength and if price were to reach the 45.5K FVG , I would think about taking any profits from the recent move should BTC look weak, as I have said that 33K area is calling out to be revisited in my opinion.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ProR35
Halving Forecast Just a quick idea on the state of BTC going into the halving. The countdown to the next big BITCOIN event has started, THE HALVING Historically this is the event that kicks off the BULLRUN every 4 years. Mining rewards go from 6.25BTC to 3.125BTC and this gives miners a dilemma, do they hold on to their BTC they earn and only sell to cover costs, this diminishes the supply going into the market which raises prices assuming demand remains the same. Or if they do carry on selling their BTC it would be half the amount it was previously and still contributes less to the sells side pressure, raising prices. ETF issuers need these coins to offer to customers + retail investors returning to the market once FOMO enters the playing field. DEMAND UP SUPPLY DOWN As for now I could see a mirror of the ETF rally being a logical path towards the halving. Filling the FVG at 33k would be a great long term entry point for any investor/trader should it hold as support. Once price has wicked down into that area and there's a reaction off that level then the bulls should look to push price for that 3 weeks or so going into the halving and beyond towards ATH as there's not much stopping it and history suggests this is the way BTC behaves after this event every 4 years.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ProR35
1
Dogecoin's Explosive Growth: New Addresses Surge 1100%Dogecoin ( CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ), the beloved meme coin, is making headlines once again as it experiences an unprecedented surge in growth, leaving enthusiasts optimistic about the possibility of a substantial rally. Renowned crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently shared a chart revealing a staggering 1,100% increase in new Dogecoin addresses over the past week. This surge has sparked speculation within the crypto community, with many anticipating a potential CRYPTOCAP:DOGE price rally to the much-awaited $0.1 mark. We'll delve into the factors behind Dogecoin's recent growth, explore the impact on its price, and examine the broader context of its rising popularity. Dogecoin's Address Growth Breaks Records: Ali Martinez's analysis highlights a remarkable surge in new Dogecoin addresses, reaching an all-time high on January 29 with 247,240 new addresses created in just one week. This astonishing 1,100% increase in network expansion has captivated the Dogecoin community and triggered speculation about its potential influence on CRYPTOCAP:DOGE prices. The sustained uptrend in new addresses, if maintained, could pave the way for positive price movements, according to Martinez. CRYPTOCAP:DOGE Price Amid Rising Popularity: Market analysts and enthusiasts are closely monitoring Dogecoin's trajectory, with many eyeing the significant milestone of $0.1. Ali Martinez's positive outlook has added fuel to this speculation, generating curiosity and interest among investors. The dynamic nature of the crypto market is evident as discussions abound regarding the potential catalysts behind Dogecoin's recent surge. Institutional Acceptance and Influential Figures: Dogecoin's popularity surge is not without external influencers. Tesla CEO Elon Musk, a vocal supporter of Dogecoin, recently announced a new "Payments" account through his company X, prompting discussions about its potential impact on CRYPTOCAP:DOGE 's performance. Additionally, Dallas Mavericks owner Mark Cuban confirmed ongoing support for Dogecoin as a payment method for the NBA team. This reaffirms the growing acceptance of cryptocurrencies in mainstream sports partnerships, signaling broader adoption beyond the crypto community. Inherent Volatility and Investor Alertness: As of the latest data, Dogecoin's price has experienced a 3.13% increase over the last 24 hours, trading at $0.08114, with a trading volume surge of 140.03% to $566.98 million. The crypto market's inherent volatility is keeping investors on high alert, ready to capitalize on potential gains amid the Dogecoin frenzy. The price fluctuations, coupled with the increased adoption by influential figures and institutions, contribute to an environment of excitement and anticipation within the crypto community. Conclusion: Dogecoin's( CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ) recent surge in new addresses, coupled with influential endorsements and institutional acceptance, has fueled optimism among enthusiasts. The prospect of reaching the coveted $0.1 milestone has become a focal point of discussions within the crypto community. As Dogecoin's popularity continues to soar, investors remain vigilant, navigating the volatile market landscape in anticipation of potential gains amidst the Dogecoin frenzy. The coming days will undoubtedly be crucial as the community eagerly awaits whether this momentum will indeed translate into the anticipated $0.1 price tag for Dogecoin.
