Aud-cad
AUDCAD Approaching Pivot, Potential For Reversal | 22 June 2021AUDJPY pushing higher, coming close to descending trendline resistance and 50% Fibonacci retracement. A short-term intraday drop below our entry at 0.93302 towards our take profit at 0.92616 could be possible. Our take profit is a strong confluence zone where we have a graphical swing low support and multiple key Fibonacci levels lining up. MACD is below 0 with no sign of divergence, showing room for further bearish momentum as well.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
AUDCAD - FOREX - 21. JUNE. 2021Welcome to our weekly trade setup ( AUDCAD )!
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1 HOUR
Bearish pullback towards main sr level.
4 HOUR
Closure above support zone.
DAILY
Expecting further upside movement..
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FOREX SETUP
BUY AUDCAD
ENTRY LEVEL @ 0.93200
SL @ 0.92940
TP @ 0.93840
Max Risk: 0.5% - 1%!
(Remember to add a few pips to all levels - different Brokers!)
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in AUDCADTrading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (0.9313).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. AUDCAD is in a range bound, and the beginning of an uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 46.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.9387
TP2= @ 0.9430
TP3= @ 0.9462
TP4= @ 0.9505
TP5= @ 0.9542
SL= Break below S2
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💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in AUDCADTrading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (0.9313).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. AUDCAD is in a range bound, and the beginning of an uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 46.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.9387
TP2= @ 0.9430
TP3= @ 0.9462
TP4= @ 0.9505
TP5= @ 0.9542
SL= Break below S2
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
❤️ Your support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️
💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader?
Now, It's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
AUDCAD ready for a break? 🦐AUDCAD after trading inside a descending channel recently broke the upper trendline and starts a consolidation between a weekly support and a minor resistance.
According to Plancton's strategy if the price will break above we will set a nice long order.
----
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger
AUDCAD looking up 🦐AUDCAD after the attempt to break the weekly support close the last trading day of the week with an impulse to the upside.
The market is moving inside a descending channel and recently broke the upper trendline.
According to Plancton's strategy if the price will break above we will set a nice long order.
----
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in AUDCAD
Trading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (0.9310).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. AUDCAD is in a range bound, and the beginning of an uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 56.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.9388
TP2= @ 0.9431
TP3= @ 0.9501
TP4= @ 0.9542
TP5= @ 0.9618
SL= Break below S2
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️
💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader?
Now, It's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in AUDCAD
Trading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (0.9310).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. AUDCAD is in a range bound, and the beginning of an uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 57.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.9388
TP2= @ 0.9431
TP3= @ 0.9501
TP4= @ 0.9542
TP5= @ 0.9618
SL= Break below S2
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated! ❤️
💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader ?
Now, It's your turn !
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
COT CURRENCY REPORTAUD, NZD & CAD:
The AUD suffered the biggest outflow amongst the major with the CFTC data updated until Tuesday the 8th of June, which should arguably not be surprising given the prior outperformance in the currency before that happened.
This week the focus for the AUD turns to the incoming Employment report where labour data has been touted by many as the most important consideration for the RBA regarding potential policy changes or updates. For the NZD we have Q1 GDP data coming up which should provide us with an interesting outcome on our AUDNZD short trade.
The recent underperformance of the NZD has been quite surprising, and our view that the fundamental outlook points to further strength has been shared by numerous investment banks. We’ll see whether GDP data is what the NZD needs to move back in line with its underlying bias.
For the CAD, positioning is something that we are focused on, especially with the CAD trading “elevated” against numerous currencies, we need to be mindful of some possible mean reversion.
JPY, CHF & USD:
Our fundamental outlook for the US Dollar has shifted from Weak Bearish to Neutral. The assessment of risk to the currency is more balanced in our view as we head closer and closer towards potential tapering by the Fed. Apart from that, real yields are expected to remain a key driver in the short-term and something we will use for potential short-term direction bias alongside incoming economic data points.
This week, the main event for the US Dollar will of course be the upcoming FOMC meeting, where the elephant(s) in the room will be the massive upside surprises in US CPI readings compared to the FOMC’s March projections, as well as what the bank will have to say about tapering discussions (those ones that Fed Powell said they haven’t been having but the April minutes showed they have)
For the JPY, the ongoing divergence between US10Y and the safe-haven currency will be a focus point of ours this week. As the Fed and quad witching is in the mix this week we need to keep safe-haven flows in mind this week as a potential supporting factor if equities see some jitters.
GBP:
Even though the bias for Sterling remains titled to the upside, as the third largest net-long position among the majors we do need to be mindful of the current short-term risks for the currency.
We received confirmation that the UK’s planned reopening on the 21st of June will be delayed by four weeks. This was already touted last week so the impact might be lesser this week, and also due to the fact that it won’t derail the economic recovery which means the outlook is still favourable.
However, coupled with the ongoing Northern Ireland Protocol issues with the EU we need to be mindful of some potential risk premium build up in Sterling which could translate into some short-term downside.
We would consider any sizeable corrections as opportunities to engage from better levels, especially against the EUR and the JPY.
EUR:
Still the biggest net-long position among the majors. Issues surrounding the fundamental outlook for the single currency still has complications, but with the vaccination roll out gathering momentum we have seen sentiment data picking up on the prospects of a reopening. The EUR has remained well supported over the past few weeks as the USD continued to lose favour and as markets look towards a fast economic rebound once the vaccination efforts allow the EU to lift restrictions.
If the EU can reach their vaccination targets, we could well see a faster recovery playing out in the EU. However, when we compare that potential recovery in terms of growth or inflation differentials or compare the policy response between the US and UK or compare policy normalization expectations it seems the EU is still lagging behind that of the US and the UK.
For that reason, we are staying patient with our med-term bearish view on the EUR for now and will wait for more information and data before we change our mind.
