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AUD (Australian Dollar)

AUDJPY hawkish RBA statement after their 25bps cutThis was the RBA's first rate cut since 2020, with the bank citing some progress towards bringing down inflation, but warning that further monetary easing still hinged on more downside in inflation. The central bank indicated that it would retain a restrictive policy due to the strength of the jobs market and an uncertain global economic outlook. The AUDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The recent oversold bounce back is retesting major resistance at 97.30. The key trading level is at 97.30, which is the current swing high, 50 Day Moving Average and previous support now newly formed resistance. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 97.30 level could target the downside support at 94.90 followed by 93.40 and 91.40 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 97.30 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 98.50 resistance followed by 100.00 levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
AUDCAD Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for AUDCAD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.9015 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.8992 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDNZD Ascending Triangle Bullish Breakout Targeting 1.1340The AUDNZD currency pair is currently trading at 1.1140, with a target price of 1.1340, suggesting a potential upward move of 100+ pips. The pair is forming an ascending triangle pattern, a classic bullish continuation pattern. This pattern typically forms when the price consistently makes higher lows while encountering a horizontal resistance level, signaling a potential breakout above the resistance. Traders are looking for a confirmation of the breakout above the resistance level to target 1.1340. From a technical perspective, the ascending triangle is often a sign of market indecision, but it’s typically followed by a breakout to the upside when the price pushes through the resistance at the top of the triangle. In this case, the breakout would likely target the 1.1340 level, where the next significant resistance could come into play. On the fundamental side, the Australian dollar has been relatively stronger recently due to robust commodity exports, particularly iron ore and coal. In contrast, the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from a more dovish outlook from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which has recently taken a cautious approach to monetary policy. These economic dynamics could support the bullish case for AUDNZD, especially if the breakout occurs in favor of the Aussie dollar. In summary, the ascending triangle pattern on AUDNZD points toward a bullish breakout above the 1.1160 resistance. If confirmed, the pair could target the 1.1340 level. Keep an eye on any upcoming economic data from both Australia and New Zealand, as these could provide further confirmation or invalidate the breakout.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
GBPAUD Will Move Lower! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.983. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.964 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/AUD: Weekly Engulfing Bar Pullback!The recent performance of the EUR/AUD exchange rate shows a fluctuating trend, with a slight recovery, closing at approximately 1.6450 in the first week of February. In the preceding days, the rate experienced several declines, with a significant drop. These fluctuations reflect the economic dynamics of both the Eurozone and Australia. In the Eurozone, inflation unexpectedly rose to 2.5% in January, exceeding the European Central Bank’s 2% target for the third consecutive month. Despite this, the ECB plans to continue cutting interest rates, expecting inflation to reach its 2% target over the year. Meanwhile, the Eurozone economy showed no growth in the last quarter of 2024, with contractions in Germany and France and stagnation in Italy. In Australia, the leading economic indicators index increased by 0.2% in October 2024, suggesting a slight economic recovery. However, Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers confirmed a worsening fiscal deficit, projected to rise by AUD 21.8 billion over the next four years, mainly due to unavoidable expenditures. These economic developments impact the EUR/AUD exchange rate, with the Euro benefiting from a more accommodative monetary policy while Australia faces fiscal challenges. Despite the recent upward movement, the negative trends from previous sessions and technical analysis suggest caution is warranted when assessing the short-term trajectory of the EUR/AUD exchange rate.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Bullish bounce?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 96.59 1st Support: 94.69 1st Resistance: 96.84 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bullish bounce off pullback support?AUD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 95.69 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 95.06 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 96.85 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Bullish bounce?AUD/CAD is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.9006 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.8976 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.9044 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
GBPAUD: Going for the highs!! Pay attention this morning!!If we look at the daily chart (chart below), we clearly see that the GBPAUD pair has a stable bullish (Bull) technical aspect, respecting its dynamic supports (blue zones) at all times. --> To see the technical detail, we will analyze the chart above which is in H1 time frame. Since February 13, when the overbought appeared in the oscillator and the MOMENTUM turned bearish (Bear), the price did not stop falling reaching the Fibonacci zone of 61.8% (1.97565). Once that key zone was reached, and respected, the price began to gain bullish strength (Bull) until today. It is currently in a key zone, which if surpassed, will go directly to attack its previous highs in the 1.99450 area --> What risks do we face? High-impact news that will affect both the AUD (at 4:30) and the GBP (at 8:00) Here are the high-impact news that will be released this morning and the time: 04:30 AUD RBA Monetary Policy Statement Report 04:30 AUD RBA Interest Rate Statement Report 04:30 AUD RBA Interest Rate Decision Forecast (4.1%) Previous (4.35%) 