AUDCHF Further Confirmation of Bearish Movement: See Last PostOn AUDCHF we have further confirmations of bearish movement.
1. On 4H timeframe we have a break and retest of the neckline of a large head and shoulders pattern.
2. We have a clear descending channel after the break of the large head and shoulders pattern.
2. On 30M timeframe we have a smaller head and shoulders formed at the upper resistance that also shows a break and retest of the neckline.
Aud-chf
AUDCHF HEAD & SHOULDER BEARISH TRADE SETUPHi Traders,
The 4-hour chart of AUDCHF showed a reversal from a key resistance level and a broken H&S neckline.
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As shown, the breakout impulse can be seen as a five-wave impulse pattern, labeled i-ii-iii-iv-v (blue).
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The Elliott Wave theory states that a three-wave correction follows every impulse. That is exactly what we are looking for now in form of a-b-c (red) corrective pattern to retest the broken neckline that lined up with 50.0-61.8 FIb ratio as indicated on the chart.
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Once the 5-3 wave cycle is completed, the bears can be expected to lift the pair below 0.68783 area. If this analysis is correct, March should be just as enjoyable for the bears as December was.
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Best of luck on the chart!
Veejahbee.
Aud/chf Long Hi All ,
I'm Opening a long position from here . Price has been trading inside the uptrend rectangle in a range . Tp1 top of the box .
SL to Entry when price move in our direction . Please note we have the china news at 1:45am tonight .
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AUDCHF Potential Sell, Watch Out for SHS TriggerThe AUDCHF pair is trading in the upper range of a falling channel and has formed an SHS pattern as described in one of our previous analysis (idea attached below.)
While the first attempt to break below the pattern failed, now we have a secon right shoulder that shows a strong selling momentum and may have enough power to break below the neckline.
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Markets look for direction from fed chair and trade negotiationsTestimony and trade
During the upcoming trading week traders and investors look to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testimony and US trade negotiations for direction. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will appear before US Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday to discuss the economy and US monetary policy, markets will be focused on his latest thoughts on US interest rates. We also see the deadline for Sino-US trade talks expiring on Friday, with negotiators from Beijing and Washington hurrying to beat the deadline.
This week we also see the release of important Manufacturing data from the United States and the Chinese economy. We also see the release of key CPI inflation data from Canadian and eurozone economies and the release of US ISM manufacturing and US Core PCE data, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation.
Monday 25th February, EUR Italian GDP
Italian Gross Domestic Product measures the change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. Gross Domestic Product is seen as the primary indicator of a nations economic health and is closely watched by investors and market participants. The Italian economy shrank by 0.2 percent during the last quarter of 2018, marking the second consecutive quarter of contraction, putting the Italian economy into a technical recession.
• The EURUSD pair is only bearish while trading below the 1.1300 level, key support is found at the 1.1230 and 1.1180 levels.
• If the EURUSD pair moves above the 1.1370 level, buyers will likely test towards the 1.1410 and 1.1450 resistance levels.
Tuesday 26th February, USD US Consumer Confidence
The US Consumer Confidence Index released by the US Conference Board measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. The US Conference Board index has the largest pooling sample of any US measure of consumer confidence, making the Consumer Confidence Index a key barometer of the health of the overall United States economy from the perspective of the consumer.
• The GBPUSD pair is bearish while trading below the 1.3000 level, key support is found at the 1.2940 and 1.2810 levels.
• If the GBPUSD pair moves above the 1.3095, buyers may test the 1.3160 and 1.3200 resistance levels.
Wednesday 27th February, CAD Canadian CPI
The Canadian Consumer Price Index is released by Statistics Canada and measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is the most important indicator of inflation in Canada and is watched closely by the Bank of Canada. A strong or sustained rise of CPI inflation inside the Canadian economy can stimulate the central bank to raise interest rates in order to manage inflation and slow economic growth.
• The USDCAD pair is only bullish while trading above the 1.3240 level, further upside towards 1.3300 and 1.3380 levels would then seem possible.
• If the USDCAD pair trades below the 1.3240 level, sellers are likely to test the 1.3100 and 1.2990 support levels.
Thursday 28th February, USD Annualized GDP
United States GDP Annualized is released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and is based on quarterly economic data. US Gross Domestic Products is the market value of all final goods and services from a nation, usually calculated on an annual basis. Because most of the report components are known in advance, the United States GDP reports significance and ability to move markets has decreased.
• The USDCHF pair is bullish while trading above the 1.0050 level, further upside towards the 1.0100 and 1.0190 resistance levels seems possible.
• If the USDCHF pair trades below the 1.0100 level, sellers are likely to test towards the 0.9950 and 0.9910 support levels.
Friday 29th February, CNY Chinese Manufacturing PMI
The Chinese Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is released by the Chinese Federation of Logistics and Purchasing. China’s Manufacturing PMI and is an economic indicator that measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector each month. The Chinese Manufacturing PMI for the month of February is expected to be stronger than the January figure, but below the 50.0 reading needed for economic expansion.
• The AUDUSD pair is only bearish while trading below the 0.7210 level, further downside towards the 0.7150 and 0.7080 levels seems likely.
• If the AUDUSD pair trades above the 0.7210 level, buyers are likely to test towards the 0.7340 and 0.7410 resistance levels.
AUD/CHF Potential Sell Setup on H4AUD/CHF formed an interesting SHS pattern and broke below the neckline. The right shoulder retraced at 61.8% of the previous impulse move, while the head represents the high of a price correction that retraced at 78.6% of the previous larger impulse move.
The pair is trading in an overall downtrend and in the upper half of the channel, which also signals the potential for further weakness in the pair.
The Australian dollar got hit hard recently on reports that a rate cut may be on the table and trade tensions that hover like a dark cloud above China. The Swissy is doing quite well on the other side, with Switzerland (non-EU state) in the process of getting a trade deal with the UK after Brexit.
EURUSD TRENDLINE FALSE BEARISH BREAKOUT LONG false bearish breakout of the trendline is leading the price over the trendline again , anticipating the big move with a little retest of the trendline that will be followed by a strong bullish movement . let me know if you hopping on this trade , cheers!
AUDCHF approaching resistance, potential drop! AUDCHF is approaching our first resistance at 0.7186 (Horizontal overlap resistance, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension) and a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 0.7160 (Horizontal swing low support, 38.2% Fiboancci retracement).
Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
AUDCHF approaching resistance, potential drop! AUDCHF is approaching our first resistance at 0.7191(61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 61.8% Fibonacci extension , horizontal swing high resistance) where we might see a drop in price to our first support at 0.7074 (61.8% Fibonacci extension ,61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal swing low support ).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
AUDCHF Approaching Support, Potential BounceAUDCHF is approaching its support at 0.7146 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 0.7179 (horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 1.8% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
AUDCHF approaching resistance, potential drop! AUDCHF is approaching our first resistance at 0.71850 (horizontal overlap resistance, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 0.7145 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
AUDCHF approaching resistance, potential drop! AUDCHF is approaching our first resistance at 0.7191 (horizontal pullback resistance, 61.8% fiboancci retracement) and a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 0.7149 (38.2% Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
AUDCHF Approaching Support, Potential BounceAUDCHF is approaching its support at 0.7172 (100% Fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 0.7237 (horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 5.4% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
AUDCHF approaching resistance, potential drop! AUDCHF is approaching our first resistance at 0.7183 (horizontal overlap resistance, 100% Fibonacci extension) where a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 0.7113 (50% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
AUDCHF BULLISH CONTINUATION SETUPHi Traders,
The AUDCHF reversed from a major descending channel and horizontal support level and made an impulsive move higher labeled "Wave 1 or A," which broke out minor descending trend line and resistance level.
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This pair seems to completed building bearish ABC zigzag corrective chart pattern labeled "Wave 2 or B," at an important confluence level which could indicate a continuation of the uptrend.
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Considering that the price has broken our CTL after reversing from the confluence area, this pair has met our criteria for long entry.
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The take profit levels are projected on the chart accordingly.
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Best of luck on the chart,
Veejahbee.
AUDCHF Approaching Support, Potential For A Bounce!AUDCHF is approaching its support at 0.7038 (100% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 0.7089 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 4.6% where a corresponding bounce could occur.