Activision Blizzard (ATVI)Why is activision's ticker symbol ATVi? Couldn't it be better to be ACTB, or ABLZ?
What a bizarre chart to see. The premarket, most likely, or after hours trading causes loss in volume yet the price increases. I don't know much about these types of accidents. Is this what happens when a multi million dollar short loses? #tradecryptocurrency and never miss the blip.
ATVI
ATVI Activision Blizzard arbitrage opportunity Microsoft had agreed to acquire Activision Blizzard ATVI in a cash deal valued at $68.7 billion, equal to $95 per share.
Activision Blizzard owns some of the most popular gaming franchises globally: World of Warcraft, Call of Duty, and Candy Crush.
So there is a 17% upside arbitrage here, if the deal does close.
ATVI BUYERS ARE BACK, Ascend next...ATVI accumulation is definitely ON. Net buyers has started positioning for the last 4 days at the 75 ish area...
Buying volume has started increasing significantly on a daily basis.
Expect some bounce from here on.
Here are the financial results for the last quarter -- and ATVI has been bringing the goods so far.
----------
Financials
Quarterly financials
MAR 2023
(USD) Mar 2023 Y/Y
Revenue 2.38B 34.79%
Net income 740M 87.34%
Diluted EPS 0.93 86%
Net profit margin 31.05% 38.99%
Operating income 800M 67.01%
Net change in cash 2.18B 301.66%
Cash on hand - -
Cost of revenue 665M 38.83%
BILI*4+AAL*3+SNAP*3+ATVI*2+JCI -All my Trades in one chartThis is all of the trades I am in currently and where it is at in this move. I jumped in below the ribbon , which is more of a risky position and you tend to wait a few weeks to get into the profit run. You still see profits but the easy wins come when it hits the top of the ribbon. Today I saw a pop at the beginning for the day for $1000. However, keep in mind we aren't even in Stage 1 of the profit run. Each line represents where Volume and Price meet in the middle on every timeframe. When they are tight together it means all time frames between vol and price see eye to eye which isnt the easiest task. But this move is the setup for when Institutional lets retail take price to a profit target. I will post an image without the lines. But its important to see the relationship between these two things and across all the time frames where pockets of retail traders are waiting for their signals to be triggered. You can see their interest in these lines...Price will find support once it breaks free of the ribbon. At that point it is in stage 1 of the profit run.
by iCantw84it
06.13.23
Probable scenarios on the ATVIAs you can see in the chart ATVI Had started A massive uptrend in the last 23 years that it could be NEAR to the END of mentioned uptrend by my point of view.
there are 2 scenario that could happen.
in the first scenario we are going to have A new HIGH which shouldn't have a high difference with the last High! (Orange LINE)
in the second scenario after breaking the black line which would be the best trigger to my idea, the purple will hold the price temporarily and provide a good situaion to make a SHORT position on this share. (Green LINE)
at the end i SHOULD say breaking the black line is the key trigger to (sell/short) on this share.
ATVI - A simple take on current price actionHi guys. This is my techical analysis on what i see on Activision. Its a personal favorite, as im a heavy gamer of COD, diablo and more. But just a reminder this is not financial advise, i am not a financial advisor. Everything portrayed here is my opinion.
FYI - i tried to fit an example of MACD that i feel this current action is more closely related to so sorry ahead of time if you cant zoom in on current price action but check out the charts yourself!
WE are looking at the Weekly timeframe
So lets look first at price action:
As you can see, we broke out of this major resistance trend line from the all time highs of Feb 2021 last week.
However, we have yet to confirm whether we stay above or below. We need to pay attention to this weeks close.
Currently, if we were to close here it would be a dragonfly doji candle, which wouldnt be a strong confirmation in my opinion. Since we've been going sideways for a bunch of weeks now. Dragonflies are better to trade when we've been in a clear downtrend. If it prints this, i would wait to see the close of next week for a firm confirmation.
I would like to see a hammer candle. or something with a bigger body which would be confirmation for me to enter a trade.
But the large lower wick is a good sign that there is tremendous buy pressure from this red trend line acting as support.
So with this confirmation, this would mean a trend change from our 2 year down trend.
ALso always be unbiased. If it fails to stay above the Red trend line, look to the horizontal line and or the upsloping trendline thats been support since Feb 2019.
