AUDCAD - Waiting for the impulsive move up.Most of the AUD pairs are currently in a corrective move. We need to try and catch the end of the current corrective pattern to find the impulsive move up.
The charts are suggesting we are starting the up-move to complete the larger corrective C wave.
We can either be patient and catch this move up on the Daily or for all you day traders, you can drop to the lower 4h and find an opportunity to catch whats left of this move down.
Aud-cad
AUDCAD Monthly TF Perspective Analysis. Drop to 0.88000 Likely!The main chart shows the monthly TF picture of the AUDCAD pair. Here as seen the price is confined inside a triangle which has been respected on numerous occasions. Additionally the red lines represent the nearby support and resistance levels drawn from the monthly charts.
For A SHORT scenario to take place, the price must breach the triangle and the monthly candle must convincingly close below the 0.93000 support structure. After this has happened, we should await slight retracement before taking this pair short with the potential target being 0.88000 structure level.
On the flip side, shall the triangle breach to the upside the nearby 0.98000 level would become the immediate target in this scenario!
Fundamentally its hard to predict where this pair is headed. CAD driven by the prices of OIL and AUD's economy loosing steam with trade war also pilling misery on AUD and OIL prices. Its hard to predict at the moment but as time goes and the picture becomes more clear, it will be evident enough as to where this pair is headed.
This just represents my outlook on this pair. Shall the trade criteria meet in the future i will post the details in a new post. cheers
AUDCAD SET TO COMPLETE THE BEARISH PULLBACK FROM DEC 2018.Hi Traders,
The AUDCAD rally that started in Oct 2018 from 0.9107 low can be seen as an Elliot Wave impulse structure, labelled 1-2-3-4-5. According to Elliot Wave Principle, a three-wave correction in the opposite direction follows every impulse.
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AUDCAD's seems to be in the corrective phase since 18th Dec 2018 and it's unfolding as a combination. So far, we have seen a (w)-(x)-(y) combination structure in wave W, double zigzag in wave X and wave Y seems to be unfolding as a simple zigzag pattern.
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The overall correction in wave (B) is expected to terminate within the blue box and maybe retest the channel support. If this count is correct, a 5-3 wave cycle will be considered to be completed, and the trend can be expected to resume in the direction of the main impulsive sequence in wave (C).
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Did you like this Elliot Wave Analysis? Kindly let me know in the comment.
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Thanks for reading!
Veejahbee.
Possible AUDCAD short for week of 5/5 - 5/10Price closed for the week below last week's low. I'll be looking to short this pair around last week's low of 0.94385 using a 4H chart.
Once price returns to 0.94385, I'll begin watching a 4H chart for a candle to close below a previous candle's low.
If this occurs, I will be looking to short the previous 4H candles low using levels on the 1 minute time frame.
AUDCAD BUY OPPORTUNITY, STILL WAITING FOR ORDER BLOCK Waiting to JUMP THE CREEK off of the order block. Smart Money sold to buy and I am waiting for them to breakeven on the sell to push market up. Spread was WAY too big when the market opened yesterday, so I would like to see price come back to 0.94650 again give or take a few pips. Then we will jump in with the buy and ride it to the previous highs.
AUDCAD, An uptrend is beginning..forecast :
While the price is above the support 0.9105, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 0.9775 breaks.
If the support at 0.9105 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
suggestion:
There is possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Buy Zone (0.9380 to 0.9315).
Take Profits:
Tp A= 0.9490
Tp B= 0.9565
Tp C= 0.9665
Tp D= 0.9775
Tp E= 0.9915
Tp F= 1.0090
Tp G= 1.0350
AUDCAD 60 Long1. Overall AUD group are in a down trend
2. AUDCAD shows buyers taking over and other AUD Pairs are starting to show weakness in sellers
3. Waiting for prices to pull back into the green box and hoping to see price stabilize in that region
4. Waiting for sellers to die off in the 15m charts before entering
AUD/CAD Sell Setup, Divergence and Fib ResistanceAUDCAD has been in an overall downtrend so far and seems to face resistance at the 61.8% Fib level.
In addition to the Fib and horizontal resistance, the price has also formed a bearish divergence on the MACD.
Today's strong bearish candle and rising oil prices (positive for CAD) supports our view.
AUDCAD - Sell OpportunityCriteria:
1. Fibo retracement 62%
2. Fibo extension 161%
3. 2011 low
4. Previous 2019 high
5. The round number 0.96000
6. Channel projections
From a technical perspective, this level should be pretty strong, add here some fundamentals, etc.
Please, take a second and support my idea post by hitting the "LIKE" button, it is my only fee from You!
Have a nice week,
Best regards!
*This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell, it is used for educational purposes only!
AUD/CAD long opportunity - The pair extends gains above 200-DMA
- Breaks above major trendline resistance at 0.9540
- RSI above 50, bias higher
- Stochs sharply higher, momentum bullish
What Watch:
- Monthly New Housing Price Index (NHPI) from Canada
- Speech from Bank of Canada’s (BOC) governing council member Carolyn Wilkins at the World Bank’s panel discussion.
Support levels - 0.9537 (trendline), 0.9518 (5-DMA), 0.9497 (200-DMA)
Resistance levels - 0.9586 (61.8% Fib), 0.96, 0.9631 (Dec 31 2018 high)
Stay long on dips, SL: 0.9510, TP: 0.9585/ 0.96/ 0.9630
AUDCAD Approaching Support, Prepare For A Bounce
AUDCAD is approaching its support at 0.9481 (61.8% Fibonacci extension ,horizontal swing low support, 50% Fibonacci retracement) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 0.9511(50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (34, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 6% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
Financial markets await the latest ECB economic assessmentFinancial markets await the latest economic assessment from the ECB
ECB headlines
During the upcoming trading week traders and investors look to the European Central Bank rate decision and press conference with ECB President Mario Draghi. The ECB is widely expected to keep rates on hold, with market participants expecting President Draghi to turn even more dovish, as economic growth and data points from the German and French economies are steadily worsening.
Aside from the ECB, we see the release of global inflation data from the United States, German, Chinese, Italian and Indian economies. Traders also await the FOMC Meeting Minutes, the latest Brexit news and important Trade data from the United Kingdom and Chinese economies.
Monday 8th April, USD US Factory Orders
Domestic US manufacturers report Factory Orders in regards to the US dollar volume of new orders, shipments, unfilled orders, and inventories. Factory Orders provides an intelligible, clear view of the whole US manufacturing sector. More precisely, the new orders figure acts as an indicator of overall demand across industries while Shipments provide a gauge of supply. Unfilled orders and Inventory figures accommodate the balance between orders and shipments.
• The EURUSD pair is only bullish while trading above the 1.1250 level, further upside towards the 1.1290 and 1.1330 resistance levels seems possible.
• If the EURUSD pair moves below the 1.1250 level, sellers are likely to test towards the 1.1170 and 1.1050 support levels.
Tuesday 9th April, USD US JOLTS Job Survey
The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, also known as, JOLTS, is a US jobs survey that is published monthly. JOLTS examines the jobs market and collects information from more than 15,000 workplaces across the United States. The survey collects numerical and qualitative data that concerns job hires, job openings, layoffs, separations, resignations and also recruitments.
• The AUDUSD pair is only bullish while trading above the 0.7230 level, key resistance is found at the 0.7380 and 0.7450 levels.
• If the AUDUSD pair moves below the 0.7230 level, sellers may test towards the 0.7130 and 0.7000 levels.
Wednesday 10th April, USD US Consumer Price Index
The US Consumer Price Index is released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics and evaluates the fluctuations in the cost of living by measuring the changes in prices consumers pay for a set of items. CPI is used as the headline figure for inflation, as inflation reflects a decline in the US dollars purchasing power, which means that the US dollar depreciates and is therefore capable of buying fewer goods and services. In terms of an inflation measurement, the Consumer Price Index is the most obvious way to quantify fluctuations in purchasing power.
• The GBPUSD pair is only bullish while trading above the 1.3100 level, further upside towards the 1.3180 and 1.3300 levels seems likely.
• If the GBPUSD pair moves below the 1.3100 level, sellers are likely to test towards the 1.2970 and 1.2880 support levels.
Thursday 11th April, EUR ECB Interest Rate Decision
After the ECB Interest Rate Decision is announced, the European Central Bank holds a lengthy monthly conference with ECB President Mario Draghi delivering a prepared statement. The main points of the conference are inflation and an economic overview and examination of the causes behind the Governing Council’s decision. During the conference, ECB President Mario Draghi answers questions and also gives important clues related to future monetary policy.
• The EURGBP pair is bearish while trading below the 0.8640 level, further downside towards the 0.8510 and 0.8440 support levels seems possible.
• If the EURGBP pair moves above the 0.8640 level, buyers are likely test towards the 0.8680 and 0.8740 resistance levels.
Friday 12th April, CNY Chinese Trade Balance
The Chinese Trade Balance released by the General Administration of Customs of the People's Republic of China is the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported and is known as a trade surplus if the exports exceed imports. When imports are greater than exports, a deficit is created.
• The USDCAD pair is only bullish while trading above the 1.3300 level, further upside towards 1.3400 and 1.3550 levels then remains possible.
• If the USDCAD pair trades below the 1.3300 level, sellers are likely to test the 1.3220 and 1.3160 support levels.