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Is Amazon stock trapping retail traders? Is it too late?Historically, Amazon tends to experience a run-up leading into Prime Day, which could add positive momentum to the stock. There are some indications that history might, in fact, repeat itself. The yellow line represents the 6-month anchored VWAP, while the white line shows the July highs anchored VWAP. These VWAPs are crucial as they provide a strong indication of where average buying and selling have occurred over significant time frames, acting as dynamic support or resistance levels. I anticipate strong resistance near the August highs, as this is a level where increased supply could enter the market. To counter this, I am hoping for a tight consolidation or base formation in the $183.22 - $187.50 range, setting up for a powerful upside move. If the price can hold within this range, it could pave the way for a retest of the August high and potentially push further up towards $200 by the end of the year.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by MysticMads
XAUUSD 6/10/24Gold for this week: We have price action consolidating, followed by a pullback from the area marked last week. This trajectory aligns with the ongoing upward trend, and we expect it to continue, aiming for the previous all-time high. We have already tapped into a demand zone, and liquidity remains at the base of the last low, as well as within the internal lows of the higher time frame range. The principle here is that gold is overall bullish, based on strong fundamentals and a clear trend and structure. We expect this upward movement to continue, with our target set at the previous high. We are not anticipating a major pullback; however, since the market is currently driven by fundamentals, there is always a chance this could happen. If a pullback occurs, we can look for liquidity below the previous low as an opportunity to go higher. If it breaks through, I would expect a longer-term period of selling off, but overall, we anticipate further upward expansions. In summary, keep it simple—follow the clear direction, which is bullish.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
Understanding ATH and ATL in Cryptocurrency TradingHello, Traders! The terms ATH (All-Time High) and ATL (All-Time Low) are crucial in crypto trading. They represent the highest and lowest prices ever reached by a particular asset. These metrics capture the extremes of an asset's value and serve as indicators of future market trends. In this article, we'll explore what ATH means in cryptocurrency, how ATH and ATL help indicate price movements, and why understanding these metrics is important for successful trading. What Does ATH Mean? ATH (All-Time High) is an asset's highest price. This value is significant for traders because it reflects the peak demand for a digital asset during its existence. When a cryptocurrency reaches its ATH, it usually attracts increased interest from investors and traders. This event typically suggests strength in the asset and may indicate an opportunity for continued investment due to strong demand and market confidence. However, reaching an ATH also presents risks. Some investors may view this as a prime time to take profits, which can lead to a price correction. ATH in Crypto Trading The ATH for an asset is a crucial benchmark for market participants. Reaching a new ATH can signal a continuation of an uptrend or indicate an overheated market. Moreover, traders often use ATH levels to set resistance points and assess the potential for further growth. After hitting an ATH, the price may continue to rise or retreat to lower levels, depending on market conditions and investor sentiment. The fear of missing out (FOMO) can drive traders to make quick decisions, especially when an asset approaches its ATH. Understanding how ATH impacts market sentiment and price movement is essential for effective cryptocurrency trading. Understanding All-Time Low (ATL) ATL (All-Time Low) refers to an asset's lowest price since its market debut. ATL represents an asset's minimum demand and price weakness for investors and traders throughout its history. Reaching an ATL can cause concern among holders due to the significant decline in value. However, some investors may see an ATL as a buying opportunity, believing that the price is at a historic low and could rise in the future. Considering the broader market context and the reasons behind the price drop is crucial before making investment decisions. An ATL might be caused by FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt), leading to a sharp sell-off. For large cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, an ATL might be considered an opportunity for buybacks at low levels. Impact of ATH and ATL on the Cryptocurrency Market When an asset hits an ATH, it can attract new investors and amplify market Fear and Greed, particularly during altcoin seasons when other cryptocurrencies also experience rapid growth. The Fear and Greed index can reach extremes, potentially leading to market overheating and subsequent corrections. Conversely, reaching an ATL can heighten investor fear and trigger panic selling. However, experienced traders may view ATL as a buying opportunity, especially if they anticipate a market recovery. Conclusions This article explored the significance of ATH and ATL in cryptocurrency trading and their roles in market analysis. ATH and ATL are essential benchmarks that help traders and investors navigate market trends.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by WhiteBIT
FET/USDT 15mNYSE:FET is one of the leading AI projects in the crypto space, earlier this year it saw a meteoric rise in price up to $3.5. Since then price has dropped around 80% to a local low of $0.70, now recently price has grown and broken the daily downtrend rising to a local high of $1.44 +105% from the lows creating a dilemma for traders... From previous price action we know that NYSE:FET is capable of huge moves, it's a fundamentally sound project with a strong narrative behind it. Finding a good entry to buy FET if sidelined or add to a position if already positioned can be tricky so these are my thoughts: - HTF FET has broken the daily downtrend is is looking to reverse. Altcoins have been at the mercy of Bitcoin so it requires BTC to behave too. After an -80% correction a lot of the downside risk has already played out. - LTF we have seen a strong recovery, if you has bought local lows at $0.70 you would have outperformed the entire drawdown of the last 6 months (assuming equal position size). So the feeling of FOMO can start to creep in at these levels. - The chart shows potential points of entry on the LTF, obviously we may continue to drawdown, it's always a possibility but we have seen signs of strength and therefore opportunities to go LONG. - Local range low @ $1.273 is the option with the best return out of the 3. Clearly strong support that was the base for the last local rally. - Current level is an interesting one because it incorporates a LTF diagonal resistance trendline that would be bullish if broken. This combined with a range support line (0.25) could be a good option for a LTF entry. - The final option is the 0.5/ Midpoint entry. This would mean flipping the 15m 200EMA bullish and reclaiming the midpoint making it the safest of the 3 entries but least rewarding, offering +6% return instead of 9% & 13% respectively. With all this in consideration, NYSE:FET is one of the better altcoin options in the markets current state. IMO we still don't have a clear market direction just yet and so being nimble with positions is a must, but it does feel like the worst is over and if that is the case then a position in FET could be positive for a portfolio.
by ProR35
1
$SMMT Stock Surges on Positive Lung Cancer Drug Trial ResultsShares of Summit Therapeutics (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMMT ) surged dramatically, soaring to an all-time high after the biotech firm reported promising results from its Phase 3 trial of ivonescimab, an experimental lung cancer treatment. The news sent the stock up by as much as 75.2% during intraday trading before settling at a 57.5% gain, marking a 54.77% increase by the close. These gains are driven by a powerful combination of strong clinical data and bullish market sentiment, positioning Summit as a rising star in the biotech space. Clinical Breakthrough: A Game-Changer for Lung Cancer Patients The Phase 3 trial, known as Harmoni-2, was conducted in China in collaboration with Summit's partner, Akeso. Ivonescimab was tested against Pembrolizumab (Keytruda), a standard-of-care treatment for patients with locally advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with PD-L1-positive tumors. PD-L1 is a protein that helps cancer cells evade the immune system, making it a key target in immunotherapy. The results were striking: ivonescimab achieved a median progression-free survival (PFS) time of 11.14 months compared to 5.82 months for Keytruda, nearly doubling the time before the disease progressed or led to death. The drug reduced the risk of disease progression or death by 49% compared to other treatments, demonstrating a statistically significant improvement in the trial’s primary endpoint. This positive data marks a critical validation for Summit's approach, particularly as it outperformed Keytruda across all subgroups, including both low and high PD-L1 expressions and across squamous and non-squamous forms of the disease. This broad efficacy profile could make ivonescimab a highly versatile and sought-after option in the oncology space. haba CEO Robert Duggan on a 'Historic Moment Summit Therapeutics CEO Robert Duggan hailed the trial results as a "historic moment" for ivonescimab, calling it the beginning of a shift in the landscape of lung cancer treatment. Duggan stated, “We believe this is the beginning of a landscape shift for treatment options for patients living with cancer.” Summit plans to initiate a multi-regional study of ivonescimab in early 2025, further expanding its global reach. Ivonescimab’s success in both the Harmoni-2 trial and previous Harmoni-A trials positions it as a potential blockbuster in the making. Earlier trials showed ivonescimab’s efficacy when combined with chemotherapy, even in challenging cases where other monoclonal antibodies had failed. Technical Analysis: Caution Amidst the Euphoria On the technical front, NASDAQ:SMMT 's rapid ascent has pushed the stock into overbought territory, with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 81.44. Such a high RSI indicates that the stock is ripe for a potential pullback or consolidation as traders digest the news and early profit-takers emerge. The daily chart also shows a gap-up pattern, a phenomenon often filled in subsequent trading sessions as the market corrects its initial exuberance. While the upward momentum remains strong, traders and investors should be mindful of the possibility of a short-term correction, especially given the sharp run-up. This could offer a more attractive entry point for those looking to capitalize on Summit's long-term potential. The Road Ahead: Blockbuster Potential and Key Risks Summit’s ivonescimab could be on the path to becoming a key player in the cancer treatment market, potentially rivaling established therapies like Keytruda. The planned multi-regional trial in 2025 will be crucial in confirming ivonescimab’s efficacy and safety on a global scale. However, investors should also consider the inherent risks. Early-stage biotechs like Summit face significant hurdles, including regulatory scrutiny, competitive pressures, and the financial burden of advancing clinical trials. Any setbacks in the drug’s development, unexpected adverse events, or delays could impact the company’s stock performance. Conclusion: Summit Therapeutics ( NASDAQ:SMMT ) has captured the market’s attention with its impressive trial results for ivonescimab, setting the stage for what could be a transformative journey in lung cancer treatment. While technical indicators suggest caution in the short term, the long-term outlook for NASDAQ:SMMT remains compelling. With continued clinical success and a strategic approach to expansion, Summit is well-positioned to carve out a significant niche in the oncology market. Investors should keep a close watch on the company’s progress as it navigates the complexities of bringing a potentially groundbreaking cancer therapy to market. As Summit continues to build on this momentum, the stock could offer substantial upside for those willing to weather the inherent volatility of the biotech sector.
