+100 pips The Best Level to BUY/HOLD AUDNZD swing trade🔸Hello traders, let's review the 2hour chart for AUDNZD today.
Overall, trading in well-defined range since october, so we can focus
on buying low and selling high with low risk.
🔸Clearly defined set of overhead resistances and supports below
market price with liquidity distributed equally among buy side
and sell side order blocks. 1000 key s/r bulls, 1100 key s/r bears
🔸Primary pattern / structure is sequence of lows / sequence of highs
in well-defined range, traders should focus on buying/selling near premium prices.
🔸Recommended strategy for AUDNZD traders: BUY/HOLD near 0980/1000 SL25 pips
TP1 +50 pips TP2 +100 pips final exit 1100. good luck traders!
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AUD (Australian Dollar)
Potential bullish bounce?AUD/CHF is reacted off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.56334
1st Support: 0.55828
1st Resistance: 0.56816
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPAUD (30m): TECHNICAL ANALYSISSUMMARY
GBPAUD is currently in a moderate downtrend , with sellers defending key resistance levels. A break below 1.9874 could trigger further downside towards TP zones. However, bullish buy limits at 1.9648 and 1.9613 suggest potential demand at lower levels. Trade cautiously, manage risk, and follow the trend confirmation signals.
TREND & MARKET STRUCTURE
GBPAUD is showing signs of a moderate downtrend with a 38.1% confidence level .
Price action is consolidating near resistance levels, with multiple pivot highs forming.
Current structure suggests a potential reversal or deeper pullback before resumption of trend.
KEY LEVELS
Sell Limit @ 1.99065 – Placed near recent resistance.
Sell Stop @ 1.98740 – Positioned for momentum breakdown.
TP1 @ 1.98121
TP2 @ 1.97600 (Mid Pivot)
TP3 @ 1.97217
TP4 @ 1.96642
Buy Limits: Placed at 1.96482 and 1.96137 near strong support.
Buy Stoploss @ 1.95974 – Protecting against further downside.
INDICATOR CONFIRMATIONS
Price remains above the 50 EMA but shows resistance at local pivot highs.
DT (Downtrend) signals have appeared, indicating possible weakness.
Short-term price action suggests exhaustion near resistance, increasing probability of a sell-off.
TRADE PLAN
Bearish Bias: Short positions are preferred unless price breaks above 1.99226.
Entry Confirmation: Look for rejection signals near Sell Limit or a breakdown past the Sell Stop.
Risk Management: Adjust stop-loss accordingly, targeting the layered TP levels.
AUDCAD - Look for a long !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from bullish OB.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Wednesday (GMT+2) we will see results of CPI on AUD and Interest Rate on CAD. News with high impact on currencies.
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Bearish reversal?GBP/AUD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 71% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.9929
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 71% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2.0065
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 1.9742
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPAUD Bullish Trend IS OVER ?!Why GBPAUD Faces a Correction After a Massive Uptrend and What Lies Ahead
The financial markets are rarely a straight line. After a stunning rally of more than 3000 pips, the GBPAUD (British Pound to Australian Dollar) currency pair has entered a corrective phase, marked by a significant downturn and the breaking of a long-term uptrend line. For traders and investors alike, this shift invites analysis of the key factors driving the correction and the potential for further downside movement. Let’s dive into the reasons behind the decline and what it signals for the future.
1. Exhaustion of the Uptrend
One of the most common reasons for a correction following a sharp uptrend is market exhaustion. Over a prolonged rally, the pair appreciated significantly, fueled by a mix of favorable economic data, central bank policies, and investor sentiment. However, as prices reach extended levels, buyers may hesitate to continue pushing the price higher, leading to reduced demand.
The psychological level of "overbought" conditions often comes into play. Many traders rely on technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Bollinger Bands to assess whether an asset is overbought, and GBPAUD likely hit these conditions during its massive 3000-pip surge. This naturally invites profit-taking, further pressuring the pair downward.
2. Breaking the Uptrend Line: A Key Technical Signal
One of the most significant developments in the current market is the breaking of the uptrend line that supported GBPAUD's bullish momentum. Trendlines are crucial tools for identifying market sentiment, as they serve as psychological levels where traders expect price reversals.
The break of this uptrend line not only signals the loss of bullish control but also shifts market sentiment decisively toward the bears. When a major support level or trendline is breached, it often triggers stop-loss orders, increasing selling pressure. Additionally, breakout traders—those who enter positions in the direction of the break—may amplify the downward momentum.
3. Fundamental Drivers Favoring the Australian Dollar
Another factor contributing to GBPAUD's correction is the fundamental shift in economic conditions that have bolstered the Australian Dollar (AUD). Several key factors support the Aussie:
China's Economic Recovery: Australia’s economy is heavily tied to China's demand for commodities. Recent signs of recovery in China or increased stimulus measures could boost demand for Australian exports, strengthening the AUD.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Policy: If the RBA adopts a hawkish tone or maintains a steady interest rate policy, it could provide further support for the AUD, making it more attractive compared to the British Pound.
