FRHC Downtrend Possible SoonSUMMARY:
Depending on what Candle type you use, anybody that invested in $FRHC on or before November 12th should hold off on selling then wait at least 5 days for uptrend continuation.
SYNOPSIS:
Backtesting of this stock with a tight ATR(5:1) using a Heikin Ashu has a 75% accuracy rate with an average trads profit of 13.58%/signal shows that the current ATR sits at 32.21 and hasn't trigger a sell signal yet. Using a normal candlestick, accuracy increases to 80% but average profit drops to 8.73%
So in my option after using technicals extremely careful and only on charts that can produce highly accurate and profitable backtest based off recent to present day charts, it might be time to consider setting a Sell Stop at either 32.21 or 34.49.
FOR REFERENCE...
Current Buy Signal: 11/04/2020 - Present
365 Day Backtest from 11/26/2029 - PRESENT
Sharpie Ratio: 0.857 - 0.895
Win/Loss Ratio: 4.15 - 6.199
Average Win Profit: 8.73 - 13.58%
Max Drawdown: -2.1 to -2.19%
NOTE: Results likely only accurate due to FRHC's consistent uptrend a low volatility. Testing the same ATR from the day it started moving upwards to Present Day still shows between 68-78% accuracy depending on the candlestick.
ATR
TSLA 4H TRIANGLE BREAKOUTTriangles are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Triangles and ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of volume average for a full position size.
b - If 75% of volume average then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
If not 75% then stand aside from the trade.
2 – If candle breaks out of a trendline, 15m before the close of the day prepare your buy/sell order.
Enter two trades. 1st trade will have a SL & TP. It will close automatically when the 1st TP is hit. 2nd
trade only has a SL and will be allowed to run. When 1st TP is hit move the SL to breakeven. Look
at ATR and prepare SL at 1.5 of ATR. Prepare 1st trade TP at 1 of ATR.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade don't wait for SL to be hit.
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
EURGBP 1D DESCENDING TRIANGLEDescending Triangles are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Descending chart patterns will have a directional bias (Short) depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of volume average for a full position size.
b - If 75% of volume average then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
If not 75% then stand aside from the trade.
2 – If candle breaks out of a trendline, 15m before the close of the day prepare your buy/sell order.
Enter two trades. 1st trade will have a SL & TP. It will close automatically when the 1st TP is hit. 2nd
trade only has a SL and will be allowed to run. When 1st TP is hit move the SL to breakeven. Look
at ATR and prepare SL at 1.5 of ATR. Prepare 1st trade TP at 1 of ATR.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade don't wait for SL to be hit.
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
ETCUSD 1D RANGE TRADINGRanges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of volume average for a full position size.
b - If 75% of volume average then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
If not 75% then stand aside from the trade.
2 – If candle breaks out of a trendline, 15m before the close of the day prepare your buy/sell order.
Enter two trades. 1st trade will have a SL & TP. It will close automatically when the 1st TP is hit. 2nd
trade only has a SL and will be allowed to run. When 1st TP is hit move the SL to breakeven. Look
at ATR and prepare SL at 1.5 of ATR. Prepare 1st trade TP at 1 of ATR.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade don't wait for SL to be hit.
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
NZDJPY - Muti TF Technical Analysis - 6 year trendline & SupportThis is a high probability trade with an almost 6 year trend line that we broke out of this month sitting on a well tested formerly supply zone, now demand. That's it. Simple trade. 😇
The Daily price action appears to be slowing down so should be primed for a buy right at the trend line.
Set your TP wherever you like but I'll probably set the initial TP at 73.5 but have it trailing at 1xATR and ride the incoming trend.
Please follow proper risk management. I use 1.5x Daily ATR which puts my SL at 225pips. Pretty large but as a more volatile pair, this could easily test your resilience and have a large DD before going in your direction. Buy at the DD and don't be the DD 😅.
Happy trading
EURAUD 15M UNIDIRECTIONAL TRADING STRATEGYUnidirectional Trade Strategy
STEP 1 - The first step to start trading is to choose the right market to trade and the best time of the day to trade.
You chose a market and you stick with it until you master it.
For the purpose of his unidirectional trade strategy review, we’re going to stick with trading FOREX.
Moving forward, we’re going to lay down some rules to trade only in one direction.
STEP 2 - Only Buy if We Trade Above the Opening Price
We’re not going to predict which way to trade, but instead, we’re going to go along with the intraday momentum strategy.
What we mean by this is simple:
If the market price trades above the opening price of the new trading day, it’s an indication that the buyers are in control, so we want to go along with the flow of the market. The other alternative is to try to guess the market, which is a lot harder.
Note* conversely, if the price is below the opening price we only trade on the short side.
Since we’re trading within the forex market, we want to focus only on the major trading session like the forex London market and the New York sessions.
