Bearisdh drop off pullback resistance?AUD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resisstance and could drop to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 98.24
1st Support: 96.57
1st Resistance: 99.38
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUD (Australian Dollar)
Bearish reversal?AUD/NZD is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could dropto the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.10894
1st Support: 1.10338
1st Resistance: 1.11515
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPAUD to the moon?Taking a long position on GBPAUD, main reasons being:
- BoE holding interest rates for now and less rate cuts are expected next year, could drive more institutions to hold GBP and increase it's value
- AUD are trade partners with China who are experiencing significant economic instability
- COT traders are 57% long on GBP (+2.14% compared to last week)
- COT traders are 52% long on AUD, but are adding more short positions (-4.53% change in net long positions compared to last week)
- Retail traders are 93% short on GBPAUD (I find that retail is usually wrong, so this is a positive signal for GBPAUD longs in my book)
This trade is more based on Australia's weakness rather than Britain's strength. I was also thinking of shorting AUDJPY (see previous trade idea) or AUDUSD.
I couldn't get in a position that I liked on AUDJPY (yet) and I'm already in a short position on EURUSD, so I want to diversify a bit away from the US Dollar.
The reason I'm entering here is because it is filling an imbalance candle, and it's also at the 0.682 mark on the Fibonacci retracement tool.
If I get taken out I don't mind, there may be better entries on GBPAUD available if that happens, or there may be an opportunity to short AUDJPY instead, which I prefer the fundamentals of.
Don't take this as investment advice, I'm just sharing what I'm doing. Please don't follow me blindly, create your own strategy and ideas.
AUDJPY - POTENTIAL SHORT
Descending channel
Rejection at key resistance level 98.50 (4H & 1D)
Rising wedge with in descending channel
For entry
Looking for a break past the support of the rising wedge
Already have strong rejection on the descending channel resistance line
Stop set just above resistance zone at 98.80
AUD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/JPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 9H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 95.787 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
#AUDCAD 4HAUDCAD 4-Hour Analysis
The AUDCAD pair is trading near a channel support level on the 4-hour chart, indicating a potential reversal or bounce from this zone. The channel support has historically acted as a strong area where buyers regain control, presenting an opportunity for bullish trades.
Technical Outlook:
Pattern: Channel Support
Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity)
Entry Strategy: Consider entering a buy position near the channel support after confirming bullish price action, such as bullish engulfing candles or a double bottom formation.
Traders should monitor indicators like RSI for oversold conditions or MACD for signs of bullish momentum. Apply appropriate risk management with stop-loss orders placed below the support line and profit targets set at resistance levels within the channel.
AUDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.90500 zone, AUDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.90500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 97.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 98.68
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 95.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDCHF The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDCHF below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.5674
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.5637
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPAUD Breakout Trendline: Long-Term Bullish ConfirmationThe GBPAUD pair shows signs of a significant trend shift after successfully breaking out of a long-term resistance trendline formed since 2001. Based on trendline analysis, the price consistently experienced pullbacks whenever it touched the resistance line. This pattern is illustrated on the chart with blue arrows indicating previous pullback areas.
In the most recent movement, the price has successfully broken out of this resistance trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The breakout is marked on the chart with an orange box, followed by a retest marked with a green arrow, further solidifying the breakout zone as a key confirmation.
Breaking through the major resistance signifies a significant change in market dynamics, where buying pressure has overcome the previously dominant selling pressure. Breakouts often trigger short-covering by sellers and attract buying interest from other traders, creating bullish momentum. The broken resistance area typically transforms into new support, providing a strong foundation for the continuation of the upward trend.
After the breakout from the resistance area, the first bullish target is at the 2.05 resistance level, with further bullish potential towards the psychological level of 2.22. In a more optimistic scenario, the price could continue rising to the next long-term resistance at 2.40.
To anticipate a false breakout, a stop loss can be placed below the 1.70 level or below the trendline. If the price moves back below the trendline, it would indicate a failed breakout and a potential continuation of the bearish trend.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is part of a trading plan and does not constitute trading advice. Technical analysis is probabilistic in nature and does not guarantee profitability. Always practice good risk management in every trading decision.
#GBPAUD 1DAYGBPAUD Daily Analysis
The GBPAUD pair is trading near the resistance line of an uptrend channel on the daily chart, suggesting a potential reversal or correction from this level. The channel resistance indicates strong selling pressure, making it a key area to watch for bearish setups.
Technical Outlook:
Pattern: Uptrend Channel Resistance
Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity)
Entry Strategy: Enter a sell position if the price confirms rejection at the channel resistance through bearish price action signals, such as a bearish engulfing candlestick or a double top pattern.
Traders should use indicators like RSI to check for overbought conditions or MACD for divergence that signals weakening bullish momentum. Apply proper risk management by placing stop-loss orders above the channel resistance and setting profit targets at key support levels within the channel.
AUD/CHF BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go long on AUD/CHF right now from the support line below with the target of 0.566 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general uptrend on the previous 1W candle and the oversold situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the lower BB band.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EurAud could accelerate to the upside (1.7 target)After dipping below the key 1.6 level—both a technical and psychological threshold—at the end of November, EUR/AUD quickly rebounded and began climbing in a constructive manner. Recently, it established solid support at the 1.6350-1.6360 zone, with two notable reversals from this area observed last week.
As of now, EUR/AUD is trading at 1.6507, just below a technical resistance level, with the price action showing signs of a buildup. The odds favor an upward breakout, and if this materializes, it could lead to a sharp acceleration higher.
In this scenario, my swing trade target is the 1.7 mark. For now, my strategy is to buy on dips, anticipating the breakout and preparing for the upside momentum.
Bearish to Bullish Play for the Week on GbpAudAfter thorough analysis through each timeframe I have concluded that GA is Bullish on a Weekly Level after my Weekly Red Trendline broke for a 2nd time to the upside, with that in mind in the 1hr-4hr TF it has broke my blue trendline to the bearish side suggesting a possible retest to the Inbalance around 1.96700-1.96500, only way I would change my bearish outlook from current price is if we break thru 1.99200 to the bullish territory. If the sell plays out turning into a buy midweek closing the week out around 1.98500-1.99000 it would make a weekly doji building up for next weeks play.. BUT let’s see if we can catch this weeks play 1st lol.. may the markets be on our side !
AUDJPY Fall? And potential Stock Market correction?Potential short idea on AUDJPY
Reasons for (potential) entry:
- COT traders are buying JPY and selling AUD fairly aggressively
- AUD cutting interest rates, JPY hiking interest rates
- AUD could be under pressure due to reliance on China, who are facing economic uncertainty
In the past, when COT traders have bought JPY as aggressively as this there's been a stock market correction after it.
Not saying it's definitely going to happen again - but JPY is seen as a 'safe-haven' currency and it's usually bought up when investors are risk-off. Stocks have been on a crazy bull run for the last year, I wouldn't be too surprised if there was some sort of correction in it soon.
EURAUD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURAUD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.6539
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.6518
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK