Stoxx50 Reversed Off Resistance, Potential Further Drop!Stoxx50 reversed off its resistance at 3281 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) where it could potentially fall to its support at 3196 (horizontal swing low support).
Ichimoku cloud shows signs of bearish pressure that contributes to our bearish bias.
Aud-chf
EURUSD ready to resume rally 1.1500/30 bounce likely!The EURUSD pair printed 1.1620 level highs yesterday before pulling back sharply. The said currency pair has made intraday lows below 1.1550 today and is seen to be trading around 1.1555 levels at this point in writing. Looking into the short term wave counts, a lower degree impulse wave seems to have completed between 1.1432 and 1.1620 levels. It is being retraced at the moment, and could test 1.1530 or 1.1500 levels before finding support again. The EURUSD is probably working its wave ii (not labelled here), within the 5 waves rally expected to unfold as Wave C progresses. The projected target could be 1.1850 and higher towards 1.21/2200 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
GBPNZD Testing Support, Potential BounceGBPNZD is testing its support at 1.9990 (100% Fibonacci extension , 50% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal overlap support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 2.0193 (100% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal pullback resistance). Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 5.8% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
EURCAD Approaching Support, Potential BounceEURCAD is approaching its support at 1.4943 (100% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 1.5026 (50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 1.3% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
EURUSD Wave C in progress towards 1.2The EURUSD hourly chart is suggesting that a meaningful bottom could be in place at 1.1432 level last week and that the currency pair could be now progressing into Wave C higher. Looking at the medium term wave structure, EURUSD has remained in control of bulls since 1.1300 levels earlier. It seems to have completed Waves A and B and Wave C could proceed higher towards 1.2 or even higher in the coming weeks. At this point in time, it is retracing a bit after posting an impressive 180 pips rally in the last two trading sessions. We maintain our bullish bias against 1.1432 levels going forward.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
EURCAD Approaching Support, Potential Bounce!EURCAD is approaching its support at 1.5010 (50% & 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 1.5129 (horizontal swing high resistance). Stochastic (21, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 1.7% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
EURUSD Testing Resistance, Potential ReversalEURUSD is testing its resistance at 1.1622 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance) where it could potentially reverse down to its support at 1.1556 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support). Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its resistance at 97% where a corresponding reversal could occur.
Nikkei 225 Broke Past Major Support, Potential To Drop Further!Nikkei225 broke out of its strong support turned resistance line at 23046 which could trigger a further move down to its next support at 22215 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support). Ichimoku cloud also shows signs of downward pressure.
USDCAD Approaching Resistance, Prepare For A ReversalSell below 1.3097.
Stop loss 1.3152.
Take profit at 1.2977.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
USDCAD is approaching its resistance at 1.2977(61.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% & 50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) where it is expected to reverse down to its support at 1.2977 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its resistance at 99% where a corresponding reversal is expected.
XAUUSD Bounced Off Support, Potential For A Further RiseXAUUSD bounced nicely off its support at 1193(100% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 1204 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is bounced off its support at 5.6% where a corresponding rise could occur.
US Dollar Index carving a complex corrective Wave B?The US Dollar Index hourly chart continues to consolidate between 94.40 and 95.60 levels for now. The index is trading around 94.90 levels at this point in writing and could drop to 94.75/80 during intraday, before turning higher again. Please note that structurally, the US Dollar Index would require to break below 94.80 and 94.40 levels to confirm that a meaningful top is in place at 95.70. Looking at the wave count, the US Dollar Index might be still carving out a more complex Wave B than expected earlier. Please do not be surprised if the index produces a snap rally towards 95.70/96.00 one last time before giving in to bears.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones potential op in place at 26150 levels ?Dow Jones daily chart view has been presented here again after few trading sessions. Looking at the wave structure, the indice could be still working on a potential flat A-B-C at least. Please note that Dow has remained almost unchanged since past few trading sessions and could be possible that a potential top is in place at 26150 levels. Also note that a standard flat structure would remain valid till prices stay below 26600 levels going forward. A safe trading strategy could be to remain short from here, with risk at 26600 levels. If this wave structure holds well, we could see a sharp reversal lower towards 23000 levels at least.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
AUD/CHF closes below 61.8% Fib, bias bearish, tgt 78.6% FibAUD/CHF Bias Bearish
- Price has breached major trendline support at 0.70
- Momentum studies are highly bearish
- Bollinger Bands on weekly charts are widening
- MACD supports trend lower
Support levels - 0.6805 (78.6% Fib), 0.6752 (Feb 2016 low), 0.67
Resistance levels - 0.6964 (5-DMA), 0.70, 0.7108 (21-EMA)
Stay short on upticks, SL: 0.7108, TP: 0.68/ 0.6755
AUD/CHF eyes channel base at 0.71, stay short AUD/CHF extends grind lower along 5-DMA, hits 2-year lows at 0.7130.
Technical analysis supports bearish bias, we see scope for further weakness.
Upside remains capped at 5-DMA and major moving averages are sloping downward.
Momentum studies are highly bearish, RSI biased lower and below 50 levels.
Price is falling in a downward sloping channel and next major bear target lies at channel base at 0.71 levels.
On the flipside break above 5-DMA finds next major resistance at 21-EMA at 0.7244.
Violation at channel top reverses downtrend in the pair.
Support levels - 0.7130 (session low), 0.71 (channel base), 0.7032 (2016 low)
Resistance levels - 0.7169 (5-DMA), 0.7246 (21-EMA), 0.73
Stay short on upticks, SL: 0.7175, TP: 0.71/ 0.7035
AUDCHF ShortStill bearish in AUD in general despite their new PM because of risks from US-China trade war, and slightly bullish in CHF for the same reason. Entered a short stop order with conservative SL between 0-38.2 fib lines and TP @0.71428 (weekly support).
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Daily:
Weekly:
Confidence: B (because of the unpredictable nature of trade wars)