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Aud-cad

AUDCAD BEARISH OUTLOOKThe AUD/CAD currency pair had broke and remained under one of its major supports at 0.9133 on the 1H graph, which is an indicator for bearish trend for the instrument. Both technical indicators, RSI and MACD are confirming the outlook for the pair. In this case in the next few hours the price might try to test levels of 0.91 In the opposite scenario the price might try to climb back to levels of 0.915 Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Short
by legacyFXofficial
AUDCAD will take a break? 🦐AUDCAD on the 4h chart is trading at the recent top of an over-extended bullish move. The market reached the descending weekly resistance trendline and some retracement to the support area can be seen. How can i approach this scenario? I will wait for a potential break of the minor support area and IF the price will provide us a nice sign of inversion i will consider a short order according to the Plancton's strategy rules. ---- Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger
by InkyGrip
12
InvestMate|AUD/CAD Heading North🦘🦘AUD/CAD Heading North 🦘AUD/CAD In recent weeks it is not giving up and is pushing from a new peak to an ever higher high. 🦘I think the scenario will repeat itself and within the next few days we will see ourselves at the resistance zone marked on the chart. 🦘I have determined it based on two fibo levels. The first is the 0.5 level of the entire downward wave from the 2021 peak to the 2022 bottom. The second level is the 0.382 level of the entire upward wave from the covid bottom to the 2021 peak. 🦘The nearest support zone was determined by a cluster of two fibo levels. The first is the 0.382 level of the entire downward wave from the 2021 peak to the 2022 bottom. The second level is the 0.382 level of the entire downward wave from the 2012 peak to the 2020 bottom. 🦘The scenario I'm playing out is a continuation of the breakout with the direction at the new peaks finally reaching the resistance zone where I will watch how the price will react. I'm aware of the possibility of a correction at any time, this should be taken into account, If the outlook changes I will publish a post with an update, so I encourage you to actively follow the profile and read the description carefully. 🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post then I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀
Long
by InvestMate
13
AUDCAD - Trend-Following Sell Setup!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. on WEEKLY: Left Chart As per my last analysis, we know that AUDCAD is around a resistance zone so we will be looking for sell setups. on H4: Right Chart AUDCAD is forming a double top pattern but it is not ready to go yet. Trigger => for the bears to take over, we need a momentum candle close below the gray neckline. Meanwhile, until the sell is activated, AUDCAD can still trade trade or even break the resistance zone . Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
2
AUDCAD: Bearish Divergence at Last Week's HighThis is a pair I'v been looking to short again for awhile now due to the trend and now i'v got some Bearish Divergence to justify entering and the nice extra bonus from the news of the US Trade Deficit Increasing. I think this will stir up more demand for the CAD against alot of other Currencies but more particularly against the AUD. This may also put downwards pressure on the price of US Oil but thats for an entirely different trade.
Short
by RizeSenpai
1
AUDCAD - Trend-Following Sell Setup!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. AUDCAD is overall bearish from a long-term perspective trading inside the brown channel, and it is currently retesting the upper brown trendline. Moreover, the zone 0.91 is a strong resistance zone . So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance zone and upper brown trendline. (acting as non-horizontal resistance) As per my trading style: As AUDCAD approaches the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
13
AUDCAD High risk selling opportunityThe reasons that push me to sell this pair include a sub-trend touching the upper channel, resistance on the large frims, the pair is exhausted from the upside, and the buyers are still in the process of closing the buying positions. The four golden rules of trading 1 Don't be greedy 2 Always use stop loss 3 Never add other positions to the losing positions 4 Use a suitable lot for your account ❤️Please, support our work with like & comment!❤️
Short
by zaidhatem
2
AUDCAD Close to change directionAlmost a month and a half ago, and the Australian dollar against the Canadian dollar is still on the rise. Will the trend change at the beginning of next week, or is there more rise for this pair? My point: It is an opportunity worth taking and risking (little risk) with a small contract and waiting two to three weeks. In your opinion, will the trend change in the coming days, or is there an opinion of the Australian dollar against the Canadian dollar? The four golden rules of trading 1 Don't be greedy 2 Always use stop loss 3 Never add other positions to the losing positions 4 Use a suitable lot for your account ❤️Please, support our work with like & comment!❤️
