GBPAUD Breakout Trendline: Long-Term Bullish ConfirmationThe GBPAUD pair shows signs of a significant trend shift after successfully breaking out of a long-term resistance trendline formed since 2001. Based on trendline analysis, the price consistently experienced pullbacks whenever it touched the resistance line. This pattern is illustrated on the chart with blue arrows indicating previous pullback areas.
In the most recent movement, the price has successfully broken out of this resistance trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The breakout is marked on the chart with an orange box, followed by a retest marked with a green arrow, further solidifying the breakout zone as a key confirmation.
Breaking through the major resistance signifies a significant change in market dynamics, where buying pressure has overcome the previously dominant selling pressure. Breakouts often trigger short-covering by sellers and attract buying interest from other traders, creating bullish momentum. The broken resistance area typically transforms into new support, providing a strong foundation for the continuation of the upward trend.
After the breakout from the resistance area, the first bullish target is at the 2.05 resistance level, with further bullish potential towards the psychological level of 2.22. In a more optimistic scenario, the price could continue rising to the next long-term resistance at 2.40.
To anticipate a false breakout, a stop loss can be placed below the 1.70 level or below the trendline. If the price moves back below the trendline, it would indicate a failed breakout and a potential continuation of the bearish trend.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is part of a trading plan and does not constitute trading advice. Technical analysis is probabilistic in nature and does not guarantee profitability. Always practice good risk management in every trading decision.
AUD (Australian Dollar)
#GBPAUD 1DAYGBPAUD Daily Analysis
The GBPAUD pair is trading near the resistance line of an uptrend channel on the daily chart, suggesting a potential reversal or correction from this level. The channel resistance indicates strong selling pressure, making it a key area to watch for bearish setups.
Technical Outlook:
Pattern: Uptrend Channel Resistance
Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity)
Entry Strategy: Enter a sell position if the price confirms rejection at the channel resistance through bearish price action signals, such as a bearish engulfing candlestick or a double top pattern.
Traders should use indicators like RSI to check for overbought conditions or MACD for divergence that signals weakening bullish momentum. Apply proper risk management by placing stop-loss orders above the channel resistance and setting profit targets at key support levels within the channel.
AUD/CHF BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go long on AUD/CHF right now from the support line below with the target of 0.566 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general uptrend on the previous 1W candle and the oversold situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the lower BB band.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EurAud could accelerate to the upside (1.7 target)After dipping below the key 1.6 level—both a technical and psychological threshold—at the end of November, EUR/AUD quickly rebounded and began climbing in a constructive manner. Recently, it established solid support at the 1.6350-1.6360 zone, with two notable reversals from this area observed last week.
As of now, EUR/AUD is trading at 1.6507, just below a technical resistance level, with the price action showing signs of a buildup. The odds favor an upward breakout, and if this materializes, it could lead to a sharp acceleration higher.
In this scenario, my swing trade target is the 1.7 mark. For now, my strategy is to buy on dips, anticipating the breakout and preparing for the upside momentum.
Bearish to Bullish Play for the Week on GbpAudAfter thorough analysis through each timeframe I have concluded that GA is Bullish on a Weekly Level after my Weekly Red Trendline broke for a 2nd time to the upside, with that in mind in the 1hr-4hr TF it has broke my blue trendline to the bearish side suggesting a possible retest to the Inbalance around 1.96700-1.96500, only way I would change my bearish outlook from current price is if we break thru 1.99200 to the bullish territory. If the sell plays out turning into a buy midweek closing the week out around 1.98500-1.99000 it would make a weekly doji building up for next weeks play.. BUT let’s see if we can catch this weeks play 1st lol.. may the markets be on our side !
AUDJPY Fall? And potential Stock Market correction?Potential short idea on AUDJPY
Reasons for (potential) entry:
- COT traders are buying JPY and selling AUD fairly aggressively
- AUD cutting interest rates, JPY hiking interest rates
- AUD could be under pressure due to reliance on China, who are facing economic uncertainty
In the past, when COT traders have bought JPY as aggressively as this there's been a stock market correction after it.
Not saying it's definitely going to happen again - but JPY is seen as a 'safe-haven' currency and it's usually bought up when investors are risk-off. Stocks have been on a crazy bull run for the last year, I wouldn't be too surprised if there was some sort of correction in it soon.
