GBPAUD 4H TF Bearish (Divergence, Break of Trendline, DOW)GBPAUD shows a bearish/short momentum at 4H TF supported by bearish divergence, DOW Break of Structure (BOS) and break of rising trendline. Entry is taken at 15 pips below previous HL with SL at 15 pips above and TP at 1:1 R:R.
What do you think, will it work?
AUD (Australian Dollar)
AUD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the AUD/CHF pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 0.592 level.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello,Friends!
We are going short on the AUD/JPY with the target of 105.603 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
7 Dimension Sell Idea For AUDNZD Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
😇7 Dimension Analysis
Market: At monthly rejection or supply zone
Time Frame: H4
1: Swing Structure: From the monthly zone, the market formed a CHOCH with inducement, giving a corrective swing move as the 1st pullback mitigated the extreme wick OB and swept liquidity at the Premier zone.
🟢 Entry Model: ABCD
2: Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS:
Reversal: Consolidation rectangle at supply level. Shakeout reversal Wyckoff method.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS:
Long wick: Hammer or hanging man but at the wrong place indicates a reversal. Momentum: Strict engulfing at the highest candle.
3: Volume:
Observed a very large selling volume on July 11th while the price was making new highs. This volume can be considered selling volume or profit-taking volume. Based on this volume, there is a very high chance that the price will go down.
4: Momentum RSI
🟢 Bullish to sideways zone with a proper range shift and multiple bearish divergences at the top indicate a sudden loss of momentum. Based on this, there is a high chance the price will go down.
5: Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Contraction has started; the price might range for some sessions. After this, expect a lower band squeeze breakout and continuation to lower "walking on the band" condition. Here, a BB M pattern is also forming and a band puncher at the highest candle.
6: Strength: Everything is neutral yet.
7: Sentiment: Sell
✔️ Entry Time Frame: 15m
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
✔ Entry Time POI: Mitigated
☑️ Trend line breakout: Yes
💡 Decision: Sell Limit
🚀 Entry: 1.1111
✋ Stop Loss: 1.1133
🎯 Take Profit: 1.1020
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 4 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 10 days
SUMMARY: Analysis supports a strong sell position based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology, with expected bearish momentum and high potential reward.
GBP/AUD Analysis and Sell Trade Review### GBP/AUD Analysis and Sell Trade Review
#### Market Context:
1. **Swing High Taken Out**: The market has made a new high, indicating potential liquidity grabs where traders' stop-loss orders above the previous highs might have been targeted and executed. This can often lead to a reversal or a significant pullback as the liquidity above the swing high is consumed.
2. **Fair Value Gap (FVG) Created**: An FVG typically represents a price imbalance where the market moved too quickly, leaving behind a gap in the order flow. This gap can serve as a potential resistance area where price might reverse or consolidate before continuing its previous trend.
3. **Change in Status Delivery**: This term suggests a shift in market dynamics, possibly indicating a change from bullish to bearish sentiment. This change might be confirmed by a break in market structure, such as lower highs and lower lows forming after the swing high is taken out.
#### Sell Trade Setup:
Given these conditions, here is a structured approach to a sell trade:
1. **Entry Point**:
- After the swing high is taken out, wait for price to enter and react from the FVG. Look for bearish reversal patterns or confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick formations (e.g., pin bar, engulfing pattern) or a break below a key support level within the FVG.
2. **Stop Loss**:
- Place the stop loss above the recent swing high or above the upper boundary of the FVG. This helps protect against false breakouts or continued bullish momentum.
3. **Target Levels**:
- The first target could be the nearest significant support level or the low of the previous consolidation range.
- Further targets can be set at key Fibonacci retracement levels or prior swing lows, where price might find support.
#### Trade Management:
- **Risk Management**: Ensure proper risk-to-reward ratio, ideally aiming for at least 1:2 or 1:3.
- **Trailing Stop**: As the trade moves in your favor, consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits and minimize potential losses.
- **Monitoring News and Events**: Keep an eye on economic news and events that might impact GBP/AUD, as they can cause sudden market volatility.
#### Example Scenario:
- **Entry**: After price takes out the swing high and enters the FVG, a bearish engulfing candle forms, indicating a potential reversal. Enter a sell position at the close of this candle.
- **Stop Loss**: Set the stop loss above the swing high.
- **Take Profit**: Set the first target at the previous swing low, and additional targets at further support levels or Fibonacci retracement zones.
By following this structured approach, you can manage your GBP/AUD sell trade effectively, aligning with the observed market conditions and technical analysis.
