NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/13/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21183.75
- PR Low: 21142.50
- NZ Spread: 92.25
Key scheduled economic event
08:30 | CPI (Core|YoY|MoM)
Virtually unchanged from previous session
- AMP margins increase for expected CPI volatility
Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM 11/13)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 289.56
- Volume: 25K
- Open Int: 275K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -1.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
ATH
High precision version - BTC log trend DEC/JAN PEAKThis is an updated version of my first logarithmic price trend.
This trend is in line with Bitcoin since it first started to trade.
With highly precise curves that better match the cycles, I now expect to see a
peak in BTC price of $90,400 set to hit somewhere between 14th of November and New Year.
I think the trend will be followed even on the downturn,
forming the 'Mother-of-all Head and shoulders patterns'.
Spring '21 Resistance Halts DOGE, Retracement Coming??Here I have COINBASE:DOGEUSD on the Weekly Chart!
Last week COINBASE:DOGEUSD jumped .15 cents or roughly 102% following the final voting count electing Donald Trump the next President of the USA. Along his campaign, we saw a very heavy Pro-Crypto agenda along with the on-boarding of Elon Musk, known for his interest in COINBASE:DOGEUSD possibly being given a position running a "Department Of Government Efficiency".
Price on COINBASE:DOGEUSD after breaking the Aug - Oct '21 Highs has halted right at the Apr - May '21 Resistance. Now with all the speculations coming out about the imminent RISE of price, where is a good place to start investing before the boom?!?!
Based off the High @ .4398 to the Low @ .0805, just before the Break of Structure, We are given some Fibonacci Levels that align with Potential Buying Opportunities if Price needs Support to continue Higher to the All Time High @ .7605.
*Aug / Oct '21 Highs
.3550 - .3025
23.6% - 38.2%
*Mar / Apr '24 Highs
.2290 - .2067
*Golden Zone
.2178
61.8%
Bitcoin’s Bullish Path to New Highs / Targeting $100K📈 The overall trend for BTC on the weekly timeframe is strongly bullish, with the asset approaching a potential new all-time high (ATH ).
👉🏼 Bitcoin is currently showing upward momentum and appears to be targeting the $93,000 level, which acts as a short-term dynamic resistance.
❌ Key Resistance and Pullback Zone:
The resistance around $93,000 could trigger a temporary pullback. In the event of a reaction at this level, BTC might correct towards the support range of $85,000 to $82,000 before resuming its bullish trajectory.
✅ This pullback, if completed, would potentially set up the next bullish leg towards higher targets around $100,000 to $105,000.
🔍 Altcoins Outlook: Given the bullish sentiment in Bitcoin, there’s an expectation of altcoin price increases over the next one to two months. During pullbacks, entering long positions on altcoins may be beneficial as they are likely to follow Bitcoin's bullish momentum.
Note: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a buy or sell signal.
MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC | CYCLE 4 ATH UPDATE The MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC is an excellent custom indicator developed to help investors to DCA in and out of underbought / overheated periods of the market. Applying principals with BTC's CYCLE 4 current progress if BTC remains within historic trends then this also supports the time periods discuss in the below post.
SMA Golden Ratio | CYCLE 4 ATH UpdateIn accordance with historical behavior, BTCs ATH each cycle has corresponded with the next SMA line down (following a multiplication factor of the Fibonacci sequence). As observed in CYCLE 3, BTC tag the BLUE line putting in the Technical High of this cycle meaning CYCLE 4 should tag the Yellow line if History is to repeat. The Second and ATH top of CYCLE 3 tag two lines down hitting the gray line.
We can see BTC has already tag the Yellow line when BTC tage ~73K USD. Looking at CYCLE 3, BTC played with the BLUE line multiple times before settling with the top. Considering this in CYCLE 4 BTC may make another attempt at intercepting the Yellow line again depending no how parabolic BTC will be over the AUS summer period will land the price in the zones discussed in the below post.
BTC in CYCLE 4 may also contact the gray line and in this scenario most tops out around the 100K region December 2024 / January 2025.
