$TOTAL Cup & Handle formingAlthough we could zoom out and literally write a book of CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL technical analysis, let´s start with this 12 hour time frame
In green, a Cup & Handle formation, that WILL TAKE US ABOVE ALL-TIMES-HIGH cryptomarket cap
The ATH marketcap is marked on the purple horizontal lines (2,9 to 3,0 trillion) and the C&H targets are marked with the purple arrows, left is most otimistic, right pessimistic
Is important to say price is on a little triangle formed by yearly long support (big blue dotted diagonal line) and yearly fib circle resistence (continuous red thin line0)
This triangle can still break low to find the support on the thick green 200 EMA line and others yearly supports
As we are on a region with a lot of multi year support, guess what? Break up is a matter of time; I´ll give approximately 4 weeks to this setup completion (marked with red flag and another confluence with the next multi year long fib circle)
ATH
BTCUSDT | New ATH Incoming?🚀 Are we on the brink of a new all-time high for Bitcoin? All signs point to yes, and I need to be in on this action!
Breakout Alert
Yesterday, we broke the trendline of a forming bull flag on the daily chart. This classic pattern break could be signaling a massive move upwards!
Targets
While my exact target is still undecided, there's a ton of liquidity at $72k. Breaking through this could propel the price to an eye-popping $90k without a doubt!
This setup is too exciting to miss. Let’s see how this plays out!
10/06/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $71,199.84
Last weeks low: $67,611.61
Midpoint: $69,801.22
Chop, chop and some more chop for Bitcoin. A steady a climb for BTC last week from range lows made at the beginning of the week with a high just shy of $72K before freefalling to the 0.25 line which coincides with the '21 ATH level l, and a bounce back up to the midpoint which is currently LTF resistance.
The altcoin market is looking in pretty rough shape in comparison to BTC, many have halved since their highs and are now retesting their 1D 200EMA's for support. In a Bullrun you'd expect these levels to hold and can offer great Long entries, I'd like to see BTC show strength above the '21 ATH because if we see another drop below alts will follow and once below the 1D 200EMA we could be in trouble for a while.
For this week I am looking at potential alt longs at the 1D 200EMA levels but being very aware of Bitcoins price. No trade if BTC is below SWB:69K as that would be yet another failed ATH run, and would look to target lower down in the chop range.
CPI & FOMC JUNE 12th Massive day for BTC, crypto and the broader markets as CPI and FOMC take place in a time where BTC has taken a dive back towards the range MIDPOINT.
Both CPI & FOMC are forecast to be non movers, with 3.4% and 5.5% respectively. Last month CPI was the catalyst for the move from 0.25 to range high, however some of that hard work has been undone in recent days.
I would like to see the same kind of move but this time from the MIDPOINT which often provides a better starting point to a move. What we don't want to see if BTC is to keep bullish HTF momentum is lingering around the midpoint level with a view to target range lows yet again. Buyers need to come in fast before momentum is lost.
With sentiment so low but price constantly knocking at the door of ATH, ETF's being approved leading to institutional investment, mining rewards halved and a US election on the way this year. Big things are about to happen in the world of cryptocurrency and Bitcoin is the one leading the charge as it so often does.
Be greedy when others are fearful springs to mind. There is definitely fear in the market and its participants, The chart once you zoom out does not give me reason to be fearful just yet, this is a Bullrun and dips like these can be turned into wins.
LOW CAP GEMS - DIMITRA (DMTR)In this series I will be breaking down and analysing projects that are <$100m in market capitalisation (at time of post).
- PROJECT OVERVIEW
Dimitra Incorporated is a global Agtech company with a mission to help smallholder farmers across the world. Operating on the Ethereum blockchain, the name derives from Demeter, the Greek Goddess of the harvest and agriculture. Dimitra works with governments, government agencies, NGOs, and for-profit organizations. The Dimitra platform is built on blockchain technology and incorporates mobile technology, machine learning, IoT devices, satellite and drone imagery, genomics, and advanced farming research. Through our data driven approach, Dimitra helps farmers increase yields, reduces expenses, and mitigates risk. Dimitra believes that every smallholder farmer, regardless of economic standing, should benefit from simple, beautiful, and useful technology. With 100K+ users currently and growing it's the largest cryptocurrency to deal with agriculture of it's kind.