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin Pre-Halving TheoryI have detailed this post about bitcoins' pre-halving theory in the fractal I have drawn; you can view my previous post about bitcoin predicting the 15k bitcoin when its range was in the 30k and predicting the capitulation and recovery. If you like my posts and think they are accurate, this one could be too. Of course, I could be wrong, and this isn't Financial advice, DYOR. I'm expecting a fantastic buying opportunity next month at around 34k. loading a lot of alts for this front run Good luck, ask me for TA below if you care about a specific coin, ill answer within a week
Short
by KhanasCrypto
3
Detailed BTC analysis Hello everyone, I invite you to an overview of the long-term situation for BTC. We will check what the pre-halving situation looks like and what we can expect in the coming time. At the beginning, we will turn on the indicator determining the dates of halvings and the color marking of the path along which the price is moving. We will focus on the current cycle and the previous one, starting by marking the ATH for the price that was achieved in 2017, and then we will mark the ATH achieved in 2021 in the same way. It is worth emphasizing here that 525 days passed from the halving in 2016 to the price peak in 2017, while 546 days passed from the halving in 2020 to the price peak in 2021, which gives a very similar time frame. Taking this into account, we will check how many days it took the price to reach the bottom after ATH in 2017, and here we can see that this period of declines lasted 364 days, which is very interesting that the period of declines from ATH in 2021 to reach the price bottom also lasted similarly - 376 days. Such behavior confirms high repeatability in subsequent cycles. Next, we will go back to the previous cycle and check how many days before Halving in 2020, the pre-halving correction began. And as you can see, the price started correcting 91 days before the halving. So let's go back to the current cycle and here we can also see that we are about 98 days before the halving starts. Looking at the repetitions that occur in cycles, we can expect a price recovery this time. It is worth keeping in mind that corrections in the cycle are usually around 20 to 40%, while the one in the previous cycle resulted in a much greater decline caused by the panic that occurred due to the most famous disease, COVID. Returning to the previous cycle, we will spread the Fib Retracement saitke from ATH to the bottom, thanks to which we will be able to see that the price has its peak before the halving at the level of approximately 0.618FIB. However, returning to the current cycle, we can see that the price is also approaching the previously mentioned level of 0.618FIB, which may also result in a price recovery. Additionally, we can see that the price path is currently changing to a very orange color, which also coincided with a rebound in the previous cycle. In a situation where a correction of around 30% would begin, it would result in a price drop to around $30,000. However, in order to take a closer look at the current situation, it is worth taking a closer look at the current cycle in which we start by determining the current upward trend line along which the price is climbing upwards using the yellow line. Going further, let's take into account the entire movement from ATH to the low and unfold the fib retracement grid, which will again indicate the 0.618FIB point as a strong resistance, which in this situation is at around $48,900. Which indicates that we may still see an upward move, although the previous rally that occurred after the new year was quickly extinguished by the announcement of the postponement of the decision on the issuance of the Spot ETF for BTC. Only after a positive break above this resistance, the price will be able to move towards a very strong resistance zone from $57,707 to $69,581, where the previous price peak is located. Next, we will check the support levels again by spreading the fib retracement grid, this time from the bottom to the current high. And here the first important support point is visible at the level of $34,667, while the next very strong support level is $27,205. However, here it is worth spreading the grid again, taking into account the recent upward movement, thanks to which we can determine a very strong support zone between the previously determined levels, from $33,151 to $29,597. This zone could result in a correction of approximately 30%. Please now look at the RSI indicator because you can see a movement near the upper limit of the range, which may result in the price reaching the previously mentioned resistance, but it is worth taking into account a possible recovery. Further, the STOCH indicator also shows that we have been moving above the upper limit of the range for a long time, which may also translate into a correction and healthy cooling of the market and indicators. In such a scenario, we can assume the appearance of future price movements, taking into account the postponement of the decision on the ETF for BTC. The situation could change dramatically when the SEC issues its final decision on the ETF, as a positive decision could result in huge gains, but a rejection could also bring the price to very low levels.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