Stop loss would go 5-10% below Red trend line.
NOw the indcators i got. (top to bottom)
1. Stoch RSI
2.MACD
3. RSI
The STOCH RSI - has crossed bullish which favors momentum to the upside
The MACD is also crossed bullish and is slowly moving up over the 0 line. If it confirms above the 0 line, momentum can pick up tremendously. If you look at previous data it leads to massive runs to the upside and when we stay above the 0 line
The RSI is something im watching also. Especially its interaction with the 2 trend lines i drew. We want to get above the trendliens for added bullish momentum or increased buying demand. This would confirm a major trend change along with keeping the red trendline in price action as support.
Well thats what i see. Lets watch and see whats up! This is a trade i will be taking personally.
Let me know what yall are thinking. I would like another perspective! Like, comment and follow! Check out my other charts and i linked my EA analysis down below.
DIsclaimer: This is not fianncial advice and i am not a fiancial advisor. This is just my opinions and for educational purpose as i am a student of the charts!
ATVI is trading with a discount of 25% to the takeover price.ATVI is being a target of takeover (agreed by shareholders) at 95$ by MSFT.
Some of the anti-trust organizations are opposing to it. That`s why the price is around 76.6$ right now (59 bn).The deal might go through as ATVI + MSFT will not create a monopolistic position on the gaming market, which is very fragmented and everything depends on the gamers mood/preferences. Even if the deal is not going through - ATVI shares are stalling because of the uncertainties related to the deal and it did not catch up with the peers to the upside. Another important factor: the company is beating expectations of both EPS and Revenues for 2 quarters already and there can be an interesting momentum. All in one the price has the margin of safety needed for a buy with 95$ PT
Disclaimer: These are my personal notes and are not in any form an investment recommendation. Do your homework or contact an authorized advisor.
Activision holding on 0.382 retracement.Activision - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 73.59 (stop at 76.11)
Short term bias is bearish.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
We have a 38.2% Fibonacci pullback level of 74.15 from 103.41 to 56.07.
73.71 has been pivotal.
A break of 73.71 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
The failure to sustain the break higher and subsequent dip, formed a bearish candle and is negative for short term sentiment.
Our profit targets will be 66.77 and 63.77
Resistance: 75.00 / 76.00 / 77.00
Support: 74.00 / 72.00 / 70.00
Daily perspective
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
ATVI Spike (Merger Arbitrage Continued)This morning I received a Spike Alert for price volatility at the open on Activision Blizzard NASDAQ:ATVI . Perhaps people are excited about Wrath of the Lich King classic being released? :D
This swing trade occurs within the context of the Merger Arbitrage trade which has been going on for many months since Microsoft announced an offer of $95/share to purchase ATVI. There has been much rumor and speculation as always on if this deal would go through which manifests itself in a present 20.6% risk premium from the current trading price of ATVI to the buyout price. Nothing has fundamentally changed since the board approved the deal. Warren Buffett is also in the merger arbitrage trade with a 9.5% stake in ATVI.
I am already long the merger arbitrage trade from earlier in the year. Note: Getting into it now would be less than 12 months til the expected buyout which would mean a successful trade would incurr short term capital gains rather than long term. GLHF!
ATVI - Bullish Falling WedgeFalling Wedge in yellow
A Falling Wedge is a bullish continuation pattern and in this case is at the bottom of a larger ascending channel
Once price touches this lower channel band again and forms a double bottom the falling wedge will come into effect and push price back up further into the ascending channel
ATVI:Not playing around!Activision
Short Term - We look to Buy at 79.10 (stop at 76.16)
A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders has formed. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. A weaker opening is expected to challenge bullish resolve. Previous resistance at 79.00 now becomes support. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 79.00, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 86.72 and 90.00
Resistance: 86.80 / 96.00 / 104.00
Support: 79.00 / 74.00 / 68.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Microsoft buying Activision in Q3?The end of Q2/H1 has heavily impacted the majority of stocks as we know. The announced takeover of Activision by Microsoft in my eyes has been put on hold due to the market downturn, pushing back into the second half of Q3 or even as late as mid Q4.
With the buyout suggest to be at US$95 i feel that the current price of US$78 is a good buy.
There is a lot of reasons for Microsoft to make this purchase so I dont think they are going to walk away because it was a bad quarter for everyone.