4. Technical Corrections Are Natural
Corrections are a natural part of market movements, even in a strong uptrend. After an extended rally, the market often retraces to establish new support levels or consolidate before deciding on the next direction. This is part of the ebb and flow of financial markets, driven by human psychology and technical patterns.
The current correction in GBPAUD appears to be a technical adjustment, with the pair retracing some of its gains to test key support levels. Traders often watch Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential areas of reversal, with 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels being particularly significant.
5. What’s Next for GBPAUD?
The break of the uptrend line opens the door for further downside movement. Here are key factors to watch:
Support Levels: If the pair continues to fall, traders will look for strong support zones to halt the decline. Key levels may include previous resistance-turned-support zones or psychological round numbers.
Momentum Indicators: Indicators like MACD, RSI, and Stochastic Oscillator can provide clues about whether the downward momentum is likely to continue or if the pair is entering oversold territory.
Fundamental Catalysts: Upcoming economic data releases, central bank decisions, or geopolitical events could shift the balance in either direction.
While the correction is underway, it’s crucial to recognize that the broader trend for GBPAUD could still remain bullish in the long term, depending on how economic conditions evolve. However, for now, the break of the uptrend line suggests that bears have gained control, and the potential for a more significant downtrend looms.
Weakened GBP Sentiment: On the other side, the British Pound may be weighed down by concerns about the UK economy, such as sluggish growth, inflationary pressures, or Brexit-related uncertainty. A dovish stance from the Bank of England (BoE) could further tilt the balance against the Pound.
Conclusion
The correction in GBPAUD is a textbook case of market dynamics at play. After an extraordinary rally of over 3000 pips, the pair's breach of the long-term uptrend line signals a shift in sentiment and suggests that further downside may follow. Traders and investors must now assess both technical and fundamental factors to navigate this changing environment.
Whether this correction is a temporary pause in a larger bull market or the start of a prolonged downtrend remains to be seen. For now, cautious optimism for the AUD and weakened sentiment for the GBP are tilting the balance in favor of a continued correction. Staying informed and adaptable will be key to capitalizing on the next move in GBPAUD.
AUDNZD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
AUDNZD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy AUDNZD
Entry - 1.1040
Stop - 1.1027
Take - 1.1064
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURAUD: Short Signal Explained
EURAUD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURAUD
Entry Point - 1.6699
Stop Loss - 1.6732
Take Profit - 1.6632
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUDJPY Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 96.995.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 97.514 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 97.79
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 98.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 96.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards overlap support?AUD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.90009
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 0.89663
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.90563
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURAUD - Sell callMarket is is consolidation phase / distribution phase : market has tested 4H strong resistance followed by formation of Shooting Star and Inverted Hammer candle stick pattern. Market sentiments are strongly in Bearish mode. Market can easily test 4H support zone before continuation of Bullish zone.
GBPAUD, What will happen in near future ?Hello Traders, Hope you're doing Great.
For upcoming weeks, we'll probably see a downward momentum in this pair. From the viewpoint of Technical, the price has broken its last HL in Daily time frame and changed the trend. from the viewpoint of Fundamental, both Currencies are vulnerable about Risk off sentiment; but GBP is more Vulnerable than AUD because of bad data that came from Britain recently.
so with all of these reasons, Short Position is more reasonable and a downward momentum to the Demand zones is anticipated.
And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post.
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AUD/JPY BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/JPY is trending up which is evident from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 98.447.
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Key Resistance Level for AUDJPY: Towards 98.000?OANDA:AUDJPY is approaching a critical resistance level that has previously seen bearish reversals. The ongoing bullish momentum could provide an opportunity for sellers to step in and take control.
Key point: If we observe bearish signals such as rejection wicks at this resistance, the price could potentially drop towards 98.000. However, a breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup and shift the bias to a more bullish outlook.
It’s important to wait for clear rejection signals before considering any short positions. I'd love to hear your thoughts or different perspectives in the comments!
GBPAUD Retesting Resistance with a Potential for Price ReversalGBPAUD is currently trading at 1.981, with a target price set at 2.000, indicating a potential gain of over 200 pips. The market analysis is based on the support and resistance pattern, which suggests key price levels where the pair may react. Currently, the pair is in a retesting phase, meaning it is testing the resistance level after a previous breakout or price movement. This retesting phase helps confirm whether the resistance holds or breaks. If the resistance holds, it signals a potential reversal, leading to a price drop. Traders are advised to closely monitor this retesting period for confirmation before taking positions. A rejection at the resistance level could trigger a bearish move. Patience during this period is critical to avoid premature entries. This setup reflects a potential opportunity for experienced traders following technical analysis strategies.