CYCLE PIVOT INDICATOR - CTI (Cycle Top Indicator) Cycle 4 UpdateAssuming the CTI (Cycle Top Indicator) again holds true in estimating in real time the potential top for Cycle 4 ATH, as per our analysis in the below post we would be expecting a very parabolic period ahead to land in the discussed cycle ATH zones.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/12/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21221.00
- PR Low: 21201.25
- NZ Spread: 44.25
No key scheduled events
Daily print advertising potential rotation off ATH
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 11/12)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 295.61
- Volume: 25K
- Open Int: 270K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
CYCLE 4 ATH Mapping DETAILED - Price Levels & Time Frame AnalysiAs we now have confirmation of the election result and following our assumption this will lead to seasonal trends of a Santa rally for stocks and bonds as we close out the year, it is now worth mapping this scenario in more detail.
This post looks at CYCLE 4 and maps where this cycle All Time High (ATH) may reach and when, base on historic Indicator behavior / Price Action / Measured Moves / Fib Extensions & Historical Past Cycle Lengths. Assuming BTC continues similar cyclic behavior to prior cycles.
Please explore the below post interactively (which captures all discussed items) to review measured periods and to understand where items have come from with reference to this post.
Historical Cycle Lengths
Measuring from the Bottom to the top of each past cycle recorded the approx. number of days
* Cycle 1 Bottom to ATH Top = ~ 742 Days
* Cycle 2 & 3 Bottom to ATH Top = ~ 1,064 Days (For both Cycles)
* Cycle 3 Bottom to 1st (Technical High - TH) Top = ~ 854 Days
Plotting these on the chart (see blue dashed horizontal lines) it would be historically possible to see CYCLE 4 ATH land between December 2nd 2024 to March 24th 2025, and historically more likely between March 24th 2025 and October 20th 2024. It is noted the trend that cycles are increasing in length (particularly when measuring from ATH to ATH of previous and current cycles).
The suggest time frames currently look reasonable, considering our Cycle Pivot Indictor (CPI), risk indicator, other charts we like to review for ATHs and current projected trend line channels etc.
Fib Extensions
Following analysis looks at the Fib Extensions from prior cycle top to current cycle bottom to estimate current cycle top. Please review the embedded post above if you are unsure how these have been calculated.
* Cycle 2 ATH ($19,666) ~ reached just shy of golden pocket ratio of 2.618 ($20,382)
* Cycle 3 TH ($64,895) & ATH ($69,000) ~ reached just above of golden pocket ratio of 1.618 - 1.65 ($61,327 - $65,047 respectively).
If BTC hits the 1.618 golden pocket ratio extension again in Cycle 4, this would result in an ATH of $157,362. Measured moves suggest reaching these levels are possible, however they are considered the more bullish view of market possibilities at this point in time. It is noted the entire sequence drop in fib ratios from Cycle 2 to Cycle 3. While repeating this again would not make sense for this cycle, if we continue to half the difference for Cycle 4 we fall in the region of the 1.272 ($95,835) and 1.414 ($117,467) fib ratio regions.
My current take on this analysis would be if BTC does exceed the 100K region, 117K may be a good target to look towards (just shy of the nice round number of 120K people could be targeting). If BTC struggles to make 100K then 95K might be the point where BTC has trouble....
Indictors
* RSI - based on above, RSI on the weekly has just approached back into our uptrend region and heading into the overbought zone which it can stay for some time during the bull run period of the cycle. I would be looking to make sure BTC does not put in lower highs in the RSI as bearish divergences in this region in the past has formed in the making of Prior Cycles ATHs. Currently the RSI looks to have consolidated enough over the March - October 2024 period to make a decent run at finishing off the bull period in Cycle 4 (it has done what we wanted from an investor point of view).
* Modified Osilator Wave Trend - similar analysis to the RSI is observed with historic behavior in this indicator. Note historically this indicator can run in the overbought region for some time during bull runs and establishing ATHs
* MA OSCILLATOR Risk Profile Indicator - This indicator is at the right historically to suggest we are in the start of the exponential period of the bull run (after a pullback consolidation post the halving period). ATHs in cycles have been reached during 'Red Zone' price extension periods of my custom indicator.
Hope the above makes sense. I intent to follow this up with some simpler analysis of other indicators.
