AUD/CAD Analysis: Current Outlook plus fundamental Here's a simplified analysis for AUD/CAD:
Long-term view from the weekly chart indicates a bearish trend.
Mid-term perspective on the daily chart shows a broken bullish channel, replaced by a bearish one.
Considering fundamental factors:
Escalating tensions in the Middle East may increase the chance of the Beijing-Taipei conflict, potentially impacting AUD negatively.
Long-term, increased oil prices due to these middle-east tensions may favor CAD.
Given these factors, AUD/CAD is more likely to maintain a bearish trend over the long term.
Stay informed for further developments.
Best regards,
Aud-cad
AUD/CAD: Geopolitical Factors and Technical Signals at play
Dear traders,
Dive into the AUD/CAD realm with a blend of geopolitical insights and technical signals:
Before we venture into any further downward potential, keep a close eye on the critical level around 0.8822 for potential breakthroughs.
Here's the geopolitical and technical mix in our AUD/CAD analysis:
Geopolitical Considerations:
Wednesday's Bank of Canada interest rate decision sparks intrigue. The balance of power in this market may shift, reflecting the delicate dance of global influences.
Canada's economy, tethered to oil prices, could witness changes spurred by escalating tensions in the Middle East. A surge in oil prices may bolster the CAD.
Conversely, any disturbance in the Persian Gulf, a vital oil source for China, could ripple through Australia's economy, intertwined with China's fate. Geopolitical events, like the Hamas-Israel conflict, may reverberate, potentially impacting China, Taiwan, and, subsequently, the AUD.
Technical Signals:
The battleground of charts and indicators beckons. Before anticipating major moves, consider the technical landscape.
The Bank of Canada's decision could sway the market sentiment, making the 0.8822 level a pivotal point. A breach could signal a shift in the technical dynamics.
This amalgamation of geopolitical considerations and technical intricacies sets the stage for an engaging AUD/CAD landscape.
Stay tuned, adapt to unfolding events, and trade with prudence!
Best regards.
AUDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.89000 zone, AUDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.89000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCADConsider selling AUDCAD based on historical seasonality trends and anticipated positive monetary policy by the 2024 Federal Reserve head. Monitor seasonal patterns, economic indicators, and central bank communications. Exercise caution, implement risk management, and seek professional advice as trading carries inherent risks.
AUDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders. in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.89300 zone, AUDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.89300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCAD Analysis: Riding the Waves of Uptrend and CorrectionGreetings Traders,
In today's trading session, our focus is directed towards AUDCAD, where we are actively monitoring a potential buying opportunity around the 0.89000 zone. AUDCAD is currently entrenched in an uptrend, and the ongoing correction phase is bringing the currency pair closer to the critical 0.89000 support and resistance area.
As AUDCAD traverses its uptrend, traders are keenly observing the evolving correction phase, evaluating the potential for a strategic entry around the 0.89000 level. The support and resistance area serves as a pivotal juncture, presenting an opportune moment for traders to consider a buying position. Ensuring prudent risk management and staying attuned to market dynamics will be essential in navigating this phase of the AUDCAD trend.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Strategic Moves: AUDCAD Uptrend AnalysisGreetings Traders,
In today's trading session, our focus is on AUDCAD as we actively monitor a potential buying opportunity around the 0.89600 zone. Operating within an uptrend, AUDCAD exhibits a sustained upward trajectory. Simultaneously, the currency pair is undergoing a correction phase, gradually converging towards the trend at the critical 0.89600 support and resistance area. This numerical level holds significance as both a historical support point and a pivotal juncture where the correction may intersect with substantial market forces.
Our strategic approach for today involves a meticulous assessment of optimal entry points within the identified 0.89600 zone, aligning our trading decisions with the ongoing uptrend and the potential market dynamics at the crucial support and resistance area. As always, it's crucial to trade with caution and adhere to risk management strategies.
Trade safe,
Joe.
AUDCAD Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a buying opportunity around 0.89300 zone, AUDCAD was trading in a downtrend and currently seems to be attempting to break it out. if we get further rallies above the resistance we will seek for a potential retrace of the trend towards more highs.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCAD Buy signal on 1D Golden Cross.The AUDCAD pair is trading within a Channel Up pattern that has currently been rejected twice on Resistance 1 (0.905500). With the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crossing today (or tomorrow the latest) above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to complete a 1D Golden Cross, and the 1D MACD forming now a Bullish Cross, we have a strong case for a break-out above Resistance 1 this time.
Once this takes place, we will buy and target 0.9200 as the new Higher High of the Channel Up. It will be a +3.76% rise from the recent Higher Low, which is roughly the % rise of the previous 2 bullish legs.