- ROADMAP
Dimitra has ambitious and impactful goals. The goal is to grow our platform to 100 million smallholder farmer users within the next 4-years. They already have agreements in place with 8 countries but there is a long way to go to reach their goal.
- TEAM
Dimitra has 123 team members in total including CEO and Founder Jon Trask. He is the winner of the 2023 Government Blockchain Association Annual Achievement Award in the “Social Impact” Category!
- PARTNERSHIPS
Global projects operating in 14+ countries with partners in 68 countries.
In terms of exhange listings they are partnered with one tier-1 exchange in Kucoin, as well as Gate.IO, BitMart, Bittrex, Uniswap and more. However, they are not listed on Binance or Coinbase, once this does happen it will open up the opportunity for a much larger population of potential buyers.
- PRICE TARGETS
It's easy for people to throw outlandish price targets out there in the world of crypto without much reference to how they got to that conclusion. I prefer to compare Market Caps in order to derive token prices.
Looking back at the previous Bullrun, alts hit very high MarketCaps before falling back to 'fair value'. For this I'll use current MCap and Bullrun MCap for a guide, DMTR is currently #484' on MCap:
- Oraichain (ORAI) #343
Price target: $0.35 (2.1x)
- PAAL AI (PAAL) #226
Price target: $0.49 (x2.95)
-Ocean protocol (OCEAN) #135
Price target: $1.05 (x6.24)
- Fetch.ai (FET) #51
Price target: $4.43 (x26.33)
- Cardano (ADA) #10
Price target: $33.74 (x197.65)
I've used other AI projects and a top 10 crypto to show how DMTR could move up the leaderboard and what that would mean for token price.
- SUMMARY
Dimitra is an exciting project with genuine real world value, aiming to tackle a very important problem we have on this planet and that's providing Food to the increasing population of earth. The tokenomics could be better as there is only 41% circulating supply, however with a growing interest by large entities such as BlackRock for RWA's and AI projects we could see a considerable investment in a project like DMTR in the future. Having broken out of a multiyear accumulation phase recently I think DMTR will be a very strong performer
- RATING
8/10
- SOURCES/b]
dimitra.io
coinmarketcap.com
marketcapof.com
INJECTIVE Head and Shoulders Just a quick trade set up that could be a good LONG to take. Price looks to have printed an inverse Head and Shoulders which looks like a bullish reversal.
Along with the Bullish inverse Head and Shoulders INJ broke the bearish diagonal trendline with a strong retest as new support and consistent higher lows being posted.
Using a price forecast that is a mirrored copy of the move down I think that if BTC behaves we should see something similar with incremental take profit points on the way up.
Clear invalidation is a clean break below the head of the Head and Shoulders pattern.
ETH Bullish Pennant | ETF approval confluence | Target: 2021 ATHNot Financial Advice
TL;DR Bullish Pennant on BINANCE:ETHUSDT daily chart, upwards breakout target would be very close to 2021 ATH. SEC approval of VanEck ETF (final deadline on May 23) could be a major catalyst.
A rare case of (potential) technical and fundamental confluence:
ETH has been building a Bullish Pennant since the end of the Feb 5 - Mar 12 rally
The retest of the multi-month support in place since October 2023 might signal that the bottom is in
The final deadline for SEC's approval of VanEck's ETH ETF lines up almost perfectly with the convergence between the pennant's resistance and the multi-month support
Interestingly enough, the target for an upwards breakout of the pennant around VanEck's approval deadline would be very close to the 2021 ATH
03/06/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $70,741.40
Last weeks low: $68.714.79
Midpoint: $66,688.18
As we enter the Midway point in the calendar year BTC finds itself continuing to battle its '21 ATH. For many weeks now we've seen this key S/R level flipping from support to resistance and vice versa, will we finally see a breakout move above this week?
