US Dollar Index resistance seen at 96.60The US Dollar Index has managed to break above 96.16 levels yesterday, printing fresh intraday highs at 96.54 levels before pulling back. Believe it or not, the medium term structure still looks constructive and encouraging for bears to take control, until prices stay below 97.00 levels going forward. Looking into the wave counts, a probable wave A terminated at 93.80 and wave B is being carved out around 96.50/60 levels at this point in time. Immediate price support is seen at 95.40 levels and a break lower would confirm a meaningful to top in place. Also note that prices stay around the fibonacci 0.786 resistance zone at this time and could see a bearish reaction.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
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EURUSD medium term structure remains intact !In spite of the fact that EURUSD dropped below 1.1432 interim support yesterday, the medium term wave structure looks constructive for the bulls to take over. Please note that we would focus on 1.1300 levels to hold in the next few trading sessions and watch out for a lower degree rally (5 waves) to confirm a bullish stance, against support at 1.1300 levels. Looking into the counts, the most probable could be an a-b-c A and a-b-c B wave, probably complete. Furthermore the fibonacci 0.786 support zone is just seen passing through the price action at the moment. Immediate price resistance is at 1.1620 for now and conservative strategy would be to allow break above that before buying dips. Ideally, a lower degree impulse could be a better entry point.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
USDCAD Approaching Resistance, Potential ReversalUSDCAD is approaching its resistance at 1.3128 (100% Fibonacci extension, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) where it could potentially reverse to its support at 1.2978 (100% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support). Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its resistance at 94.8% where a corresponding reversal could occur.
EURGBP Approaching Resistance, Potential Reversal EURGBP is approaching its resistance at 0.8859 (100% Fibonacci extension x2, 38.2% & 50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) where it could potentially reverse to its support at 0.8761 (76.4% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support). Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its resistance at 92% where a corresponding reversal could occur.
EURJPY Approaching Support, Potential BounceEURJPY is approaching its support at 126.90 (76.4% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 129.24 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal swing high resistance). Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 0.9% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
Dow Jones Wave (1) lower complete ?The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by almost 2% yesterday, towards 24800 levels, before pulling back sharply. It is seen to be trading around 25200 levels at this point in writing and might have possibly terminated its impulse drop (5 waves) from 26930/50 levels. As an alternate count, wave v could be unfolding as a diagonal, and terminate below 24800 levels before producing a meaningful corrective rally. Please note that is prices manage to push above 25600 levels, which is immediate price resistance, it could confirm that a meaningful bottom is in place around 24800 levels. Overall, the bearish impulse is either complete at 24800 levels, or is very close to completing and hence we are changing our stand from bearish to neutral for now.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Gold progresses in Wave C. Potential target $1250/70Gold took off its rally after finding support at $1216 levels earlier and drifting sideways/consolidation. The yellow metal reached close ($1240) to our first projected soft target at $1250 levels yesterday. Looking into the wave structure, as Wave C progresses, it looks to be the last leg at the moment and one can expect yet another high before a meaningful retracement or pullback. Immediate price support is at $1220.00 levels for now, with the yellow metal trading at $1231/32 levels at this point in writing. We can expect $1250 levels, until the $1220 support holds well. It is advisable to book profits around $1250 levels if reached and we shall look into probable scenarios later.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
US Dollar Index remains a bit vulnerable holding 96.16 for nowThe US Dollar Index has tested 96.16 levels again yesterday before pulling back. It could be forming a potential wedge and might push above 96.16, towards 96.50/60 levels before turning bearish again. However a failure to break above 96.16 levels, could trigger a huge sell off from current levels towards Wave C lower (93.80). Immediate price support is seen at 95.50 levels for now and a break lower would be a minimum requirement to confirm bearish momentum. Overall, we still maintain a medium term bearish outlook until prices stay below 96.16 levels.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
EURUSD Wave C still being carved out. 1.1432 levels criticalThe EURUSD short term story seem to be suggesting that a triangle could be unfolding as Wave 2, within proposed Wave C rally towards 1.1850 and higher. This looks like the most probable count for now and if this should hold, we could see wave e termination of triangle any moment now before prices break above the 1.1500 levels again. Please also note that prices would not break below 1.1439 or 1.1432 levels for the triangle structure to remain intact. On the alternate side, a break below 1.1432 levels could see a drop towards 1.1350 levels before it hits a fibonacci support again. Overall, bullish structure remains intact till prices stay above 1.1432 levels for now.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
