ATR
STR one of the most volatile coinsI set my alerts and go to sleep. Stellar moves are sharp if you are in the right side of the trade you will make a fortune and vice versa. Use Average True Range to set your stop loss (Safety Net).
Minor correction S&P fueled by higher unemployment rateNon farm payrolls and the unemployment rate will be released today at 0830. A release higher than expected could fuel a minor correction. The chart displayed shows the negative correlation between the S&P and the total civilian unemployment rate. Because of the uncertainty of the release, RSI very high, and ATR falling; I would stay clear of the equities markets today until this release plays out. Just my thoughts.
Happy Trading
SPX; less and less price actionTo start off with some context, the previous upper cycle, peak to peak, was 7 years. This cycle has lasted 10 years, roughly. We can then expect an obvious deeper recession. The last one was roughly 2 years long. But when? The market keeps expanding, the dollar has become stronger, oil is getting cheaper, and manufacturing is up. All the fundamentals look pretty good, aside from the fact that we are 3 years due for a peak. There's one weakness, technically that I can see right now. Price action is reducing and the VIX is at an all time low.
See the chart for the decrease in average true range as the SPX moves higher. Could this slow us down? Relative strength keeps building, positive. Food for thought.
LTCUSD 1d long, current and past Divergences, great OpportunityOn March 29th a sudden Increase of Volatility happend - look at the Average True Range (ATR): this Indicator clearly shows that the daily Range of Price started to increase.
Several Divergences indicate a Reversal of the current trend. Divergences of the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) against Price are shown by CCIDivergence, Divergences of Momentum against Price are shown by "Jeddingen Divergence" (JDiv).
Based on those both Indicators Jeddingen Divergence and CCIDivergence, a lucrative Strategy evolves, looking at the daily Candles.
A Signal is generated when a JDiv or a CCIDiv is occurs, Support and Resistance lines can be used as Take-Profit and Stop-Loss.
In this Example, there is one Exceptions. The very first Divergence wouldn't have worked out - although Price dropped at the End of the Divergence. Maybe Volatility/ ATR was too low.
At the second Divergence (the first Trade), there was a bearish CCIDivergence with no Resistance (Price was at it's alltime high at that time) and no support Level that seemed usable (it would have been a Support somewhere at the low-volatility Area). A common Practice with those kind of Trades is to use Pivots as Profit-Targets. In this case the weekly Pivot (Fibonacci-Style) would have been a good Target. Most of my Trades do not have a Stop-Loss, but in this case, I guess I would have calculated the Stop-Loss in a Way so that the Risk-Reward-Ration would have been 1.
Recently there appeared a JDiv and a CCIDiv. According to my Strategy, the Profit-Target could be the alltime High at 94.021. Though there are other structures since September second, I don't believe that they are reliable resistance Levels, because since then, LTCUSD was in a massive Downtrend. But to play it safe, an earlier Exit could be considered, e.g. an earlier Pivot or a Fibonacci Level.
As Stop-Loss I would suggest the Resistance-Level that was used in the earlier Trades.
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GBPUSD - Long opportunityHello Traders,
Based on my technical scoring, we have a valid buying opportunity on the GBPUSD in line with the bullish trend (Daily).
We are sitting on a daily structure level, with strong fibonacci confluence.
RSI was oversold on our initial test
Looking for entries on my lower time frame, in the form of a double bottom with RSI divergence.
Stops are based off a 2xATR
Targets based off a Fibonacci retracements of the recent swing.
Furthermore, we have a buillish Cypher pattern that is still valid.
Have a great week!
Long EURUSD Doji + Possible Downward trend line break.I have been seeing this signal for the last 2 hours or so. I am looking to go long with a small loss. It sucks that I am going to go to sleep. But, on the bright side this is a great trade with a wonderful profit to loss ration. So this is a win win even if I loose the trade I learn :) Happy Trading Alain
Postponing the suffer?For complementing the notes on the chart, I want to point out the following:
a) At the moment, RSI is showing bearish divergence.
b) ATR keeps following an opposite direction of price's, meaning the real trend only emerges when price declines, a behavior verified since March 2009.
EURCHF: Wide stop loss longWe can take a long here, fading this momentum run to the downside in a mostly quiet and sideways market.
Support is potentially strong against this level, so we can expect upside soon.
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Ivan Labrie
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Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.