BTC in 2024 and 2025. New ATHLet's play to see the future. It's just a game, but it rhymes with previous #BTC cycles. From the beginning of 2024 until the moment of the halving, as in previous cycles, I think we could suffer a #BTC correction of between 20% and 30% at most. Then a not very aggressive journey will begin where we will move away from the average of 200 weekly periods until we surpass the new ATH of #BTC. At that moment, #BTC may lateralize for a few days or even make a correction of 15% or 20% and head quickly to a new ATH and maximum of this cycle. I think the new ATH could leave it around $150,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Markitos32
AMD, Worst Case Scenario and it still suggests making a new ATH!It seems madness to talk about making a new ATH these days with such a panic in the market due to FED's decision to raise the rates .Please follow the analysis to see if this is really a madness or just being realistic without caring to much about emotions , feelings and NEWS !. What I am proposing here on the chart as wave count is what I can see as worst case scenario however, I welcome and embrace any more pessimistic wave count which anyone can suggest. So, If you have such a wave count please let me know and let us share our ideas. I divided the chart into two sections with a vertical line to keep the chart clean and being focused on details of latest moves. I called the left side of the chart as territory of cycle degree wave 1 and 2 which means we are currently in cycle degree wave 3 started on 27th July 2015 at 1.61 USD. Why I call this wave count as WORST CASE SCENARIO? Since, I considered a completed cycle with start point at 9.04 USD on 4th Apr 2018 and end point at ATH with extended wave 5s in all subdivisions ! As we know extended wave 5 is usual in commodity not stock market . What is common in stock market is extended wave 3 . I remarked extended wave 5s in different wave degrees on the chart. It is really a pessimistic wave count. Yet it is valid . Considering this wave count as a true one , We are in primary degree correcting wave 4 (circled) and still there is one leg up to new ATH around 180 USD to make cycle degree wave 3 complete. Possible buy zone for this scenario is shown on the chart by green box. If this scenario happens , We will have a big correction at new ATH, Then another massive bull run and after that a big crash ! but, It is to soon to talk about. In upper left corner of the right side of the chart , I showed a schematic drawing of an extended wave 5 with it's typical retracement. Typically, retracement of an extended wave 5 ends is top of wave 3 or wave 1 of 5. This guideline makes our suggested buy zone even stronger. WORST CASE SCENARIO implies that we may have more optimistic scenario . Is there any? Of course there is . Since bodies of candles of current down going wave more than likely will enter to the territory of what labeled as wave 3 of (5) of circled 3 in daily time frame, we can consider wave cycle started at 72.5 USD on 13th May 2021 to be completed at ATH on 30th Nov 2021 with extended wave 5 .( There is alternative wave count which also considers this cycle a completed one but makes no difference in terms of price target in broader view). Also , extended minor degree wave 5 for intermediate degree wave (1) can be acceptable since both retracement and correcting pattern satisfies extended wave 5 pattern (See schematic drawing once more ). But , What about extended wave 5 of (3) starting at 36.75 on 18th Mar 2021 and ending at 99.23 at on 11th Jan 2021? Neither amount of retracement nor the correcting pattern confirms this to be extended wave 5 !. If so, It can be considered as wave 3 of a different cycle with last up going wave (from 72.5 to ATH) being extended wave 5 of same degree and up going wave from 27.43 to 59.27 being wave 1 of same degree. In even more optimistic wave count this can be wave 1 of a new starting smaller degree up going wave cycle ! Try not to be confused ! All of these means that we may have more optimistic scenario with more up going waves with successive new ATHs one after another. All in All, I assume that in worst case scenario, cycle degree wave 3 is yet to be completed. There are even more optimistic scenarios. Please let me know if you can make a more pessimistic yet valid wave count. As I previously emphasized , I believe AMD will see unbelievable targets in long term. Hope this analysis to be helpful.
NASDAQ:AMD
by SaeedSajedi
27
Technical study of this INSANELY powerful bull market!Once again, the indices are rising strongly. While the SPY is heading towards its all-time high, the QQQ and the Dow Jones ETF are already breaking a new all-time record, again. When will we see the market calm down again? What if a top signal appears on the indices? The SPY ETF is in a clear uptrend, making rising tops and bottoms, breaking its resistances and trading above the 21 EMA (which is pointing upwards, by the way). The next technical resistance is at $479.98, the all-time high. Are there any signs of a top in the SPY, either from a candlestick pattern or a chart? None that I know of. On December 14th we had an attempt to signal a top, a sort of Hanging Man pattern. The problem is that the pattern wasn't even triggered, as the price had to lose and close below the low of the Hanging Man candle. This corroborates what was said in my educational analysis on SPY. Many people try to guess the top based on weak technical patterns, they get scared of one or two bearish candles even without confirmation of a correction. The link to our latest public study on SPY is below this post. Furthermore, according to Thomas Bulkowski's studies, the Hanging Man pattern serves as a bullish continuation pattern 59% of the time, contrary to the popular belief that it is a bearish reversal pattern. Perhaps this is because of the hourly chart. The vast majority of the time, a Hanging Man only serves as a short-term pullback to a support point. In this case, looking at the hourly chart, we see that after the 14th, highlighted in yellow, we see a correction to a support area, made not only by the 21 EMA, but also by a trend line that connects the bottoms in SPY since December 6th. As SPY approaches its high, we see QQQ and DIA trading above their previous high of 2021/2022 (green lines). There is no evidence known to me that could trigger a correction yet. The uptrend should continue in the absence of clear signs of a reversal. Remember the sixth principle of Dow Theory: Trends persist until a clear reversal occurs. What if the indexes correct? Then the price should seek its previous supports. In the case of the SPY and QQQ, the 21 EMA is a good candidate for a bottom. The DIA could correct up to $369.50, its former resistance, which in theory will be a future support, according to the principle of polarity. This scenario describes a pullback, not a reversal, as there is no possible bearish reversal structure on the indices yet – there isn’t even a top signal. What could trigger a bearishh reversal? If a bull trend is made of higher highs/lows, then if we see the price making lower highs/lows, and if it loses the 21 EMA on the daily chart, then we'll know that the trend is reversing. However, I do agree that if the market calms down, now the timing would be perfect, as the indices are all trading around their all-time high, a critical price level for the market. I’ll keep you updated on this, so remember to support this idea if you liked it, and follow me for more. Best regards, Nathan.
AMEX:SPY
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
Bitcoin(BTC): Pre-Halving Drop? / Repeat Of History?Bitcoin's monthly chart is painting an intriguing picture as we edge closer to the April 2024 halving. The price is not only going for an attempt to test previous all-time highs but the RSI is echoing a pattern from the last pre-halving period, striking a pattern to be repeated with historical price movements. As we see the RSI return to levels it last saw right before the drop caused by the halving, traders who have been in the business for a long time are on high alert for a possible repeat of history. The way the market is going now reminds us of the push before the halving. P.S. Past performance does not always mean future performance, but the market is paying attention as so are we. We will all be wise to consider the lessons of the past halving cycles, balancing optimism with a disciplined review of the RSI and price action.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SwallowAcademy
2
Montly candle closure! In a couple hours we will have montly candle closure. GOld is forming new grounds. If we look at the montly timeframe, notice that al the previous montly candles closed below 1993. This will be the first time a montly candle closes above! This indicates strong support will create around that level SO what does this mean, what is next for gold? Today 2050 was the zone i adviced to short the market. Sellers will try bring the market down before montly candle closes. From 2050 gold fell as low as 2030(200pips) My view is 100% bullish. After a correction the next bull wave will start. I am aiming around 2022 zone to go long or 2005 zone. With targets 2048 and 2067(around ATH). We can expect a good rejection around ATH like 3 times in the past, but this time i think it will be different rejection. Not as powerfull as before. In the long run 2070 will break and gold will move in a complete new area wich has never been seen before. In the past we had 3 times testing the ATH zone off approx 2070(tripple top) In the near future we will see new ath 2100+ *The given long posititions are indications not signals. Resistance: 2050, 2070(ATH) Support: 2030, 2022, 2005, 1992
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexGoldIntraday
1