05:30 AUD RBA Press Conference Speech 08:00 GBP Change in Employment (Dec.) 08:00 GBP Change in Jobless Claims (Jan.) 08:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (Dec.) 10:30 GBP Speech by BoE Governor Andrew Cuomo Bailey --------------------------------------------------------- If our investor profile is CONSERVATIVE, we will have to wait until 8:00 for all the news that affect both the AUD and the GBP to be published. But if our profile is AGGRESSIVE, we can use the following strategy: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the price exceeds 1.98900 POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 2.00550 zone (165 pips) --> Stop Loss at 1.97600 (127 pips). --> Ratio (1:3) POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-127 pips) (coinciding with the 1.97600 of position 1). --> We change the dynamic Stop Loss to ( -20 pips ) when the price reaches TP1 ( 2.00550 ). ------------------------------------------- SET UP EXPLANATIONS *** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. -->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% on increases, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
Long
by jmesado
AUDCAD: Bearish Cross kickstarting a decline.AUDCAD is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.879, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 33.394) and got rejected on both the 1D MA100 and MA200 that formed a Bearish Cross. The Channel Down mimics the June 30th 2023 Cross that then pushed the price to the bottom of the Rectangle on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. Go short, TP = 0.86600. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
EURUAD I Potential pullback and more decline Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** EURAUD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
EURAUD Set To Grow! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for EURAUD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.6457 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.6546 My Stop Loss - 1.6406 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
GBP/AUD: Potential Rebound from Support ChannelIn this analysis, the GBP/AUD pair is trading within an ascending channel that has been confirmed by multiple bounces off both resistance and support levels. The price is currently undergoing a downward correction after previously reaching the resistance area around 2.02. Based on the historical pattern within this channel, there is a possibility that the price will decline further toward the support area around 1.94 before rebounding back upward. The price structure shows strong reactions each time the price touches the support channel (marked by green arrows) and the resistance channel (marked by red arrows). This indicates that the market still respects this uptrend structure. Therefore, the most probable scenario is to wait for the price to approach the support area before considering a buy position. The potential target for the next upward move is a return to the resistance channel around 2.02. However, if the price successfully breaks below the 1.94 support level with high volume, this bullish scenario may become invalid.
Long
by DNP-FX
4
EUR/AUD "Euro vs Aussie" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/AUD "Euro vs Aussie" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.66000 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: Primary Target - 1.62700 (or) Escape Before the Target Secondary Target - 1.61000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: EUR/AUD "Euro vs Aussie" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. 🌞Market Overview Current Price: 1.64624 30-Day High: 1.6734 30-Day Low: 1.5931 30-Day Average: 1.6231 🌞Fundamental Analysis Economic Trends: The European economy is expected to grow, driven by a rebound in consumer spending and investment Interest Rates: The European Central Bank is expected to maintain low interest rates, supporting the euro 🌞Macro Economics Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for commodities, including Australian exports Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for commodities and supporting the Australian dollar Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, supporting currency markets 🌞COT Data Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional): Net Short Positions: 40% Open Interest: 80,000 contracts Commercial Traders (Companies): Net Long Positions: 25% Open Interest: 50,000 contracts Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders): Net Short Positions: 35% Open Interest: 30,000 contracts COT Ratio: 1.8 (indicating a bearish trend) 🌞Sentimental Analysis Institutional Sentiment: 55% bearish, 45% bullish Retail Sentiment: 50% bearish, 50% bullish Market Mood: The overall market mood is bearish, with a sentiment score of -20 🌞Positioning Analysis Institutional Traders: Net short positions increased by 10% over the past week, indicating growing bearish sentiment Retail Traders: Net short positions decreased by 5% over the past week, indicating decreasing bearish sentiment Leverage: The average leverage used by traders has decreased to 2.2, indicating decreasing confidence in the market 🌞Overall Outlook The overall outlook for EUR/AUD is bearish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected growth in the Australian economy, low interest rates, and bearish market sentiment are all supporting the bearish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential upside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader
Massive week for Aussie and Kiwi markets The Reserve Bank of Australia’s first meeting of the year is days away with money markets pricing in an 86% chance of a 25bps cut and a 14% chance that rates unchanged. However, Australia Finacial Review’s John Kehoe suggests market expectations of a 90% probability for a cut may be overstated, arguing the decision is closer to a 50/50 call. If the RBA cuts rates on Tuesday, it could support the government's message that cost-of-living pressures are easing and could lead to an early election announcement. If rates remain unchanged, the prime minister may delay the election until mid-April or May, hoping for a cut at the RBA’s next meeting on April 1. Meanwhile, the RBNZ is expected to cut rates this week, with markets pricing a 68% chance of a 50bps cut and a 32% chance of a 25bps reduction. A Reuters poll of 33 economists found 32 expecting a 50bps cut. However, ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley anticipates smaller 25bps cuts in April and May instead.
by BlackBull_Markets