Short
by zaidhatem
AUD CAD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSAUD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: NEUTRAL BASELINE Ongoing issues with China’s economy remain a question mark for the AUD. But the continued rumours and speculation of a pivot away from Covid-zero policy has given Chinese equities, China-linked commodities and the Antipodean currencies a boost. The RBA took another 25bsp hike at their previous meeting, sparking some speculation that the bank could be finalizing their hiking cycle sooner than expected. But with Core Trimmed CPI >6.0% the hiking cycle is arguable not close to over just yet. In the week ahead, risk sentiment is always important, but the main driver to watch will be any further developments regarding the China’s potential reopening. We also have Wage and Jobs data, but both will take a back seat to China developments. Take note that positioning remains stretched short which could see outside upside reactions on good news. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES Data showing China’s growth outlook is improving or surprise announcements of a reduction of strict Covid-zero policies could provide upside for the AUD. As a risk sensitive currency, catalysts that causes big bouts of risk on sentiment could trigger bullish reactions in the AUD. Catalyst that triggers recovery in key export commodities (China stimulus, lifting covid restrictions, new infrastructure projects in China) should be supportive for the AUD. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES Data showing China’s growth outlook is deteriorating or strong push back from Chinese officials against speculation of a reopening could add additional pressure on the AUD. As a risk sensitive currency, catalysts that causes big bouts of risk off sentiment could trigger bearish reactions in the AUD. Catalyst that triggers further weakness in key export commodities (additional China restrictions, demand destruction) could be negative for the AUD. BIGGER PICTURE The AUD’s outlook remains neutral but is largely dependent on China and whether key commodities like Iron Ore and Coal can stop their bleeding. Until the covid situation and property issues in China improves materially, and until commodities and China’s growth stabilizes, the AUD is best suited for short-term trades in line with strong short-term sentiment. However, the rumours of a potential move away from Covid-zero policy has been a key driver for the AUD. CAD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BEARISH BASELINE Even though most recent jobs print offset all of the jobs that was lost in 2H22, the housing market still poses big risks for the Canadian economy. With a big increase in variable-rate mortgages after the pandemic, lots of consumers will be pressed on their disposable income after mortgages need to be reset (and that is happening while price pressures are still uncomfortably high). Furthermore, despite hawkish comments from Gov Macklem heading into the Oct meeting, the bank surprised markets with a 50bsp hike when markets were pricing in a 75bsp hike. The bank also stated there is increased risks of a recession during 1H23. As a result of this, as well as the fact that the CAD is still relatively close to its cycle high (at the index level), we have changed our bias for the CAD to weak bearish from Neutral. The CAD’s failure to gain any upside even after a slight re-acceleration in both headline and core CPI this week was a clear signal that our fundamental bearish bias for the CAD is correct and we’ll be looking for more short opportunities. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES Catalysts that see upside in Oil (deteriorating supply outlook, ease in demand fears, OPEC developments) could trigger bullish CAD reactions. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk on sentiment could trigger bullish reactions in the CAD. A bid surprise miss in Wednesday’s CPI should seal the deal for a 25bsp hike and should put more pressure on the CAD. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES Catalysts that trigger downside in oil (deteriorating demand outlook, ease in supply shortage, less supply constraints, OPEC developments) could be a negative catalyst for the CAD as well. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk offsentiment could trigger bearish reactions in the CAD. A surprise beat in CPI this week could see markets lean towards a 50bsp and support CAD (but we’ll look to fade strength). BIGGER PICTURE The bigger picture outlook for the CAD has shifted to bearish. Given the clear risks to the growth outlook (recent negative econ data, high inflation, stress in the housing market, exposure to a slowing US economy) we think the bias is titled lower for the currency from here. Also, with the currency still relatively close to cycle peaks, and with the BoC close to terminal rate expectations, our preferred way of trading the CAD is lower on clear short-term negative catalysts.
by thunderpips