Picture perfect setup on AudCadfirstly we had an fvg from monthly chart where jul month candle has retested it
on the following lower time frames we can se price first trapped the early long players and came upto the mid line of fvg
the three candle as red impulse to down side then a doji followed by green big bar is sight indication of long build up
if so,
the current running candle can retest the doji candle high where we can put the buy order and recent low as our stop loss strictly
0.9800 >> 0.9115 >> 0.953
could be the potential target
Over+750 pip in GBP/AUD in our last call(07/31/2024)in our last analysis
We were expecting a big rally for GBP/AUD. Since then the price moved in our favor and made over +750 pip for us.
Despite weaker CPI data for AUD, we are now looking for a correction in the 1.98 zone.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
If you like it then Support us by liking, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
SELLING GBP/AUD from 1.9771Last Thursday's daily candle on GBP/USD (25th July) closed with a nice long tailed pinbar.
Becuase of this and becuase the RSI on D1 closed at 83.42 , I've been keeping my on this pair in anticipation of a move south.
The next 4 daily candles were all doji indecision candles and with the RSI moving to 79.45, then GBP/AUD looked ready for a move south.
However.
Its imperative that if you have a trade planned and you intend to hold the trade overnight then you MUST check for news.
This morning at 02:00 UK time, the CPI numbers were released and though the CPI q/q and CPI y/y met target, the Trimmed Mean CPI missed coming in 0.8% against 1.0% expected.
This was sufficient for the AUD to sell off aggresively and GBP/AUD was sent 151 pips higher.
A look on the H4 time frame and you can see that the previous 2 H4 candles form a pincer/double op and the current H4 candle is BEARISH.
This looks a good opportunity for SHORT trades.
The ANdean Oscillator on H4 is rising from zero as the green BUY line crosses the signal line.
These are BEARISH signs.
RSI is declining.
MACD has yet to catch up on H4 but on M30 the fast MA has crossed the slow MA and on H1 the 2 MA's are moving together and edging south.
All the signs are that this pair is moving lower and with AUD/USD turning BULLISH then I think this trade has a good chance.
Target is open but the band of support at 1.9620 area looks a potential target although tomorrow BOE Monetary Policy and MPC Bank Rate makes all technical analysis redundant.
AUDNZD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDNZD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1142
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1115
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPAUD - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 240 PIP ) ✔️Pair Name : GBP/AUD
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
------
spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
Key Technical / Direction ( Long )
Type : Mid Term Swing
———————————
✔️Bullish Break
1.94000 Area
Reasons
- Choch Zone
- Pattern Break
- Fixed Range lvn
- Visible Range lvn
- Fibo Golden
- Day / week high
✔️Bearish Reversal
1.96400 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / D
- Pattern Target
- Visible Range Hvn
- Choch Area
- Fixed Range Hvn
- Quarters Area
AUDCAD: Curve Analysis (12H)SUMMARY
In general, although there could be temporary buying interest due to specific moving averages and the VWMA, the prevalence of sell signals from longer-term averages indicates a significant bearish sentiment for the AUDCAD pair.
FUNDAMENTALLY
There could be a possibility of downward pressure on the AUDCAD pair as the CAD weakens and the AUD potentially weakens due to the overall strength of the USD. The Canadian economy could face some challenges due to the drop in oil prices, given its significant role as an oil exporter. This could potentially lead to a further weakening of the CAD. There is a possibility of a decline in the AUDCAD exchange rate in the coming days.
TECHNICALLY
The technical indicators for AUDCAD are providing conflicting signals, with certain indicators suggesting a bearish signal while others are pointing towards a bullish signal. Most indicators are currently neutral, indicating a slight bearish bias for AUDCAD . The moving averages for AUDCAD are indicating bearish signals, as the short-term moving averages (10, 20, 30) are showing a mix of buy and sell signals. On the other hand, the longer-term averages indicate a sell, which implies that there may be temporary buying pressure. The mid-term moving averages (50, 100) are suggesting a sell, which points to a more pronounced downward trend in the AUDCAD price. Long-term moving averages (200) also indicate a sell, which supports the idea of a continued downtrend.
Additional factors to take into account are the current status of the Ichimoku Base Line, which is currently in a neutral state and does not offer a clear indication of market direction, and the Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA), which indicates a buying opportunity, implying some underlying buying pressure.
Bearish reversal?AUD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level, a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.90924
Why we like it:
A pullback resistance level lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.91278
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.90298
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.