Bonus material (past AUDCAD trade):
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In the realm of AUD/CAD intraday analysisGreetings fellow traders,
The upcoming trajectory is set to follow the purple path based on the mid-term analysis.
For intraday considerations, two potential setups emerge:
A prospect at the bottom of the channel, though I advise caution. I am willing to take a quarter of the usual risk for this setup.
Alternatively, the purple zone nested within the yellow zone could present a favorable opportunity for long trades.
Best of luck in your trading endeavors!
Take a look to mid-term analysis!
AUDCAD: Would Aussie_Loonie experience more bearish days? Hello traders,
This is the Daily chart!
Regarding the daily chart, the bullish move that began in late September appears to be a correction rather than a sustained trend.
Introduction:
This analysis delves into the AUD/CAD outlook, focusing on supply and demand dynamics across various timeframes. Keep an eye on potential market reactions to the China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) release, as it could influence the Aussie.
Technical Analysis:
Bullish Move as a Correction:
The recent bullish move from late September is seen as a correction on the daily chart.
Trade Setup:
Breaking Below 0.88965:
Activation of the red path and a potential long-term bearish move is anticipated if the price breaks below 0.88965.
Breaking Over 0.91000:
A break above 0.91000 could open an opportunity for a long position, with 0.90550 as a potential suitable entry point.
Fundamental Consideration:
Keep an eye on the China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) release, as it may have a slight impact on the Aussie. Adjust positions accordingly.
Risk Management:
Adjust position sizes based on risk tolerance and maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Be mindful of potential market volatility surrounding fundamental events.
aud/cadTwo trading areas, in my opinion, the price will bounce from them. I added a horizontal line to stop loss. As for the profit, it depends on the method of taking some of the profit and completing with the rest, and so on.
The analysis depends on the gaps between the tails of the candles from which the price bounced at least once.
warning . I do not know the unseen. This analysis may be correct or it may be wrong. Please be wise
AUDCAD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a buying opportunity around 0.89700 zone, AUDCAD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently we are waiting for a correction in order to see a potential retrace of the trend towards more highs.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCAD LONG Trade ManagementI am currently long AUDCAD with +480 pips across two lots. Price has reached an untested supply zone and is also up against a 78.6 fib extension and 50.0 fib retracement level. I am going to go ahead and scale down my positions, take profit and move my stops to trail from break even. Short, medium, and long term indicators support both a strengthening Aussie and Canadian dollar, which can be a little tricky to navigate. In a perfect world you want to see one strong and/or strengthening currency against a weak and/or weakening. Thus I think it prudent to go ahead and take some dinero off the table.
AUDCAD Bull FlagHey Traders, In today's trading session, we are monitoring AUDCAD for a buying opportunity around the 0.89300 zone. AUDCAD has formed a bull flag and currently appears to be in a correction phase, approaching the flag support at the 0.89300 support and resistance area. I would also take into consideration the bullish bias in the indices due to the positive correlation between stocks and AUDCAD pairs.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCAD: Awesome breakout, time to fall back?Had a great breakout of the falling wedge that I called out in an earlier idea (I missed the trade as it happened sooner than I expected), but now I believe we'll fall back from resistance (we can see some rejection on the daily) before confirming the trend change higher.
No real fundamentals for this, pure price action.
AUDCAD Rejection on the 1D MA200. Sell.Our last signal on the AUDCAD pair (see chart below) was a dip buy within the width of the multi-month Channel Down:
The Channel Up is adjusted as on Tuesday, the pair got rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) forming the new Lower High. As the same time, the 1D RSI got rejected on its 5-month Resistance Zone and today the sell signal is confirmed by the formation of the 1D MACD Bearish Cross. Sell and aim for a -4.14% (previous Lower High rejection decline) drop at 0.854500.
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AUDCAD: Descending triangle Squeeze - Exciting!!We're coming to the end of the long-term descending triangle.
I'm generally expecting some big shifts across the markets by the end of November, in terms of reversals and this is one pair hot on my radar.
I don't thin we'll break out for a few weeks, but I've got daily tabs on this, as coming to the end of the descending triangle with really solid support.
Cad is benefitting from oil prices which is being supported by the middle east crisis, Aussie has been down for most of the year so expecting a shift in sentiment here.
This is a good one to watch!
AUDCAD Best sell entry of the last 3 months!The AUDCAD pair is trading inside a Channel Down for the whole year.
Today it hit the 1day MA100 for the first time in 3 months.
After March 24th, all 1day MA100 tests have ended with huge price rejections.
The lowest bearish sequence has been -3.14% and the highest -4.68%.
Sell now and target 0.8515 (-3.14% decline).
Previous chart:
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AUDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.86300 zone, AUDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.86300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCAD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a buying opportunity around 0.87000 zone, AUDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.870000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.