AUCTION Is Breaking Down—More Pain Ahead?Yello, Paradisers! #AUCTION has been under heavy selling pressure, just like the broader crypto market. The price action remains weak, and the recent break below its ascending trendline support confirms that buyers are losing control. This breakdown is a crucial signal that the bullish structure has been invalidated, and unless something changes, the probability of further downside remains high.
💎#AUCTIONUSDT is trading just below this broken trendline, which has now flipped into a resistance zone, making it difficult for buyers to reclaim lost ground.Adding to the bearish momentum, the previous support level has now turned into a strong resistance, creating another obstacle for any potential recovery. The more a level gets tested as resistance after a breakdown, the stronger it becomes.
💎On top of that, there is an additional trendline resistance, meaning that even if AUCTION attempts a push upward, it will face multiple rejection points before any significant breakout can occur. This kind of price action suggests that sellers are still in control, and buying pressure is not strong enough to force a reversal.
💎Further reinforcing this bearish outlook is the 1D 12EMA, which is now acting as a dynamic resistance. Moving averages like this often act as barriers in downtrends, preventing price recoveries and leading to further declines. Additionally, the Multi-Timeframe VWAP (Quarterly) is also aligning with these resistance areas, making it even more challenging for AUCTION to break above these levels. When multiple technical indicators confirm the same resistance zones, it significantly increases the probability of the market rejecting any bullish attempts and continuing lower.
💎Another critical factor supporting the bearish thesis is the Fibonacci retracement level, which is also acting as resistance. This means that even from a retracement perspective, the price is struggling to move higher and remains capped under key technical levels. With all these resistances stacked against AUCTION, it is no surprise that the probability of a further downward move is increasing.
💎If the selling pressure persists, the next major downside target lies between $10.20 - $9.60, a key support area that could provide temporary relief. However, if bearish momentum continues, we must be prepared for a deeper correction, with the next significant support zone sitting between $8.85 - $8.30. These levels are crucial to monitor because they represent areas where buyers might step in to slow down the decline.
💎That said, there is one key level that could invalidate this bearish outlook—a 4H candle closing above $14.48. If AUCTION manages to break and hold above this level, it would indicate that buyers are regaining strength, and we could start reconsidering a shift in market structure. Until then, the trend remains bearish, and the higher probability play is to the downside.
The market is ruthless right now, and only traders who stick to disciplined strategies will come out on top. If you want to be among the winners, don’t let emotions dictate your trades—wait for the highest probability setups and execute with precision. Stay patient, stay smart, and make sure you’re on the right side of the trade, Paradisers!
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