Step 3 - Buy at the First Green Candle that closes above the Opening price of the New Trading Day.
We need to clarify some rules:
If during the first hours of trading the market has spent most of its time above the opening price our bias for that day is up, and we only look to buy. Conversely, if during the first hours of trading the market has spent most of its time below the opening price our bias for that day is bearish and we only look to sell.
When the next major trading session opens (i.e. The London session) we look for the first bullish candle that closes above the opening price to trigger our entry:
You can actually buy each time you see the price retesting and getting rejected from the opening price.
We’re going to use the same rules and buy at the first bullish candle that closes above the daily opening price.
Now, you may be asking yourself:
“What if the market is already above the opening price?”
“How do we enter?”
Buy after each two consecutive bullish candles. Or, if you have a big bullish candle with its trading range bigger than the surrounding candles, you can go ahead and buy.
Step 4 - You determine your own Take Profit levels or
Take Profit Equals 2 times ATR
We are going to use the average true range (ATR) indicator which measures the price volatility. This will give us a more efficient way to pinpoint the dynamic exit price level.
As our profit target, we’re going to use the 14-period ATR applied to the 15-minute chart and multiply that by 2.
For example, if the ATR is 5 pips our take profit will be 2 x ATR, which is 10 pips.
Here are some of the advantages that come with trading only in one direction:
Trading along with the momentum.
A big profit potential on strong trading days.
Reduces risk and improves the risk-reward ratio.
Final Words – Unidirectional Trading Strategy
In summary, a unidirectional trading strategy is an easy-to-use approach that is a great way for novice traders to get their feet wet. Short-term traders are better off with our unidirectional intraday trading strategy because they can profit without predicting the market.
The bottom line is that if you stay nimble and react to the current market price, you’re better than trying to forecast the market. When you’re tied to your predictions you’re blinded to what’s really going on in the market.
Keep it simple and trade in one direction!
Thank you for reading!
LULU 1D TRIANGLE BREAKOUTTriangles are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Triangles are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of volume average for a full position size.
b - If 75% of volume average then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
If not 75% then stand aside from the trade.
2 – If candle breaks out of a trendline, 15m before the close of the day prepare your buy/sell order.
Enter two trades. 1st trade will have a SL & TP. It will close automatically when the 1st TP is hit. 2nd
trade only has a SL and will be allowed to run. When 1st TP is hit move the SL to breakeven. Look
at ATR and prepare SL at 1.5 of ATR. Prepare 1st trade TP at 1 of ATR.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade don't wait for SL to be hit.
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
Es long . Trend reversal trade. EZ trading system. Long ES
Entry price 3553.50
Stop loss 3498
4 hour EZ system.
Rules of this system. Basic strategy. Highly profitable with clear signals. Good for beginner traders. Don’t stray from the rules and you will make money. Trade is over when you are stopped out. No profit targets used or needed. Stop loss is adjusted based on volatility of price every 4hrs . Confirmation of trade is on candle close. You can be aggressive at your own discretion by entering a trade prior to candle close. This is higher risk, but potentially more profitable. By Following stop loss rules any losses will be minimized.
Indicators:
1.5 ATR (Blue dots)
2 ATR (White dots)
2.5 ATR (red dots)
All ATR periods set at 9
Rules for long entry
1. 4h candle closes above blue dots. (Can be more aggressive based on your analysis. See above)
2. Set buy limit 1 or 2 ticks above blue dots. May also just enter at the close of 4h candle if you want to assure entry.
3. Place initial stop loss at white dots or red dots depending on risk tolerance. Do not use blue dots for initial stop as this Is presumably your entry point.
4. Every 4h period adjust SL to either red, white or blue dots. As trade moves in your favor I usually keep stop at blue or white dots. But you may adjust your stop every 4h period to the red, white, or blue dots. You can also place your stops BETWEEN any of these ATRS. You may tighten or loosen your stop in any new 4h hour period as long as you stay at any one of these 3 ATRs. Do not adjust your stop WITHIN any 4h period once it has been set. I usually place my stop a tick or 2 below whichever ATR I’m using . *** Note: adjusting your SL like this is contrary to most opinions about SL’s. However my backtesting shows no statically significant difference in profit/loss ratios over time. Just always place your stop at or between any one of these ATRs and you will be okay.
Stay in trade until you’re stopped out. However you can always end the trade early if you see the tide starting to turn. But I would usually only consider doing this in the following 2 scenarios; 1. if your P/L is at least 2 to 1. 2. If your profit is in negative territory you may exit your trade prior to being stopped out at your discretion for a small loss. Between these 2 scenarios always try to stay in the trade.
Those are the basics. I will show the rules for a short entry when my next short trade presents itself. As you can guess it is the corollary of a long trade.