Detailed analysis of BTC price and halvings since its inceptionHello everyone, I would like to present what repeatability can be determined in more detail by analyzing the BTC chart, taking into account the 3 halvings we experienced and the fourth which lies ahead. We have a log BTC chart from 2011 to today in front of us. We will start by designating the places where BTC has done its halving, as you can see, the first halving took place in November 2012, the second halving in June 2016, the third halving in May 2020, and we also mark the halving which should be in April 2024 . On the other hand, we mark the middle between the halves with white lines. We will use a green box to mark the gaps between the edible and the other half so that we can see this space and repetition more clearly. For the analysis, we will use the blue lines which represent the way btc moves, one line indicates the lowest price points, and we can see that btc touches the line repeatedly, and in the same way we can mark the places where price has reached its ATH. It is worth noting that with the first halving, btc fell by about 86% from its ATH on the second halving he was down about 84% from his ATH with a 3 fold reduction, the decrease from ATH so far is about 74%. The current low is 74% where the blue line is, but BTC sometimes has a quick dip in the candlestick which could be around 82% from the ATH. Given the repeatability between halves, the current maximum opening should be around $ 10,500, however, here we have confirmation of the low at $15,200, which gives a decline of 78%. Now we use the mean measure tool marked with the purple line and we can see that every time we cut it in half, as the average goes through half the period to half, the cane consolidates and then the price drops below our purple line. Moving on, we also see that after each drop below average around the half of the halving, the price started to rebound and break the first trend denoted by the white line as well as exiting the yellow area, then breaking the second trend and exiting the second yellow area. Thus, breaking the first trend is a pro-growth period, and breaking the second trend is a pro-growth period followed by price increases. Currently, we have not yet broken the first trend, given the cyclical nature of btc and the fact that large capital is distributed similarly and often all negative news is already included in the price, we can assume that the situation will repeat itself. After breaking the second trend and breaking above the average, the price will start rising again. Finally, we present a visualization of how the btc price may possibly move to the next halving in the coming time, we mark the path that the price may follow with a white line. Based on available data, we know that the difference between ATH is approximately 6.25 times in each cycle. However, the percentage increase from trough to peak in each subsequent cycle decreases by almost 6 times. Taking into account all the data, we can predict that in the current cycle the BTC price could reach a level ranging from $70,000 to $99,000, which is marked with the blue zone on the chart. However, as it is already widely known, work on an ETF for BTC is underway, a positive decision to issue such an ETF could completely change the market and take it to new levels. And taking into account the first gold ETF that gave a price increase of 10X, in a similar situation the BTC price could increase to huge levels in the orange zone to the levels of $ 170,000 - $ 225,000. However, the BTC ETF can also be a threat, when it is rejected it can have a very negative impact on the entire market. Please remember that these are not investment recommendations, everyone is responsible for their financial games, these are just our observations about the market and how the price moves.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
INJ High time frameIn the lead up to the next bullrun now is a good time to research into strong projects that will look to out-perform BTC over the duration of the cycle. L1's are a large part of the cryptocurrency market with ETHEREUM being the leading L1 altcoin, a coin with a market cap of ~220B, due to diminishing returns with every cycle investing in projects that have yet to grow to this level offer a higher ceiling for potential gains. One of those L1's is INJECTIVE, an L1 that currently sits at approximately half its ATH set in May of 2021. A POS blockchain "built for finance" based on the COSMOS SDK able to facilitate cross chain transactions with other major L1's. Looking at competing L1's like SOLANA where it has an ATH of $260, an almost 8x from current price. This naturally brings on more sell side pressure as people that are still underwater from the previous cycle and are inclined to sell at break even as soon as price reaches that level. This will be the case all the way up to all time high. However, for INJ once it breaks it's previous ATH there is no sell side pressure as everybody is in profit every time a new ATH is made. This then snowballs into brand new territory, retail likes to FOMO in and smart money takes their profits. When looking at the last bullrun, CORDANO reached a total market cap of ~110B, if INJ was to do the same it would mean a price of $1100/INJ. Not saying this is going to happen but stranger things have happened. Very exciting prospect and definitely a project I am anticipating to be one of the best performing in 2024-2025.
by ProR35