Although for the last few weeks the general attention has been focused on the ETH ETF, now that that is over and had a bullish turnout the market is looking for BTC to lead the way. Price is now above the 4H 200EMA, Post-halving supply shock effecting tokenomics positively in terms of supply and demand and currently breaking down the previous cycles high. Given all that in mind I think the patient will be rewarded as I think when BTC does get a clear run, most likely when Greyscale stop selling at a rate that causes outflows to overcome inflows. Top buyers sell pressure is relieved as holders who were underwater all bear market sell their positions and give way to buyers with high conviction. Then we will see BTC target $80K, only a matter of time.
This week I am focusing on BTC strength and signs of a breakout, I would say that once BTC breaks out, ETH will break above $4K and target ATH @ $4.8K. Things to look out for is any US news that could effect the markets; law making, Veto's etc.
Hopefully you had a good first half of 2024 and good luck for the second half!!
BTCUSD - New heavens ?I said 2 things earlier but I changed my mind a bit
- the first thing was that I wanted to wait on Monday to do a new post because of the geopolitical situation and the halving, what happened last night convinced me that the floor was here (of course I can be 100% wrong)
- second thing is that from my last post, I said we could chill some months because nothing would happen, it still can be true but the situation looks familiar and this rebound just before the halving is kinda interesting, also summer is only in 2 months.
So, for the little time frame, we are sitting under the 1H 200MA which is about to likely be break (or maybe is already it took me times to write this)
I'm saying this situation looks familiar because the floor at the 0.786 fib which has been made during the past month is very similar to the one from Jan 2021 to June 2021(maybe not on the daily but if you zoom in you'll see it maybe)
You can note the big uptrend going on after this, not saying that we will see the same but from that pattern recognition, and knowing that it works well here, I think we're heading to the new ATH : 100K, a big psychological resistance + a line resistance made from the past highs in 2021
Also this is interesting to notice that this new floor is at the past first ATH made in March 2021
Till this new ATH I don't really see any other paths that could happen (or maybe I refuse to see them, also I don't know about the time it will make)
But then, here are the 2 scenarios I drew :
- Pink : We go super fast too 125k, 20% retrace rule to 100K while chilling during the summer and we go back to new highs from fall 2024/January 2025
- Green : We go a bit slower doing a retrace of 20% at 100 and 125K (or, in this scenario, not doing at retrace at 125K is possible)
I think those 125K and 100K are very important levels (that still can be drilled tho) for several reasons, the most important one is about the patterns BTC did the past cycles.
Concerning this pattern, it is very likely that we are going to go up till the beginning of Summer, then we might see some months of sunny holidays to retrace and we will be back for 1 year of this famous bull run that might start mid fall 2024/early January 2025
Cheers good luck,
Bitcoin faces resistance: A battle for All-Time HighsCurrently, Bitcoin is facing several resistances prior to its attempt to reach all-time highs (ATH). A correction has started from the first resistance level, which could lead its price down to $63,000.
It won’t be easy to break through its ATH because there’s a significant amount of money waiting at those resistance levels, ready to exit.
Therefore, Bitcoin needs a catalyst to provide the strength to surpass these resistances and enter into a bull run.
27/05/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $71,999.47
Last weeks low: $69,028.57
Midpoint: $66,057.66
After a historical week for the crypto space with the ETH ETF approval has meant that BTC has taken somewhat of a backseat. Currently battling with the '21 ATH at SWB:69K while ETH is beginning to pic up strength in the ETH/BTC pair and take volume away from Bitcoin.
Ethereum has been a relatively slow mover in comparison to some of the rest of the altcoin market. However, now that the ETFs are approved and it is to be expected that ETH will have huge Inflows just as BTC did with a >50% increase since approval. All this means that I could see BTC fighting the '21 ATH for sometime while the altcoin market and mostly ETH will take the spotlight for the next week at least.