NASDAQ:SMMTLong
by DEXWireNews
This Bitcoin Dump Is Normal - But For How Long?In this analysis I want to take a look at the BTC_ATHDRAWDOWN indicator, which tells us how much percent BTC is trading under the current all-time high. Every time that BTC makes a new all-time high this indicator reaches a value of 1. As seen on the chart, BTC has seen a lot of big drops during bull-markets. Most of these drops have reached the yellow area (which reaches from -20% to -27%). This is "normal" and not something we have to worry about. What we have to worry about is when BTC goes from 1 to something below 0.27. Historically, this as signaled that either the cycle is over or that we're in for a prolonged period of bearish price action. Like I mentioned in my previous analyses, bulls have to start buying again in the very near future. If BTC continues bleeding like it does now there's a high probability of dropping even more.
BShort
by FieryTrading
2
Gold forecast: What now for gold after scoring 7 monthly gain?I expect gold to rise further and continue to attract buying activity on any dips. One reason is that the overall trend remains bullish, which should deter bearish speculators from acting too forcefully unless there are clear signs of a reversal. Gold finished higher for the 7th consecutive month in August, meaning that the precious metal is now up a solid 21% year-to-date. Will it be able to rise further in September or take a breather? The gold forecast will now depend at least partly on incoming US data and interest rate expectations. I continue to maintain a bullish view on the metal thanks to a favourable macro backdrop and its steady-as-she-goes price action. Gold forecast: Can XAU/USD continue rising? I expect gold to rise further and continue to attract buying activity on any dips. One reason is that the overall trend remains bullish, which should deter bearish speculators from acting too forcefully unless there are clear signs of a reversal. Additionally, there are few fundamental reasons to short sell gold at the moment. In fact, some argue that gold is still undervalued, considering the significant devaluation and loss of purchasing power of fiat currencies worldwide due to high inflation, which remains persistent in some regions. While disinflation is evident in the US and other areas, it's not the same as deflation. Prices are still increasing, just not as rapidly as before. Demand for gold as an inflation hedge should continue to offer support. Moreover, the sharp decline in bond yields in the last couple of months, driven by expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, is likely to benefit low or zero-yield assets like gold. As long as we don’t see a reversal in the that trend, lower yields should argue against a sustained period of weakness for gold and silver. Dollar in focus ahead of busy week The US dollar is facing a key test this week with the release of several market moving data releases, including the August jobs report. Following today's US Labor Day holiday, the US data schedule becomes busier, featuring ISM manufacturing data on Tuesday, JOLTS job openings on Wednesday, ADP employment data, jobless claims, and ISM services on Thursday, and culminating with the key event of the week, the August jobs report on Friday. Out of all of these data releases this week, the nonfarm jobs report should be a key determinant of whether the dollar’s two-month dollar bear trend extends or whether range bound price action will return. Gold bulls will need to a weaker number to send the metal sharply higher. But if the consensus is correct regarding Friday's jobs report, which predicts 165,000 job gains and a decrease in the unemployment rate to 4.2% from 4.3%, then the market will likely solidify expectations for a 25-basis point rate cut to start the Fed's easing cycle on September 18. In this scenario, I would expect to see a modest weaker reaction in gold at least. However, if payrolls only increase slightly, say by around 100,000 or so, with the unemployment rate potentially rising too, then in this scenario, the dollar could resume lower, sending gold sharply higher as expectations shift back toward a 50-basis point Fed rate cut in September. China concerns linger Meanwhile we have had some mixed PMI readings from China’s manufacturing sector in the last couple of days, leaving investors guessing about the health of the world’s second largest economy. While the official manufacturing PMI fell further into contraction at 49.1 in August from 49.4 in July, the Caixin PMI improved to 50.4 from 49.8 the month before. Meanwhile, the official non-manufacturing PMI ticked up to 50.3, suggesting that perhaps the Chinese economy may have bottomed out. We will need to see further evidence of a Chinese recovery. If so, this will help raise hopes that elevated demand from the world’s top gold consumer nation can sustain precious metals prices at these levels or even push them higher. Gold forecast: technical analysis and trade ideas The steady grind higher is precisely what the bulls would like to see, keeping the technical gold forecast bullish. Shallow dips, higher highs, higher lows are characteristics of strong bullish trends. So, the trend is clearly bullish and will remain that way until we see a lower low form. Dips are likely to find support around broken levels such as around the old record high from July at $2483, where we also have the 21-day exponential moving average converging. The bullish trend line that has been in place since February, comes in around $2450, representing another short-term support level to watch. On the upside, there is only one prior reference point to watch given that the metal is trading near its all-time high. And that level is the all-time high itself, hit last month at $2531. -- Written by Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst
WHSELFINVEST:GOLDLong
by WHSelfInvest
XAUUSD 26/8/24After calling another all-time high on gold last week, we were expecting more upside from this pair. Now, the one thing that shifts us toward a sell-side bias is the fact that we broke the last significant structural low that led to the new high. This indicates that a pullback is in progress, but with liquidity building above the significant high, the probability of further upside remains the most likely scenario. With this in mind, the level below the current price, where we reacted last week, is where we expect the price to come down and interact again. We also have a demand area below. If the price drops into this area, I will look for longs back toward the highs, potentially creating another new all-time high for gold. However, if we break below the trajectory level we’ve identified and pass the demand area we've marked, we’ll anticipate a deeper pullback, similar to what we projected on EUR/USD. Using the same principles here, we have two points of interaction for potential upside moves, but for sell-side moves, we don’t yet have any areas to reference. If the price drops lower, new areas will be left behind, and we can begin to consider them. Until then, we are focusing solely on the upside areas. This aligns with our overall bias, supported by the daily timeframe, which is showing very strong moves to the upside. We do not expect this to change abruptly. Trade safely, follow your plan, and stick to your risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
26/08/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $64,969.66 Last weeks low: $57,798.14 Midpoint: $61,383.90 Another week has passed in the crypto world and another week of Bitcoin recovery. Now hovering around $64,000 zone after a battle around the range Midpoint which was also the 4H 200EMA, BTC has flipped bullish on all major MA's and is looking to target the '21 ATH which has historically been the area where BTC has struggled in the last few months. With the US presidential election nearing and the FED rate cuts approaching even sooner, there are a lot of significant FA factors to consider. I think most people were under the impression that the ETF's and the halving would have more of an instant impact on price, we have seen a rally for the BTC ETF but that classic post halving boost has not yet panned out. It does have the feeling of all stars are aligning in the coming months to push through that ~$70k resistance and enter price discovery. Current sentiment is mostly pure boredom and that has lead to impulse moves in the past. For now I think the important places to look are in the altcoin space, having been decimated in the last few months now is a good time to seek out strong fundamental projects that are looking to lead the way for the next year or so. The altcoin season index is currently @ 22/100 indicating that the market is heavily Bitcoin dominated, suggesting that altcoins need to play catch-up and will outperform BTC by doing so.
by ProR35
19/08/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $61,782.68 Last weeks low: $56,107.68 Midpoint: 58,945.18 Apologies for the late WEEKLY OUTLOOK, let's go over last weeks PA. A much tighter spread between weekly high and low last week compared to the week before. As BTC continues its recovery from the JPY carry trade dump we are back @ 4H 200EMA for the 5th time since losing support during the dump. For me this follows the same pattern as has been happening all year, flip the 4H 200EMA and aim for the '21 ATH @ $69,000. What happens at that level is nearly always disappointing but with rate cuts coming next month, maybe that will finally change. From the weekly range chart I do see the midpoint being important for the rest of the week, the recent 1h surge has come from the Midpoint level, flipped the 0.75 and now targeting range high which would put BTC over the 4H 200EMA point. The FOMC minutes takes place on Wednesday of this week and may provide some volatility, however the general consensus is that a rate hike is coming next month, the real question is will it be 25 Basis Points or 50bps. For this week it's more of the same in terms of being patient and trying not to get caught up in the chop. With the general sentiment being that the Bullrun will continue soon it's tricky to find the right entry at this stage if you haven't already. Patience is key.
by ProR35
1
ETH/USDT 1D Trade idea It's no secret, Ethereum has been struggling this Bullrun. Outperformed by Solana and other new emerging L1's, a permabearish ETH/BTC chart and losing market share in terms of volume on chain to its competitors. The daily chart is a difficult one to digest as a fan of ETH, despite the ETF approval and the institutional investment that has come with it, the trend is an obvious downtrend of late and shows no signs of changing anytime soon... The ETH/BTC pair is a similar story only the downtrend has been the case for much longer, unable to keep up with bitcoins price gains. Bitcoin is currently -20% from its ATH set earlier this year, Ethereum is yet to break its previous ATH set in '21 of $4850, -47% at current price which is way off BTC. For me there are two possible entries: - A mid range reclaim would then target a range high move going into the end of the year. - A safer entry of filling the wick set in the beginning of august with a slow grind down, sweep liquidity, reclaim and pump from there. Both situations would require BTC to behave as always.
by ProR35