EURUSD bulls still hold above 1.1432 levelsThe EURUSD bulls struggle to hold gains repeatedly for now around the 1.1600 mark, but are still holding above 1.1432 levels, critical support. This price action is keeping the structure intact for now and we would still maintain medium term bullish stance until prices remain above 1.1432 levels. A probable wave count after Wave B termination at 1.1432 levels earlier could be indicating that a iii of 3rd wave within the probable 5 wave structure for Wave C could be unfolding. If the above wave counts hold true, we could see prices rallying sharply towards 1.1620 and higher levels. On the alternate side, a break below 1.1432 would invalidate or delay the proposed rally.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
AUDCHF Approaching Support, Potential Bounce AUDCHF is approaching its support at 0.7029 (61.8% & 100% Fibonacci extension , 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal swing low support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 0.7061 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal pullback resistance). Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 3.1% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
DAX could drop towards 10200 levels, medium termDAX is seen to have formed an interim resistance at 11800/50 levels at this point in writing, and till prices remain below that, one could expect 11300/50 levels soon. Please note that DAX had dropped below its intermediary trend line support earlier, and in the past two trading sessions have tested its past support around 11800/50 levels as well. The immediate result could be a drop towards 11300/50 levels since it is seen at the 100% fibonacci extension support of the primary drop between 13600 and 11800 levels respectively. We would suggest initial soft target as 11300/50 levels, before a meaningful retracement could take place.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Gold consolidation continues, $1213/16 still possibleGold prices are producing a complex corrective wave structure, it seems. A short term wave count can be labelled as such: The rally between $1181.5 through $1232 levels, can be labelled as 1 (since it moved into 5 lower degree waves). The drop since then, looks to be corrective till now and cold be producing a 3-3-5, flat wave structure, which has been labelled as A and B, until now. If the above wave counts and structure holds well, we could witness a drop towards $1213/16 levels, (which is also past resistance turned support), before the rally resumes. On the flip side, a push above $1232 levels, would trigger another rally towards $1250/70 levels at least.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
US Dollar Index holds 96.16 levelsThe US Dollar Index bulls threatened to push above 96.16 levels Friday, but failed and reversed from 96.09/10 levels dropping towards 95.60 levels around close. With US Dollar Index trading at 95.67 levels at this point in writing, we expect another push towards 95.50 levels, which would take out initial support on the hourly chart. Please note that the US Dollar Index is still holding the projected medium term wave structure, which is looking bearish towards 93.80 levels at least. Bears are expected to remain in control, till prices stay below 96.16 levels, going forward.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
XAUUSD Approaching Resistance, Potential Reversal XAUUSD is approaching its resistance at 1236.70 (61.80% & 100% Fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) where it could potentially reverse down to its support at 1214.68 (61.80% Fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support). Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is approaching its resistance at 95% where a corresponding reversal could occur.
Dow drops 400 points. Wave v into play ?Dow Jones story continues to unfold as discussed yesterday as the indice drops around 400 pints from 25800 levels. We again present the probable wave counts for hourly chart which could be suggesting that Dow is unfolding its lower degree wave v at this point in time. If the above counts hold true, we could see prices dropping lower towards 24500 levels at least. Please also note that the next support in line is at 24000 odd levels, and it would not come as a surprise if bears drag prices lower towards the same. Overall, the short term story remains bearish with potential target at 24500 levels.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
US Dollar Index tops out at 96.00 ?The US Dollar Index popped up by a few points above the resistance zone 95.60/80, and touched 96.00 levels before pulling back. The story still remains constructive for bears, till prices stay below 96.16 levels going forward. Looking into the medium term wave counts, the US Dollar Index could be on its way towards 93.80 and lower levels as Wave C progresses. Also note that short term wave counts are suggesting that a lower degree wave i and ii might already be in place at 94.80 and 96.00 levels respectively. An alternate count could be a re-test of 96.16 levels, before giving in to bears again. Overall, the medium term bearish structure prevails until prices stay below 96.16 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
AUDCHF: Clear 1D Channel Up. Long.The price is rising on a solid 1D Channel Up (RSI = 57.372, Highs/Lows = 0.0025, B/BP = 0.0073) on limited overbought activity as AUDCHF aims for the 0.72414 - 0.72658 1D Resistance zone. That should be an ideal technical Higher High so we are long with TP = 0.72300. Be aware of the 1W Lower High trend line (blue dots).
Stoxx50 Reversed Off Resistance, Potential Further Drop!Stoxx50 reversed off its resistance at 3281 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) where it could potentially fall to its support at 3196 (horizontal swing low support).
Ichimoku cloud shows signs of bearish pressure that contributes to our bearish bias.
EURUSD ready to resume rally 1.1500/30 bounce likely!The EURUSD pair printed 1.1620 level highs yesterday before pulling back sharply. The said currency pair has made intraday lows below 1.1550 today and is seen to be trading around 1.1555 levels at this point in writing. Looking into the short term wave counts, a lower degree impulse wave seems to have completed between 1.1432 and 1.1620 levels. It is being retraced at the moment, and could test 1.1530 or 1.1500 levels before finding support again. The EURUSD is probably working its wave ii (not labelled here), within the 5 waves rally expected to unfold as Wave C progresses. The projected target could be 1.1850 and higher towards 1.21/2200 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.