*This report reflects the COT data updated until 8 June 2021.
AUDCAD further drop incoming | 11th June 2021AUDCAD is currently hovering above 1st resistance in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension . If prices break through 1st resistance, a further drop is expected towards horizontal overlap support in lie with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 50% Fibonacci extension . If prices reverses from 1st resistance, prices might face resistance from 127.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension . MACD is also showing a bearish crossover, showing a bearish pressure for prices.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
AUDCAD potential for further downside beyond pivot, further dropAUDCAD is currently hovering above 1st resistance in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension. If prices break through 1st resistance, a further drop is expected towards horizontal overlap support in lie with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 50% Fibonacci extension. If prices reverses from 1st resistance, prices might face resistance from 127.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension. MACD is also showing a bearish crossover, showing a bearish pressure for prices.
LONG AUD/CAD- AUDCAD holding support
- Broke out the downward channel
- Higher lows on higher timeframes
- Its summertime, expecting less demand for oil and CAD weakness
- Will place buys with tight stoploss
This is a trade idea and not financial advice, use at your own risk! Always wait for confirmation and do not forget your stoploss.
We welcome your thoughts and comments! Follow us for more great ideas.
AUDCAD testing a weekly resistance 🦐AUDCAD after the attempt to break the weekly support close the last trading day of the week with an impulse to the upside.
The market is moving inside a descending channel and recently tested the lower trendline.
According to Plancton's strategy if the price will break above we will set a nice long order.
----
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger
AUDCAD on a false breakout 🦐AUDCAD after the attempt to break the weekly support close the last trading day of the week with a double bottom higher close formation.
The market is moving inside a descending channel and recently tested the lower trendline.
According to Plancton's strategy if the conditions will be satisfied we will set a nice long order.
----
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger
COT CURRENCY REPORTAUD, NZD & CAD:
It was a big week for the NZD after the RBNZ followed in the BOC’s footsteps by bringing forward rate hike projections to Sep 2022. Keep in mind the reason why we haven’t seen a correspondingly big uptick in NZD positioning is because the CFTC data is only updated every Tuesday and does not include the big moves seen in the NZD from Wednesday.
For the CAD, even though the bias remains unchanged, sitting at over 44K net-long, the second largest among the G10, one has to argue that the CAD has been looking rather stretched at its current levels. That, of course, doesn’t mean the bias has changed, but it does not mean at these levels the risk to reward to continue buying the CAD doesn’t look that attractive.
In the week ahead for the AUD, we do have the RBA policy meeting coming up. However, the more anticipated meeting is the July one as the bank previously highlighted that they would use the July meeting to provide additional guidance regarding their QE program and their Yield Curve Control. Thus, the June meeting are not expected to provide any real fireworks.
JPY, CHF & USD:
Real yields, FED policy and Reflation expectations continue to be key drivers for the US Dollar. That means that incoming data will be very important for the market as it will be used as a gauge to determine how far or how close FED tapering will be.
In the week ahead there are several important data points coming up which will be interesting inputs for the US Dollar.
What a week it was for the JPY, which fell off the proverbial cliff at the latter part of the week. Pressured not only by US10Y staging a bit of a recovery on Thursday, but more influenced by month end flows where Citi bank noted that they estimate Japanese investors will need to sell JPY to reduce hedges on foreign bonds.
With month-end effects mostly out of the way, the focus for the JPY will once again fall on US yields.
GBP:
The bullish bias for Sterling remains intact. Positioning has once again reflected the bullish bias as the biggest build in net-long positions with the most recent CFTC data.
Sterling made some impressive runs in the past week as the markets reacted very favourably to comments from BOE’s Vlieghe who noted that there could be scope for faster policy normalization if the economy develops in line with their estimates and more importantly if the negative impact from the phasing out of the furlough scheme is contained.
Markets took the news very positively, as they were hawkish comments from a more neutral central bank member. However, they comments were very conditional on the labour market staying firm after furlough ends.
Also, Vlieghe won’t be at the bank after August which means that his comments surrounding monetary policy should be taking with a pinch of salt as it does not necessarily represent the views of the actual voting members.
It’s going to be a quiet week ahead for the GBP in terms of economic data.
EUR:
Still the biggest net-long position among the majors. Issues surrounding the fundamental outlook for the single currency still has complications, but with the vaccination roll out gathering momentum we have seen sentiment data picking up on the prospects of a reopening. The EUR has remained well supported over the past few weeks as the USD continued to lose favour and as markets look towards a fast economic rebound once the vaccination efforts allow the EU to lift restrictions.
If the EU can reach their vaccination targets, we could well see a faster recovery playing out in the EU. However, when we compare that potential recovery in terms of growth or inflation differentials, or compare the policy response between the US and UK or compare policy normalization expectations it seems the EU is still lagging behind that of the US and the UK.
For that reason, we are staying patient with our med-term bearish view on the EUR for now and will wait for more information and data before we change our mind.
AUDCAD a short outlook 🦐After our previous analysis, AUDCAD reached and tested the weekly support.
The price is currently breaking below and according to Plancton's strategy if the market will satisfy the conditions we will set a nice short order.
----
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger
AUDCAD approaching 1st resistance, potential for a reversal!Price is approaching 1st resistance, in line with 50%, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal pullback resistance, where we could potentially see a reversal and drop further towards 1st support, in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension and horizontal swing low support. Price is also holding below the Ichimoku cloud resistance, showing signs of bearish pressure as well.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in AUDCADTrading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (0.9355).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. AUDCAD is in a range bound, and the beginning of an uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 65.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.9410
TP2= @ 0.9450
TP3= @ 0.9500
TP4= @ 0.9555
TP5= @ 0.9615
SL= Break below S2
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️
💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader?
Now, It's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️