Price action on the TOTAL chart now comfortably above the c&h Price action is now knocking on the door of 3 trillion for the total crypto market cap. We can see also that now that price action is reasonably above the rimline of this massive cup and handle pattern, and has also closed a weekly candle above it now as well, that we are likely to soon validate the breakout of this pattern and star climbing towards its breakout target of 4.6 trillion. I think Brad Garlinghouse was anticipating the total market cap nearing 5 trillion by end of 2024 and that target is not that far off. I will link some previous total market cap charts below so you can see other macro patterns we are also heading towards with an even higher target than this cup and handle. *Not financial advice*
TRUMP PUMPS BITCOIN 30% in Last 6 DaysThe TRUMP PUMPS BITCOIN 30% in the past 6 days since the election.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC at $90K and in PRICE DISCOVERY.
This means there are no prior levels of resistance on the chart, and SKY’S THE LIMIT.
Next fib level of resistance comes ~$101,600.
That’s another 15% pump from here.
That does not mean we cannot go back down.
$76,5 was the last hiccup in this run.
HODL.
BTC - TARGET REACHED | REPLAY from OCT 2023 - NOWIt is with GREAT pleasure that I say, cheers to you and all the bulls that didn't believe the ATH was in after 74k in March! Although it may seem like I've been a perma-bull, there's been short-term bearish updates throughout the year - let's walk through it and see for yourself!
I will say this, there was a moment when I thought it might happen sooner, but generally I did repeatedly say I plan for the new ATH during December. Close enough!
It is incredibly rewarding to see the entire process playout as I speculated - based off of facts and many hours of analysis and charting since 2017. It all contributed, and makes a world of a difference.
I need some time to plan the next move from here, it will take some time to observe the top out - so keep following!
________________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin can make correction and then rise to 80K, and even moreHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price traded inside the buyer zone and soon broke the 67600 level, after which made a retest and continued to grow. In a short time, BTC rose to current support level, which coincided with the support area, and then started to decline inside the wedge. When the price fell to the 67600 support level, it entered the buyer zone, rebounded from the support line of the wedge, and started to grow. Firstly it corrected and then rebounded up to the current support level. Price broke this level, made a retest, and continued to grow to the resistance line of the wedge. Bitcoin some time traded near this line and later corrected to support line of the wedge pattern, after which it made an upward impulse. After this movement, the price exited from the wedge and now reached a new ATH (79800 points), after which made little correction. Now, it continues to rise, so, in my opinion, the price can make a correction movement and then start to grow. Also, I think it can reach new ATH, so, I set my target at 81500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Bitcoin can rise a little and then make correctionHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price declined to the trend line and then started to grow near this line. Some time later, the price broke this line and fell below, after which it continued to move up between the trend line. Then BTC broke the 2nd support level (65500) and rose a little more, after which made a correction to this level, breaking the trend line one more time. Later, price turned around and quickly rose to the trend line, broke it, and then reached support 1. After this movement, BTC made a correction below the trend line and when the price fell to 67200 points, it turned around and made a strong impulse up, breaking the trend line with 1st support level. Next, the price made a few correction and continued to move up. Now, I expect that BTCUSDT will grow to 83500 and then make a correction movement. For this case, I set my goal at 78500 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/11/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21320.00
- PR Low: 21249.00
- NZ Spread: 159.25
No key scheduled economic events
ATH run continues to 12320
- Could be interesting low participation on US Veterans Day
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 11/11)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 302.97
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 271K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Bitcoin Log Trend Curve - Feb 2025 peakJust wanted to draw a curve matchin the logarithmic trend of BTC price.
By this estimate we see a peak in Feb 2025 of about 95,000. But the price would only go down or sideways from here. I drew these lines in October of 23, but never published it - and so far it's following the trend. Just a fun thing I wanted to try, idk if it means anything.
PLTR Back to ATHsBounced off the .382 fib retracement with only ATH remaining. Lots of bullish momentum and TA has been smooth as well. Possible S&P 500 inclusion in September could also be driving price action from "smart money."
Flow into calls has been increasing with a few big orders above ATH have been spotted
BTC POST HALVING History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes...
We're now in the post-halving part of the Bullrun, and we can look back into Bitcoins history to help predict what might happen next.
Typically A bull cycle lasts 1065 days from the low to the high with the halving event in the middle. If we use that same timeframe and apply it to this Bullrun we can expect the peak for BTC to come in early October of 2025.
Now we know that once BTC has had it's top, altcoins regain some of the market dominance in an "Alt season" which is often a manic period of profits from BTC being poured into increasingly risky projects until the whole thing comes crumbling down, which then leads too...