I will also discuss in the future where you may want to add to a position. This is also very rules based.
Beware: different futures instruments may need different ATR bands. But the rules are otherwise the same. We will go over CL GC and NQ in future trades.
Es reversal trade. Short in a bull market. This is a decent place to try a short. Even though ES is quite bullish still we are under the 2.5 ATR so following my rules this is a short. Keep your stop at the 2 or 1.5 ATR. I’m taking a half position. If it runs then I will add to the trade
Entry 3551
SL 3572
Link/Usdt Break Out!Hello Community!
Before we begin please support my idea with a thumbs up and a comment. It'll be greatly appreciated and will motivate me to post a little more!
Lets keep it simple.
We can see Link on the verge of breaking out of its current triangle on the 2 hr TF. After this break out which i am predicting will be on the long side we can see a move to the top of the channel which i drew out days ago. Keep in mind that could possibly be a solid 15% gain. There's also a bullish divergence on the MACD. Lets see how this all plays out.
This is not Financial advice.
Safe Trading Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect!
Simplicity Win
CHEWY 1D ASCENDING TRIANGLEAscending Triangle are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ascending chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of volume average for a full position size.
b - If 75% of volume average then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
If not 75% then stand aside from the trade.
2 – If candle breaks out of a trendline, 15m before the close of the day prepare your buy/sell order.
Enter two trades. 1st trade will have a SL & TP. It will close automatically when the 1st TP is hit. 2nd
trade only has a SL and will be allowed to run. When 1st TP is hit move the SL to breakeven. Look
at ATR and prepare SL at 1.5 of ATR. Prepare 1st trade TP at 1 of ATR.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade don't wait for SL to be hit.
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
XAGUSD 1D DESCENDING TRIANGLEDescending Triangles are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Descending chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of volume average for a full position size.
b - If 75% of volume average then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
If not 75% then stand aside from the trade.
2 – If candle breaks out of a trendline, 15m before the close of the day prepare your buy/sell order.
Enter two trades. 1st trade will have a SL & TP. It will close automatically when the 1st TP is hit. 2nd
trade only has a SL and will be allowed to run. When 1st TP is hit move the SL to breakeven. Look
at ATR and prepare SL at 1.5 of ATR. Prepare 1st trade TP at 1 of ATR.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade don't wait for SL to be hit.
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
Lowest Low ValueThe Lowest Low-Value indicator plots the lowest low price over a specific period.
Previously on my another video called "Highest High Value Indicator (HHV)" I explained how we can combine HHV with MA. (Link is provided below)
On this video, I am explaining how to use both LLV and HHV indicators combined with ATR to confirm trading signals.
HHV and LLV are very reliable in the trendy market, so it is wise to only use them when we have high ATR readings.
DASHUSD 1D RANGE TRADINGRanges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of volume average for a full position size.
b - If 75% of volume average then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
If not 75% then stand aside from the trade.
2 – If candle breaks out of a trendline, 15m before the close of the day prepare your buy/sell order.
Enter two trades. 1st trade will have a SL & TP. It will close automatically when the 1st TP is hit. 2nd
trade only has a SL and will be allowed to run. When 1st TP is hit move the SL to breakeven. Look
at ATR and prepare SL at 1.5 of ATR. Prepare 1st trade TP at 1 of ATR.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade don't wait for SL to be hit.
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
MONEY BOTH WAYS - IS THAT OKAY?Many people have asked me what I'm doing and how I'm doing it. Basically - it's very different.
This is an educational post. I'm an open book - no secrets. This methodology is a bespoke trend following strategy. It loses! You got that? It also wins.
The job of a trader is to use any methodology to limit losses and maximise gains. That only comes with lots of practice. It doesn't matter which system you use. Perfect our skills on paper trading accounts - Tradingview has an excellent free paper trading account. Blow up no fewer than 10 of those. 😃😂 Seriously it's a good idea to do it that way.
But in my own methodology, I've noticed that when following a trend it is a good idea to take profits in a sudden deep RSI if going short (and very high RSI if long). The rebellions nearly always comes.
In this 2H strategy would be nested other trends on say 5 min or 15 min. Those who need to see more can check my scenario on Gold.
I also combine 'theory of curves' in my trend expectations (not predictions). I predict nothing in trend following. How would I know how far the trend is going? I can't know!
See also EURAUD 1H
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
LITE CRUDE OIL FUTURES 1DRanges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of volume average for a full position size.
b - If 75% of volume average then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
If not 75% then stand aside from the trade.
2 – If candle breaks out of a trendline, 15m before the close of the day prepare your buy/sell order.
Enter two trades. 1st trade will have a SL & TP. It will close automatically when the 1st TP is hit. 2nd
trade only has a SL and will be allowed to run. When 1st TP is hit move the SL to breakeven. Look
at ATR and prepare SL at 1.5 of ATR. Prepare 1st trade TP at 1 of ATR.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade don't wait for SL to be hit.