EURAUD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURAUD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.6539
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.6518
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPAUD Analysis And Next Market MovePair Name = GBPAUD
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
GBPAUD has completed the retesting period. Now her getting a good volume. Expecting here 200 Pips + gain
GBP is getting stronger day by day. Getting good bounce from this support level.
Bullish Target:-
2.050
2.040
GBP/AUD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/AUD pair is trading in a local downtrend which is red. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.969 area.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Update levels on GBPAUD 11.12.24According to the previous analysis, a lot has changed, although we can still consider the top as a double top, but the whole formation seems to be more of a head and shoulders. I am currently following two long scenarios, in case the price breaks through or holds 1.960000, if it falls below 1.928963, then I would start thinking about a short position with a target below we have enough of them so we'll see
GBP/AUD "Pound vs Aussie" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Heading into overlap resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.85
1st Support: 97.02
1st Resistance: 99.88
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?AUD/CHF is reacting off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 0.57044
1st Support: 0.56415
1st Resistance: 0.57542
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?AUD/NZD has reacted off the pivot which is an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.09963
1st Support: 1.09630
1st Resistance: 1.10894
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDJPY Analysis - BuyAUDJPY Analysis Overview
1. Seasonality:
AUD: Bearish until midweek — Seasonal weakness in AUD early in the week aligns with a short-term bearish sentiment.
JPY: Bullish — JPY strength throughout the week supports its safe-haven appeal.
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2. COT Report (Commitment of Traders):
AUD:
4-week flip indicates a Sell bias.
Non-commercial short positions are increasing, signaling bearish sentiment for AUD.
JPY:
4-week flip indicates a Buy bias.
Non-commercial long positions are increasing, reinforcing bullish sentiment for JPY.
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3. Fundamental Analysis:
LEI (Leading Economic Indicator):
AUD:Decreasing — Suggests deteriorating economic momentum, adding to bearish pressure.
JPY: Range — Neutral economic conditions but still supportive due to JPY's safe-haven status.
Endogenous Factors:
AUD: Mix to Decreasing — Weak internal factors limit AUD’s strength.
JPY: Increasing — Improving domestic conditions support JPY buying.
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4. Exogenous Factors:
GBPJPY: Strong Sell — Broader risk-off sentiment in the market favors safe-haven currencies like JPY over risk-sensitive ones like AUD.
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5. Technical Analysis:
On the 1-hour chart:
A Cup and Handle pattern and an ABCD pattern are forming, indicating bullish potential.
After point C, the price is making Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), suggesting a bullish continuation.
These bullish patterns present a good Buy Opportunity, especially as the price confirms its breakout above the handle.
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Bias: Buy
Despite AUD's seasonal weakness early in the week, the technical setup on the 1-hour chart favors a bullish bias for AUDJPY. JPY's strength provides additional support for safe-haven flows, but the technical patterns indicate that AUDJPY has room to rally in the short term. Consider entering long positions upon confirmation of the breakout above the handle.
Bullish breakout?AUD/JPY has broken out of the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 98.06
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 97.03
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 99.45
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUDJPY - Growing SHORTS! Big Move Ahead!In one of our last AUDJPY analysis, we indicated that price looked foppish. Since then, we've had almost a 2000pip drop!
That big drop can be marked as wave 1 in our new bearish impulsive trend.
We are now in Wave 2, which is an ABC correction. We have completed Wave A (3 waves). We are now in Wave B (3 waves). We're currently in subwave b of wave B. Expecting subwave c to appear very soon.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for bearish price action on lower timeframe
- You can use trendline break, fibs or BOS to find the reversal point
- When entered, put stops above subwave B.
- Target: 91 (750pips)
4Week Chart
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
See our previous setups below:
AUD-CHF Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF is already making
A bullish rebound from the
Horizontal support level
Of 0.5668 while trading
In a local uptrend so we
Will be expecting a further
Local bullish continuation
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
16-12-2024 - AUDJPY Short16/12/2024 - AUDJPY - Short Trade Plan
Trade Details:
Entry: 98.454
Stop Loss: 98.789
Take Profit 1: 98.110
Final Target: 97.117
Reason for Trade:
Price is rejecting a strong supply zone and trendline resistance.
Potential bearish reversal setup is forming after a retest of the resistance zone.
RSI shows a potential bearish divergence, further supporting the short bias.
Disclaimer : This trade plan is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before executing any trades.