Get started

Aud-cad

Today’s Notable Sentiment ShiftsUSD – The dollar edged lower against a basket of currencies on Tuesday as investors awaited the outcome of this week’s two-day Federal Reserve policy meeting for any signals as to when the central bank will begin tapering its asset purchases. High-Beta – The high –beta currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD) weakened as a sharp drop in China’s equity market weighed on sentiment and a record low for U.S. bond yields after adjusting for inflation, signaled worries about the overall economic outlook.
by thunderpips
1
Today’s Notable Sentiment ShiftsUSD – The dollar edged lower on Monday as investors began positioning themselves ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve policy meeting, with many analysts expecting the Fed to once again defer from a commitment to taper. GBP – Sterling climbed above $1.38 against a broadly weaker dollar on Monday, supported by encouraging data over the weekend showing a fall in COVID-19 cases in Britain. Antipodeans – The Australian dollar slipped on Monday, knocking its kiwi counterpart lower, as the country’s largest cities remained under strict lockdowns amid rising cases of the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.
by thunderpips
2
COT CURRENCY REPORTAUD, NZD & CAD: Yet another 13K unwind of net long positions for the CAD in the CFTC data updated until the 20th of July means that a lot of the froth in positioning has been taken care of. Our concerns about positioning for the past few weeks meant a patient stance with CAD longs, but with the size of the unwind we think CAD longs look attractive again on a relative basis. As for the NZD, the currency still looks very ‘cheap’ at the current levels given that the RBNZ is the first major central bank that stopped QE. Apart from that, expectations for rates to go higher in the next three weeks should also provide a favourable environment for the NZD. We like NZD longs versus the Dollar going into this week’s FOMC. We remain patient on AUD with the virus escalation. The challenge for Australia when compared to places like the UK and US is that the vaccination roll out is miles behind. So, if the same type of spike in cases occur it could create a lot of economic pain as we head deeper into Q3. On the radar this week will be employment data, and if that comes in much softer than expected our preferred way to express AUD weakness would be with AUDNZD and AUDCAD downside. JPY, CHF & USD: The JPY positioning remains stretched to the downside, and the fast and punchy recovery in equity markets didn’t do the JPY any favours either. However, the inverse correlation with US10Y could still see JPY pressured. We’ve seen a lot of downside in US10Y over the past few weeks, beyond what majority of market participants (us included) were anticipating. The downside in yields meant one less negative driver for the JPY. But as a ton of the stretched positioning in treasury shorts have arguably been flushed out, we could see yields regain some upside momentum again. For the USD, this week we are turning slightly more cautious on the Dollar. Yes, the USD had good reason to see the upside it enjoyed over the past few weeks. But as the markets are looking for a slightly more cautious sounding Fed this week (due to the Delta variant), and since short-term the price action is looking a bit stretched, there could be some downside for the USD going into the FOMC. GBP: The GBP put in a decent recovery from the lows this week. Monday saw some downside as participants were disappointing when the most dovish member of the BoE said some dovish things. Hardly the type of reaction one would expect, but after the comments from Saunders the week before there was some hope that the overly dovish Haskel might do the same. However, despite the Monday sell off we saw Sterling put in a solid recovery, despite ongoing tensions between the UK and EU regarding the Northern Ireland Protocol. At the current levels, especially with positioning back into net short, one has to argue that GBP is looking attractive from a value perspective. As the markets are expecting a cautious sounding Fed this week, one of the ways we would like to express potential USD weakness in the week ahead is against the GBP. Obviously, we’ll need to keep close track of any major negative escalations on the political front. EUR: The EUR has seen a sizable push lower ever since we had the less dovish than expected June FOMC meeting. After that, the Dollar has enjoyed further upside from various drivers which has kept the EUR pressured, and the ECB’s continued dovish tone sure hasn’t helped. We have been very patient in chasing the EURUSD lower after finding the support around 1.1780 – 1.1850 as a very tough nut to crack. Even though we maintain a fundamental bearish outlook on the EUR and the EURUSD one has to argue that the downside looks a tad stretched. Positioning seems to agree with this as we’ve seen a whopping 72000 reduction in net long positioning in the past 5 weeks (that’s a lot). Yes, the overall net long positioning still looks way too high for the fundamental outlook, but timing doesn’t favour chasing the EUR lower from here. At the current levels the risk-to-reward does look attractive for a possible short-term mean reversion opportunity to the upside for EURUSD going into the FOMC, that is barring any possible risk off environments which should be supportive for the USD. *This report reflects the COT data updated until 20 July 2021.
by thunderpips
7
💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in AUDCAD". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested resistance line (0.9305). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets." Technical analysis: . AUDCAD is in a downtrend, and the continuation of the downtrend is expected. . The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance. . The RSI is at 26. Take Profits: TP1= @ 0.9261 TP2= @ 0.9247 TP3= @ 0.9234 TP4= @ 0.9215 TP5= @ 0.9194 SL: Break Above R2 ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader? Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
Short
by ForecastCity_World
17
💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in AUDCAD". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested resistance line (0.9305). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets." Technical analysis: . AUDCAD is in a downtrend, and the continuation of the downtrend is expected. . The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance. . The RSI is at 25. Take Profits: TP1= @ 0.9261 TP2= @ 0.9247 TP3= @ 0.9234 TP4= @ 0.9215 TP5= @ 0.9194 SL: Break Above R2 ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader? Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
Short
by ForecastCity
4
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in AUDCADTrading suggestion: ". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (0.93150). . if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets." Technical analysis: . AUDCAD is in a range bound, and the beginning of an uptrend is expected. . The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support. . The RSI is at 51 Take Profits: TP1= @ 0.93470 TP2= @ 0.93765 TP3= @ 0.93937 TP4= @ 0.94095 TP5= @ 0.94306 SL= Break below S2 ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader? Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
Long
by ForecastCity_World
10
AUDCAD facing bearish pressure, potential for further downside!Price is facing bearish pressure as it continues to hold below the descending trendline and Ichimoku cloud resistances, in line with our bearish bias. We could potentially see a reversal at 1st resistance, in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, 100% Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance and descending trendline resistance, and further downside towards 1st support, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension and horizontal swing low support. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Short
by TradeGATEHub
1
AUD/CAD:PRICE ACTION+FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS|LONG VIEW SETUP 🔔The Preliminary Australian Manufacturing PMI for June was reported at 58.4. Forex traders can compare this to the Australian Manufacturing PMI for May, reported at 60.4. The Preliminary Australian Services PMI for June was reported at 56.0. Forex traders can compare this to the Australian Services PMI for May, reported at 58.0. The Preliminary Australian Composite PMI for June was reported at 56.1. Forex traders can compare this to the Australian Composite PMI for May, reported at 58.0. Canadian Retail Sales for April are predicted to decrease 5.0% monthly, and Canadian Core Retail are predicted to decrease 5.0% monthly. Forex traders can compare this to Canadian Retail Sales for March, which increased 3.6% monthly, and to Canadian Core Retail Sales, which increased 4.3% monthly. The forecast for the AUD/CAD turned bullish after this currency pair corrected into confirmed support Can bulls force the AUD/CAD into a reversal until it reaches its horizontal resistance area?
Long
by FOREXN1
1