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
MNKD 1D ASCENDING TRIANGLE BREAKOUT LONGAscending Triangles are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ascending chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of volume average for a full position size.
b - If 75% of volume average then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
If not 75% then stand aside from the trade.
2 – If candle breaks out of a trendline, 15m before the close of the day prepare your buy/sell order.
Enter two trades. 1st trade will have a SL & TP. It will close automatically when the 1st TP is hit. 2nd
trade only has a SL and will be allowed to run. When 1st TP is hit move the SL to breakeven. Look
at ATR and prepare SL at 1.5 of ATR. Prepare 1st trade TP at 1 of ATR.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade don't wait for SL to be hit.
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
TESLA 1D TRIANGLE BULLISH BREAKOUTTriangles are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Triangles are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of volume average for a full position size.
b - If 75% of volume average then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
If not 75% then stand aside from the trade.
2 – If candle breaks out of a trendline, 15m before the close of the day prepare your buy/sell order.
Enter two trades. 1st trade will have a SL & TP. It will close automatically when the 1st TP is hit. 2nd
trade only has a SL and will be allowed to run. When 1st TP is hit move the SL to breakeven. Look
at ATR and prepare SL at 1.5 of ATR. Prepare 1st trade TP at 1 of ATR.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade don't wait for SL to be hit.
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
USDCAD 1D BULL FLAG LONG TRADEBull Flags are a form of Range Patterns and are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Bull Flag chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
Ethereum Edging LowerEthereum (ETH) experienced strong growth this summer, mostly due to its network hosting dozens of DeFi tokens which grew tremendously. ETH then experienced a particularly sharp 30% correction, along with the entire market, about one month ago. The coin is now hovering around the $315-$340 support.
Lower Volatility
Following the crash, Ethereum experienced a period of reduced volatility, which we can observe through the Average True Range. The Average True Range (ATR) is a volatility indicator that determines the typical value range of an asset for a particular candle. For example, if we are using the 4-hour chart on Ethereum, and we have an ATR with a value of 4, then the expected range for that particular candle is $4.
The Cryptohopper ATR is a variant of the ATR indicator that adds a 28 period moving average. If the ATR is above the moving average, then the market is considered to be volatile. If the ATR is below the moving average, then the market is not volatile. Ever since the market crash, the Cryptohopper ATR has mostly indicated low volatility. Therefore when trading in the current market, it is better to keep your profit target tight and make small but consistent gains.
What Happens Next?
Ethereum is currently at support and may bounce back. However, for a bounce to occur, there needs to be substantial volatility along with the upward momentum. Therefore it is essential to keep an eye on the ATR when taking a position.
The first resistance level stands around $390. The next resistance stands at $485, which is this year’s high.
If the market takes a turn for the worse and breaks the current support, we could see Ethereum head to $250. This was the resistance level broken by the DeFi bull run earlier this year.
AMRX 1D RANGE TRADESRanges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
GOLD: Exploiting a trend - secrets shared! Some have asked me about my rather different methodology. This 15 min chart of Gold which isn't my favourite, shows it all. No secrets. No fees. No signups. No signals. No obligations! 😃👍 The position setup shown looks back only to show how it works. There are 5 points at which this trend could have been shorted. If you're a day trader, you might have lost some sleep on this one, but it would have been worth as much as 69 points, or multiply that by whatever you put in for a position sizes. If you had the 'bottle' (not recommending alcohol), you could have added one or two position sizes. (The trend shown could have happened on any time frame - no law says it couldn't. Unlikely on a 4H but who cares).
Some knew that gold was likely to head south, but nobody could predict how far, when an important plunge came. Trends predict nothing. You just follow and 'a system' can determine your get-out point.
I can't provide skill in this methodology. It sure has it's losses like any other methodology. I can only show how it's composed. The following are important:
1 - one has to spot the trend switch early - so alerts can be set up to spot it.
2 - flattening of price and trend may say something is about to happen (north or south)
3 - price alerts can be set up, so you know to look when something happens (if you're asleep - tough).
4 - an initial RSI plunge or punch does not necessarily mean that price is going to recoil - it could mean start of a big move.
5 - do not fear the RSI - but respect it.
6 - take some or all profits in a very deep or high RSI (depending on direction of trade).
7 - Watch for a 'theory of curves ' - it often gives a warning of the trend ending (approx 55% chance).
Skill in any methodology means lots of time and effort sequencing and practicing. Do it on a paper trading account. If you don't do the time you don't get the 'dime'.
One day traders will wake up to the value of teamwork. So some can take the watch while others have a nap - the 'watchman' wakes everybody when important stuff happens. 😃🤣
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.