TCEHY/ATVI - Video Games#longshortcompetition Long: TCEHY / Short: ATVI
Not only do the technicals show a downtrend with support for Tencent. I for one can see the writing on the wall for activision blizzard . They aren't a "bad" company. But boy oh boy have they been taking L after L after L.
Whether its corporate structure, actual incompetence, etc. As someone who grew up on games from age 7-20, a few activision blizzard ones here and there, I've seen the gaming industry evolve MASSIVELY since I first started playing around 2007. Blizzard simply does not know what they're doing.
Diablo Immortal, Heroes of the Storm, Overwatch, World of Warcraft. All falling off a cliff overtime. Losing their player base and fans. Berkshire Hathaway is not going to change gamers. Don't even get me started on the work culture. The PR of this company AND the product have been dog water. I feel like it gets worse before it gets better for ATVI . I feel like throwing money at this can only work so much. They need to listen to actual gamers, their audience, not shareholders to dominate market share. I feel that this will be their biggest problem in the future, not monetization. A part of me wants to be wrong because I grew up with this company but I simply let the chart tell me what it wants to do.
Tencent has an enormous advantage. HUGE in China. Owns Riot Games, half of Epic Games, 5% of Activision Blizzard . Highest earning video game company in the world. They have a diversified gaming portfolio. Data Giant. Most popular game is League of Legends.
I do not ignore the issues of Tencent becoming unpopular, government issues with data, tax, fines, antitrust, etc. Both companies have black swan potential, Tencent more so. But overall If I had to hold either company for 2-3 years, its Tencent. I'm more bearish ATVI than Bullish TCHEY.
Also tradingview, I love your software <3.
Don't have a lot of hope for Blizzard right now. A predictionNot Financial Advice ~ A prediction
I think blizzard has met its newest level of resistance. In the upcoming weeks I expect ATVI to head back down to its latest level of support. To bounce back up, but I think the continuation bounce is going to be significantly lighter than the first.
Activision (but with better spelling) Activision
Short Term
We look to Sell at 75.92 (stop at 78.77)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Previous support level of 76.45 broken. Selling continued from the 61.8% pullback level of 85.33. There is ample scope for a move lower from this important resistance. Closed below the 20-day EMA .
Our profit targets will be 65.12 and 56.10
Resistance: 76.45 / 85.00 / 97.50
Support: 74.00 / 65.00 / 56.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Acitision - stop playing with meActivision
Short Term
We look to Sell at 75.92 (stop at 78.77)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Previous support level of 76.45 broken. Selling continued from the 61.8% pullback level of 85.33. There is ample scope for a move lower from this important resistance. Closed below the 20-day EMA.
Our profit targets will be 65.12 and 56.10
Resistance: 76.45 / 85.00 / 97.50
Support: 74.00 / 65.00 / 56.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Activision Blizzard (ATVI) Due For Snowslide?Activision Blizzard ( ATVI ) Due For Snowslide?
I personally enjoy snow related activities to include snowboarding. But I can assure you a snowslide event is furthest from my mind when I go. If I had a heads up for the probability of one occurring in an area, I'd take adhere to safety precautions or be far removed from the event.
I believe that Activision Blizzard is due for a “snowslide” after it gapped up January 18, 2022.
Rationale-ATVI gapped up approximately 15.90 on January 14, 2022. 6.90 of the total gap was filled. The gap amount that remains is approximately 9.81. Please make a note of the fact that, ATVI closed below the 9, 21, 50 and 200 moving averages (please review the chart below).
ATVI bounced off the 200 MA twice prior to finally going just below it on April 29, 2022. Though it closed under the 200 MA, the candle is closed as a spinning top. It is for that reason that I will more than likely wait for a safe entry just below 75.28.
Overall sentiment- Bearish
Peace and Prosperity,
Al
Activision: This is no time for gamesActivision
Short Term - We look to Sell at 77.15 (stop at 78.83)
We look to sell rallies. Previous support level of 78.00 broken. Previous support at 78.00 now becomes resistance. There is ample scope for a move lower from this important resistance. Selling continued from the 61.8% pullback level of 85.33.
Our profit targets will be 65.12 and 56.10
Resistance: 78.00 / 85.00 / 100.00
Support: 72.00 / 65.00 / 56.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.