The bear market which historically lasts for a full year from top to bottom. The bear market comes when most people least expect it as they are so used to price going up, complacency and greed can cost you all of the gains made in the last 3+ years. It's also important to note that BTC routinely goes through 25-30% corrections on the way up, and this is where many fall down. Knowing the difference between a correction and a top is the difference between making it and roundtripping everything. Have an exit strategy, take profit at key areas, don't let greed win.
The Fibonacci levels can be very useful when a project goes into price discovery as well as big even levels, your 100, 150, 200's etc. When Fib levels line up with these big evens you can expect resistance and therefor look to protect your capital.
Bitcoin is very close to a breakout from the '21 ATH level, we've been above SWB:69K before but swing failed to hit $56K, I am still a little worried about the GETTEX:52K +VE Orderblock as shown in green, it would make sense to revisit that area at some point however it does depend on this current SWB:69K S/R level.
Aethir Project Overview: $ATH going All time high?Project description:
Aethir ( TSX:ATH ) is a decentralized infrastructure protocol that focuses on providing real-time data and computational resources for gaming and metaverse applications, aiming to create scalable, low-latency solutions using blockchain technology.
Type of project:
Decentralized infrastructure for gaming and metaverse applications.
Is it under a block?:
Yes, Aethir operates on the Ethereum blockchain and plans to expand to other compatible blockchains, providing its services through a decentralized network powered by TSX:ATH tokens.
Latest update or news:
As of November 7, 2024, Aethir announced its Compute Node Partnership Program, which incentivizes participants to contribute computing resources to support gaming and metaverse applications on the Aethir network.
Narrative:
Gaming infrastructure, metaverse, decentralized computational resources, and blockchain-based real-time data solutions.
Unlocks Data for Aethir ( TSX:ATH ):
1. Upcoming Unlock:
Next Unlock Event: Scheduled for November 10, 2024, with an unlock of 4 million ATH tokens.
Percentage of Circulating Supply: This release constitutes approximately 0.02% of the current circulating supply.
2. Rate of Token Released to Circulation:
Next 7 Days (November 7 – November 14): 4 million ATH tokens, or approximately 0.02% of the circulating supply.
Next 30 Days (November 7 – December 7): Cumulative unlocks totaling 12 million ATH, approximately 0.06% of the circulating supply.
3. Total Unlocked:
Total Unlocked Tokens: 3 billion ATH, which represents approximately 7.14% of the maximum supply of 42 billion ATH tokens.
4. All Upcoming Unlocks in the Future:
November 10, 2024: 4 million ATH
December 10, 2024: 4 million ATH
January 10, 2025: 5 million ATH
5. Vesting Analysis for Aethir ( TSX:ATH ):
Aethir’s token vesting is structured to ensure gradual and stable distribution:
Compute Node Incentives: 50% allocation, distributed over 5 years to support long-term infrastructure growth. Team and Advisors: 15% allocation, vested over 3 years to align with project milestones. Ecosystem Development: 15% allocation, released based on project expansion and strategic partnerships. Investors: 10% allocation, unlocked gradually to mitigate sell pressure. Community and Airdrops: 10% allocation, provided to early adopters and supporters to encourage platform adoption.
BITCOIN TREND PIVOT With all the geo-political noise it's easy to get caught up in the low timeframe madness. Zooming out and looking at the High timeframe structure, things get a little simpler...
For me, BTC has been in two different smaller phases within a larger bullflag pattern. Phase one is the bearish part of the bullflag where price prints lower highs and lower lows , this lasted for 150 days with a pivot once price wicked into the bullish OB @ $50K.
From that pivot point the second phase started and it's where we are now. Once we got our first higher low the new bullish trend began, higher lows and higher highs followed and continues on until now.
Now the interesting part is how BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern and that's shown by the X's and ^'s on the chart. In recent days BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern as shown by the tick where price rejected off the '21 ATH and retested what was formerly trend resistance and now support after a successful bullish reaction off that level for the first time in 8 months.
Price is now at the highs with the US election around the corner and %16B FTX repayments on the way , can BTC go one step further and make a new ATH? Time will tell but for now the structure is the most important thing. Higher highs and higher lows, that's it.