· The prediction I made of Australian Yields needing rebalancing earlier in the year points to slightly above average AUD buying throughout 2021 finally came to fruition. · NZ and AU 10Y Yields bounced strongly first after the sweep of lows. The analysis of the starting position showed us that the control now exists on the bid; because we know that it is the...
The Australian Dollar is forecast to continue to rise in value against the Japanese Yen. The Australian central bank has signalled it's talking about tapering its bond purchasing program. As the Australian economy recovers and inflation is expected to rise over the coming quarters. In this video, I cover how analysts on Bloomberg's terminal forecast Australia's...
Despite Japanese 10 Year yields tripling in recent weeks, (Up from 0.02% to 0.06%) that increase is well below the rise in the Australian Ten Year Yields. As a result the "carry trade" gap between the two ten year year rates is increasing steadily and likely to continue to do so. All other things being equal should support further growth in the AUDJPY pair.
The gridlock continues with CB's keeping Yields interlocked for as long as possible. An attack on the highs is inevitable if you ask me, sellers base is just not strong enough. 📌 Recession Strategy US will lead for the purpose of these flows, buyers may still make concessions and allow a retest of 0.82% lows but anything else looks very difficult. The...
I would have preferred it if Aussie Yields could have sought the break for the close last week, the decision to hold up here, rather than forcing the pass is notable that Yield curve control is really coming through. Which is an appendage to the following position in AUD: Those aiming for this macro swing position are effectively trading the artificial Fed...
A noteworthy breakout in Aus 10yr with the technical damage already done as bulls remain supportive at the lows. The 38.2% from the impulsive leg, although still yet to be tested will cap any further downside in the coming weeks. Here we are dealing with the capture of the pinned retrace. We have heaped up the size of our attack, but have to face up to the...
Australian 10yr Treasury Yield still in downtrend (as long as below green downtrend line). If yield breaks above red line (1.20%), trend reversal has occurred.