SWB:69K lines up well with the weekly range Midpoint and that's the key battle for BTC, so far this Bullrun we've seen BTC lead the way generally, could it be time for ETH to take over?
This week I think ETH and ETH beta plays (OP, ARB, LDO, METIS etc) are the ones to watch, I would be cautious when it comes to Longing ETH blindly at this level, yes the massive demand increase will help price rise but as we saw with BTC after ETF approval, price did drop 18% over two weeks post approval. I'm not saying this will definitely happen with ETH, so far despite an initial 10% whipsaw price has stayed generally the same with a slight move up, however It is worth noting.
AVAX Analysis: Entry into Main Trend and Peak ExpectationAVAX is currently entering the main trend in the middle. If this is successful, I expect a strong peak after the second half of June. I want to highlight two important dates: June 21 and August 5.
As seen in the chart, AVAX is moving within a strong upward trend. Currently trading at 40.500, I foresee the possibility of AVAX moving towards the 148.000 levels. Closures above this level may indicate the continuation of the trend and pave the way for new peaks.
Key Levels to Watch:
June 21, 2024: I expect significant price movement on this date. It is likely that the trend entry will be confirmed and the upward momentum will gain speed.
August 5, 2024: During this period, a strong move towards the peak could occur.
If AVAX successfully enters this trend, we may see much higher levels in the remainder of the year. However, it is important to manage risks well and diversify your portfolio when investing.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is not intended as investment advice. You should make your investment decisions based on your own research. As cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, always be cautious and prioritize risk management. The responsibility for investments made based on this analysis lies entirely with the investor.
Invest smart, stay safe.
Atilla Yurtseven
20/05/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $67701.33
Last weeks low: $64227.62
Midpoint: $60753.92
We have lift off... maybe? Bitcoin has spent the last 2 months chopping between the low $70K's and high $50K's after a strong rally. However, it looks like strength has returned at least for now in BTC after the CPI print of Wednesday last week. This volatility influx moved BTC back above the 4H 200EMA which has been the all important level in determining the Mid - Low time frame trend. Now that price is back above I think the general sentiment would be to be more risk on, especially in terms of leverage than we've seen in the last few weeks. Not necessarily saying this is an ideal entry, just I think more confidence is returning to Bitcoin.
The altcoin market on the other hand with exception to a few top performers is lagging behind BTC, and that can be seen by the Bitcoin dominance at 56% currently and targeting local highs. For altcoins to begin reclaiming some of their loses we'd need BTC to get back above the '21 high of $69K.
Also, we have the ETH ETF approval deadline for VanEck and ArkInvest/ 21Shares on the 23rd &24th May respectively. Coinbase believes the odds of approval are closer to 30-40% so it would be a shock if these ETF's were approved by the SEC, however, if they were to be approved this could help kickstart the altcoin market again.
For this week it's about seeing if BTC can capitalise on last weeks progress and target the '21 ATH. The purple trendline needs to be respected on the way up otherwise I think we'll retest the MIDPOINT or even the 0.25 area.
BNB Bullish Pennant - Target: $880Bullish pennant on BINANCE:BNBUSDT
Not Financial Advice
Fib retracements are drawn between the ATH and the 2022 low. Some levels are still very well respected. (The pennant's low, matches exactly 0.618 fib)
We are very close to the pennant's convergence, so a breakout should be imminent.
Watch for a breakout of the resistance trendline (solid orange), as the target for a breakout would be a new ATH at around $880.
Expect some resistance in the $690 area, as that was the previous ATH.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/16/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18657.00
- PR Low: 18640.00
- NZ Spread: 38.0
No significant economic calendar events
Pushed ATH to ~18760
- Faded back inside Wed range
- Inventory response of prev session low, slight session break gap up
- Relatively low volume to start the session
Evening Stats (As of 1:45 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 240.60
- Volume: 19K
- Open Int: 245K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 19246
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone